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SELECTIONS FROM STEVE AND GUS Print E-mail

Racing writer and broadcaster Steve Byk joined At the Races and Beyond as a handicapper/commentator in November 2005 and assumed duties as host with the introduction of At the Races with Steve Byk in June 2007. An avid racegoer and player for more than 20 years, Byk has attended more than 50 Triple Crown races, 15 Breeders' Cups and visited more than 30 different racetracks across North America. He launched DerbyTrail.com in 2003, where his feature writing, prep previews and editorial columns attracted a large following. Byk and trainers Chuck Simon & Gary Sciacca introduced Dee Tee Stables in December 2006, and have brought more than 130 fans into the game as owners. 


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SATURDAY FEBRUARY 28

 


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

DRF PmM Clocker Mike Vesce hasn't been wrong with his raves all winter and he had strong positives about Motion's Donworth on air and in print. Not hard to get behind in event where more than half are making debuts. Perkins' Easy to Say is half to SW New Farm brother Hardened Wildcat and Vengeful Wildcat..

Best Value: #6 Donworth 15-1
Next Best: #10 Easy to Say 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Icefield 4-1
Super Add: #3 Captain Moss 12-1


5th: Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/36' (P3, DD)

Hard to argue against lawn rangers Chad Brown (8), Christophe Clement (4) & Bill Mott (5). Morales' Devine Aida is legit and though she starts the bidding at 7-2, will likely float higher in the face of the bigger name outfits..

Most Likely: #8 Consumer Credit 9-5
Best Value: #4 Pine Needles 8-1
Next Best: #1 Devine Aida 7-2
Exotics Use: #5 Quality Rocks 5-2


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P3, DD)

There is next to no speed in here, so let's take a shot that Secretive (20-1) leads this group all the way around. No Surrender's female family includes 2nd dam Doubles Partner, sister of Joyeaux Danseur, so there's some chance he takes to the lawn. Good race to play around given its' absence from the late multis..

Best Value: #9 Secretive 20-1
Next Best: #4 No Surrender 8-1
Exotics Use: #6 Tagheeb 8-1
Super Add: #11 Sycamore Lane 5-1


7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Tried to beat Khozan with Wisecracker in their debuts and Distorted Humor colt hardly disappointed beaten just 3L at 5-1. Has progressed since bow and despite presence of some solid players here, shouldn't lose..

Most Likely: #10 Wisecracker 6-5
Next Best: #7 Unbridled Juan 9-2
Best Value: #1 Semblance of Order 15-1
Exotics Use: #5 Seeking Alpha 6-1


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Feathered at even money is silly given there are 3-4 of these that have already equaled or bettered her 2yo form. Nafzger advanced Makin' Sense training with turf route tightener and now turns her back while adding blinkers. Climb aboard at double digts..

SCR'S 1-3-8-11 take Spark & Danzatrice out of plays..

Best Value: #2 Makin' Sense 15-1
Next Best: #4 Feathered 1-1
Exotics Use: #7 Huasca 6-1
Super Add: #6 Skywarm 8-1


9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Wide open scrum with tons of pace pressing types likely to make this collapse. Don't know how else to play it.

Best Value: #10 Joh's Gone Wild 15-1
Next Best: #7 Piloting 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Flash Paws 10-1
Super Add: #4 Hot Hot Heat 12-1


10th: Swale (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

That's an ugly stat that DRF Formulator's Mike Hogan unearthed regard TAP & Daredevil: "Pletcher is 12-1-1-1 with a $0.24 ROI over the past five years going route to sprint in graded stakes following a layoff of 61 days or more." (Here's the list.) Doesn't mean he's not winning as Daredevil plenty talented and capable, but certainly good fodder for those playing against..

Most Likely: #1 Daredevil 1-1
Best Value: #6 Grand Bili 15-1
Next Best: #7 X Y Jet 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Senor Grits 12-1


11th: Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T/108' (DD)

Would be delighted to see the Kentucky outfits best the obvious big name NY conditioners in this 3yo grass test. Hard not to be rooting for any Garry Simms horse and this Ol' Memorial homebred colt by Stroll always acquits himself well. As Buff Bradley himself said, given the way he typically prepares horses for debuts, Divisidero (10-1) has to be a talent to win first out..

Most Likely: #10 Croninthebarbarian 7-2
Next Best: #5 Dubai Sky 3-1
Best Value: #9 Divisidero 10-1
Exotics Use: #6 Night Prowler 5-2
Super Add: #2 Eh Cumpari 6-1


12th: MSW, 4+, 7.5f-T/36' (Super Hi-5)

Impossible looking nightcap to end fun sequence. Use as many as you can afford because chaos looms..

Best Value: #11 Butterfly Strike 12-1
Next Best: #5 Fair Prospect 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Uptown Joe 10-1
Super Add: #1 Indian Guide 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #4 Veya 10-1


P5 Grid:

8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)


P4 Grid:

9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)


Good luck!
Steve

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Gulfstream Park


R9 - OC 25k/N1X

#7 Piloting (10-1)
#5 French Quarter (10-1)
#8 Strike Bold (15-1)
#3 Dad'z Laugh (3-1)

R10 - G2 Swale

#1 Daredevil (1-1)
#3 Ready for Rye (9-2)
#7 X Y Jet (5-1)
#5 Super Colossal (4-1)

R11 - G3 Palm Beach (Turf 8.5F)

#6 Night Prowler (5-2)
#11 Decision Day (15-1)
#5 Dubai Sky (3-1)
#2 Eh Cumpari (6-1)

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 7.5F)

#11 Butterfly Strike (12-1)
#10 Uptown Joe (10-1)
#5 Fair Prospect (7-2)
#7 Steel Sky (6-1)

PK4 - 1 3 4 5 7 8 10 11 12 14 / 1 / 6 / ALL (11) = $55 for $.50


Turfway Park


R6 - John Battaglia Memorial 125k

#11 The Great War (1-1)
#6 Peppar Roani (12-1)
#9 Firespike (4-1)
#1 Mini Cosmo (15-1)


Sam Houston


R7 - Jersey Lilly S. 50k (Turf 8.5F)

#6 I Dazzle (7-2)
#7 Kitten's Queen (5-2)
#9 Compelling Case (8-1)
#8 Femme Fatale (8-1)

R8 - Texas Heritage S. 50k

#2 A Day in Paradis (7-2)
#6 My Nephew Andrew (8-1)
#1 Houston Fire (9-2)
#3 Academy Bay (2-1)

R9 - Maxxam Gold Cup S. 100k

#3 Albano (9-5)
#4 Hattaash (5-2)
#5 C J's Awesome (7-2)
#2 Woodmans Luck (9-2)

R10 - Clm 15k N3L (Turf 5F)

#2 Spring Enchantment (12-1)
#3 Battered (6-1)
#6 Expect Distinction (9-2)
#9 Wild Dixie (15-1)

PK4 - 6 7 / 1 2 3 6 / 3 4 / 2 3 4 5 6 9 = $48 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 


RESULTS

 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 41st Gulfstream Park Sprint (G3), 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Very curious assembly with legitimate concerns about the major players with Weekend Hideaway and Speechify eligible for regression off mammoth efforts last time, Happy My Way seemingly past midnight and seldom seen/undefeated Mean Season an ouchy question mark. Unless Happy My Way can fully extend Mean Season, the latter will wire this if right. Any of the prices from the second half of the field appear capable of impacting the pay slots and I'd expect C. Zee delivers a career best second off the layoff for the terrific Stanley Gold..

Best Value: #8 Weekend Hideaway 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mean Season 5-2 DNF-Eased
Exotics Use: #2 C. Zee 5-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #7 Puntrooskie 20-1 4th


7th: 10th Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-T/84' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Good Deed 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Jewel of a Cat 4-1 WON ($25.20)
Best Value: #10 True Romance 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Fascinate 6-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Catching Fireflies 5-1 6th


8th: 31st Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

We may still be waiting for a truly good 3yo filly to emerge, but meanwhile, this is a delightful assembly of well matched missies. Pick a few that have caught your eye. Plenty of pace on, so the stalker-closers won't be compromised..

Most Likely: #1 Lassofthemohicans 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Birdatthewire 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Silverpocketsfull 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Cavorting 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Puca 10-1 4th


9th: 24th Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/12' (P4, P3, DD)

Despite murky pace prospect, more I thought about Mac Diarmida scenario, more I concluded that Main Sequence isn't losing. Between careful handling and deliberate training by Motion to land here to healthy Rajiv Maragh getting back aboard, dual champion should arrive on scene in time. Given difficulty of rest of P5 sequence, single and spread in the spots that demand it..

Most Likely: #1 Main Sequence 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Twilight Eclipse 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Divine Oath 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Artic North 12-1 6th


10th: 53rd Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/84' (P3, DD)

Have been a big Excaper fan since getting in front of him in BC Juvy Turf and here he is entering his 5th season of competition having amassed nearly $750k in earnings. Would love to believe he can wire off the bench but there are several pace pressers involved here. Jack Milton another I favored from the start and while he's disappointed more than rewarded, was ready off the bench as a 4yo and should be well placed by winter's crazily dominant pilot. Not ready to give up on Mutin after fiasco in the FLL last..

Most Likely: #6 Jack Milton 5-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Mutin 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Grand Tito 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Excaper 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Sky Blazer 8-1 7th


11th: 73rd Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

While there are fresh-faced candidates that have potential to overhaul the obvious top pair, Gorgeous Bird and Itsaknockout are spotting serious stakes experience to Upstart and Frosted..

Most Likely: #7 Upstart 8-5 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #6 Frosted 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Gorgeous Bird 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Itsaknockout 4-1 WON-via DQ ($12.80)


12th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/84' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Dreaming of Gold 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Animal Kracker 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tweet Kitten 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Cat Humor 8-1 12th
Super/Hi-5: #1 Caprock Kid 20-1 6th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), 2-6-8-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-3-9-11-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-4-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $66

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 3,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 1,3,9,11,13 with 7 with 5,7 - $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 1,2,4,5 with 5,7 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 1,8 - $2.00

Total: $66.00


P4 Grid:

9: 1 (A), 6 (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-6-10 (A), 3-9-11 (B), 1-8-12-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $67

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 3,6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,8,12,13 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 1,2,5 with 5,7 - $9.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 1,8 - $3.00

Total: $67.00



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 30th Mineshaft H. (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Hard Aces & Quadrivium are SCR's from this so expect odds to be redistributed accordingly. Even without Quadrivium, there figures to be a fairly spirited pace on given Nates Mineshaft, Red Rifle and Street Babe all interested in the front end. Someone will sit an ideal stalking trip here with 6-1 Irish You Well, 10-1 Class Leader and 20-1 Cougar Ridge eligible at nice numbers. Tricky start to all-stakes P4..

Most Likely: #5 Irish You Well 6-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Class Leader 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Red Rifle 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Cougar Ridge 20-1 4th


9th: 29th Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Didn't expect to land on Catalano again here, but Highball always had quality about him and displayed encouraging development in first start as 4yo. Has shown ability to adjust to varied pace scenarios and will be a square price..

Best Value: #3 Highball 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Quadrivium 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Pyrite Mountain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Dreams Cut Short 15-1 7th


10th: 35th Rachel Alexandra (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Like the Davona Dale at 4p ET, a compelling betting affair that hopefully produces some Oaks prospects that get you excited. As discussed with Marcus Hersh on Friday ATR, pace figures to get zippy hear as outside speeds hurtling for turn generally prompt inside runners that seek forward positions.

Most Likely: #1 Shook Up 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Forever Unbridled 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Angela Renee 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lovely Maria 5-1 2nd


11th: 43rd Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

SCR of J S Bach takes some of the speed out of this leaving St. Joe Bay and Hero of Humor as the tablesetters with Tiznow R J, Bluff and War Story watching the action unfold. Tiznow R J (5-1) is the 'Most Likely' due to his added experience at the level, but I'll be basing my bets around upside-laden Bluff (12-1). Time and again we are seeing flighty Tapit offspring spring forward with maturity and once the light goes on, the lamp stays lit. Has advanced with every start and with another projective step, can make up margins he spots the major contenders..

Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Bluff 12-1 6th
Next Best: #10 International Star 9-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Imperia 7-2 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-10-11 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 5-6 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 5-10 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $78

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 5,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,8 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $12.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,10,11 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 4,7,10 with 2,3 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 6,8 - $4.00

Total: $78.00



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #10 Ribbon of Darkness 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Elaine Kowaleski 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Seans Silverdancer 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bourbon Warfare 7-2 3rd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #10 Mr. Tickle 7-2: Better with each start; Ran into Kantune last time.. WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Dreamsdocometrue 8-1: Good debut; Half brother Dreams Cut Short in FG 'Cap.. 5th
Next Best: #7 King of New York 9-2: 2nd to Leave the Light On at 2; Lasix added today.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Crafty Navigator 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Lawless West SCR


8th: 27th Spring Fever, F&M-4+, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lasting Bubbles 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chortle 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Boss Barney's Babe 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Heykittykittykitty 4-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #5 Escalate 4-1 7th
Next Best: #4 California Coast 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #7 Perfectly 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Conquest Cobra 3-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 10 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4 (B), 3-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (10-10-7-4) Paid $200.05
Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1 All "A" Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 1,8 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 3,7,8,9 - $12.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Gulfstream Park


R1 - Alw 48k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#11 Lord Trondor (12-1)
#8 Empire Knight (3-1)
#10 Los Borrachos (8-1)
#12 Town Extension (9-2)

R2 - Md 50k

#5 Cort (7-2)
#4 Brett Park (3-1)
#1 Dixie One (6-1)
#9 Crown Holiday (20-1)

R3 - MSW 45k

#14 Cred (20-1)
#7 Face of Winner (6-1)
#1 Element (4-1)
#5 Canadian Flyer (12-1)

R4 - G3 Rampart

#2 Wedding Toast (2-1) - Controlling speed and doesn't like to give it up. Dangerous combo.
#3 House Rules (4-1) - Paid workout in most recent and just needs top choice to blink late.
#6 Got Lucky (3-1) - Much better going one turn and likes this surface.
#4 Thank You Marylou (5-2) - Expect her to be coming late versus this talented field.

R5 - G3 Very One (Turf 11F)

#3 Irish Mission (3-1) - Showed her class in latest and benefits from a nice inside draw.
#1 Caroline Thomas (4-1) - Saves all the ground before going outside late as she tries to run them down.
#6 Risposte (5-2) - Has a tactical advantage, but does she need one off the bench?
#7 Tabreed (GB) (6-1) - Made top choice work to the end last time and fits underneath.

PK4 - 1 4 5 6 9 / 1 5 7 8 14 / 2 3 6 / 1 3 = $75 for $.50

R6 - G3 Gulfstream Park Sprint

#4 City of Weston (20-1) - Live longshot with a clean trip. Needs a dry fast track for best.
#6 Speechify (4-1) - Capable of sitting the perfect stalking trip.
#8 Weekend Hideaway (3-1) - Potentially will hook up with other speedsters and possibly bounce, but a repeat wins this for fun.
#3 Happy My Way (7-2) - Gets off the rail, but must avoid getting cooked early.

R7 - Ladies Turf Sprint 75k (Turf 5F)

#3 Good Deed (3-1) - Margolis ships in with serious intentions. Mare likes the camera.
#2 Catching Fireflies (5-1) - Versatile runner is firing on all cylinders.
#6 Fascinante (6-1) - Completely a different animal since being switch to turf sprints.
#12 Jewel of a Cat (4-1) - Difficult post, but should have enough for a minor piece.

R8 - G2 Davona Dale

#6 Puca (10-1) - Mott had options and lands here. Rosario sticks.
#2 Eskenformoney (5-1) - Has started to figure it out and fits with this group.
#1 Lassofthemohicans (6-1) - Two quick bullets coming in and Paco takes the call. Go time.
#5 Skipalute (20-1) - Expecting a bounce back performance at a juicy price.

PK3 - 3 4 6 8 / 2 3 / 1 2 5 6 = $32

R9 - G2 Mac Diarmida (Turf 11F)

#1 Main Sequence (6-5) - Turf champ towers over this field in his '15 bow.
#7 Divine Oath (7-2) - Improving 4yr old earned right to face Turf monster.
#6 Twilight Eclipse (2-1) - Solid warrior must prove he can best top choice.
#4 Change of Command (15-1) - High % barn sends him right to the wolves. Might try to steal this.

R10 - G3 Canadian (Turf 8F)

#6 Jack Milton (5-1) - BEST BET There's speed lined up and he's fired off the bench.
#9 Sky Blazer (8-1) - Absolutely loves the course and will uncork a late rally.
#3 Mr. Online (6-1) - Returns to preferred distance and is capable of lasting a long time on the front.

R11 - G2 Fountain of Youth

#7 Upstart (8-5) - Stands out at this time versus this field. Even with a step back can win this.
#6 Frosted (5-2) - Blinks will probably have him closer to the pace, which isn't a bad thing.
#4 Gorgeous Bird (6-1) - Heading in the right direction and in good hands.
#5 Itsaknockout (4-1) - Impressive in both starts, but now gets the acid test.

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 9F)

#5 Animal Kracker (5-1) - Made up some serious ground in most recent and it could be graduation day.
#6 Cat Humor (8-1) - Being forwardly placed in this race might be a good thing.
#7 Dreaming of Gold (8-5) - Obvious contender, but no cinch at a short price.
#3 Tweet Kitten (6-1) - Needs a better break and don't discount chances for all slots.

PK5 - 1 2 4 5 6 12 / 1 / 3 6 9 / 7 / 3 5 6 7 = $36 for $.50

PK4 - 1 / 3 6 9 / 4 5 6 7 / 1 3 5 6 7 8 = $36 for $.50

$10 PK4 - 1 / 6 / 7 / 5 6 = $20



Fair Grounds


R8 - G3 Mineshaft

#8 Cougar Ridge (20-1) - He's in career form and wouldn't mind a little moisture underneath.
#5 Irish You Well (6-1) - Interesting spot for his return. Positive sign from Catalano.
#1 Hard Aces (9-2) - Must duplicate most recent as this is a deeper field.
#6 Red Rifle (3-1) - Finished '14 strong, but needs 'A' game right off the bench.

R9 - G3 Fair Grounds Handicap (Turf 9F)

#1 Glenard (GB) (6-1) - Motion lethal with these types and has been working well in Florida.
#3 Highball (8-1) - Seems to be getting better with each race and this could be the breakout.
#2 Villandry (9-2) - Consistent sort can make amends for chalk lost in most recent.
#8 Trace Creek (10-1) - McPeek ships in and looks to get a favorable stalking trip.

R10 - G3 Rachel Alexandra

#6 Angela Renee (5-1) - Brings in some back class and reunites with Bejarano.
#8 Forever Unbridled (8-1) - Barn does well with young fillies.
#1 Shook Up (7-2) - A wet track will definitely move her up.
#10 I'm a Chatterbox (4-1) - Must prove she can rate as she'll have company for the front end.

R11 - G2 Risen Star

#8 Keen Ice (8-1) - Improving colt from sharp barn should appreciate this surface and long stretch.
#6 War Story (5-1) - Capable of taking a step forward off latest.
#5 Imperia (7-2) - The plan was always to start 2015 here. Logical
#7 Hero of Humor (30-1) - Barn has been known to light up the toteboard every so often.

PK4 - 1 3 5 6 8 10 11 / 1 3 / 1 6 8 / 5 6 8 = $63 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 



RESULTS 2/14

 

LAUREL PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

At the dashy 5.5f distance, there's a modest danger that loose Spango wires here as lone speed..

Most Likely: #8 Regal Soldier 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Northern Label 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Compulsive 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Twelve Stone 5-2 7th


7th: John B. Campbell H., 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group with at least 7 of the 11 win eligible. Pimental sides with Trombetta's Live Oak runner, but Cosmic Gold (8-1) looks like he's developing right along and with tactical speed, may get first run on Cerro and whomever is attending pace with him..

Best Value: #5 Cosmic Gold 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Page McKenney 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Sailor's Revenge 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Souper Lucky 6-1 6th


8th: Barbara Fritchie (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Sam's Sister ships cross country, gives significant to weight to all and appears to need improvement to win as the likely well-bet favorite. No thanks..

Most Likely: #1 Princess Violet 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Lady Sabelia 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #8 Stormy Novel 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Sam's Sister 5-2 4th


9th: MD Racing Media, F&M-3+, 9f

Best Value: #5 Pearl Bay 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Flores Island 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Shayjolie 9-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Luna Time 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 10-11 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 8-10 (B), 5 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $59 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,7 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,8 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 5 with 5 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 1,6,8,9 - $8.00

Total: $59.00



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Gentleman's Bet 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Hogy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled's Note 5-2 2nd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3)

Ton of firsters with modest pedigree or trainer support to separate contenders..

Most Likely: #5 Mutation 3-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Chart Room 9-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Mission Driven 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Transformative 5-1 3rd


9th: 67th Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (DD)

You can't have a more competitive assembly for an ungraded, $100 stake. Ride On Curlin will get a pace to close into, but Code West and Golden Lad get first run from stalking slots and surely one of the pace setters will hang tough. With the El Camino and John Campbell, one of the day's most inviting wagering opps..

Most Likely: #8 Golden Lad 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #4 Code West 9-2 6th
Best Value: #3 I Got It All 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ride On Curlin 2-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m

On paper, it looks as if Legal Eagle SCR'D! would have to fall down to get beat, but he obviously had issues if he didn't debut until January of his 4yo year. Did work since debut which is a positive sign and expect he wins, but there are alternatives to the 3-2 ML fave..

Best Value: #6 Stormy Deacon 20-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sail Maker 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Hillbilly Style 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Big Changes 5-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 2-9-12 (B), 7-11 (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-7-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Full (A/B/C): $59.50 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $4.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 5,8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,11 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 2,5,6 with 6 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 1,3,7,9,11 - $10.00

Total: $61.50



GOLDEN GATE FIELDS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: El Camino Real Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3)

May not be a major Kentucky Derby player in the El Camino Real Derby, but it's a fun betting affair with a well-matched field and vulnerable favorites..

Most Likely: #5 Cross the Line 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ernest Shackleton 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Mischief Clem 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Soul Driver 6-1 5th
 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY 2/14 RESULTS

 Gulfstream Park POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R5 - MSW 45k (9F)

#3 Gold Shield (3-1) - Working well and the 9 panels should be right in his wheelhouse. WON $4.40
#5 Blue Cap (15-1) - Gelded since last and should not be ignored at a price with the stretchout.
#8 Jambles (4-1) - Had a rough debut run and looks to improve with a cleaner trip.
#6 River Date (9-2) - Can build off latest and is in the mix with these.

TRI PAID $29.30

R9 - Clm 20k N3L (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Dominate (12-1) - New barn and better draw with Maragh hopping aboard. This runner was $3.60 to 1 versus similar last time.
#8 Dude About Town (8-1) - Back to back wins makes a big difference at this level.
#12 Franklin (7-2) - Surprised he was not claimed in most recent and capable of handling these as well. WON $5.00
#11 Caminito (8-1) - Has ran decent 2nds against this caliber and fits again.

R10 - G3 Hurricane Bertie

#4 Merry Meadow (7-5) - Difficult to get cute here as she'll stalk and pounce again. $4.00
#1 More Than a Party (5-2) - Best scenario is to catch a flyer and avoid any type of speed duel. 2ND
#6 Centrique (6-1) - Has an affinity with Gulfstream, but we'll need top 2 to have an off day. 4TH

R11 - Cooper City Handicap 60k (Turf 8F)

#3 I'm Already Sexy (4-1) - Drops from stakes company and picks up the aggressive Paco. This seems like the perfect fit. WON $4.40
#8 Kitty Wine (5-2) - Consistent sort looks to run another solid race. 3RD
#9 Indian Starlight (12-1) - Underrated barn has been having a productive meet and taking a shot right off the claim. 4TH

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 7.5F)

#8 Force the Pass (9-2) - Above average string of works indicate he's ready to fire at 1st asking. 2ND
#1 Saham (8-1) - Decent work after losing the jock as the chalk last month. WON $12.40
#2 Jrock (12-1) - Barn lethal in Maiden 2nd start and he just has to run near his number on the lawn.
#9 Farz (8-1) - Respect connections and pedigree. Has been working steady since November '14.

[u]PK4 - 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 12 / 1 4 / 3 / 1 2 4 6 7 8 9 = $56 for $.50 PAID $81.85 FOR $.50


Santa Anita


R6 - Clm 20k

#1 Holiday Maker (2-1) WON $4.60
#6 Where Is My Mind (7-2)
#5 Erte (8-1) 2ND
#2 City Ride (4-1)

R7 - MSW 56k (Turf 6.5F)

#6 Boat Drinks (5-2) 2ND
#8 Entrechat (2-1) WON $8.80
#7 Zip N Bayou (12-1) 3RD
#12 Avenge (4-1) 4TH

R8 - G2 Santa Maria

#8 Awesome Baby (6-1)
#2 Thegirlinthatsong (5-2) 3RD
#6 Warren's Veneda (2-1) WON $5.60
#9 Backintheacademy (20-1)

R9 - Sweet Life 75k (Turf 6.5F)

#11 Spirit of Xian (Ire) (4-1) 3RD
#4 Havanna Belle (Ire) (4-1)
#2 Bobbi Grace (Ire) (5-2) 2ND
#10 She's a Big Winner (8-1) WON $17.40

PK4 - 1 2 5 6 / 6 8 / 2 6 8 / 2 4 6 10 11 = $60 for $.50 PAID $263.85 FOR $.50


Golden Gate

R7 - G3 El Camino Real Derby

#4 Ernest Shackleton (Ire) (12-1) - O'Neill knows which one to send up north and this one is improving.
#2 Indianaughty (4-1) - Romans seems fit to ship across the country. Expect a late rally when others get tired.
#3 Metaboss (8-1) - Winner at the distance and draws well for a stalking trip. WON $15.20
#9 Conquest Typhoon (7-2) - Brings some back class and Casse's runners are doing well. 3RD

 

 

 

RESULTS 2/12

 

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Grand Strand 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Maximus Mike 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #3 Mr. Lit 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Chrisandlorisposse 8-1 7th


6th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Son of Dixie 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Winter Games 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #3 Ultimate Empire 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Call Wil 6-1 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/C, 4+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #2 Saratoga Snacks 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #5 Readbytheline 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Spa City Fever 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Readtheprospectus 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $23.40
$1 Trifecta (2-5-6) Paid $91.50
$1 Superfecta (2-5-6-3) Paid $331.00



8th: MSW, F&M-4+, 6f

Most Likely: #9 Mine for Life 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #4 Relax 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Pop of Color 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Flapper Girl 15-1 8th


P4 Grid:

5: 4-7 (A), 3 (B), 1-6 (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 1-3 (B), 4 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 9 (A), 4-5 (B), 6-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $72

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (7-6-2-9) Paid $159.75

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 9 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 9 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 with 9 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 4 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 1,4 with 9 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 6,8,10 - $12.00

Total: $72.00

 

 


 

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: 72nd Suwannee River H. (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T/84' (P4, P3, DD)

Very deep group of authentic G3 type turf ladies with most of the obvious players stacked up on the outside half of the barrier in a race that should have an honest pace. Recent Chad Brown acquisitions Cay Dancer (9-2) SCR'D and underachieving Rosalind (6-1) the place to start considerations beyond Mott's White Rose (4-1) & Pletcher's Sandiva (7-2) who are the deserving ML faves. Bitty Kitty (12-1) and Scampering (8-1) offer value as ground-saving, mid-pack stalkers..

Most Likely: #8 Sandiva 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #10 Rosalind 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Scampering 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 White Rose 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Bitty Kitty 12-1 7th


11th: 30th Fred Hooper (G3), 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Jersey Town was Barclay Tagg's last main track graded stakes winner and Confrontation will draw comparisons to him as the season progresses. The War Pass gelding has shown steady development with age and exits an admirable, if unsuccessful, duel with Donn fave Lea in the Hal's Hope. Reuniteds with Rajiv Maragh here and may be a reliable horse to lean on in tricky sequence with pace scenario ideal for his just off stalking tactics..

Most Likely: #3 Confrontation 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Valid 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Race Day 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Ulanbator 15-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Mosler 8-1 9th


12th: 33rd GP Turf H. (G1), 4+, 9f-T/84' (DD)

Pletcher fave Mshawish only need repeat recent efforts to win, but Clement and Brown challengers appear in range..

Most Likely: #1 Mshawish 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #7 Slumber 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 War Correspondent 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Lochte 5-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Grand Tito 15-1 5th


X-Country P4 Grid:

GP12: 1-7 (A), 3-4-6-8 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
GP13: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-6-10 (C)
SA7: 8 (A), 1-4 (B), 5 (C)
SA8: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $74

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,9 with 8 with 5,8 - 4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 2,9 with 8 with 5,8 - $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 4,8 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,9 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,9 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,6,10 with 8 with 5,8 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 5 with 5,8 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1 - $2.00

Total: $74.00


13th: 60th Donn H. (G1), 4+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

As much as I'd like to create alternative scenario to defending winner repeating, it appears he's as good or better now than a year ago. Pletcher players offer legit challenge, but Lea clearly the likeliest lining up..

Most Likely: #4 Lea 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Protonico 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Commissioner 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Blue Tone 15-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Catholic Cowboy 20-1 8th


$64 P4 Grid:

10: 8-10 (A), 3-13 (B), 1-2-4-6-9 (C)
11: 3 (A), 7-10 (B), 5-6-8-12 (C)
12: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-4-5-9 (C)
13: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $64

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 2,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 7,10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 1 with 2,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 1 with 2,9 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 6,7 with 2,9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4,6,9 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $5.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 5,6,8,12 with 1 with 4,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 3,4,5,9 with 4,8 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 1,5,6 - $3.00

Total: $64.00



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Pulling G's 8-5 6th
Next Best: #11 Logan's Moon 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Whine for Wine 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Solid Wager 20-1 WON ($138.20)
Super Add: #3 Got Even 8-1 8th


7th: 63rd San Marcos (G2), 4+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dynamic Sky 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Finnegan's Wake 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Power Ped 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Patrioticandproud 4-1 7th


8th: 77th San Antonio Inv. H. (G2), 4+, 9f (DD)

Exciting match-up of West Coast's best publicized 2014 sophomores in HOY Cal Chrome and unlucky Shared Belief, with added intrigue of solid Baffert 'B' team G1 winner Hoppertunity. Pace picture interesting with 30-1 Alfa Bird the speed and the 'Big 3' lining up behind him. Looks like using the top pair is safe approach as something odd would need to happen to put outsider in winner's circle..

Most Likely: #8 California Chrome 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Shared Belief 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Hoppertunity 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Alfa Bird 30-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Arethusa 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Intoxicating Move 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Dakota Kid 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Out Little Hen 6-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Sky Mega 12-1 11th


P4 Grid:

6: 9 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
7: 1-8 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 1 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
9: 1-10 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 114 x .50 = $54
Full (A/B/C): $71 $0.50 Pick-4 (4/1/5/10) Paid $2,193.30

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 4 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 1 with 1,10 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 1 with 3,7 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,4 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $12.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (4/1/5/10) Paid $2,193.30
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,5 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 2,7,9 with 1,10 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 2,11 - $4.00

Total:$71.00


Good luck!
Steve

 


 

GUS ALONSO'S X-COUNTRY P4 LOOK


Gulfstream Park


R12 - G1 Gulfstram Park Turf Handicap (Turf 9F)

#3 Imagining (3-1) - Seems to always fire a big one fresh and will appreciate that Main Sequence is not here.
#6 War Correspondent (8-1) - Looks like the ideal time to tackle Grade 1 company and be forwardly place throughout for sharp barn.
#5 Manchurian High (12-1) - Is in career form and is an off the pace threat at will be a good price.
#1 Mshawish (7-2) - Candidate for Horse of the Meet with a win here, but a slight concern creeps in after drifting out in latest.

R13 - G1 Donn

#4 Lea (9-5) - Hard not to start with the defending champion after a solid effort in Hal's Hope despite eventful trip.
#1 Constitution (7-2) - Reigning Florida Derby winner loves this surface and looks to be the controlling speed.
#8 Protonico (6-1) - Hard knocker will keep grinding and if the top 2 blink, he'll be ready to pick them up.
#7 Sloane Avenue (15-1) - Successful barn seem fit to take a chance here and that's pretty much all I need to include.


Santa Anita


R7 - G2 San Marcos (Turf 10F)

#5 Little Jerry (12-1) - Have a feeling that they'll ignore him on the front end and Maldonado might be able to lull them to sleep.
#8 Dynamic Sky (3-1) - The extra real estate will definitely help the cause.
#1 Finnegans Wake (5-2) - Has really improved since switching the the west coast, but this time you'll have to take a short price.
#9 Power Foot (8-1) - Comes in off a confidence booster win and the distance will not be a problem.

R8 - G2 San Antonio Invitational

#5 Shared Belief (7-5) - Only blemish was more than excusable in BC Classic and absolutely brings it every time. He's a single in my book until someone beats him fair and square.
#8 California Chrome (6-5) - Nice to see Derby winner still in training, but he draws a difficult assignment to start the year. Hoping he goes off the favorite.
#9 Alfa Bird (30-1) - Baze will be winging it on the front end and hopes top two forget about him until it's too late.
#7 Bronzo (Chi) (20-1) - If for some reason they get silly up front, expect him to come with a serious late run.

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 / 1 4 7 8 / 1 5 8 9 / 5 = $64 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

P5 may be too arduous to play for small money with this deep, well-matched group starting it..

Most Likely: #5 Stormy Pacific 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Examen 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Dramedy 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Layton Register 7-2 9th


9th: 35th Suncoast, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD)

The endless parade of mediocrity in the sophomore filly ranks continues here..

Most Likely: #1 Irish Jasper 7-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Whimsicality 9-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Innovative Idea 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 A. P.'s Glory 8-1 6th


10th: 16th Endeavour (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent cast for this early season turf test. As discussed on ATR with owner Covello, expect Testa Rossi to be more involved here. Also expect improvement from Hard Not to Like on move to Clement..

Most Likely: #1 Testa Rossi 3-1 WON-via DQ ($5.20)
Best Value: #11 Hard Not to Like 7-2 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #5 Principessa Ava 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 I'm Already Sexy 4-1 7th


11th: 35th Sam. F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fun edition of this typically mundane Tampa Bay Derby prep despite the fact that race was denied Kentucky Derby points. Rooting that Chad Stewart's likeable Catalina Red continues to confirm bona fides but anticipate Josie Carroll's Ami's Flatter advances his classic credentials after excellent soph debut in dirt and stakes debut in Mucho Macho Man behind Bluegrass Singer (solid Holy Bull 3rd last week)..

Best Value: #3 Ami's Flatter 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Catalina Red 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Ocean Knight 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #8 G Five 10-1 12th


12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Penelope Perfect 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Lookout Raven 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Princess Mariah 9-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Stock Yard Hen 8-1 WON ($12.40)
Super/Hi-5: #6 See Trouble 6-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

9: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 1-11 (A), 5 (B), 4-6-7-12 (C)
11: 3 (A), 1-11 (B), 2-8-9 (C)
12: 2 (A), 1-4-9 (B), 6-9-10 (C)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Palos Verdes (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Secret Circle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Distinctiv Passion 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Big Macher 5-2 5th


7th: 56th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kaigun 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Za Approval 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Avanzare 4-1 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Edge of Reality 8-1 6th


8th: 33rd Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Majestic Presence 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Maybellene 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Callback 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #9 Miss Mandate 12-1 5th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Rockin Robin 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Blue Law 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Just Kidding 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Milton 10-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Steam Play 4-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 4 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 9-10-11 (B), 3-12 (C)


 


RESULTS 1/24 

GULFSTREAM

PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Wisecracker 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #14 Khozan 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #12 Great Stuff 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Camerton Hall 30-1 14th


7th: Hutcheson (G3), 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Barbados 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Dom the Bomb 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 X Y Jet 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bridget's Big Luvy 15-1 5th


8th: Sweetest Chant (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T/24' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Consumer Credit 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Quality Rocks 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Temple City 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Red Sashay 12-1 6th


9th: Holy Bull (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Upstart 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #1 Frosted 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bluegrass Singer 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Frammento 12-1 6th


10th: Forward Gal (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

With all due respect to the important boy's race ahead of it, this is the best event of the day at Hallendale..

Best Value: #8 Lassofthemohocans 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Enchantress 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Taylor S 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Seduire 5-2 7th


11th: Kitten's Joy, 3yo, 8.5f-T/24' (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Croninthebarbarian 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dubai Sky 4-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Dr No 3-1 7th
Super Add: #11 Ode to the Hunt 15-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Chief Kitten 9-2 6th


@$75 P5 Grid:

7: 7 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 3 (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), 1-4 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 7-11 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $76 $0.50 Pick-5 (1,7,8/7/8/4/4) Paid $930.65


$72 P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), 3 (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), 1-4 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 7-11 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $72 (With $1 'All A's' play) $0.50 Pick-4 (7/8/4/4) Paid $709.30

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 8 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,4 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,5 with 4,8 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 6,8 with 7,11 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,4 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 8 with 3,5 with 4,8 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 8 with 6,8 with 7,11 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,4 with 3,5 with 4,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,4 with 6,8 with 7,11 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,5 with 7,11 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6,7 with 6,8 with 4,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 4 with 4,8 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 8 with 6,8 with 5,9 - $4.00

Total: $72.00



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: Cal Cup Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sheer Pleasure 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Heat the Rocks 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Light One 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Tribal Express 15-1 8th


6th: Cal Cup Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Acceptance 4-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Tough Sunday 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Pulmarack 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Mischief Clem 6-1 WON ($25.60)


7th: SunMill F&M Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Heat Trap 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Doinghardtimeagain 15-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Go West Marie 12-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Kathleen Rose 6-1 7th


8th: Cal Cup Sprint, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 San Onofre 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Marino's Wild Cat 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Frensham SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Rousing Sermon 4-1 4th


9th: Cal Cup Turf Classic, 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Best Value: #9 Boozer 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Big Bane Theory 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Alert Bay 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #4 Patriot's Rule 15-1 4th


10th: MCLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 She Got Away 7-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Erte 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #9 Ju Ju Bella 8-1 4th
[b][color="Red"]Exotics Use: #11 Powerful Girl 4-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Lady Danger 6-1 10th


<$60 P4 Grid:

7: 8-14 (A), 7-9 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
9: 3-5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), 7-10 (C)
10: 6 (A), 1-10-11 (B), 4-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x4 = 90 x .50 = $45
Full (A/B/C): $57 (With $1 'All A's' play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 6 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 1,4 with 6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 1,10,11 - $9.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 2 with 1,4 with 6 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 1,10,11 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 1,4 with 1,10,11 - $6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 6 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 3,4,7 with 3,5,9 with 6 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 7,10 with 6 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,14 with 2 with 3,5,9 with 4,5 - $6.00

Total: $54.00

 

 

 

 

OAKLAWN PARK RESULTS 1/19


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: AR-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3)

Next Best: #10 Sea Tales 3-1 10th
Best Value: #2 Timeless Truth 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Swan Deer 9-2 4th
Exotics Use:#1 Jean's Beauty 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Easter Indy 10-1 WON ($17.80)


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #11 Distant Kingdom 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Oak Brook 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Jumpin Frac Flash 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Tekton 5-1 8th


8th: 9th Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Z 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Far Right 6-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #5 Hebbronville 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Bayerd 9-2 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #12 Everything Bling 6-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #7 Beah Beah 9-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Bon Heir 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Polite Pearl 8-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 2-10 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 4-12 (C)
7: 11 (A), 1-2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 1 (B), 5-6-7-8 (C)
9: 7-12 (A), 1-3 (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $56.00

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 3 with 7,12 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,7 with 11 with 3 with 7,12 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 1,2,3 with 3 with 7,12 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 1 with 7,12 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 3 with 1,3 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,7 with 1,2,3 with 3 with 7,12 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,7 with 11 with 1 with 7,12 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,7 with 11 with 3 with 1,3 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 1,2,3 with 1 with 7,12 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 1,2,3 with 3 with 1,3 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 1 with 1,3 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,12 with 11 with 3 with 7,12 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 5,6,7,8 with 7,12 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,10 with 11 with 3 with 6,11 - $2.00

Total: $56.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/17

  

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: FL-SunMill Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Manchurian High 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #6 Bad Debt 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Iron Power 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Best Plan Yet 15-1 5th


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Pyrite Mountain 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Buck Benny 30-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Pleuven 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Rompin Reid 20-1 9th


8th: FL-SunMill Distaff, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Have to think the pace gets hot here with the outside speeds hustling for position early. That can open this up to any number of players that can stalk or close. Don't be shy sprinkling prices in with your logicals..

Best Value: #4 Tapit's World 12-1 12th
Next Best: #5 Toasting 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Girlaboutown 20-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Wildcat Lily 15-1 6th


9th: FL-SunMill F&M Turf, 4+, 8.5f-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Speed Seeker 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Waterway Run 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Salamera 30-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Effie Trinket 8-1 8th


10th: FL-SunMill Classic, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Transparent 9-5 4th
Next Best: #2 East Hall 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Wildcat Red 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Sr. Quisqueyano 12-1 WON ($43.20)


11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Danish Dynaformer 8-1 4th
Best Value: #13 Made in Detroit 30-1 WON ($25.20)
Next Best: #8 Big Ben 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Letuspray 6-1 11th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Grey Wizard 3-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-5 (A), 2-8-11 (B), 6-9-10-13 (C)
9: 3 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)
11: 8-12-13 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 3-11-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $66.00

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 6 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,8,11 with 3 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 2 with 8,12,13 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 6 with 4 with 4,6,10 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 2 with 4,6,10 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9,10,13 with 3 with 4 with 8,12,13 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 1,3,5,6 with 8,12,13 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 4 with 3,11,14 - $3.00

Total: $69.00



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #1 POWER CRAZED 4-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Forty Four North 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Branded Hand 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Fire Starter 6-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #10 Tasseography 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Embellish the Lace 7-2 Late SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Movie Mystery 15-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Indian Annie 9-2 WON ($7.00)


8th: 34th Pippin, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Crazily well-matched field with entire group less than a couple lengths apart on typical form. Speed looks to come from the outside with Pearl Turn stretching out while adding blinks and Honey Ryan the lone 'need-the-lead' type signed on. In terms of settling on players, think you want the debuting 4yo's who have upside as opposed to the mares who are what they are. Haunted Heroine makes 4yo bow for familiar Calhoun team looking like progressive type with right style at attractive number. Treacherous spot for quad players..

Most Likely: #7 Haunted Heroine 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Mufajaah 10-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #9 Honey's Ryan 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Courageous Julie 8-1 6th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Getting to be now or never time for Tapit Wicked who ran in to some solid juvenile foes in KY..

Most Likely: #1 Tapit Wicked 9-5 4th
Next Best: #9 Bluesman 9-2 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #12 Tarasenko 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Whoop Ti Do 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 1 (A), 9-11 (B), 5 (C)
7: 10 (A), 4 5-8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 1-3-9 (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
9: 1 (A), 9 (B), 3-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
Full (A/B/C): $54.50 (With $1 for All A's ticket)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 1 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9,11 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 9 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 1,3,9 with 1 - $4.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,8,9 with 2,7 with 9 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 1,3,9 with 9 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 4,5,6,8 with 1 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 4,10 with 2,7 with 3,10,12 - $6.00

Total: $54.50



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 29th Col. E.R. Bradley (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (Jackpot P5, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 String King 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #1 Gentleman's Kitten 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Infinite Magic 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Villandry 9-5 6th


9th: 23rd Silverbulletday, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

[i]Obvious players here all come from just off (West Coast Belle) or well off (Top Decile; Forever Unbridled) pace and there appears to be plenty of front end lick to five them their opportunity. The question is whether one of the solid lead candidates (Both Larry Jones, Money'doncharlotte, Zooming) has legitimate potential to get away or stay on into deep stretch../I]

Most Likely: #2 West Coast Belle 2-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Top Decile 8-5 6th
Best Value: #5 Forever Unbridled 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Money'soncharlotte 8-1 3rd


10th: 20th Krantz Memorial H., F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Notte d'Oro 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #10 Eden Prairie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Kitten's Dumplings 5-2 10th
Super Add: #8 Samiam 12-1 4th


11th: 71st LeComte (G3), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD)

Tricky read on full field to start road to the LA Derby with favored Eagle outposted wide. Several emergent types are signed on including last-out MDN-breaker Tiznow R J (5-1) who broke through when converting 2-turn debut into diploma. Maker &Ramsey's International Star (8-1) should provide value attempting to gain bona fides as dirt stake horse with inside stalking trip under hustling Mena. Owner/Trainer won this event a year ago with Vicar's in Trouble. Team Valor paid big money for Savoy Stomp who ships from Florida for Pletcher and gets Lasix and Mike Smith..

Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 International Star 8-1 WON ($20.40)
Next Best: #11 Eagle 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Savoy Stomp 8-1 5th


<$75 P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 4-9 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 5-10 (A), 9 (B), 7-11 (C)
11: 2 (A), 1-6-11 (B), 4-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $74.00 (With $1 for All A's & A's with One B tickets; $59.00 if all for .50)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 9 with 2 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,9 with 2 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 9 with 2 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 5,9 with 5,10 with 1,6,11 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 9 with 1,6,11 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2 with 5,10 with 2 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1,3,4 with 5,10 with 2 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 3,7 with 2 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 2 with 5,10 with 4,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $74.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/15

OAKLAWN PARK

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (.50 P4, .50 P3)

Most Likely: #3 Attain 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #10 Be a Hero 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Zip N Run 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Paganol 8-1 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (.50 P3)

Clunky-looking set of 3yo maidens, many stretching out for the first time. There's a dearth of obvious speed involved and it's possible that Holiday Man (12-1) could get away early and wire a suspect group that appears littered with closing sprinters. Coming off best year of his career, cagey OK-TX circuit conditioner JR Caldwell sends NY-bred First Place Flirt (20-1) in this spot. Generally excellent with firsters, Caldwell is slightly stronger sprinting them for their debuts. This Warrior's Reward colt may ultimately want grass being out of Robert Tiller's multiple turf sprint stake winner Velvet Snow, herself a daughter of MG1W Subordination (Klaravich/Sciacca). But First Place Flirt is going to be a big price, has a long uninterrupted series of drills for this and may not have to be particularly special to gain a money slot..

Best Value: #9 Holiday Man 12-1 WON ($22.60)
Next Best: #1 Perfectly 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 First Place Flirt 20-1 11th
Super Add: #2 American Road 5-1 9th


8th: 37th Dixie Belle, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Promise Me Silver looks to have ideal position right behind fast pace. Wins with anything close to terrific Letellier effort in Nola..

Most Likely: #6 Promise Me Silver 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #9 Sarah Sis 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Empressive Humor 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Toutsie Rules 4-1 8th


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f

Nice to have Billy Gowan and Ride On Curlin back for his 4yo debut. Doesn't 'have' to win here at short number and away since Belmont easing. With so many coming off layoffs -- including Z Big Apple who only missed all of his 3yo & 4yo seasons -- think you want someone 'in form'. Plenty Elusive (8-1) may be a cut beneath classiest ones here, but seems to generally run his race and should be in good stalking spot no matter how the pace unfolds..

Most Likely: #7 Plenty Elusive 8-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Well Mannered 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Ride On Curlin 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Ali's Birthday 9-2 2nd


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 3 (A), 6-10 (B), 5-8-12 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), 2-3-5-11 (B), 7-10-12 (C)
8: 6 (A), 9 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $71.00 (With All A's & All A's with One B for $1) Note: All for .50 = $57 investment)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 6 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6,10 with 1,9 with 6 with 3,7 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 2,3,5,11 with 6 with 3,7 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 9 with 3,7 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 6 with 1,6 - $4.00 $1.00 Pick-4 (2,3,4/9/3,6,8/2,6) Paid $234.70

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,3,5,11 with 6 with 3,7 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 1,9 with 9 with 3,7 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 1,9 with 6 with 1,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,3,5,11 with 9 with 3,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,3,5,11 with 6 with 1,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 9 with 1,6 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8,12 with 1,9 with 6 with 3,7 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7,10,12 with 6 with 3,7 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 4,7,10 with 3,7 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,9 with 6 with 5,9 - $2.00

Total: $71.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/10

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 29th Hal's Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Lea and Golden Lad return here providing intrigue to short field renewal of this Donn prep. Valid's lay-it-down effort versus Liam's Map would be good enough to win here provided Lea doesn't come back with the kind of performance he offered winning last year's Donn. That's unlikely given Mott's style, but it still leaves Golden Lad (been working with Commissioner) eligible to tangle with the Vitali-Bocachica 5yo who has generally reacted after turning in biggest tries..

Most Likely: #2 Golden Lad 2-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Lea 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Valid 5-2 4th


8th: 17th Marshua's River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent group for this and Chad Brown 'first NA' invader Summer Moon looms large. Defending winner Parranda returns to Florida in debut for Clement and emergent owners China Horse Club. Strike Charmer and Pappascat were 1-2 in the Cardinal and reassemble for their 5yo seasonal bows. Fact that Davey Carroll ships over from Fair Grounds for this says Strike Charmer ready for good try and Simms' Pappascat always seems to provide value outrunning her odds. Scampering (Shug/Janney) and Skylander Girl from low profile CDN outfit not impossible..

Most Likely: #7 Summer Moon 7-2 6th
Next Best: #3 Parranda 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Pappascat 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Scampering 6-1 4th


9th: OC/N2X, F&<-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Pletcher murderous in these early season returns and Discreetly Elusive doesn't start out favored. Can stalk on Eddie Broome's rail runner More Than a Party who ran career best here 3+ weeks ago..

Most Likely: #6 Discreetly Elusive 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 More Than a Party 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #8 Boheme de Lavi 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Bureau de Change 8-1 3rd


10th: 62nd Fort Lauderdale (G2), 4+, 8.5f-T/60' (DD)

Deep, contentious group with what figures to be an honest pace opening up eligibility for honors to easily half the field, or more. Of the shorter prices, Mshawish (4-1), Lochte (6-1) and Mosler (8-1) appear the most likely with Za Approval (5-2) and Mutin (5-1) needing to work out trips from wide berths. Of the value players, Silver Freak and Grand Tito -- both 15-1 -- look worthwhile inclusions with Grand Tito figuring to get a better scenario under Lezcano. Tough test for your multi-race budget..

Best Value: #7 Grand Tito 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Mshawish 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #11 Za Approval 5-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Lochte 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5g-T/60' (Super Hi-5)

Challenging finale with 5 first time starters including well pedigreed Songbook and Killer Partner. There are 4 making surface changes as well and sharp-working Vandelita out of a Kingmambo mare has the look of stalk and finish upsetter..

Best Value: #7 Vandelita 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Presto Magic 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Songbook 5-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Wilshire Heir 12-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Killer Partner 7-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 1-3 (B), 6 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 9 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-5-7-8 (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-6-12 (C)
11: 7 (A), 2 (B), 3-5-8-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $63
Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,4/3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $116.70 (5OF5)
$0.50 Pick-5 (1,4/3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $3.40 (4OF5)



P4 Grid:

8: 3-7 (A), 9 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-4-5-7 (C)
10: 3-7 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-6-12 (C)
11: 2-7 (A), 3-10 (B), 5-8 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $84
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/1/3,13,14/2) Paid $90.15



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 15th Sham (G3), 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

People may be lining up to try and beat Calculator, but if he's healthy and close to his G1 stakes tries v. American Pharoah, he'll drown this group..

Most Likely: #7 Calculator 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Rockinaten 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Unblunted 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Hero Ten All 4-1 6th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Anytime Anyplace 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Kenjisstorm 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Battle of Evermore 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Ultra Sharp 12-1 5th


8th: 78th San Pasqual (G2), 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Hoppertunity has come back strong out of Clark win per National Turf and is certainly the one to beat. Plenty of options if you want to spread or stand against including players from dangerous Lobo (30-1 Baccelo) and Hess (12-1 Blue Tone)..

Most Likely: #2 Hoppertunity 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Baccelo 30-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Blue Tone 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Quadrivium 6-1 7th


9th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Weakish looking $25k group. Gab Power SCR'D for me if he gets in. After that, it's a bunch of suspects..

#1 Compari a very late SCR..

Most Likely: #8 Snowday 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Sheer Talent 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Fighting On 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Urban Hunter 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Super/Hi-5: #10 Meydan Magic 6-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 7 (A), 3 (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 1-3-7 (A), 2-8-9 (B), 4-11 (C)
8: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-10-11 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $77
Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/9/2/2) Paid $83.95

 

  


SANTA ANITA RESULTS 1/4

POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$392k P5 C/O starts here..

Inside/outside runners look like only ready cross-outs. #'s 2-6 all have degrees of eligibility. KD/Powell look like controlling speed with returnee No Contigency (7-2), while Oligarch the other candidate for front end responsibilites.

Most Likely: #7 No Contingency 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 McKenzies Way 6-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #5 When We Met 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Oligarch 4-1 3rd


2nd: MSW, 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Ideally a spot to go narrow and here the inside/outside players look a notch above the rest with Sadler's War Destiny looking improved in the mornings off the November debut..

Most Likely: #8 War Destiny 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Logan's Moon 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Moonlight Meeting 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Wade 4-1 6th


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Brad Free relays that All Star Bub was private purchase moved to Dorf. Should improve and already jumped forward in first dirt try. Suva broke MDN on grass but may be a better dirt horse..

Most Likely: #6 All Star Bub 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Suva Harbor 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Olivia's Greatdane 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Miss Mandate 4-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$82k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Metaboss 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #12 Air Nashoba 9-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Pretentious 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Stuffed Animal 5-1 DNF-Pulled Up


5th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Kill Shot 7-5 WIN ($3.80)
Next Best: #7 Memphis 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 He's On His Toes 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Willie B Awesome 4-1 DNF-Refused


<$100 P5 Grid:

1: 2-7 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 8 (A), 1 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-10 (B), 6 (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $95
Simple (A+B): 5x2x1x5x4 = 200 x .50 = $100

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5,6 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 6,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 1 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 3,4,10 with 3,4 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 1,3,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 6 with 6,7 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $95.00


$75 P4 Grid:

2: 1-8 (A), - (B), 2-6-7 (C)
3: 6 (A), 1-4 (B), 3 (C)
4: 7-12 (A), 3-4-6-10 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 3-4 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $72 (With $1 all 'A' play)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 3,4,6,10 with 6,7 - $16.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1,4 with 7,12 with 3,4 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 3,4,6,10 with 3,4 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,7 with 6 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 3 with 7,12 with 6,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 6 with 7,12 with 5 - $2.00

Total: $72.00

 

 


RESULTS 12/31 

Will be a challenge to duplicate the walk-off home run of 12/31/13, but the circumstances are eerily similar as we come to the year end. After a largely middling season of play in 2013, the $12k+ P6/P4 scores tipped the balance sheet in a positive direction and I could use the same heroics today to finish the year even or better. Today's sequence feels more difficult than the one on New Year's Eve last, but 'must pay' means 'must play'!

I hope everyone is enjoying the holiday season and had a good year playing the horses. It was a pretty dramatic season overall that saw positive momentum steadily build and the pieces appear in place for 2015 to be another excellent year for the game despite what naysayers and brickbatters try to tell you. Warm wishes to Derby Trailers, ATR listeners, Dee Tee partners and industry stakeholders and their families for a bountiful New Year filled with health and contentment..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Inca Saint 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Empower 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Speeding Comet 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Super Add: #8 My Name Is Michael 6-1 5th


5th: Bay Ridge-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Carameaway 3-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Miss Da Point 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Storied Lady 8-1 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Flipcup 7-2 9th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Have had a bit of a trying year as a Stable in 2014 with a 20/1-2-3 mark going into the start by William'sluckygray here. The on track performance was highlighted by the terrific outcome involved in the claim of and win by Pretension, but was muted by limited, injury-marred campaigns from One Revolution, Corybant and My Pal of Pals. The lowest point came mid-year with the unfair death of the beautiful Disco Rico colt produced by My Nina Rose. 2015 hopefully dawns well however with our Dunkirk filly running today, My Beholder back training in Florida, Ausable Chasm's lovely Macho Uno yearling filly, a beautiful Artie Schiller 2yo filly and more. Thanks to all the partners and casual Stable fans for their support as Dee Tee continues to try and help introduce people to the game. And of course another note of gratitude to Gary Sciacca, Chuck Simon and Mike Lecesse and their teams who make any success possible..

Most Likely: #9 Kleptocrat 6-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Marriedtomichael 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Jubilant Vision 2-1 2nd
Exotics UseL: #10 William'sluckygray 20-1 8th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Sheriffa obviously horse to beat but giving Graceful Gal another chance on main track..

Most Likely: #1 Sheriffa 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Graceful Gal 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Kate Is a Ten 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Swift Taylor 12-1 7th


8th: Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Outstanding season-ending stake with highly accomplished state bred males looking to close out '14 with a bang..

Most Likely: #3 Effinex 7-2: J. Jerkens' Mineshaft colt looks to end great year for barn.. 4th
Best Value: #4 Readbytheline 9-2: Can wire this but hasn't been past 1m in 13 months.. 7th
Next Best: #1 Big Business 5-2: Tremendous campaign but placing more than winning.. WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Awesome Vision 4-1: Loves the strip; Couldn't have been better in prep.. 6th


9th: NY-MCLM-$25k, 2yo, 1m

Oooph.. Tough way to end sequence and annum with a murky group of about-to-be 3yo's. Stretchouts, Lasix, blinkers, Rudy Rod firster. Likely need to use as many as you can afford..

Most Likely: #2 Black Friday Rush 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Rockjaz 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Shamaley Late SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Meetinghouse Road 8-1 5th


$152 P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), 4-5-8 (B), 3 (C)
5: 1 (A), 8-10 (B), 4-5 (C)
6: 9 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4-7-8-10 (C)
7: 1 (A), 6 (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 3 (A), 4 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 2 (A), 7/SCR-8 (B) 1-5-6 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $152


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 5-9 (A), 2 (B), 1-4-7-8-10 (C)
7: 1 (A), 6 (B), 2-4 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 1-2 (B), 5-8 (C)
9: 2-8 (A), 1-7/SCR (B), 5-6 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $68.00 (All A's for $1)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

 

 

 

 

SANTA ANITA 12/27 RESULTS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$146k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Tigah 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Sizzlin' Joe 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Trelawny 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Jomelo 4-1 6th


5th: 1st Midnight Lute (G3), 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This may not look like much at first glance, but it's a very nice group and Secret Circle may not be as easy a P6 single as one might think. Bahamian Squall, returning 3yo Bolita Boyz, Seeking the Sherif and Distintiv Passion are all within striking range of the Baffert favorite and can win should he falter. While Secret Circle has run well in all of his '14 starts, (and is certainly the likeliest winner), remember that he hasn't been won since the '13 BC Sprint..

Most Likely: #6 Secret Circle 4-5 4th
Best Value: #3 Bolita Boyz 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Distinctiv Passion 4-1 WON ($15.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Bahamian Squall 8-1 6th


6th: 20th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent assembly of juvenile turf talent with all eyes on big buzz colt Bolo from Carla Gaines. Post no bargain though for Temple City colt and he's sure to face pace pressure from the bell. Developing stalker-closer Willing to Travel (12-1) is a big number and will get a set up while saving ground under Bejarano. Obviously after opening day success, feels like Hollendorfer may fire on all cylinders out of the gate..

Best Value: #1 Willing to Travel 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Daddy D T 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Bolo 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #9 Soul Driver 12-1 2nd


7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Dancinthenightaway 9-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #10 Sayes So 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Mum's Truckee 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Sky Mega 6-1 5th


8th: 47th Bobby Frankel (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD)

Treacherous spot with highly suspect pace picture. 9f seems beyond Kathleen Rose's range, but other than Blingismything, who is going to apply pressure? Lady of Gold has closed into moderate paces before and may be the right one to look towards as a key. Aforementioned Blingismything could inherit lead too and be the one to catch late at a nice number. Very difficult spot..

Most Likely: #5 Lady of Gold 8-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Blingismything 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Lady Pimpernel 5-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #12 Aquafria 12-1 9th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Potentially important MDN route with serious pedigree players like Cyrus Alexander (Super Saver half), River District (Via Villaggio half), Prospect Park (Proposed half), etc..

Most Likely: #5 Cyrus Alexander 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Force 12-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Prospect Park 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #2 River District 20-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Nob Hill 12-1 6th


<$200 P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), 1-12 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 11 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3 (B), 11-12 (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-11 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $194
Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x2x3x1 = 54 x $2 = $108


<$60 P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 11 (B), 5-6-9 (C)
7: 5 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3-11-12 (B), 2-4-6-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4-11 (B), 2-6 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $56.50
Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x3 = 90 x $.50 = $45 $0.50 Pick-4 (7,8,11/1,4,5,11/1,3,9,10/11) Paid $46.65

 


 


SANTA ANITA -- OPENING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Seemingly well-matched group of MDN's, most with experience, and a firster in Micks Miracle that hints at buzz based on Jon White's 4-1 ML. Notable that Passinaflash, Ideal and Blue Harbor exit races involving Dortmund and Firing Line, with Passinaflash managing to face both. Thankful this isn't already treacherous late P4..

Best Value: #11 Ideal 8-1
Next Best: #4 Steam Play 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Iancol 5-1
Super Add: #9 Passinaflash 8-1


5th: OC/C, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

SCR of Press Baron leaves this utterly up for grabs..

Most Likely: #3 Mal Verde 3-1
Best Value: #7 Christopher Street 5-1
Next Best: #9 Bench Light 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Husband's Folly 5-1


6th: 42nd La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

There's just too much speed signed up here to accept the short number on Taris. Stalking Marylou (6-1) and turnback Jojo Warrior (4-1) look like the right late arrivals..

Most Likely: #10 Jojo Warrior 4-1
Best Value: #3 Thank You Marylou 6-1
Next Best: #1 Taris 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Stonetastic 4-1


7th: 15th Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

A lot of sophomores in this that really like to win and enough confirmed frontrunners to anticipate waves of contenders.. Think you're obliged to try and beat Heart to Heart with many prices within range..

Most Likely: #10 Long On Value 5-1
Next Best: #7 Heart to Heart 5-2
Best Value: #12 Talco 10-1
Exotics Use: #9 Home Run Kitten 6-1


8th: 63rd Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD)

While there are 'fast' players here, as opposed to La Brea, they aren't as lead-adamant. Baffert quartet appear poised to enter turn as superfecta leaders. Shared Belief will be very short but is the class of the field and wins if at his best..

Most Likely: #8 Shared Belief 4-5
Best Value: #6 Midnight Hawk 6-1
Next Best: #2 Chitu 4-1
Exotics Use: #3 Indianapolis 6-1


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Scattagirl 6-1
Best Value: #1 Rue de Cry 12-1
Next Best: #8 Paulina's Love 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Indian Princess 6-1
Hi-5 Play: #7 Foolish Ways 3-1


$75 P4 Grid:

6: 3-10 (A), 1 (B), 7-9 (C)
7: 7-10 (A), 12 (B), 2-4-5-9-11 (C)
8: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 8-9 (B), 7-10 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $75
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 8 with 1,5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 8,9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 7 with 8 with 1,5 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 6,10 with 8 with 8,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 2,3,6 with 1,5 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 7 with 8 with 8,9 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 2,3,6 with 8,9 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 6,10 with 8 with 1,5 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,4,5,9,12 with 8 with 1,5 - $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 5 with 1,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 6,10 with 8 with 7,10 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


Good luck!
Steve 

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/20


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7.5f-T/24' (P4, P3, DD)

Battle Red long overdue for diploma but what is going to be different today? Any number of candidates eligible to interfere with him here..

Best Value: #1 Mr Moneypants 15-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Battle Red 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Little Baltar 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Totzke 20-1 10th


8th: 40th Tropical Park Derby, 3yo, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Terrific betting affair with few easy toss-outs. Pace looks square..

Best Value: #12 Cabo Cat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Daddy's Kid 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Morning Calm 20-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Other Cheek 4-1 7th


9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 11.5f-T/24' (DD)

Most Likely: #12 Yari 3-1 9th
Next Best: #13 Jonrah 4-1 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #1 Belisarius 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Street Game 10-1 5th


10th: 26th Tropical Park Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Party Now 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dancing House 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Sumba Sunset 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Granny Mc's Kitten 6-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Pink Poppy 20-1 6th


$65 P4 Grid:

7: 1-12 (A), 9 (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 12 (A), 2-8-11 (B), 5-6-9-10-13 (C)
9: 12 (A), 1-13 (B), 3-7-9-10 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), 6-12 (C)

Simple A/B (3x4x3x4 x .50): $72
Full A/B/C: $65

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 12 with 2,4 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 12 with 12 with 2,4 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,8,11 with 12 with 2,4 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 1,13 with 2,4 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 12 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 2,8,11 with 12 with 2,4 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 12 with 1,13 with 2,4 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 12 with 12 with 7,9 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,8,11 with 1,13 with 2,4 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,8,11 with 12 with 7,9 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 1,13 with 7,9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 12 with 12 with 2,4 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 5,6,9,10,13 with 12 with 2,4 - $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 3,7,9,10 with 2,4 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 12 with 12 with 6,12 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/13 
 


AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky start to quad with firsters from Jerkens & KMc and many within range that are coming off breaks, surface switches, et al..

Most Likely: #3 Wundahoeigothere 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 D' Kennesaw Cat 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Harp N Halo 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Skidmore 5-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Chapman 5-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Duval 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Oltre' Oro 3-1 WON ($9.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Spartiatis 12-1 2nd


8th: 109th Queens County, 3+, 9f (DD)

Nice group for this. Concerned from pace standpoint that if Plainview doesn't confront 15-1 Pletcher veteran Percussion, that one could wire. As long as there are honest fractions, Elnaawi (6-1), Vyjack (5-2), Stormin Monarcho (3-1) and the Repole entry (7-2) all demand respect. Blinkered Turco Bravo (10-1) has recent race that give him outside shot. Fun race..

Most Likely: #2 Elnaawi 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Stormin Monarcho 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Percussion 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Turco Bravo 10-1 5th


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #3 Moonlight Fantasy 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Warm Heart 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Senso 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Lexsoya SCR


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 3-9 (A), 5-7-8-10 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 8 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-5-8-9 (C)
9: 3 (A), 9 (B), 4-10-12 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $73.00
Simple (A+B): 6x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 2,6 with 3 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 7 with 3 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 8 with 2,6 with 3 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 7 with 3 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,10 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 9 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 7 with 3 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 8 with 2,6 with 9 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 7 with 9 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 3 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 2,3,6 with 2,6 with 3 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 1,5,8,9 with 3 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,7 with 2,6 with 4,10,12 - $12.00

Total: $73.00



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 1m-T/84' (P4, P3, DD)

Some very obvious players (3-6-8-9-14) but a few (5-11-12) under the radar with real chance..

Best Value: #11 Umberto 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Escondido 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Majestic Z 10-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Amazon King 9-2 4th


8th: 3rd El Prado, 3+, 7.5f-T/12' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mshawish 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #8 Midnight Cello 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Excaper 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Strong Impact 10-1 8th


9th: 4th Harlan's Holiday, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Liam's Map 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Csaba 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Valid 3-12nd
Exotics Use: #4 Pants On Fire 2-1 3rd


10th: 10th South Beach, F&M-3+, 7.5f-T/12' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Mabre Rose 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #1 Baffle Me 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Sassy Kitten 7-2 -
Exotics Use: #11 Tokyo Time 4-1 -
Super/Hi-5: #2 Red Minx 20-1 4th


<$75 P4 Grid:

7: 8-11 (A), 3-5-9-14 (B), 6-12 (C)
8: 7 (A), 1-8-9 (B), 3-6-11 (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 2-4-5-11 (B), 7-9 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $68.00 (With All A's for $1) $1.00 Pick-4 (8/4,5,7/1,8/6) Paid $206.80
Simple (A+B): 6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 1,6 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 1,6 - $12.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,9,14 with 7 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 1,8,9 with 8 with 2,4,5,11 - $12.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,12 with 7 with 8 with 1,6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 3,6,11 with 8 with 1,6 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 2,4,6,7 with 1,6 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,11 with 7 with 8 with 7,9 - $2.00

Total: $68.00



LOS ALAMITOS RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: 34th Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Always a good final G1 for 2yo fillies, this first Los Al running of the Starlet carries Championship implications given circumstances around Take Charge Brandi. Her presence also makes it a terrific wagering opportunity as she will be heavily bet and is not notably ahead of the rest of the cast on paper. But if Take Charge Brandi goes unmolested in the first half of the race, she'll likely wire this. Key to beating the Lukas-Horton chestnut will be early challenge from Don't Blame Me and/or Feathered or others. Hollendorfer stretch-out Achiever's Legacy can be forward if Van Dyke wants to gain position from the rail off the break and emergent Baffert-Bejarano Maybellene might also want to go with the favorite from her outside. All of this adds up to standing against Take Charge Brandi with an eye toward her or any stretch leader being particularly vulnerable to Danette. The ideal money-making scenario will be to hope the East to West ship doesn't suit Feathered, as keeping her and Take Charge Brandi out of the money would supercharge the exotics..

Best Value: #3 Danette 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Achiever's Legacy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Majestic Presence 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Maybellene 5-1 3rd


 

 


 

RESULTS 12/6
 


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/72' (P3, DD)

First of season and card that includes 8 eye-crossing fields of 14 and 2 of 10. Favored Costenia on a roll since modest maiden break at Spa and draw perfectly for up close stalking trip. No shortage of well-priced alternatives including some posted outside, who have better opportunity when the rails are set wide (note 72' configuration) than when the 'inner' half of course is employed (as it is in the 2nd)..

Most Likely: #2 Costenia 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #10 Workerbee 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Cash For Ever 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Market Magic 12-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Takethedoeandrun 8-1 14th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T/0' (P4, P3, DD)

Strawbridge mare Dynamic Cat (Dynaformer) has dropped stakes winners (Cat's Holiday; Appealing Cat; Dynamic Holiday) with alacrity and Cat Humor (Distorted Humor) has every opportunity to kick start career here getting turf debut at a nice number; Highly logical Red Guard (Bernardini) is a half to Summer Front (War Front) and Laragh (Tapit), but note that he had been intended to run in NY last week and only just shipped down to FL. Horses who have acclimated off the North to South ship generally have an advantage; 'Win early' trainer Nicks adds blinkers (21%, $1.15) to Novak (Sky Mesa) in that one's 2nd career start (20%, $1.46) and first on turf (15%, $2.70); Clement's More Front (War Front) shipped to FL early and got a Calder start in ahead of this; Pletcher debuts Confidant (Street Boss) here whose half brother Dawly (!) shows up in the CC Jewel to end the day. Pletcher also gets Flight to Quality (Speightstown) on the turf in this event with a right to like the surface as his unraced dam Forever After (Sadler's Wells) is a half sister to the likes of Meteor Storm (2004 Manhattan & MG1P) and Polish Summer (2004 Sheema Classic & MG1P)..

Best Value: #1 Cat Humor 20-1 6th
Logical Favorite: #9 Red Guard 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Novak 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Confidant 6-1 10th
Super Add: #13 Flight to Quality 6-1 11th


3rd: CC Iron Horse, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

First of 8 impossibly difficult puzzles and will start by looking elsewhere than 5-2 fave Gimmeadrink whose best on dirt won't beat several here..

Most Likely: #6 J B's Unc 4-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value:#7 Feisty Albert 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Francois 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Double Judge 30-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Gimmeadrink 5-2 9th


4th: CC Express, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

To steal a paraphrase from Edward G. Robinson in Little Caesar, "Is this the end of Ribo?". Hard to lean on hard knocker, even in return to more appropriate company..

Most Likely: #5 Blings Express 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Ribo Bobo 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Frontier Warrior 9-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Loverbill 15-1 WON ($16.80)
Super Add: #10 Disarm 6-1 6th


5th: CC Tiara, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/72' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

What to do with '13 Tiara runner up Rock On Baby, who hasn't been seen since -- wait for it -- last year's Tiara? Dun Won jumps off the page for me having been competitive across the turnpike in the Cellars Shiraz versus next out GSW Daring Kathy. Will be interesting to see if 10-1 ML holds..

Best Value: #7 Dun Won 10-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Flamingo Lane 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Tippie Tap 20-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Rock On Baby 15-1 2nd
Must Include: #6 Wild Swava 3-1 3rd


$60 P4 Grid:

2: 1-9 (A), 3-6-13 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 6 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-9 (C)
4: 5 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-8-10 (C)
5: 4-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-6 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $60 (All .50)
Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x4 = 180 x .50 = $90


6th: CC Glass Slipper, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Behavior 9-2 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #14 Rebecca's Surprise 7-2 7th
Best Value: #13 Courtney Ryan 5-1 12th
Exotics Use: #8 Claiming Victory 8-1 14th
Super Add: #9 Pebble Beach Baby 5-1 3rd


7th: CC Canterbury, 3+, 5f-T/72' (P4, P3, DD)

Serious set of turf sprinters for this including graded stakes performer Mr Online. Option abound though.. "Candygram for Mongo?"

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Online 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Mongolian Saturday 15-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Mongol Bull 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Amerlia's Wild Ride 15-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Moonwalker 20-1 7th


8th: CC Rapid Transit, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Grande Shores 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #10 Monty Haul 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Stallwalkin' Dude 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Goodtimehadbyall 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Fundit 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (11-4) Paid $25.20
$1 Trifecta (11-4-10) Paid $166.40
$1 Superfecta (11-4-10-7) Paid $674.70



9th: CC Emerald, 3+, 8.5f-T/0' (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Dreams Cut Short 10-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Longhunter 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 El Jefe Grande 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #13 Saffron Hall 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #12 Lasso 30-1 11th


10th: CC Jewel, 3+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Superb finale to numbingly deep day..

Most Likely: #8 He's So Fine 5-1 13th
Best Value: #10 Viramundo 20-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Dawly 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Paige McKenna 9-2 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Cerro 4-1 3rd


$73 P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), 14 (B), 2-8-9-13 (C)
7: 3 (A), 2-13 (B), 1-4-5-6-9-14 (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-4-8 (C)
9: 9-11 (A), 7-13 (B), 2-12 (C)
10: 8 (A), 10 (B), 1-2-3-5-11-12 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $73 (All .50)
Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


$68 P4 Grid:

7: 3 (A), 2-13 (B), 1-4-5-6-9-14 (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-4-8 (C)
9: 9-11 (A), 7-13 (B), 2-12 (C)
10: 8 (A), 2-10-12 (B), 1-3-5-11 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $68 (All .50)
Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Man of Mystery 5th
Next Best: #11 Groupthink 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Curious Cal WON ($8.50)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Salisbury Knight 2-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #10 Spider Roll 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Adam's Note 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Spinning for Home 8-1 5th


8th: 29th Garland of Roses, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Winning Image 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Willet 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Hushion entry 7-2 5th/6th
Best Value: #8 Sounds of the City 8-1 4th


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 2yo, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Fit to Keep 5-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Worbothor 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can't Catch Jack 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Jacopo 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 B. B.'s Remington 6-1 WON ($6.00)


$63.50 P4 Grid:

6: 8-11 (A), 7-12 (B), 1 (C)
7: 2 (A), 10 (B), 4-5-6-7-8 (C)
8: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 3-7-8 (A), 4-5-11 (B), 1-9 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $63.50 (All .50)
Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

DEL MAR RESULTS 11/30


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Lucky J Lane 6-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Christopher Street 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Press Baron 9-2 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #13 Tigah 5-1 3rd


5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Yes Yes Yes 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #7 Relative Time 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 He's a Bling 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Spring Action 3-1 3rd


6th: 32nd Cecil B. DeMille (G3), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Rock Shandy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Conquest Typhoon 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Papacoolpapacool 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 St. Joe Bay 6-1 4th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Ferocious 5-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Rolling Fog 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Midnight Hawk 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Syndicated 6-1 4th


8th: 33rd Matriarch (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

La Tia has the pace edge up front but Discreet Marq can be kept close. Strathnaver and emerging Queen of The Sand will have to move on a timely basis to get to them..

Most Likely: #3 La Tia 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #5 Discreet Marq 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Strathnaver 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Queen of The Sand 9-2 2nd


9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Last race ever on the DMR poly! Favored Firing Line a likely winner but there's some interesting sidebars lined up here including Big Hat Charlie, Indian Charlie rig out of famed Macoumba (dam of Malibu Moon & Parker's Storm Cat) making a 2nd start for Bonde. Captain G bows from Petey Miller and Rockingham and is a Colonel John sired half to Da'Tara (!). Rockport Harbor bay Blue Harbor (Hess/Rosario) may need more experience and ground, but was noted by Harrington as a real runner..

Most Likely: #4 Firing Line 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Big Hat Charlie 8-1 -
Best Value: #13 Just Kidding 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Ideal 12-1 4th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Blue Harbor 5-1 -


$184 P6 Grid:

4: 5 (A), 3-10 (B), 13 (C)
5: 3 (A), 1-7 (B), 4 (C)
6: 7 (A), 9-10 (B), 1-2-8 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), 8 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
8: 3 (A), 2-5 (B), 1 (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

$2 Pick-6 (3/3/3,6,10/3/3/4,12,14) Paid $89.80 (5OF6)


$62 P4 Grid:

6: 7-10 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-8 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), 5-8 (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), 2 (B), 1 (C)
9: 4 (A), 9 (B), 3-8-13 (C)

$62 with $1 All A's; $0.50 all other combos..

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,6,10/3/3/4,12,14) Paid $123.20


 

 

 

 

RESULTS 11/29

 

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 71st Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 West Coast Belle 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #3 I'm a Chatterbox 20-1 4th
Next Best: #2 No Fault of Mine 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Heart's Song 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $13.20
$1 Trifecta (8-2-6) Paid $104.90
$1 Superfecta (8-2-6-3) Paid $838.90



10th: OC/N1X, 1m, 2yo (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Dortmund 5-2 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #2 Silver Ride 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Jack Tripp 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Bottom Line 12-1 6th


11th: 88th KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Lord Nelson 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 El Kabeir 7-2 WON ($16.60)
Best Value: #1 Sky Hero 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Eagle 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Flashaway 15-1 6th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Tale of Verve 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bravo Charlie 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Curlino 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Pro Daddy 8-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Mr Moneypants 12-1 7th

$1 Exacta (9-5) Paid $80.50
$1 Trifecta (9-5-7) Paid $544.50



P4 Grid:

9: 2-3-8 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
10: 12 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-11 (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8-11 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-3-10 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/12/5/9,13,14,15,16) Paid $60.40


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

As good a Pick 4 sequence as you'll see with 3 terrific stakes and this wildly well-matched ALW field to start it. Likely need to spend more than typical quad budget, but should be well worth it. Pace looks assured with fave Pulling G's having to go from inside with Celebrated Talent setting upon him immediately and Waco pressing up close. After the obvious players, stalking-closing prices 12-1 Soldier Inthe Rain (1st off move to B. Brown, adds Lasix), 15-1 Bernardo (Runs well fresh, 5/1-1-1 on AQU main) and 12-1 All My Memories (Dangerous Servis/Mr Amore barn, turns back from mile try) all have chance. Charlie Baker's Joking (8-1) gets class tested in return to ALW company, but has won his last two (S/ALW & $35k/N2L) and probably sits a nice trip while 4th early. Only 30-1 Howl looks without chance..

Most Likely: #1 Pulling G's 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Waco 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Soldier Inthe Rain 12-1 WON ($20.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Bernardo 15-1 5th


8th: 93rd Demoiselle (G2), 2yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Todd Pletcher (Angela Renee) looks for an eye-crossing 4th straight Demoiselle, but dreadful BCup follow up to crystalline Chandelier leaves lingering impression. Expect she'll be right and ready for good effort at 9f trip she should enjoy, noting her full brother To Honor and Serve won '10 Remsen. Unusual to begin with that Bobby Ribaudo produces 'win early' type, but modestly procured Quezon ($90k, F-T SAR-NY '13 yearling) looks like authentic talent and adds Lasix for 3rd career start. Should sit ideal trip behind the speed and can earn Manny Franco his first graded stakes win..

Best Value: #3 Quezon 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Angela Renee 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Condo Commando 5-1 WON ($5.10)
Super Add: #5 Gap Year 4-1 6th


9th: 101st Remsen (G2), 2yo, 9f (DD)

Over the last decade, this event has been regularly dominated by odds-on types with $16.80 O' Prado Again the lone exception in 2011. The majority of those runnings had smallish fields, so this edition looks open to price considerations with a full gate and the 3 favorites all posted wide. That said, both KMc runners (#12 Frosted/3-1; #10 Classy Class/7-2) command respect with Frosted (Tapit o/o personal favorite Fast Cookie) preferred adding Lasix off MDN breakthrough when stretched to 1m. Needs to work out a trip obviously but is the horse to beat. Two first start MSW winners (Royal Burgh/12-1; Eh Cumpari/15-1) look poised to impact this with the former debuting at 8.5f at KEE and the latter on this strip 3 weeks ago. 50-1 Bodhisattva is an ideal exotics booster having broken his MDN in his lone two turn try in 5 outings. Use as many as possible to assure passage to the nightcap..

Most Likely: #12 Frosted 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Royal Burgh 12-1 11th
Best Value: #7 Eh Cumpari 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Keen Ice 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bodhisattva 50-1 5th


10th: 26th Cigar Mile H. (G1), 3+, 1m

Superb lineup for this final G1 of the NY year. Looking back at 2013 version, easy to see how Private Zone was able to perform so admirably with the softer opening quarters versus the BC Sprint. Is in arguably better form this time around and can wire given what looks like a moderate pace. Itsmyluckyday is headed to the breeding shed and you wouldn't think Spendthrift would send him off on a sour note. Has worked steadily since dull Kelso effort and should sit his up close trip at a decent price. Big Business never runs a bad race, has a distinct predilection for this surface (5/4-1-0)and is the right price upset candidate for me given ability to attend pace and finish. Great way to end a big day..

Most Likely: #2 Itsmyluckyday 5-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Big Business 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Private Zone 3-1 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Regally Ready 15-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Secret Circle 2-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 6 (B), 2-4-5 (C)
9: 12 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-8-9-10-11 (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 1-6-8-9 (B), 3-4-5 (C)



HAWTHORNE RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th (6:20pm ET): Hawthorne Gold Cup (G2), 3+, 10f (DD)

As much great racing as there is today, this may be the most engaging heat of the day. Do not settle for short numbers..

Best Value: #6 Effinex 15-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Call Me George 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Fordubai 12-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Mister Mardi Gras 6-1 2nd

 

  

RESULTS 11/22


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: 8th NYSS-Staten Island, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Addition of blinks should keep Vicki's Dancer ready-to-strike proximity to pace..

Most Likely: #7 Vicki's Dancer 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #6 Sunny Desert 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Skye Saratoga 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Uncle Southern 5-1 3rd


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific wagering scenario as Honor Code (7-5) comes back here at less-than-ideal trip, meets solid cast of hard hitters and likely needs a start. Prices Royal Currier (12-1), Candyman E (20-1), Sam Sparkle (15-1) and Great Attack (12-1) ALL have merit when building exotic tickets. Pure Sensation (4-1) and comebacker Maleeh (8-1) are the major players, but not sure how I view Monster Mash off the big effort 10/24. This should be wildly entertaining..

Most Likely: #2 Maleeh 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Pure Sensation 4-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Royal Currier 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Honor Code 7-5 WON ($5.70)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 America's Guest 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Adirondack Dancer 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Asset Inflation 5-2 4th (Via DQ from 2nd)
Super Add: #9 Idle American 10-1 WON ($15.40)


8th: 8th NYSS-Thunder Rumble, 3+, 7f (DD)

Odd side note to this is fact that none of the 10 have ever won at 7f..

Most Likely: #1 West Hills Giant 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Gridley Here 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Readbytheline 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Sir Leslie 20-1 8th


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T

Nice that this stays on grass. Straight ol' $25k claimers making for a very good nightcap..

Best Value: #2 Mr Rosenthal 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cheyenne Nation 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Majestic Raffy 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Shetan 3-1 6th


$80 P4 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), 5-10 (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-5-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-9-10 (C)



DELTA DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 6th LA Jewel, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Wind Chill Factor 4-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #7 Composed SCR
Next Best: #1 Z Smoke 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Pitcher 3-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Casual Class 5-1 2nd


5th: 10th Treasure Chest, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Yahilwa 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #9 Class Included 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Kiss to Remember 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Hadassah 12-1 5th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Spring in the Air 7-2 4th


6th: 12th Delta Princess (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Danessa Deluxe 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Sharla Rae 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Vivian Da Bling 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Temper Mint Patty 8-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Take Charge Brandi 2-1 WON ($6.40)


7th: 12th Delta Jackpot (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Z 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Golden Actor 7-2 9th
Best Value: #1 Prime Engine 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Ocho Ocho Ocho 6-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #7 Red Button 12-1 7th


$75 P4 Grid:

4: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-9 (C)
5: 6 (A), 9 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-9 (A), 3-6-7 (B), 5-10 (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-10 (C)



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 41st Cardinal H. (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Tremendously compelling set of 14 with course condition a great unknown going in. They'll have to catch I'm Already Sexy..

Most Likely: #1 I'm Already Sexy 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Pappascat 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Nellie Cashman 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Strike Charmer 8-1 WON ($26.60)
Super Add: #4 Bitty Kitty 6-1 7th

 

 

 

 

AQUEDUCT RESULTS 11/19


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Socialsaul 2-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #1 Holy Invader 6-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Mia Poppy 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Matt and Jesse 10-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Sir Bond 3-1 ($5.70)
Next Best: #2 Midnight Taboo 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Street Swag 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Recanted 5-1 4th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Mama Zee 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Precious Franca 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Rosie My Way 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Make Me a Prophet 20-1 8th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Building Permit 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Bernstein Flambe 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Brockolini 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 In Spite of Mama 7-2 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Sun and Moon 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Storm Swept 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Whispering 10-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Atlantic's Smile 6-1 4th


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #14 Awesome Alex 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Battle Red 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #15 Net Gain 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Manchurian 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 High Noon Rider 4-1 WON ($16.00)


$192 P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
6: 7 (A), 5-12 (B), 3-10 (C)
7: 8 (A), - (B), 5-9-10-11 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), 7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
9: 14 (A), 6-15 (B), 2-12 (C)


$77 P4 Grid:

6: 7-12 (A), 5 (B), 3-10 (C)
7: 8 (A), 9-10 (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 4-9 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-14 (A), 2-12-15 (B), 13 (C)

 

 

 

RESULTS 9/16

  

Del Mar mayhem continued Saturday with P6 winners AVERAGING $26+ with a carryover pot of nearly $600,000 available as a result. Sequence Sunday seems more manageable than the prior pair, but it's no dropkick. Meanwhile, Jinks Fires $56.00 maiden upsetter Bo Talon helped juice the otherwise obvious P4 at Churchill and $1,091 came to poppa as a result. Hope everyone took advantage and did well. Let's get after this bonanza at DMR!


DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$599k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Tosheen 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Kozani 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Crux 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 I'vegotafeeling 4-1 4th


5th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Inexpensive group but surprisingly solid and well-matched. Very tricky 2nd leg and may need to use all of 2-4-8-9-10..

Most Likely: #9 Boss Cat 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Militant 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Smokey's Legacy 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Bitter Heat 6-1 -
Super Add: #2 Dunne for Now 8-1 4th


6th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Dangerous cheap claimer. Seems to be pacey enough for stalker-closers..

Most Likely: #4 Sir Barclay 3-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Dynamo Dixie 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Oldtimers Vision 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Mosso 6-1 7th


7th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Inclined to give 'first time Hollendorfer' Wild At Best the strong lean over the firsters (2-5-7) and modest-looking multi-time triers (4-9)..

Most Likely: #3 Wild At Best 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Radiant Journey 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Fast Magoo 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #7 No Comparison 10-1 4th


8th: Cal-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (DD)

Watch for the AE's if they get in. Maybe Dorf & Elvis again here as He's On His Toes gets first chance on surface he may like best based on heritage. Turf sprint so anything possible, but makes sense with up close drafting trip..

Best Value: #4 He's On His Toes 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Eddie's First 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Johns Journey 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Law Dog 4-1 2nd


9th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Lovely Summer 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Dr. Suer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Price of Glory 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Arctic Wolfe 12-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Swiss Silver 20-1 5th


$164 P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), 7 (B), 1-6-8 (C)
5: 9 (A), 8-10 (B), 2-4 (C)
6: 4 (A), 7 (B), 2-3-5-6-8 (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)
8: 4 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 10 (B), 2-3-4 (C)

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 8,10 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 7 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 10 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 8,10 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 9 with 7 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 10 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 8,10 with 7 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 8,10 with 4 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 8,10 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 10 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 7 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 7 with 3 with 4 with 10 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 6,7 with 10 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6,8 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $12.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,4 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 2,3,5,6,8 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $20.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 2,7,9 with 4 with 1,8 - $12.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 1,5,8 with 1,8 - $12.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 9 with 4 with 3 with 4 with 2,3,4 - $6.00

Total: $164.00


<$65 P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-8 (C)
7: 3 (A), 2-9 (B), 4-5-7 (C)
8: 4 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 2-4-10 (B), 3 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 4 with 2,4,10 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 2,9 with 4 with 1,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 3 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 3 with 4 with 2,4,10 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 6,7 with 1,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 4 with 2,4,10 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 6,7 with 2,4,10 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3 with 4 with 1,8 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 4,5,7 with 4 with 1,8 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 1,5,8 with 1,8 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3 with 4 with 3 - $1.00

Total: $63.00


Good luck!
Steve

 

 

 

RESULTS 11/15

 

LAUREL PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


Thoroughly terrific card at Laurel and the middle portion of the slate has several horses to work around at attractive prices..


4th: City of Laurel, 3yo, 7f (P3, Super Hi-5)

Cast of 14 and NY-bred Eye Luv Lulu looks prime on turnback from Empire Classic. Understand Carlos Martin trying Pollard's Vision gelding at routes but closing into sprint paces may prove out as his forte. Kellyn Gorder an assassin and Bump Start's Gallant Bob (G3) try would impact this significantly. Santana an able substitute for prego Rosie. Tim Hills has quietly had an excellent year and Griff is going to sit a beautiful inside mid-pack stalking trip at fat number..

Most Likely: #10 Eye Luv Lulu 12-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Bump Start 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Griff 15-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Souper Lucky 6-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #8 Lynx 4-1 5th

5th: Safely Kept, 3yo-F, 7f (Jackpot P5, Super Hi-5)

Hills again in this filly version, as True Romance and Bravo get to survey field from widest berth. Sprinty chestnut showed ability to stalk from outside in debut, so don't think she has to be hustled early to clear. Cherie's A.P. tried heavy heads at KEE after topping elders during 3 race skein at Chuck Town and gets Dunkelberger back for first attempt at black type. Price will be right. Contessa's Indian Charlie filly Shayjolie another that found deep water at KEE, 4th behind Taris & Co. in the Raven Run. Fits here as one of the likelies..

Most Likely: #14 True Romance 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Shayjolie 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Cherie's A.P. 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #13 My T Swift 15-1 11th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Take the Odds 5-1 6th


6th: Dickie Small, 3+, 9f (P4, Super Hi-5)

Stormin Monarcho a very likely winner here making P3 very attractive.

Most Likely: #7 STORMIN MONARCHO 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #12 Sioux 15-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Neck 'n Neck 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Beautyinthepulpit 15-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #5 Bold Curlin 12-1 7th


<$35 P3 Grid:

4: 10-12 (A), 1-4 (B), 8-11 (C)
5: 3-14 (A), 8-13 (B), 1-6-7-9 (C)
6: 7 (A), 12-13 (B), 5-6-8 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 3,14 with 7 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 8,13 with 7 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 12,13 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 8,13 with 7 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P3: 1,4 with 3,14 with 12,13 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 8,13 with 12,13 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P3: 8,11 with 3,14 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 1,6,7,9 with 7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P3: 10,12 with 3,14 with 5,6,8 - $6.00

Total: $34.00



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 11th Commonwealth Turf (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Heart to Heart 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #11 Afortable 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Captain Dixie 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Highball 10-1 4th


8th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Tapit Wicked 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bo Talon 12-1 WON ($54.00)
Next Best: #6 Tale of Beaucette 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Here Sir 12-1 5th


9th: 24th Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Sparkling Review 10-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #11 Lady Lara 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Walk Close 12-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Testa Rossi 4-1 7th


10th: MCLM/$10k, 3yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Blacklisted 7-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Colt Weston 15-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Top Priority 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Oso 8-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Bourbon Chase 4-1 6th


<$65 P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 10-11 (B), 3-9-13 (C)
8: 12 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 8-9-11 (C)
9: 4-11 (A), 1-13 (B), 6-8-9-12 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1-2-3-9-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 4 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 1,13 with 4 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 - $5.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 4 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 1,13 with 4 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 12 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 1,13 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,5,6 with 4,11 with 1,2,3,9,12 - $15.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (5,6/3/4/6,11,12,14) Paid $1,091.30
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 1,13 with 1,2,3,9,12 - $5.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9,13 with 12 with 4,11 with 4 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 8,9,11 with 4,11 with 4 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 6,8,9,12 with 4 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 12 with 4,11 with 5,6 - $2.00

Total: $64.00



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


$147k double C/O at old Del Mar and this sequence may be tougher than the 2 days previous..


4th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Some way to start this P6. The ones that 'look best', like Yes Yes Yes, Dylan Ward and Wicked Finance, are 0/27 so far and appear well on their way to becoming career maidens. Best case scenario may be that Sadler's SCR'D #13-AE Act draws in.. J Serino, Opsec, blinkered Simon Kenton all feel possible at square prices. Note first grass Simon Kenton is a full to minor SW Clear Sailing that was 2nd twice in 2 turf starts..

Most Likely: #5 Simon Kenton 5-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Opsec 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Dylan Ward 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 J Serino 6-1 9th


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Feels like 2-4-5-6-8 all need coverage..

Most Likely: #8 Memphis 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #2 Qatar's Pearl 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tribal Dude 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Industry Leader 7-2 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

May lean heavily on the Dorf 2nd timer Miss Centerfold. If not, there's 3-4 that you'll need to consider..

Most Likely: #8 Miss Centerfold 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Longstocking SCR
Next Best: #5 Prettypreciousheir 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 American Sun 8-1 WON ($21.20)


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

At least half the field looks capable on best. Hollendorfer returnee Presenceofagenius working steady and appears tractable..

Most Likely: #9 Presenceofagenius 5-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Macho Sox 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Husband's Folly 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Island Freedom 8-1 11th


8th: 33rd Bob Hope (G3), 7f (DD)

Nice little 2yo stake. Top 2 seem a cut above while next 2 have questions to answer..

Most Likely: #6 Alright Alright 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 St. Joe Bay 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Story to Tell 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Every May 15-1 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Passing Game SCR
Next Best: #4 Hadfunlastnight 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Life a Riley 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Endless Cruise 6-1 8th
Super/Hi-5: #9 Fighting On 5-1 4th


<$200 P6 Grid:

4: 3-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-4-10-11 (C)
5: 8 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-5 (C)
6: 8 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4 (C)
7: 9 (A), - (B), 2-4-6-10 (C)
8: 6 (A), 9 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), 4-8 (B), 5-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,9 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 10 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 2,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 9 with 10 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 with 6 with 4,8 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 9 with 4,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,4,10,11 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 4,5 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 2,4 with 9 with 6 with 10 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 2,4,6,10 with 6 with 10 - $16.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 2,5 with 10 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5 with 8 with 8 with 9 with 6 with 5,9 - $8.00

Total: $192.00


<$65 P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 9 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 2-12 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 2 (B), 5 (C)
9: 4-10 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 6-7 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 2 with 4,10 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 2 with 4,10 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 9 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 2 with 4,10 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,6,10 with 6,9 with 5,8,9 - $9.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 2 with 5,8,9 - $1.50

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,6 with 9 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 2,12 with 6,9 with 4,10 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 5 with 4,10 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 9 with 6,9 with 6,7 - $2.00

Total: $64.50

 

 

RESULTS 11/12

 

This set of carryover races just as treacherous as those Sunday and Monday. Pot sure to exceed $1,000,000 today and spots for narrow opinion are few. Weather should be fine so expect fast main and good turf with give to it.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Pace picture a little uncertain to me with Ausable River seemingly out early with I'm Wide Awake and Spirit of Peace the candidates to stalk up close or prompt. If they engage, the race can be run fairly and the 'class' (favored Call Wil, Sonny and Pally) will get their runs in and have every chance. War Chant 4yo Here He Fitz (8-1) returns to turf for Hertler and you can't hold him to the lone grass try in his 4th career start. Takes an authentic class drop from state bred ALW company and is real threat to start sextet off with a bang..

Best Value: #4 Here He Fitz 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Call Wil 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 George Cross 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Sonny and Pally 3-1 WON ($9.50)


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Big tix will buy the race, but smaller budgets may struggle here. Big Guy Ian came back with a strong try in October and that effort would make him likely here. But there are pace pressures to his outside , notably Billy the Bull with bug boy Izzy Rodriguez. Jimmy Jerkens' Broman 4yo Knockher Off could sit ideal trip behind whatever pace battle is unfolding..

Best Value: #4 Knockher Off 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Big Guy Ian 8-5 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Dyker Beach 2-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Billy the Bull 8-1 5th


6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Compliance Officer as good a 'single' as there's going to be in this sequence. But Street Game drawing in would open things up..

Most Likely: #5 Compliance Officer 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Jonrah 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #4 Half Wildcat 30-1 12th
Super Add: #11 I Got Id 6-1 7th


7th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Little Gidding 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Worthington Court 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 7-2 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Manhattan Gin 3-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Untiltherewasyou 4-1 3rd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Writingonthewall 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #2 Smokem's Charm 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Leilani's Ticket 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bluegrass Flash 8-1 3rd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Fulmer 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Cats Landing 20-16th
Next Best: #8 Pronunciation 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Skip the Jokes LATE SCR (Gate)
Super Add: #4 Gear Jammer 7-23rd


P6 Grid:

4: 4-6 (A), 1-11 (B), 5-9 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 5 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 7 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-4-10-13 (C)

A/B/C: $256 $2 Pick-6 (1/2/2,13,14,15,16/4/4,6/6,7,13,14,15,16) Paid $32.40 (5OF6)
A+B's: 4x4x1x3x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 2-4-11 (B), 3-6-8-10 (C)
7: 7 (A), 2-4-5-8 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-5-10-12-13 (C)

A/B/C: $55.50 $0.50 Pick-4 (2,13,14,15,16/4/4,6/6,7,13,14,15,16) Paid $45.50 x 2 = $91.00
A+B's: 4x5x3x3 = 180 x .50 = $90

 


 


 


AQUEDUCT RESULTS 11/10


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Gabby Brown 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ferzetti 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Jumelaka 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Your Turn 6-1 6th


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Grand Rapport 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Best Actor 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Media Kid 9-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Where's Danny 10-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Zoebear 2-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Back Forty 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Socialsaul 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1a Holy Invader 15-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Inchcape 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Blacktype 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Ocala Jim 7-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Storm 5-1 8th


8th: CLM, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Big Town 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Springcourt 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Regulus 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 North Ocean 9-2 7th


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #4 Flirtacious Spring 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Happy Easter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 My Four Rewards 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Barbara's Smile 8-1 4th


P6 Grid:

4: 1-2 (A), 4-5 (B), 6 (C)
5: 7 (A), 9 (B), 2-5 (C)
6: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-5-6-7 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 6 (B), 2-7-9-12 (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 5-7-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)

A/B/C: $232
A+B's: $196


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
7: 5-6-8 (A), 7-9-12 (B), 1-2-3-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 5-7 (B), 3-4-6-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C)

A/B/C: $76
A+B's: $72

 

 

 


AQUEDUCT RESULTS 11/9


4th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Big SCR of 7-5 fave Blue Shark complicates this muddled group..

Most Likely: #4 Fictionalcharacter 4-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Blue Collar Cat 6-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Majestic Guy 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Greg's Fourwheeler 8-1 3rd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Still have 8 lined up despite this coming off turf..

Most Likely: #15 Nonnie Connie 2-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Bella Kateri 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #13 La Reverie 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Scat Away 12-1 WON ($21.80)
Super Add: #1 Kimmie's Lucky Star 20-1 3rd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Persuasive Devil 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Saint Joseph 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Got Winged 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mr Harlan 5-1 4th


7th: OC, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent and interesting group with imports (War Correspondent SCR'D & Mutin) and first turf Saratoga Snacks. Tetradrachm, Sky Blazer and outposted North Star Boy all serious lawn rangers..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Tetradrachm 6-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Saratoga Snacks 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sky Blazer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Sinatra 8-1 5th


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Misszippityslewda 2-1 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Swakopmund 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Frivolity 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Guayana 5-1 2nd


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Bigger Picture 6-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Elroi 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Honor the Kitten 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Loveisheartandsoul 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Rangey 20-1 9th


P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-6-7-8 (C)
5: 15 (A), 8 (B), 1-9-13 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
7: 1 (A), 2-3-10 (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), 9-11 (C)

A/B/C = $152
A+B (2x2x3x4x1x2) = 96 x $2 = $192


P4 Grid:

6: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), 8-9-10 (B), 4 (C)
8: 2 (A), 4 (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 1-5 (A), 11 (B), 3-4-6-8-9-10 (C)

A/B/C = $66.50
A+B (3x6x2x4) = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 


GUS ALONSO'S (GREAT) SATURDAY RESULTS

 

Gulfstream Park West POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R7 - MSW 40k (Turf 2yo 7.5F)

#10 Two Step Temper (5-1) - Working well for strong debut barn. WON $9.40
#5 Prima Storm (5-2) - Draws well again for 2nd start and the stretchout is well within his range. 2ND
#1 Touchdown (12-1) - Had an interesting run in debut while still continuing to close. Saves ground and fires late.
#8 More Front (3-1) - Barn has a strong 1-2 punch here. No surprise if he's a runner at 1st asking. 4TH

R8 - Millions Classic Preview 100k

#2 Sr. Quisqueyano (30-1) - Crazy ML price on a runner that has more than enough good races to take this event. Expect him to be forwardly placed throughout.
#5 Wildcat Red (8-5) - Definitely has some back class, but must avoid dueling with the other speedsters. 2ND
#4 East Hall (3-1) - Looks to get a favorable stalking trip and is in career form. WON $6.80
#3 Schivarelli (2-1) - Ligthly raced talented runner must deal with others that want the front and be successful at two turns at low odds. 3RD

R9 - Juvenile Turf (Turf 2yo 8F)

#1 Firespike (5-1) -BEST BET No problem excusing the G1 try on dirt because he took lots of money in his grass races and came through at Saratoga facing 9 others. WON $5.20
#2 Black Martino (15-1) - Improved on the Turf and draws much better today. I wonder if the quick turnaround was a spontaneous decision..
#6 I'm Venezuelan (6-1) - Has been freshened up and I don't see any reason he'll have a problem stretching out on the lawn. 2ND
#8 Hubba Shake (5-2) - Will have to maneuver through some traffic but there seems to be enough speed lined up.

R10 - Juvenile Sprint 100k (2yo f 6.5F)

#2 Sum Roar (12-1) - Giant Killer's filly might be the quickest out of the gate and she displayed some guts in debut.
#6 Holywell (3-1) - Has shown some versatility in young career. 4TH
#9 Moment of Delight (5-1) - Adds the hood and looks to make amends for disappointing at odds on. 2ND
#12 Leap Year Luck (10-1) - Look for her to be flying late. WON $17.20

PK4 - 1 3 5 8 10 / 2 3 4 5 / 1 / 2 6 9 12 = $40 for $.50 PAID $430.65 FOR $.50


Churchill Downs POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R7 - MSW 41k (2yo 6.5F)

#4 Toasting Master (4-1) - All systems go after productive debut for strong barn. WON $8.00
#3 Mizumi (4-1) - Legitimate excuses at 1st asking and check out that latest local work last Saturday.
#6 Bosphorus Storm (15-1) - Long stings of works is a positive sign and he should show some speed.
#8 Authentic Drifter (6-1) - Barn has them ready right from the jump.

R8 - OC 62k/N2X

#6 Sassy Kiss (4-1) - Draws well and Bridgmo will have options.
#5 More Than Beauty (12-1) - Borel will probably want the lead and you know the rest (BO-RAIL).
#1 Brown Eyed Mary (8-1) - Serious off the pace threat if they go too quick. 4TH
#8 Devious d'Oro (7-2) - Consistent sort should not be ignored for all slots. 2ND

R9 - G3 River City Handicap (Turf 9F)

#4 Villandry (8-1) - Looks primed for a good run off the slight cut back and projected pace scenario. WON $10.60
#6 Silver Max (7-5) - Obviously the most talented runner of the bunch, but is he at his best going 9F and do you really want to eat near even money?
#5 Guys Reward (5-1) - Freshened up while coming back to his favorite course. 4TH
#11 Under Control (Brz) (8-1) - Travels well and must just find a trip to be a contender late. 3RD

R10 - Md 50k (2yo 8F)

#4 Bottom Line (9-2) - Cat Man knows when to drop them. WON $5.80
#5 Blame Angel (8-1) - Better break and he should be right there.
#12 Karlyrae'swarrior (6-1) - Playable on the drop. Barn does well with these types. 2ND
#9 Saturdaynitelites (4-1) - Might take them a long way on the front end.

PK4 - 3 4 / 1 2 5 6 8 / 4 5 6 / 4 5 12 = $45 for $.50 PAID $475.90 FOR $.50


Hawthorne POST SCRATCHES


R6 - Starter Alw 7.5k (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Gab Power (6-1) WON $14.80
#9 Hapman (10-1) 3RD
#8 Dubai Kingdom (6-1)
#6 Ozilda's Last Son (5-2) 2ND

R7 - Alw 21k N$Y

#4 To the Stars (8-5) WON $9.80
#5 Lenapah (5-2) 3RD
#8 Logan Creek (12-1)
#7 Tactics Best (10-1)

R8 - Clm 5k N2L

#1 Soldier's Home (6-1) 4TH
#4 Thank You for Me (8-1)
#7 American Piasa (4-1) 3RD
#6 Dittman Thunder (3-1) WON $11.40

R9 - Clm 5k

#11 I'll Show Them (7-2) 4TH
#1 Costly King (5-1) WON $13.20
#7 Scat 'n Go (8-1)
#2 Maggie's Best (5-1)

PK4 - 6 7 8 9 / 4 5 / All (10) / 1 2 7 = $48 for $.20 PAID $121.34 for $.20

 

  

GULFSTREAM WEST


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Chevron Light 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Supreme Privlege 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Ludicrous Speed 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 City Mudd 6-1 6th


6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$47k P5 C/O starts here..

This is a terrific group with a pace scenario that looks uncertain. Wolfson reaches for go-to Zayas (14 for 26 together at Calder '13-14!) on Heiko while Love Rules All is first time for assassin Navarro. Shock Leader is the class here having faced top Northeastern foes all summer, but Hills' other horse, Just Foolin Around, is a steadily developing 4yo that competes at a price with a projectible forward move. El Grand Jefe, Bathazar and War Classic have been banging heads with each other in So. Florida and all appear possible. As I said, terrific group..

Most Likely: #3 Shock Leader 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Heiko 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Just Foolin Around 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 El Jefe Grande 5-1 WON ($12.00)


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Crown Distinction 9-2 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #7 World Changer 6-1 -
Best Value: #8 Afleet Accompli 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Wildcatpleasures 3-1 2nd


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most problematic test in the sequence..

Best Value: #10 My Storm Trooper 8-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Caminito 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Rickashea 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #4 Overton Square 12-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Treacherous feature includes any number of in/out types as noted by interruptions in training or form cycle. One exception is Noble Prince who likes it at Miami Gardens and may just keep going if unencumbered during the early furlongs. Big question here is if Dad'z Laugh is close to right at all. Summer was a fiasco and worktab full of holes, but never out exacta at Calder and could inherit lead from Noble Prince if 7th panel proves too much for that one..

Best Value: #6 Noble Prince 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Defense Article 8-1
Exotics Use: #9 Dad'z Laugh 3-1
Super Add: #4 Start Jumping 5-1 4th


10th: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Very tough finale with perhaps 9 of the 12 possible for diploma..

Best Value: #2 Famous Sting 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Austa 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Red Parasol 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Imakittensjoy 10-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #9 Starship Scarlett 12-1 WON ($23.00)


<$75 P5 Grid:

6: 3 (A), 1-6 (B), 2-5-7 (C)
7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-6-2 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 2 (A), 1-4-9-10 (B), 5-6-7-12 (C)

 
<$75 P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 6 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 1-2-4 (A), 6-9-10 (B), 5-7-12 (C)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 11/1

Efficient, profitable Friday to start the Cup with serious run at a big P5 hit falling short when anchor leg complexion changed on Midnight Hawk's poor break. $25.00 score in Twilight Derby with Mystic Lake hero Long On Value giving the afternoon ballast including $129 straight P3 with Brendan Walsh's impressive Cary Street in the Marathon and Walther Solis' Cal stake juvy My Fiona. Fantastic performances in the Cup races from Hootenanny, Lady Eli, Goldencents and Untapable who were all dominant. Prices couldn't impact any slots other than deep exotics Friday, but expect that will change Saturday. Hope everyone did well. Watch early in the day for decisions on early turf given the rain that fell overnight. Might prove hard to hold back the speed on the main track early on too given the precipitation and tendency to tighten the surface.


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 3rd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ocho Ocho Ocho WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #9 Tizcano 3rd
Next Best: #2 Metaboss 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Gambler's Roll 5th


2nd: 2nd Golden State Juvenile-Cal, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Acceptance 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 Wake Up Nick 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mischief Clem 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Smack Talk 6-1 5th


3rd: 46th Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Warm Breeze 4th
Next Best: #12 Amaranth WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Velvet Mesquite 2nd


4th: 31st BC Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Though the Juvy boys are getting more attention, this is a better group than thought at first blush. Alcibiades runner up Top Decile attractive key while trouble Chandelier trip Hollendorfer filly Majestic Presence can ignite tote. Angela Renee the filly to beat. Puca and Christina's Journey look spectacular in the flesh. Danette, like teammate Texas Red, should be in your tris and supers..

Most Likely: #11 Top Decile 10-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Majestic Presence 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Angela Renee 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Puca 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Christina's Journey 6-1 11th


5th: 16th BC F&M Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Very competitive group and defending champ Dank not as vulnerable as first expected after middling season. Dayatthespa says goodbye to current connections after this and may never have been in better form than she is here. Distance questionable but slower pace at trip may do the trick. Shug at 15-1 (Abaco)? Yes please.. Fiesolana and Just the Judge demand use. Tough, tough race..

Most Likely: #3 Dank 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Dayatthespa 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #1 Abaco 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Fiesolana 8-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Just the Judge 6-1 3rd


<$75 P5 Plays:

1: 3 (A), 9 (B), 2-7 (C)
2: 1 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 7-12 (A), 4 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
4: 7-11 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 1-4-10-12 (C)
5: 3 (A), 1-2-4-6 (B), 5-7-8-9-10-11 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $72.50
Simple (A/B): $75 (2x1x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75)


6th: 8th BC F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Stonetastic has touted herself all week here and at 7f, may get easy opening splits that will make her tough to reel in later. Judy the Beauty pointed for this spot all year and there's no Groupie Doll to deal with. Hadn't expected to use Little Alexis but will be a big number and is another that has looked great in the mornings..

Most Likely: #3 Stonetastic 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Judy the Beauty 5-2 ($8.20)
Best Value: #2 Little Alexis 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Southern Honey 20-1 6th


7th: 7th BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Hill course Cup events has been provenance of Left Coast runners/riders and this set looks like it shouldn't be exception. Like Judy the Beauty with Groupie Doll out of the way, Reneesgotzip tries to crown herself queen of the hill in Mizdirection's absence. Post no bargain and there's plenty of speed involved. Eddie D exacta pair of Home Run Kitten/Ambitious Brew make great sense, but Silentio has the profile of success for this turning back from the mile trip. Castellano has ridden the hill well and don't forget that he and Tightend Touchdown were 2nd here a year ago. Bobby's Kitten either takes to this swimmingly or is a sucker horse in the mold of Capo Bastone (9-1) last year and Bridgetown (6-1) the year before..

Most Likely: #2 Silentio 8-1 14th
Best Value: #10 Home Run Kitten 12-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Tightend Touchdown 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Reneesgotzip 5-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Ambitious Brew 12-1 7th


<$75 P4 Plays:

4: 7-11 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-4-5-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-5-6 (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-6-10 (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 10 (B), 1-5-6-8-11-12-14 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $75
Simple (A/B): $72 or $36 (3x2x4x3 = 72)


8th: 31st BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

With American Pharaoh out of this, Carpe Diem, Daredevil and Upstart are your principals. Texas Red is a big boy that is maturing rapidly and with any more improvement, can win at a big number. He also will get a target for his rally. Souper Colossal may be a cut below the major players but couldn't look sharper coming in for savvy Plesa and Mrs. Weber, but pace runners may get cooked..

Most Likely: #9 Carpe Diem 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Texas Red 20-1 WON ($29.80)
Next Best: #13 Upstart 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Daredevil 7-2 11th
Super Add: #8 Souper Colossal 12-1 7th


9th: 31st BC Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

As with the approach to the Mile, will appreciate prowess of the Euros while being sure to respect the 2 best North American players in Hardest Core and Main Sequence. Pace feels slightly murky so if you like a pricey forward type player (Twilight Eclipse maybe?), go ahead and use. Brown Panther will likely be on my multi-race plays though it seems 12f is short for him..

Most Likely: #1 Telescope 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Hardest Core 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Flintshire 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Main Sequence 6-1 WON ($14.40)
Super Add: #11 Chiquita 8-1 5th


10th: 31st BC Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

As if there wasn't enough steam and respect for Rich Tapestry coming into this, performance of Goldencents Friday only further gilds the SA Sprint Championship winner. In other words, no Hong Kong Phooey today. After him, do whatever you want because anybody can fill out the super..

Most Likely: #6 Rich Tapestry 5-1 14th
Best Value: #10 Big Macher 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Secret Circle 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Mico Margarita 15-1 12th
Super Add: #8 Palace 6-1 6th


11th: 31st BC Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Excellent, accomplished group and virtually no combination in your wagers will be hopeless. Will cede imposing status of the Euros and feather in 2 well-priced North Americans with Tom's Tribute and Grand Arch..

Most Likely: #5 Toronado 5-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Tom's Tribute 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Mustajeeb 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Veda 12-1 12th
Super Add: #1 Grand Arch 20-1 11th


12th: 31st BC Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

I always stick to the Top 4 I offer in the Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide and that group looks fine 2 weeks after my initial thoughts were penned. California Chrome turns out to be the surprise 'now' horse of this Classic, clearly on edge physically and posted nicely for outside stalking voyage behind the pace-setting speed Bayern & Moreno. Cigar Street can draft in from inside as well and could offset Mott disappointment in Friday's feature when Close Hatches retired at the half mile pole. Bayern is of course a danger up front and could end an arduous week for Baffert who lost Midnight Lucky and American Pharaoh from the Cup at 11th hours. A truly terrific assembly..

Most Likely: #9 Toast of New York 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shared Belief 9-5 4th
Best Value: #8 Zivo 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Tonalist 5-1 5th
Super Add: #13 California Chrome 4-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Cigar Street 12-1 7th


<$100 P4 Plays:

9: 1 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4-11-12 (C)
10: 6 (A), 10 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-12-13-14 (C)
11: 5 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 1-2-7-8-9-10-11-12-13-14 (C)
12: 6-9 (A), 2-8-11-13 (B), 1-3-4-5-7-10-12-14 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $57.50
Simple (A/B): 3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$100 HRTV Distaff-Classic Double:

DIS: 10-11
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = 16 x $5 = $80 10-7 Distaff-Classic DBL Pays $24.70 x 5 = $123.50

DIS: 1-9
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = $16

 

 

 

RESULTS 10/31

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I introduce the Breeders' Cup invocation. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' going into Saturday's finale and get it all back, and more, in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic. But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.


It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Intoxicating Move 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hide My Heart 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Mum's Truckee 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Blingismything 6-1 WON ($22.40)


2nd: Las Vegas Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Cary Street 10-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #3 Irish Surf 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sky Kingdom 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Big Cazanova 5-2 5th


3rd: 2nd Golden St. Juvenile Fillies-Cal, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 MY FIONA 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #9 Tatum's Gold 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ashley's Sassy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Stormy Adieu 9-2 3rd


4th: 3rd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$7.00 favorites (Gabriel Charles; Speaking of Which) have been nipped in first two runnings of this event by 8-1 Rookie Sensation and 5-1 Grandeur respectively. Mott's Long On Value fits the profile here with Ring Weekend as the choice you'd like to best. Muddled pace picture adds to the intrigue in deep, challenging G2..

Most Likely: #10 Long On Value 6-1 WON ($25.00)
Next Best: #11 Ring Weekend 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Enterprising 7-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Sawyer's Hill 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Talco 8-1 5th


5th: 5th Damascus, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Magic Mark 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Midnight Hawk 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Bahamian Squall 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Little Bit O'Fun 12-1 8th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 1-3-8-11
2: 3-5-7-9
3: 4
4: 6-10-11
5: 2-6-11

4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 8th BC Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Coolmore has been a force in this event and War Envoy a worthy key. As in the juvy girls race an hour later, worthwhile including some price types with the logical and as Ric Hammerle explained, the extreme post on the turf with rails down is not a fatal blow. People will abandon value Danny Boy here and filly Qualify later, but both figure prominently..

Most Likely: #7 War Envoy 9-2 12th
Best Value: #14 Danny Boy 20-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Commemorative 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Daddy D T 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Offering Plan 20-1 13th


<$50 P4 Grid:

3: 4
4: 1-2-6-10-11
5: 2-6-11
6: 4-7-14

1x5x3x3 = $45


7th: 8th BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Everyone seems prepared to accept Goldencents as a slam dunk. There seems to be some pace pressure, but if it's not the '13 winner, who is it? A quandry for your multi-race wagers..

Most Likely: #1 Goldencents 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 Tapiture 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Fed Biz 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Big Bane Theory 15-1 5th


8th: 7th BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Race has seen short-numbered Euros Vorda and Sky Lantern fail as choices last 2 years in favor of 7-1 Chriselliam and 11-1 Flotilla. As discussed on ATR in 'Reverse Tri Key' conversation, 37-1 Colonel Joan and 43-1 Summer of Fun nabbed exotic boosting 3rds in those runnings..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Eli 6-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #14 Qualify 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Rainha Da Bateria 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Osaila 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Quality Rocks 20-1 10th


9th: 31st BC Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (Distaff-Classic Double, Super Hi-5, DD)

As presented on ATR, this race got more unsettled the more I looked at it. Untapable or Close Hatches can win with authority or the pace could go nuclear and even Unbridled Forever could clunk by everyone. I'll keep it pretty simple with the big favorites and Pia Brandt's imposing grey French invader L'Amour de Ma Vie..

Most Likely: #10 Untapable 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #1 L'Amour de Ma Vie 15-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Close Hatches 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Ria Antonia 15-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Don't Tell Sophia 5-1 2nd


$60 P4 Grid:

6: 7 (A), 4-14 (B), 1-2-5-8-10 (C)
7: 1 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 4-14 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-3-4-5-6-7-8 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,5/4,9,15,16/10) Paid $78.85


<$100 HRTV Distaff-Classic Double:

DIS: 10-11
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = 16 x $5 = $80

DIS: 1-9
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = $16


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #2 Day of Fury 6-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Jimmy Bouncer 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #9 Demonic 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 El Nino Terrible 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Toledo Eddie 8-1 3rd

 

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S BC SATURDAY RESULTS

 

Breeders' Cup - Day 2 POST SCRATCHES - FAST / GOOD


Santa Anita


R1 - Juvenile Turf Sprint 100k (OFF Turf 2yo 6.5F)


R2 - CB Golden State Juvenile (2yo 7F)

#2 Wake Up Nick (5-2) 2ND
#5 Comanche River (12-1) 4TH
#6 Mischief Clem (3-1) 3RD
#1 Acceptance (2-1) WON $3.40

R3 - G3 Senator Ken Maddy (Turf 6.5F)


R4 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (2yo f 8.5F)

#11 Top Decile (10-1) - Seems versatile in first two races to adjust to pace scenario and post postition. 2ND
#2 Angela Renee (3-1) - Prep winner clearly is a serious threat once again.
#1 Feathered (8-1) - Just needs a clean break and be forwardly placed throughout. 4TH
#8 Puca (6-1) - Crushed when trying dirt at two turns and should stalk from an advantageous draw.
#4 Conquest Eclipse (4-1) - Working lights out and could turn the tables this time.

R5 - G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (Turf 10F)

#8 Irish Mission (20-1) - This race has a history of some BOMBS and she looks like that kind to me.
#7 Emollient (12-1) - She seems to like the firm SA lawn and the price will be an overlay.
#6 Fiesolana (Ire) (8-1) - Euro is battle tested and must be respected for all slots.
#2 Just The Judge (Ire) (5-1) - Coming off two solid U.S. performances and she draws perfectly for her style. 3RD
#3 Dank (5-2) - Not as sharp as last year coming in, but keep her off your multis at your own risk. 4TH

PK5 - 2 5 8 11 / 1 2 5 6 / 2 5 / 11 / 2 3 6 7 8 = $80 for $.50

R6 - G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

#3 Stonetastic (8-1) - Benefited the most from the Midnight Lucky scratch. A clean break and she'll be a handful to reel in. 4TH
#6 Leigh Court (4-1) - As solid as they come and she's not camera shy.
#7 Judy the Beauty (5-2) - Just missed last year and has had another productive year. WON $8.20
#8 Better Lucky (15-1) - Looking for her to pick up the pieces and add some value underneath. 2ND
#5 Artemis Agrotera (3-1) - Versatile filly must prove she can ship outside of New York before I jump in at low odds.

R7 - G1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Turf 6.5F)

#4 Tightend Touchdown (8-1) - Draws well and was able to handle tricky course last year when 2nd. Expecting a big run.
#2 Silentio (8-1) - Always been a fan and these miler types have had success in 1st attempt down the hill.
#11 Undrafted (8-1) - Has handled shipping all over including overseas and this course looks to suit him just fine. 3RD
#1 Reneesgotzip (5-1) - She'll be gunning from the inside draw and look to hold on without Mizdirection breathing down her neck.
#5 Ambitious Brew (12-1) - Loves this course and must be included.

PK4 - 2 11 / 2 3 6 7 8 / 3 6 7 / 2 4 11 = $45 for $.50

R8 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (2yo 8.5F)

#9 Carpe Diem (4-1) - Super impressive at KEE and looks to be in good position throughout before kicking it into gear late. 2ND
#7 Texas Red (20-1) - Really jumped up two turns on dirt and I expect another nice off the pace run. WON $29.80
#8 Souper Colossal (12-1) - Undefeated colt should be forwardly placed and no reason to think he'll fade away late.
#12 Daredevil (7-2) - Has been brilliant, but there are a few of questions; two turns, never racing on dry dirt, and never shipping.


R9 - G1 Breeders' Cup Turf (Turf 12F)

#1 Telescope (Ire) (4-1) - Euro class usually dominates this race and this guy has been knocking heads with Europe's top runners. 4TH
#7 Flintshire (GB) (7-2) - Seems to like firm ground and comes off monster 2nd place finish in the world's most important Turf race. 2ND
#11 Chicquita (Ire) (8-1) - Connections showing a ton of confidence picking this spot instead of BC F&M Turf. Don't discount chances.
#12 Main Sequence (6-1) - Hard to go against 3 G1's victories in a row, but faces his toughest challenge since arriving state side. WON $14.40
#5 Hangover Kid (30-1) - Hard knocker gives me the indication that he likes a firm course and this might be to his liking at a monster price.

R10 - G1 Breeders' Cu Sprint

#7 Mico Margarita (15-1) - Like the way he's coming into the race and looks to get a favorable trip.
#4 Secret Circle (9-2) - Expecting defending champ to bounce back with a big effort. 2ND
#6 Rich Tapestry (Ire) (5-1) - Ran down a couple of real good ones in most recent, but faces a much bigger field here.
#14 Bourbon Courage (30-1) - After following his career hard to imagine he'd end up here, but has a bunch of talent and could light up the toteboard with a proper trip. 4TH
#2 Indianapolis (12-1) - Lightly raced colt and shown talent since day one and must be included in deep tickets.

R11 - G1 Breeders' Cup Mile (Turf 8F)

#4 Mustajeeb (GB) (6-1) - Has taken money in Europe while facing top company looks to give world class trainer Dermot Weld for 1st BC win.
#6 Tom's Tribute (15-1) - He's in sharp form and draws perfectly for his stalking style.
#5 Toronado (Ire) (5-2) - Logical contender with lots of credentials, but looks more like a use and not a single.
#2 Obviously (8-1) - No secret what the game plan will be. Send and hope for the best.
#8 Trade Storm (GB) (12-1) - Experience runner in coming in on career from off Woodbine Mile victory. Spencer will work out a trip. 3RD

R12 - G1 Breeders' Cup Classic

#2 Cigar Street (12-1) - Lightly raced 5yr old has flashed some talent and these top connections had other options (Fayette last week and Clark later the month), but chose this one. He's caught some buzz this week, but you'll still get a great price on a runner that was always meant for this despite a couple of injury setbacks.
#6 Shared Belief (9-5) - The only concern is how much did the Awesome Again race take out of him. Looking for him to run BIG. 4TH
#12 Candy Boy (20-1) - This is his favorite track and should be his favorite distance. The price will be right if you chose to take a risk.
#11 Tonalist (5-1) - I'm a huge fan, but maybe his best running comes at Belmont. With the right trip, he could take this and become Horse of the Year.
#9 Toast of New York (12-1) - Wildcard in the race and we know he can handle the Classic distance. If he handles the dirt, the rest might be in trouble. 2ND

PK6 - 2 4 11 / 9 / 1 7 / 4 6 7 / 4 / 2 6 = $72

PK4 - 1 7 11 / 2 4 6 7 14 / 2 4 5 6 8 / 2 6 = $75

Special Daily Double - Distaff/Classic - $1 DD - 6 7 9 10 11 / 2 6 9 11 12 = $25

$10 DD - 6 10 / 2 6 12 = $60 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S BC FRIDAY RESULTS

 

Breeders' Cup - Day 1


Santa Anita


R1 - OC 40k/N1X (Turf 6.5F)

#5 Starry Skies (6-1)
#4 Jade With Envy (12-1)
#1 Mum's Truckee (8-1) 4TH
#7 Night Song (GB) (3-1)

R2 - G2 Las Vegas Marathon

#4 Ice Cream Truck (8-1)
#5 Big Cazanova (Arg) (5-2)
#9 Cary Street (10-1) WON $7.80
#7 Sky Kingdom (5-1) 4TH

R3 - CB Golden State Juvenile Fillies (2yo f 7F)

#9 Tatum's Gold (8-1) 4TH
#7 Ashley's Sassy (3-1)
#4 My Fiona (2-1) WON $4.60
#1 Stormy Adieu (9-2) 3RD

R4 - G2 Twilight Derby (Turf 9F)

#8 Flamboyant (Fr) (6-1) - Expecting a bounce back performance. 4TH
#11 Ring Weekend (3-1) - Has found a home on the lawn and has shown the ability to ship.
#1 Sawyer's Hill (12-1) - Looks to be forwardly placed in a race that lacks front runners. 2ND
#2 Talco (Fr) (8-1) - Should be able to save some ground from an inside draw.

R5 - Damascus 100k

#2 Midnight Hawk (7-2) - Training lights out for return and this looks like it will be his best distance. Malibu double looks very realistic.
#11 Bahamian Squall (4-1) - Expecting a nice stalking trip from the outside draw and he's more than capable of firing a big one. 2ND
#12 Unbridled's Note (8-1) - Returns to the dirt for 2nd off the bench. 3RD
#7 Declassify (6-1) - G1 winner at the distance has fired off a layoff.

PK5 - 1 4 5 7 / 4 5 9 / 4 7 9 / 8 11 / 2 11 = $72 for $.50

R6 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (Turf 2yo 8F)

#4 Commemorative (GB) (8-1) BEST BET - Improving colt should take another step forward from a favorable post in wide open event.
#2 Daddy D T (15-1) - Draws well and will be making a late rally at a price. 3RD
#14 Danny Boy (15-1) - Looking for Leparoux to take to the rail early before unleashing a late kick in the final furlong.
#7 War Envoy (9-2) - Solid Euro connections have had success in this race and this one just needs a little pace to run at.
#3 Luck of the Kitten (8-1) - Should take advantage of his early foot and is dangerous if left alone. 2ND

PK4 - 4 7 9 / 1 8 11 / 2 11 / 2 3 4 7 14 = $45 for $.50

R7 - Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

#9 Tapiture (6-1) - Only dull race was the Derby and this fits him right between the eyes. 2ND
#1 Goldencents (6-5) - Defending champ will be tough to reel in. WON $3.40
#8 Fed Biz (7-2) - Has enough speed to stay in touch with top choice, but must bring his A Game.
#6 Golden Ticket (15-1) - Honest closer will need some to back up for his best.
#3 Vicar's in Trouble (12-1) - Has a chance to hold on for a minor award.

R8 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Filles Turf (Turf 2yo f 8F)

#2 Osaila (Ire) (5-1) - Draws beautifully and should not have any issues with the two turn stetchout. 3RD
#4 Lady Eli (6-1) - Was geared down near the wire after an electric turn of foot in G3 Miss Grillo. WON $6.80
#6 Sivoliere (Ire) (12-1) - Regally bred filly is moving in the right direction and is in very good hands.
#5 Isabella Sings (12-1) - Expecting the draw alone to move her considerably.
#9 Lady Zuzu (15-1) - Bred for two turns and she could take it to them early and often at a huge price. LATE SCR

R9 - G1 Breeders' Cup Distaff

#10 Untapable (5-2) - I wanted to try and beat her, but she's been training superbly and looks to get a perfect stalking trip. WON $5.20
#6 Stanwyck (20-1) - Consistent sort will be ignored at the windows and should get a similar trip to #10 Untapable at 20 times the price.
#7 Don't Tell Sophia (5-1) - If they get silly up front, she'll be ready to pick up the pieces. 2ND
#11 Close Hatches (3-1) - I know Keeneland favored closers in most recent meet, but that was a head scratching performance in last.
#9 Ria Antonia (15-1) - Loved the way Paco rode her at Keeneland and I'm expecting similar tactics. 4TH

Special Daily Double - Distaff/Classic - $1 DD - 6 7 9 10 11 / 2 6 9 11 12 = $25

$10 DD - 6 10 / 2 6 12 = $60

PK6 - 8 11 / 2 11 / 2 4 7 14 / 1 9 / 2 / 6 10 = $128

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 12 14 / 1 9 / 2 4 5 6 9 / 6 10 = $120 for $.50 PAID $78.85 x 2 = $157.70

R10 - OC 40k/N1X

#7 Jimmy Bouncer (9-2) WON $7.00
#9 Demonic (8-1)
#6 Rprettyboyfloyd (6-1)

PK4 - 1 8 9 / 2 4 5 6 9 / 6 7 9 10 11 / 7 9 = $75 for $.50 PAID $45.25 x 2 = $90.50

 

 

 

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 10/18


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tizquick 6-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #8 Andrew Got Zip 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 David Rocks 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Summer Hawk 10-1 5th


2nd: 18th Sleepy Hollow-NY, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

If Ostrolenka is such a reliable choice here, why did Pletcher/Barber keep MD Million eligible Bullheaded Boy home? This set feels slippery..

Most Likely: #2 Ostrolenka 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #7 Good Luck Gus 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Bullheaded Boy 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Market Conduct 5-1 3rd


3rd: 18th Maid of the Mist-NY, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Romans fave 'Patty' was under BC Juvy Filly consideration..

Most Likely: #9 Temper Mint Patty 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Myfourchix 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Quezon 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandra 6-1 4th


4th: 36th Mohawk-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Top 3 interchangeable..

Best Value: #1 Kharafa 5-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #9 Lubash 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 King Kreesa 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #8 Notacatbutallama 6-1 4th


5th: 36th Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 La Verdad 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #4 Willet 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Risky Rachel 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Whisper 15-1 8th


<$75 P5 Grid:

1: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
2: 2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
3: 9 (A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3-9 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 6 (B), 5 (C)

A/B: $48
Full A/B/C: $70 $0.50 Pick-5 (1,2/2/6/1/8,9) Paid $161.25


<$60 P4 Grid:

2: 2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
3: 9 (A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3-9 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 6 (B), 5 (C)

A/B: $36
Full A/B/C: $52 $0.50 Pick-4 (2/6/1/8,9) Paid $62.87


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Ode to the Hunt 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #1 Scooby Dude 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Persuasive Devil 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Brother O'Connell 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Threes Are Wild 8-1 8th


7th: 1st Empire Distaff-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Who besides Carameaway is going to want to challenge Princess Violet? Do they go 1-2 all the way? Rosario and Sunny Desert is the intrigue..

Most Likely: #5 Princess Violet 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #3 Sunny Desert 5-1 8th
Next Best: #1a (POE) Carameaway 7-2 3rd/7th
Exotics Use: #6 Lady Gracenote 20-1 4th


8th: 39th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Start of late P4 that has excellent potential and premium playability if you fully support Discreet Marq in the 9th. This is a good group of hard-hitters with authentic pace that should provide all with an honest chance. Defending winner Saratoga Snacks faces a more challenging set here than a year ago and his summer form appears to make him a vulnerable fave. Should be set for best but that may not be enough. Three year olds are a big part of this and emergent Sioux looms imposing with continued forward progress and if the 9th panel is to his liking. Fellow sophs So Lonesome, Effinex and Eye Luv Lulu have equal upside. Just no easy eliminations here..

Most Likely: #8 Sioux 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Effinex 15-1 WON ($37.20)
Next Best: #3 Saratoga Snacks 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Eye Luv Lulu 15-1 5th


9th: 34th Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Discreet Marq 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Strike Accord 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Invading Humor 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Effie Trinket 9-2 4th


10th: 37th Hudson-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

As competitive as the Classic..

Most Likely: #7 Moonlight Song 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Best Value: #10 Captain Serious 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Big Business 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 West Hills Giant 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $35.75
$1 Trifecta (7-5-2) Paid $244.75
$1 Superfecta (7-5-2-10) Paid $1,462.00



11th: NY-MSW, 3+,

Best Value: #5 Manoffire 6-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Spider Roll 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Runaway Posse 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #4 Spark to Ignite 5-1 8th


<$100 P4 Grid:

8: 3-5-8 (A), 4-6-7 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 10 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 2-4-5-6 (B), 6-9 (C)
11: 5-11 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-8 (C)

A/B $72; Full A/B/C: $100 $0.50 Pick-4 (5/4,10,13,14,15/7/3) Paid $431.00

 

 


RESULTS 10/10


You've heard me talk about Andy Harrington/National Turf many times, but I'm going to do another plug here. Friday's Santa Anita nightcap was a rag tag MDN CLM affair with an obvious favorite in Freakin Amazing and little other clear contenders. It was a spot that cried out for a price inclusion and reaching for a hint or two from Harrington's workout notes was vital. Eddie Freeman's Native Heart was making a 2nd start, an area the trainer excels, and his 10/1 drill produced this Harrington comment: May be better than debut going the last 1/4 in 24.3 under some late wraps. Rounding forward. -- Grade: B-.

Freeman's strong 21% 2nd/start and that encouraging Harrington blurb was all you really need when looking for an offbeat option. Native Heart proceeded to run a courageous race at 55-1, only yielding in the last few jumps to the highly likely favorite. The exacta paid $150 and the tri $1,136 with the 2nd choice running third. National Turf costs $10 for Harrington's view of 80% of a card's workouts and you can't play Southern California seriously without it.

Hope everyone did well Friday. Big multi-day carryovers at Belmont and Santa Anita today, but I'm on the road for a wedding and only have Keeneland ideas today..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Stays on turf being called 'soft'.. Bitty Kitty!

Most Likely: ##11 Keening 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Liz Pendens 10-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Modernstone 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Bitty Kitty 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #8 Fine Assay 15-1 12th


7th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sarah Sis 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #6 Know It All Anna 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nagzilla 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Rachel's Ready 12-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Divine Beauty 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Devious d'Oro 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Street Girl 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Brown Eyed Mary 7-2 6th


9th: 31st Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ball Dancing 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sistas Stroll 12-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #2 Minorette 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Crown Queen 4-1 WON ($7.20)


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Holiday Twist 3-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Tiz Sexy Now 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Silverpocketsfull 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Get Set Go 12-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 4-11 (A), 6-13 (B), 3-8-12 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-8 (A), 7 (B), 4 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Keeneland


R6 - Alw 62k/N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 High Jinks (Brz) (15-1) - Top connections seem fit to step her up after recent claim.
#9 Stoptalkingmaria (12-1) - Willing to excuse her last and bobble head hops aboard. Should take advantage of her early speed.
#6 Bitty Kitty (4-1) - Finally figured it out and must be included.
#13 Modernstone (GB) (5-1) - Freshened up and takes a slight drop.

R7 - Alw 58k/N2L (2yo f 6.5F)

#5 Lovely Maria (6-1) - Barn excellent with youngsters and it's not easy to win from the rail in debut. Check out the sharp local work on 10/6.
#1 Sarah Sis (4-1) - Thrown right into graded company off impressive debut and she finished 2nd in G2 Arlington Lassie versus a nice field.
#2 Bossy (4-1) - Working lights out and the Cat Man is overdue to get rolling.
#7 Rachel's Ready (12-1) - Barn knows when to add the hood and will appreciate the class relief.

R8 - OC 62k/N2X

#5 Street Girl (8-5) - Expecting a big performance off the freshening and cutting back to 7 furlongs. Draws well for her stalking style.
#7 Divine Beauty (2-1) - Nice to see her back and works indicate she's ready off the bench.
#8 Devious d'Oro (15-1) - Dirt is the preferred surface and adds nice value underneath here.
#6 Brown Eyed Mary (7-2) - Consistent sort looks to run another decent race, but I don't see her in the same caliber of the top two choices.

R9 - G1 QE II Cup (Turf 9F)

#1 Sistas Stroll (12-1) - Pucker Up winners have had success in this race and she draws well in a wide open edition of this race.
#6 Ball Dancing (9-2) - Took care of business in U.S. debut and no reason to think she can't take another step forward.
#8 Crown Queen (4-1) - Has really been a different animal this year and fits well here.
#7 Sea Queen (5-1) - Expect her forwardly placed throughout and she'll give a game effort.

R10 - MSW 56k (2yo f 6.5F)

#4 Holiday Twist (3-1) - One of my favorite angles in play here. Showed speed in debut (to winner $8 Nagzills in Race 7 today) for a filly that is bred to go long.
#6 Wasatch (6-1) - Well bred filly could come out running for sharp barn. Check out toteboard for any clues.
#1 Live Forever (5-1) - Another 1st time starter that could be any kind. Again toteboard might give you any indications about chances.
#9 I Zoom (8-1) - Strong finish versus full field and adds Lasix today.

PK5 - 2 5 6 9 11 13 / 1 2 5 7 8 / 5 / 1 2 6 7 8 / 4 = $75 for $.40

PK4 - 1 2 4 6 7 8 / 5 7 / 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 / 4 = $42 for $.50



Hawthorne - Spot Play


R8 - #5 Gold Former (12-1) - Probably didn't care for the soft going in most recent at Arlington Park. The 7yr old gelding had decent efforts on firm going last winter at Gulfstream Park while facing much better competition. Betting at anything over 7-1.


BEL/SA Double

BEL R10 - Md 40k (Turf 6F) - #2 Byron's Pop (8-1), #1 Jimmy Fillpot (2-1), #10 Political Farce (6-1)

SA R5 - MSW 56k - #4 Alfa Bird (5-2)

BEL/SA Double - $10 DD - 1 2 10 / 4


Santa Anita


R7 - Md 40k

#9 Barbs Angel (9-2)
#8 Denotation (4-1)
#4 Spectacular Proof (3-1)
#2 Wild Caroline (7-2)

R8 - OC 40k/N1X

#1 Got Even (6-1)
#5 Toledo Eddie (4-1)
#3 Rusty Road (6-1)
#7 Conscience (9-2)

R9 - CB California Distaff Handicap (Turf 6.5F)

#9 Tribal Spy (7-2)
#11 Velvet Mesquite (9-2)
#7 Ciao Bella Luna (6-1)
#6 Heat Trap (6-1)

R10 - Md 30k

#4 Yes She's a Dancer (7-2)
#5 Honey in Paradise (12-1)
#11 Forest Trees (4-1)
#10 Classy Schiller (9-2)

PK4 - 2 4 8 9 / 1 3 5 7 9 / 9 11 / 4 5 11 = $60 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

  


SANTA ANITA RESULTS 10/10



POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Willing to Travel 3-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #1 Battle of Evermore 5-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Metaboss 8-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Stormy Liberal 15-1 (C) WON ($38.80)


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fascinating 6-5 (A) 4th
Best Value: #2 Interject 6-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Live for Now 5-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Art of War 12-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #8 Kirov 5-2 (C) WON ($14.60)


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fantastic Mizz 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Cravin' the Heat 12-1 (B) 7th
Next Best: #4 Doctor Glynis 8-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sunset Skies 9-2 (C) 5th


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tim's Go Girl 7-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #8 Jetbird 15-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #6 Small Moves 4-1 (B) WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Adriatic Style 8-1 (C) 4th
Super Add: #5 Nueva Fortuna 4-1 (C) 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ethnic Dance 3-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kulik Lodge 5-2 (A) WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Te Rapa 4-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #3 Mega Heat 4-1 (C) 4th


8th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Freakin Amazing 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #4 Native Heart 20-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Seek Safe Harbor 4-1 (C) 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Scatchmeifyoucan 7-2 (C) 8th
Super Add: #5 Honey Nugget 12-1 (C) 6th


 

 
KEENELAND RESULTS 10/8


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 My Pal Paul 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Is Silver Good 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Party Time 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Soldier Inthe Rain 8-1 WON ($19.40)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Note #13 Watchyourownbobber (4-1) DOES get in.. #2 Courtier a half to Emollient; #5 Sports Book by Md'O out of MGSW Padua mare Bohemian Lady; #8 Czar a half to Cerro; #10 My Curby a McPeek production (as discussed on ATR today) being by Curlin out of MGSW My Baby Baby..

Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #1 Cold Spice 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 My Curby 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Sports Book 10-1 12th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

With Joy Boy out, ascendant Magical Moment (8-1) could wire this..

Best Value: #4 Magical Moment 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Catholic Cowboy 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Donoharm 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Viva Majorca 5-2 3rd


8th: 24th Jessamine (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Rocks 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Late Spring 15-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Rainha Da Bateria 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Fila Primera 4-1 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Une Cherise 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Tap Twenty One 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Enchanting Lisa 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Temper 10-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #9 Playful Love 10-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), 2-3 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-8-13 (C)
7: 4 (A), 9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 5-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A/B's): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $57


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5-6 (A), 2-8-10 (B), 3-13 (C)
7: 4 (A), 9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 3-5-9 (B), 8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 3 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A/B's): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $44.50

 

 

RESULTS 10/4  

Wet weather only slightly dampened the enthusiastic reception for Keeneland Friday and a much more picturesque day expected for Saturday. Was humming along until the Alcibiades collapsed into a scrum for the late runners and imported Peace and War picked up the pieces at 23-1. Some early scores boosted the Lexington opener as Joan Scott's Best Value idea Ambidextrous Alex ($22.40) ended a $93 P3 and keyed the nice $224 triple over favorites Tapit Wicked and Exodus. Fun start to the newest incantation of Keeneland. Jope everyone did well. I'll stay with the venue today with a nicer afternoon expected there than in New York.


KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

2nd division of juvy routers features slightly less experienced set than in Race 2. Nothing particularly clever to note though Vogner (Point Given), Calumet H/B half to Skyring, looks mildly appealing as price inclusion moving to main track off turf route debut..

Most Likely: #6 Frammento 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #2 Westbound 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Starbound 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Vogner 10-1 9th


5th: 18th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Always potential for chaos in quality lawn dash and this has real pace signed on to guarantee an honest running. Not adventurous tabbing co-2nd choice Marchman (7-2) here, but No Distinction (20-1) seems capable of juicing up the mutuels..

Most Likely: #10 Marchman 7-2 6th
Best Value: #3 No Distinction 20-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Spring to the Sky 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Positive Side 12-1 8th


6th: 34th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, All Stakes P4, P3)

Found this trickier than it should be and admit to not having a great feel for how it plays out. R Free Roll and Stonetastic obviously have races that win this easily. Southern Honey has a look setting up behind the speed. WO-based runners Leigh Court returns to dirt and Northern Passion sees a dry fast main for the first time..

Most Likely: #5 Stonetastic 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Southern Honey 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 R Free Roll 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 SCR


7th: 17th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Don't you feel as if you know all of these intimately? Don't discount Better Lucky's chance for a repeat here at a square price..

Best Value: #5 Better Lucky 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Dayatthespa 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Filimbi 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Somali Lemonade 9-2 5th


8th: 101st Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Didn't help get us to the winner or show runner, but discussed the potential for chaos in Friday's Alcibiades based on pace and stretchouts and collapse scenario unfolded on cue. This group didn't look as hot-blooded at first glance, but there are enough fast-early types and prompters to ensure this is run fairly. Top 4 ML faves all have established themselves (Carpe Diem, Bold Conquest, Conquest Tsunami, Hashtag Bourbon), but Ike Walker (8-1) looks like a live key from Stidham and the Thrashes showing steady improvement at Chicago and with a right to jump up first time dirt. The Bellamy Road colt sold for twice the average of his sire's yearlings, should appreciate the 2 turns and gets barn's go-to rider in Albarado who should set up shop towards the front of the second flight..

Best Value: #9 IKE WALKER 8-1 12th
Next Best: #6 Bold Conquest 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Carpe Diem 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #10 Hashtag Bourbon 4-1 7th


9th: 29th Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Always willing to believe Wise Dan is vulnerable, but confidence of typically austere LoPresti rather telling of expectations for champ on course he relishes. Sayaad, Grand Arch, Seek Again and Kaigun all pose authentic threat..

Most Likely: #6 Wise Dan 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Sayaad 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Seek Again 7-2 -
Exotics Use: #3 Grand Arch 12-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), 3-4/SCR (B), 2-7 (C)
7: 1-5-7 (A), 8 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-7-10 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 - $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 6 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 1,8 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 9 with 6 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 1,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 5,6 with 6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 9 with 1,8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 1,8 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 6,9 with 9 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 1,7,10 with 6 - $9.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 3,4,5 - $9.00

Total: $74.00


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Pletcher and Coolmore unveil $950,000 Malibu Moon filly Enchantress here and it will be surprising if she isn't ready at first asking. Notable as the as the highest priced filly and last hip to sell at Barrett's March Sale this year, she was selected by Pletcher himself who has an affinity for Malibu Moon female progeny (Life At Ten, Devil May Care, Malibu Prayer, et al)..

Most Likely: #7 Enchantress 3-1: See above; Expensive bay well-drilled for bow.. WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Pattitude 6-1: Foley City Zip miss moves to main for 2nd start.. 4th
Best Value: #11 White Clover 8-1: Half to accomplished GSW Ermine.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Zeven 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Pinata Cat 10-1 7th


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 2-3-4/SCR-5-6-7
7: 1-5-7
8: 5-6-9-10
9: 1-6
10: 7

5x3x4x2x1 = 120 x .50 = $60 $0.50 Pick-5 (2/7/5/6/7) Paid $477.35

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/7/5/6/7) Paid $7.75 (4OF5) x 10 = $77.50



<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-7 (A), 8 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-7-10 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
10: 7 (A), 4-11 (B), 2-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 6 with 7 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (7/5/6/7) Paid $83.35
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 4,11 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 5,10 with 6 with 7 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 7 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 6 with 4,11 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 1,8 with 7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 6 with 4,11 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 4,11 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 1,12 with 6 with 7 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 2,3,4,5 with 7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 2,9,12 - $9.00

Total: $74.00

 

  

RESULTS 10/3

Fell tortuously short on C/O try at BEL Thursday as Vona photo loss in 7th doomed conso after 2nd/3rd efforts from Honor the Kitten and Charlie's Picnic in the 5th. Caught overlaid Schettino dropdown Bernstein Flambe ($32) to start the afternoon which did guarantee the day's returns. Bakken's return in the 8th went well (94 Beyer) and the Chad Brown charge should be ready for a major stakes try next. Hope everyone did well.

Keeneland back on the betting menu today and some wet weather adds to the intrigue already in the offing via Day 1 of the new 'high tech' dirt main. Two premium juvenile MSW's and ALW's, the G3 Phoenix sprint and G1 Alcibiades make the opener attractive despite the uncertainty of the fresh surface. Expecting surface to play fast based on early notations from trainers and track management..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Nice looking group features 7 FTS anchored by Brereton Jones' Proud Spell son Etruscan (Bernardini). Jones sold Proud Spell's modest first drop ($175k Indian Spell to Besilu) and the second hasn't made the races, so the jury is out as to what kind of broodmare she's going to be. Colt certainly working well for Larry Jones and sure seems likely that this set of connections will be prepared for today's high profile setting..

Most Likely: #10 Joe Franklin 5-2: Breen 2nd timer the one to catch.. WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #2 Etruscan 4-1: See above; Bullet gate works add to appeal.. 5th
Best Value: #5 Pro Daddy 12-1: Plus price on B. Lynch half to speedy SW Graeme Six.. 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Danzig Moon 5-1: Oxley Malibu Moon blasting away in a.m. cross-state.. 4th


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Nice enough group with classy turnback Bourbon Courage headlining, but a bit of a curiousity with no certain pacesetter. Rugged from the rail? Paco Lopez always hustles.. Is that the plan with Vegas No Show? Quirky start to the P5..

Most Likely: #2 Bourbon Courage 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Politicallycorrect 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Officer Alex 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Vegas No Show 7-2 4th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

2nd division of maidens features 2nd horses from no less than 6 of the outfits that send runners in the 5th (Romans, Lynch, Casse, McPeek, Jones, Stewart)!

Most Likely: #8 Exodus 5-1: $600k Porter buy a half to Cross Traffic.. 3rd
Best Value: #10 Ambidextrous Alex 30-1: Scott sharp 2nd/out & adds Lasix.. WON ($22.40)
Next Best: #6 Cloverdale Nine 9-2: Ward FTS a half to zippy Whywhywhy.. 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Tapit Wicked 4-1: Lost to Wilkes' 30-1 shot. Feels iffy.. 2nd


8th: 162nd Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Authentic speed here and those that can attend without needing front seem preferable. Love regional stalwarts Rainbow Heir (NJ) and Work All Week (IL), but have doubts v. bigger stage open players...

Best Value: #1 C. Zee 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Bern Identity 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Work All Week 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #3 Lemon Drop Dream 8-1 4th


9th: 63rd Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Deep, seemingly talented field dotted with stretchouts and surface switchers inviting some chaos..

Most Likely: #5 Taylor S 8-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Top Decile 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Innovative Idea 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Fashion Alert 4-1 6th
Super Add: #13 Gap Year 8-1 7th


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 Miracle Run 4-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Kimberly Jean 5-1 -
Best Value: #1 Circus Girl 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Treaty Oak 7-2 -
Super Add: #6 SCR


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 5 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 8 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 6-11-13 (C)
10: 13 (A), 12 (B), 1-6-7 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 6-11-13 (C)
10: 13 (A), 1-12 (B), 6-7 (C)


 



BELMONT PARK RESULTS 10/2


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$27k C/O starts here..

Tricky start to P6..

Best Value: #6 Bernstein Flambe 10-1 WON ($32.40)
Next Best: #7 Little G 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zenstone 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Midnight Champagne 20-1 6th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Kitten & Picnic the 'class' but will have to rally to get to Awake & Joking..

Most Likely: #2 Honor the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Charlie's Picnic 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 I'm Wide Awake 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Joking 4-1 5th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

After Kerjillion, have to do some pedigree and trainer guesswork..

Most Likely: #2 Kerjillion 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 Doctor Red 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Fulmer 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #15 Scooby Dude 6-1 5th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Vona 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Three for Me 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sunlover 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Bajan Summer 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bakken 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1a Dream Saturday 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Captain Serious 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Geaux Mets 12-1 6th


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #8 Mythical Man 8-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Media Kid 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Mop Head 5-1 6th
Super Add: #13 Best Play 20-1 9th


P6 Grid:

4: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5-12 (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 11-15 (C)
7: 4 (A), 6 (B), 1-3-8-9 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2 (C)

Simple A&B's: 3x2x3x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
Full A/B/C's: $196


P4 Grid:

6: 2-9 (A), 5-15 (B), 6-8-11 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-9 (C)
8: 7 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 2 (B), 6-11-13 (C)

Simple A&B's: 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full A/B/C's: $78

 

  

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/27


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Deep group of pricey babies. Don't need to embellish merits of favored Albertrani/McLaughlin and Pletcher/Guillot entries, but note 12-1 Midhmaar (Tapit) a $600k Shadwell buy out of Fawkes MGSW middle distance sprint machine Take D' Tour. King Rontos keeps running into monsters. Easy Comparison was game in defeat in second start/first dirt try at SAR. Dannie's Deceiver is by Quality Road who is establishing himself quickly as a top 'first out' sire. Cannizzo lures Rosario and popped with 31-1 FTS in '13 that boosts his ROI..

Most Likely: #2e Godolphin-Darley ownership entry 4-1 2nd/6th
Best Value: #7 Midhmaar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Southern Equine ownership entry 3-1 WON ($13.20)/9th
Exotics Use: #5 Dannie's Deceiver 15-1 7th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Noble Cornerstone 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #8 Round 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Inmyfathersimage 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Chapman 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Congrats to Ken 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Dispersion 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Gustnado 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Epsilon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 St. Louie 15-1 8th


4th: 34th Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

With the stakes starting here, good spot to take note that with the Thursday rain, there's a chance the main track remains very tight. Friday saw a steady parade of on/near lead winners including 12-1 Roman Approval. It's going to be a sunny, warm day, so there's the opportunity for the track to be ideally groomed, but anything that favors speed can impact this event and and the Vosburgh particularly. Should River Rocks and Bradester fail to engage each other, either can wire..

Most Likely: #7 Itsmyluckyday 4-5 3rd
Next Best:#4 River Rocks 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Scarly Charly 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bradester 3-1 7th


5th: 76th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Rosario seems ideally suited for 50 Shades. Sky Beauty win by Toasting lifts an eyebrow for big opportunity here at square price. Understand betting against underlay Stopchargingmaria but she is perfect at the trip, albeit around 2 turn versions of 9f. Stanwyck's typical effort gains share..

Most Likely: #5 Fiftyshadesofhay 9-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Toasting 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Stopchargingmaria 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Stanwyck 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Belle Gallantey 7-2 WON ($11.40)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Perfect spot to take a shot in a contentious affair that comes ahead of the all stakes P4. Ragtime is out of modest Phipps product Castanet (El Prado), a sister of top turf performer Dancing Forever (Rahy). Shug tried to get the Henny Hughes son on turf earlier this summer and at 20-1, trust that there's method to the Hall of Famer's madness..

Best Value: #6 RAGTIME 20-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Upgrade 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Great Attack 7-2 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #7 Cajun Breeze 20-1 4th


7th: 37th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro, this is a mix-and-match group that have been largely in and out through the summer. Chad Brown's troika a good place to start with Stephanie's Kitten, Whatsdachances and maddening Alterite all demanding attention/inclusion. Ballston Spa exacta (Abaco/Strathnaver) figure prominently. Pace appears slightly tepid which puts this completely in the hands of the silkwearers..

Best Value: #6 Whatsdachances 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Abaco 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #7 Alterite 8-1 7th


8th: 75th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Layers of speed signed on for this standard and note the three quarters trip with 7 of the 9 dropping back or stretching out. Palace and Salutos Amigos sit behind the speeds and get first run. Happy My Way being cleverly engineered by MTH-based Orseno with eye towards Santa Anita and visiting :58.2 bullet over the surface shouldn't go unnoticed..

Most Likely: #6 Happy My Way 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Salutos Amigos 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Palace 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Private Zone 7-2 WON ($13.80)


9th: 38th Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Very similar to the Flower Bowl with a set of familiar lawn boys and a calm pace scenario. Spin the wheel..

Most Likely: #3 Imagining 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Main Sequence 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #4 Hangover Kid 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Twilight Eclipse 4-1 2nd


10th: 96th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

As fun a JCGC as you'll see these days. The big Eastern 3yo's are here as well as the hard-knocking handicap veterans. Tonalist takes off the hood and relaxes behind the pace battle between Moreno and Big Cazanova..

Most Likely: #8 Tonalist 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #1 Micromanage 20-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Wicked Strong 3-1 DNF-Lost rider
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanoatsee 20-1 4th


11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 12f-T

Deliberate John Toscano not only adds Lasix to Smokey Brown, but reaches for Jose Ortiz with whom he's amassed a gaudy J-T record (6/13 at BEL for $5.65; 7/28 overall '13-14 for $2.80)..

Most Likely: #4 Grand Rapport 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #11 Smokey Brown 20-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Capitan Futuro 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Innovation Economy 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Sandy in the Sun 20-1 12th



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Quite a group of pedigrees on view here including Punctuate (Distorted Humor), 1st Peppers Pride foal to hit the track (first born full brother Funny Pepper yet to run) and Fueled by Bourbon (Stroll), half brother of Clearly Now..

Most Likely: #11 Madiba 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smuggler Union 6-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Bronze Star 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kantune 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Fame and Power 3-1 6th


5th: 3rd Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Beholder 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Tiz Midnight 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Iotapa 2-1 3rd


6th: 3rd FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Before settling on a pecking order, note that Skyway is the ONLY horse in the field that has run on dirt (Bashford Manor). No telling whom exactly leaps forward on the new SA main but Daddy D T (6-1) deserves look off big works post stakes win..

Most Likely: #7 American Pharoah 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Daddy D T 6-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Sky Preacher 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Calculator 8-1 2nd


7th: 3rd Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Ridiculous group with at least 8 of the 14 looking capable of the 'W'..

Best Value: #8 Parranda 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Irish Mission 6-1 3rd-DH
Exotics Use: #7 Emollient 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Super Add: #11 Stormy Lucy Late-Gate SCR


8th: 3rd Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Baffert looking to probe depth of undefeated Shared Belief with Fed Biz who will seriously test the 3-5 favorite..

Most Likely: #4 Shared Belief 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #1 Fed Biz 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Majestic Harbor 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Imperative 6-1 5th


9th: 3rd Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gender Agenda 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Kool Kat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 On the Backstreets 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Alexis Tangier 5-2 WON ($14.20)


10th: 3rd Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Conquest Eclipse 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Danette 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Angela Renee 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Dad's Princess 8-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Sunday Sonnet 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Papacoolpapacool 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Nakamoto 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Kenji's Thunder 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Dream It Do It 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Increase 12-1 5th

 

 


 

 

 

RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

 

  

 


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

 




 
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