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SELECTIONS FROM STEVE AND GUS Print E-mail

Racing writer and broadcaster Steve Byk joined At the Races and Beyond as a handicapper/commentator in November 2005 and assumed duties as host with the introduction of At the Races with Steve Byk in June 2007. An avid racegoer and player for more than 20 years, Byk has attended more than 50 Triple Crown races, 15 Breeders' Cups and visited more than 30 different racetracks across North America. He launched DerbyTrail.com in 2003, where his feature writing, prep previews and editorial columns attracted a large following. Byk and trainers Chuck Simon & Gary Sciacca introduced Dee Tee Stables in December 2006, and have brought more than 130 fans into the game as owners. 


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SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 27

    

PROGRAMMING NOTES: ATR has moved to Sirius 220, XM 206 and Online SportsZone 964. In addition, we have returned to 9a-12p ET live broadcast hours and brought back the popular 6-9a ET replays! Sirius 220 is part of the 'All Access' package and Listener Care can help you on phone or via chat with questions: http://www.siriusxm.com/contactus  



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Deep group of pricey babies. Don't need to embellish merits of favored Albertrani/McLaughlin and Pletcher/Guillot entries, but note 12-1 Midhmaar (Tapit) a $600k Shadwell buy out of Fawkes MGSW middle distance sprint machine Take D' Tour. King Rontos keeps running into monsters. Easy Comparison was game in defeat in second start/first dirt try at SAR. Dannie's Deceiver is by Quality Road who is establishing himself quickly as a top 'first out' sire. Cannizzo lures Rosario and popped with 31-1 FTS in '13 that boosts his ROI..

Most Likely: #2e Godolphin-Darley ownership entry 4-1 2nd/6th
Best Value: #7 Midhmaar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Southern Equine ownership entry 3-1 WON ($13.20)/9th
Exotics Use: #5 Dannie's Deceiver 15-1 7th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Noble Cornerstone 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #8 Round 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Inmyfathersimage 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Chapman 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Congrats to Ken 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Dispersion 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Gustnado 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Epsilon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 St. Louie 15-1 8th


4th: 34th Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

With the stakes starting here, good spot to take note that with the Thursday rain, there's a chance the main track remains very tight. Friday saw a steady parade of on/near lead winners including 12-1 Roman Approval. It's going to be a sunny, warm day, so there's the opportunity for the track to be ideally groomed, but anything that favors speed can impact this event and and the Vosburgh particularly. Should River Rocks and Bradester fail to engage each other, either can wire..

Most Likely: #7 Itsmyluckyday 4-5 3rd
Next Best:#4 River Rocks 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Scarly Charly 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bradester 3-1 7th


5th: 76th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Rosario seems ideally suited for 50 Shades. Sky Beauty win by Toasting lifts an eyebrow for big opportunity here at square price. Understand betting against underlay Stopchargingmaria but she is perfect at the trip, albeit around 2 turn versions of 9f. Stanwyck's typical effort gains share..

Most Likely: #5 Fiftyshadesofhay 9-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Toasting 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Stopchargingmaria 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Stanwyck 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Belle Gallantey 7-2 WON ($11.40)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Perfect spot to take a shot in a contentious affair that comes ahead of the all stakes P4. Ragtime is out of modest Phipps product Castanet (El Prado), a sister of top turf performer Dancing Forever (Rahy). Shug tried to get the Henny Hughes son on turf earlier this summer and at 20-1, trust that there's method to the Hall of Famer's madness..

Best Value: #6 RAGTIME 20-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Upgrade 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Great Attack 7-2 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #7 Cajun Breeze 20-1 4th


7th: 37th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro, this is a mix-and-match group that have been largely in and out through the summer. Chad Brown's troika a good place to start with Stephanie's Kitten, Whatsdachances and maddening Alterite all demanding attention/inclusion. Ballston Spa exacta (Abaco/Strathnaver) figure prominently. Pace appears slightly tepid which puts this completely in the hands of the silkwearers..

Best Value: #6 Whatsdachances 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Abaco 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #7 Alterite 8-1 7th


8th: 75th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Layers of speed signed on for this standard and note the three quarters trip with 7 of the 9 dropping back or stretching out. Palace and Salutos Amigos sit behind the speeds and get first run. Happy My Way being cleverly engineered by MTH-based Orseno with eye towards Santa Anita and visiting :58.2 bullet over the surface shouldn't go unnoticed..

Most Likely: #6 Happy My Way 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Salutos Amigos 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Palace 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Private Zone 7-2 WON ($13.80)


9th: 38th Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Very similar to the Flower Bowl with a set of familiar lawn boys and a calm pace scenario. Spin the wheel..

Most Likely: #3 Imagining 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Main Sequence 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #4 Hangover Kid 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Twilight Eclipse 4-1 2nd


10th: 96th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

As fun a JCGC as you'll see these days. The big Eastern 3yo's are here as well as the hard-knocking handicap veterans. Tonalist takes off the hood and relaxes behind the pace battle between Moreno and Big Cazanova..

Most Likely: #8 Tonalist 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #1 Micromanage 20-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Wicked Strong 3-1 DNF-Lost rider
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanoatsee 20-1 4th


11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 12f-T

Deliberate John Toscano not only adds Lasix to Smokey Brown, but reaches for Jose Ortiz with whom he's amassed a gaudy J-T record (6/13 at BEL for $5.65; 7/28 overall '13-14 for $2.80)..

Most Likely: #4 Grand Rapport 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #11 Smokey Brown 20-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Capitan Futuro 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Innovation Economy 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Sandy in the Sun 20-1 12th



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Quite a group of pedigrees on view here including Punctuate (Distorted Humor), 1st Peppers Pride foal to hit the track (first born full brother Funny Pepper yet to run) and Fueled by Bourbon (Stroll), half brother of Clearly Now..

Most Likely: #11 Madiba 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smuggler Union 6-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Bronze Star 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kantune 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Fame and Power 3-1 6th


5th: 3rd Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Beholder 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Tiz Midnight 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Iotapa 2-1 3rd


6th: 3rd FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Before settling on a pecking order, note that Skyway is the ONLY horse in the field that has run on dirt (Bashford Manor). No telling whom exactly leaps forward on the new SA main but Daddy D T (6-1) deserves look off big works post stakes win..

Most Likely: #7 American Pharoah 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Daddy D T 6-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Sky Preacher 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Calculator 8-1 2nd


7th: 3rd Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Ridiculous group with at least 8 of the 14 looking capable of the 'W'..

Best Value: #8 Parranda 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Irish Mission 6-1 3rd-DH
Exotics Use: #7 Emollient 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Super Add: #11 Stormy Lucy Late-Gate SCR


8th: 3rd Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Baffert looking to probe depth of undefeated Shared Belief with Fed Biz who will seriously test the 3-5 favorite..

Most Likely: #4 Shared Belief 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #1 Fed Biz 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Majestic Harbor 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Imperative 6-1 5th


9th: 3rd Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gender Agenda 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Kool Kat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 On the Backstreets 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Alexis Tangier 5-2 WON ($14.20)


10th: 3rd Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Conquest Eclipse 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Danette 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Angela Renee 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Dad's Princess 8-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Sunday Sonnet 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Papacoolpapacool 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Nakamoto 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Kenji's Thunder 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Dream It Do It 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Increase 12-1 5th

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Belmont Park


R7 - G1 Flower Bowl (Turf 10F)

#4 Strathnaver (GB) (4-1)
#1 Abaco (7-2) 2ND
#9 Stephanie's Kitten (5-2) WON $4.40
#8 Tannery (Ire) (15-1)

R8 - G1 Vosburgh Invitational

#2 Coup de Grace (8-1)
#1 Palace (2-1) 3RD
#6 Happy My Way (3-1)
#4 Salutos Amigos (6-1) 4TH

R9 - Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational (Turf 12F)

#4 Hangover Kid (15-1)
#5 Main Sequence (2-1) WON $5.90
#1 Ramsey Entry (5-2) 4TH
#6 Medal Count (12-1)

R10 - G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Invitational

#8 Tonalist (4-1) WON $8.10
#3 Wicked Strong (3-1)
#12 Big Cazanova (Arg) (20-1)
#11 Moreno (7-2)

PK4 - 1 4 9 / 1 2 6 / 1 4 5 6 / 3 8 = $36 for $.50


Churchill Downs


R8 - Alw 39k/N1X

#6 Whomping Willow (2-1) 3RD
#7 Isle of Wonder (6-1)
#5 Silver Union (5-2) $6.20
#9 Cora Mesa (8-1) 2ND

R9 - Homecoming Classic 125k

#4 Departing (2-1) 2ND
#5 Cigar Street (5-2) WON $6.80
#3 Carve (9-5)
#6 Pick of the Litter (9-2) 4TH

R10 - G3 Jefferson Cup (Turf 8F)

#6 Stormy Pacific (10-1) 4TH
#5 Speightsland (3-1)
#3 Heart to Heart (5-2) WON $3.00
#1 Sportscaster (10-1) 3RD

R11 - Clm 5k

#3 St. Louie Slew (5-1)
#10 Ready Express (8-5) 3RD
#4 Prettygood and You (8-1)
#7 Slavic Princess (6-1) WON $15.60

PK4 - 2 5 6 7 9 / 3 4 5 / 5 6 / 3 4 7 10 = $60 for $.50


Santa Anita


R8 - G1 Awesome Again

#4 Shared Belief (3-5) WON $2.40
#1 Fed Biz (6-1) 2ND
#8 Imperative (6-1)
#5 Footbridge (15-1) 3RD

R9 - Unzip Me 75k (Turf 6.5F)

#9 Gender Agenda (GB) (6-1) 2ND
#1 Wonderfully (IRE) (12-1)
#8 Stars Above Me (GB) (5-2) 3RD
#4 On the Backstreets (9-5)

R10 - G1 Chandelier (2yo f 8.5F)

#5 Sharla Rae (12-1)
#11 Majestic Presence (6-1)
#4 Angela Renee (3-1) WON $7.20
#2 Conquest Eclipse (7-2) 2ND

R11 - MSW 56k (Turf 2yo 8F)

#2 Nakamoto (4-1) 2ND
#7 Papacoolpapacool (9-5) WON $4.00
#9 Dream It Do It (6-1)
#12 What's Up Gus (8-1)

PK4 - 1 4 / 1 3 4 8 9 / 2 4 5 11 / 2 7 9 = $60 for $.50 PAID $40.10 FOR $.50

 

 

 

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/24


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$29k C/O starts here..

Turf sprint for MDN's a tough way to begin carry sequence. Harp N Halo makes 2nd start and aquitted herself well in eventful debut v. many of these. Square price and figures to stalk from up close..

Best Value: #3 Harp N Halo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Galroyale 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Miss Lech 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Braided 5-1 6th


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

No shortage of pace here..

Most Likely: #5 Lady Kreesa 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Life's a Stage 15-1 WON-DH ($21.80)
Next Best: #1a Outer Orbit 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Take It Inside 12-1 11th


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

No reason to doubt Street Shark's run of good efforts is over. Toscano reaches for Rosario to work front end magic with Big Deluxe..

Best Value: #7 Street Shark 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 The Big Deluxe 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Writingonthewall 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #6 Sir Bond 7-2 5th


7th: OC/C, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Strong Impact 5-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Bio Pro 7-5 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #4 Choctaw Chuck 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Golden Rifle 9-5 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #10 Gratitude 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Zindaya 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Ballerina Belle 3-1 2nd


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #11 Hushhushmushmush 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Eastcoast Lights 30-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Chasin Chama 5-1 WON ($23.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Little T. Louie 15-1 5th


P6 Grid:

4: 3 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-4-8 (C)
5: 5 (A), 6 (B), 1-9-11 (C)
6: 7 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 7-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 11 (A), - (B), 5-9-12 (C)


All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,9 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $16.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 5,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $16.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 8 with 11 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,9 with 6 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,9 with 5 with 5,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $32.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,9 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 8 with 11 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6 with 5,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6 with 7 with 1,2 with 8 with 11 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 5,9 with 1,2 with 8 with 11 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,4,8 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $24.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 1,9,11 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $24.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 1,6 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 7 with 3,4 with 7,10 with 11 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 3,5 with 11 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 5 with 7 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 5,9,12 - $24.00

Total: $240.00


P4 Grid:

6: 7-9 (A), 5 (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-2 (A), 4 (B), 3 (C)
8: 7-8-10 (A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
9: 11 (A), 5-9-12 (B), 2-6-10-13 (C)


All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 4 with 7,10 with 11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 5,8 with 11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 5,9,12 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4 with 7,10 with 11 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 5,8 with 11 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 5,9,12 - $6.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (5/2/7/12) Paid $86.25
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 4 with 5,8 with 11 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 4 with 7,10 with 5,9,12 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 5,8 with 5,9,12 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 11 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 3 with 7,10 with 11 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 3 with 11 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 1,2 with 7,10 with 2,6,10,13 - $16.00

Total: $77.00

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S WEDNESDAY RESULTS

 

Kentucky Downs - Closing Day

I'll start the day with a Cold Double: Race 1 - #7 Barbabos (3-1), which should really enjoy the extra half furlong and #2 Watusi (7-2) in Race 2, who should improve after adventuress debut at Arlington. DD - 7 2


R6 - Alw 100k/N1X (Turf 8F 70yds)

#3 Ketel Twist (12-1) - Top barn excels 2nd off. 3RD
#11 More Than Less (5-1) - Rosie looks to save ground early and explode late. 2ND
#12 Knotty Pine (GB) (6-1) - Finally broke through at PENN and fits on speed figure numbers.
#9 In My Time (6-1) - Should be forwardly placed again, but have to question her holding on the final furlong. WON $8.60

R7 - Kentucky Downs Ladies Marathon 200k (Turf 10.5F)

#5 White Rose (9-2) - Expecting a sharp performance with the freshening and better draw. WON $11.80
#11 Cat's Claw (4-1) - Familiar with outside post and the distance is not a question.
#9 Customer Base (5-1) - Former graded stakes winner has battled some nice fillies and this is considered a drop in class.
#7 I'm Your Luv (30-1) - Best race came here last year (86BSF) and Borel should secure the lead early.

R8 - Kentucky Downs Ladies Marathon 200k (Turf 10.5F)

#5 I O Ireland (6-1) - Block knows what stock to send to Ky Downs and she looks ready for the task. 2ND
#6 Tabreed (GB) (7-2) - She was impressive last fall and she's rounding in to top form again. 3RD
#7 Topic (4-1) - When Drysdale ships you must take notice. Saddle slipped in last.
#9 Auld Alliance (Ire) (10-1) - Eligible to take a step forward off last and Leparoux fits him well.

R9 - Kentucky Downs Turf Dash (Turf 6.5F) NOTE: Projected front end runners #2 & #9 scratch will benefit #12 Something Extra, Also #13 Expecting Cash (8-1) draws in for Amoss, which is showing confidence throwing him into stakes company after a $7.5k Starter Alw win.

#6 Undrafted (7-2) - There's enough speed lined up for him to produce a late rally and anything like his win at Belmont gets it done here. 3RD
#12 Something Extra (5-2) - Will have to contend with other front runners, but he just might be too good for them. 2ND
#4 Big Blue Spirit (GB) (12-1) - Solid turf runner should appreciate the cut back and the price will be right.
#1 Dimension (GB) (9-2) - Working well and a minor award is well within the scope. WON $12.40

R10 - Starter Alw 7.5F (Turf 12F)

#1 Coturnix (8-5) - Fits at this level and the extra distance seems ideal. All the arrows point his way. WON $3.20
#4 Geaux Wando (20-1) - Comes in off the bench and should produce a late rally.
#5 Takepointsandrun (5-1) - Steps up after handling lesser. Ellis Park form has held well at the meet and Borel will probably secure a front end position. 3RD
#3 Ephram S (9-2) - Decent run here about 3 weeks ago and would be no surprise if he gets a minor slice.

PK5 - 3 11 12 / 5 9 11 / 5 6 / 4 6 12 / 1 = $27 for $.50

PK4 - 2 3 5 7 9 11 / 5 6 7 9 / 4 6 12 / 1 4 = $48 for $.50


 


 


BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/20


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Emkanaat 5-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Happy Fella 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cheyenne Nation 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Empty Headed 9-2 WON ($19.20)


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Love and Marriage 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #3 Truly Mizzed 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Forensic 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Lavery 8-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

What a tightly bunched group. As discussed with Nick Tammaro Friday, don't think 5-2 Sky Painter is any more likely than another half dozen in here..

Most Likely: #8 Fizzy Pink 5-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Miss Melina SCR
Next Best: #12 Distorted Beauty 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Painter 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Funny Money 15-1 11th


8th: 21st Gallant Bloom (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #4 Classic Point 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Willet 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Merry Meadow 4-1 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Will go to 'other' Chad Brown here as 'likely', but this is a mysterious group..

Most Likely: #9 Verger 5-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Street Jersey 10-1 3rd (2nd for wagering)
Next Best: #2e Darley entry 3-1 WON/2nd ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #1e Santulli ownership entry 6-1 6th/11th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT

Pedigree players and strong trainer karmas abound here. Candidates clear but possibilities feel wide..

Most Likely: #6 Dubai Sky 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #4 Sanad 12-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Fire Away 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Grey Wizard 6-1 2nd



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


12th: Pennsylvania Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f

Candy Boy is still progressing and is by far the best price among the win candidates. Ideal key horse in this setting..

Best Value: #2 CANDY BOY 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 California Chrome 1-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Bayern 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #5 Noble Moon 15-1 4th

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

PARX


R9 - PB Alphabet Soup Handicap 100k (Turf 8.5F)

#8 El Captain (20-1)
#4 Page McKenney (7-2)
#10 Atlantic Seaboard (8-1)
#5 Edge of Reality (5-1)

R10 - Gallant Bob

#4 Prudhoe Boy (6-1)
#6 Fast Anna (8-5)
#7 Good Bye Greg (5-1)
#5 Pure Sensation (4-1)

R11 - G1 Cotillion

#8 Untapable (7-5)
#1 Cassatt (12-1)
#9 Stopchargingmaria (7-2)
#3 House Rules (20-1)


R12 - G1 Pennsylvania Derby

#7 Tapiture (5-1)
#5 Noble Moon (15-1)
#1 California Chrome (1-1)
#3 Protonico (8-1)

PK4 - 4 5 6 8 10 / 4 6 / 1 8 / 1 5 7 = $30 for $.50


Churchill Downs


R7 - MSW 37k (2yo 5F)

#5 Bottom Line (4-1)
#4 Corps of Discovery (9-2)
#2 Infinitys Moon (5-1)
#1 Ward Entry (3-1)

R8 - OC 62k/N2X

#6 Taketheodds (8-5)
#3 Sassy Kiss (3-1)
#1 Taylor Street (6-1)
#7 Ms Hoochie Coochie (12-1)

R9 - G3 Dogwood

#3 Bird Maker (6-1)
#2 Fiftyshadesofgold (2-1)
#6 Enjoy the Family (15-1)
#4 Milam (7-2)

R10 - Clm 5k

#2 Quiet Rebel (6-1)
#4 Justtheguytodoit (10-1)
#5 Popular Cause (10-1)
#9 Froggyville (9-5)

PK4 - 1 2 4 5 6 / 6 / 2 3 6 / 2 4 5 9 = $30 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY RESULTS

 

Churchill Downs - Twilight Card


R7 - Starter Alw 16k (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Midnight Notes (2-1) WON DH $2.40
#2 Sky Alert (3-1) WON DH $3.20
#6 Aroney (9-2) 4TH
#4 Thunder Affair (7-2) 3RD

R8 - OC 80k/N3X

#3 Sabercat (12-1)
#2 Cameo Appearance (3-1) WON $6.20
#6 Class Leader (5-1)
#9 Nicklaus Way (10-1) 2ND

R9 - Clm 40k

#3 Twin Engine (6-1) 4TH
#2 A.P. Corsair (9-5) 3RD
#4 Wild Target (10-1) 2ND
#6 Vistionary Ruler (2-1) SCR

R10 - Clm 15k N2L

#7 Dehaven (4-1) 4TH
#2 Marshall Raylan (6-1) 2ND
#3 Paden(4-1)
#6 One More Night (7-2) WON $7.20

PK4 - 1 2 4 6 / 2 3 6 / 2 3 / 1 2 3 6 7 8 = $72

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S WEDNESDAY RESULTS

 

Kentucky Downs - Closing day


R6 - Alw 100k N1X (Turf 6F)

#12 County Corrections (8-1) - Expecting a bounce back effort in turf debut. WON $43.40
#6 Prosecution (3-1) - In good form and right time to move up from Starter Alw company. 4TH
#8 Party Time (8-1) - Barn knows who to send to this meet.
#10 Indiano Jones (7-2) - Seems like the plan will be to take back and make a late run. 2ND

R7 - MSW 90k (Turf 2yo f 8F)

#4 Lead the Line (8-1) - Gets a better draw and Bridgmo is due.
#5 Wild Covey (8-1) - Bug boy also has a goose egg for the meet, but picks up a live runner that should improve in 2nd start.
#9 Marchitini (8-1) - Never had a chance in debut after running off and deserves another shot. 2ND
#3 Walking the Kitten (3-1) - Ramsery 1ster has to be respected. WON $4.60

R8 - Alw 100k N1X (Turf 10.5F)

#8 Alakazan Alakazan (2-1) - Exits a key race where he finished 2nd to eventual Dueling Grounds winner My Afleet held off Medal Count earlier in the meet. The slight cut back should help as well. WON $5.00
#9 Dye Fore (5-1) - He's definitely the wild card in this event. It's not everyday that we have a European import trying the grass for the first time. Motion holds a strong hand with top two picks.
#3 Bingo Kitten (7-2) - Comes out of the same race as the top choice, but must make up 2.5 lengths. 2ND
#1 Sportscaster (9-2) - Have a feeling that he'll enjoy the longer trips. SCR

R9 - Alw 102k N2X (Turf 6F)

#8 Dream Softly (8-1) - Has won twice off the bench and looks to get a nice stalking trip. 4TH
#2 Frabster (4-1) - Could take advantage of her early speed and stay around when it counts. 2ND
#1 Elusive Fate (9-2) - Consistent sort battled Graded company last year and her two career turf races are solid.
#5 Senior Prom (8-1) - Didn't show much on a sloppy track in the G3 Iowa Oak in most recent. but comes in fresh and off a sharp workout.

R10 - MSW 90k (Turf 8F)

#10 Cedar Creek (10-1) - Missed the break in debut and expecting big improvement from savvy barn in this spot. 3RD
#2 Kite (8-1) - Took money over the summer in Chicago and draws well here.
#6 World Class Kitten (3-1) - All systems go in debut for Ramsey/Maker/Rosie combination.
#7 One Touch (9-2) - Has been close and definitely fits on numbers. WON $11.00

PK5 - 6 8 10 12 / 4 5 / 8 / 1 2 4 5 6 8 / 2 6 10 = $72 for $.50

PK4 - 3 4 5 7 9 / 8 / 1 2 4 5 6 8 / 2 6 10 = $45 for $.50

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY RESULTS  

 

Woodbine


R6 - G1 Northern Dancer (Turf 12F)

#5 Villandry (10-1) - The extra ground and Castellano are the key here. 4TH
#7 Ardous Snow (3-1)
#8 Shiekhzayedroad (GB) (6-1) WON $8.30
#9 Perfect Timber (10-1)

R7 - OC 62k/N2X

#5 Cabo Queen (6-1)
#8 Black Bird Rock (2-1) 2ND
#1 Good So Far (3-1)
#7 Coachella Valley (8-1) 3RD

R8 - OC 40k/C

#11 Lions Bay (6-1)
#8 Battle for Gold (4-1)
#4 Sparrowhawk (12-1)
#3 D's Perfect Soul (8-1)

PK3 - 5 7 8 / 5 8 / 4 8 11 = $3.60 X 5 = $18

R9 - G2 Canadian (Turf 9F)

#7 Dance Again (12-1)
#10 Solid Appeal (5-2)
#3 Deceptive Vision (7-2) WON $11.30
#2 Lexie Lou (3-1)

R10 - OntB Alw 47.5K N2L

#7 I'm Just Sayin (7-2)
#3 Lady Diba (6-1) 2ND
#8 Natural Blonde (4-1)
#2 Virreina (3-1) 3RD
R11 - G1 Woodbine Mile (Turf 8F)

#4 Silver Freak (20-1) - Have a feeling Johnny V will take it to them early and often today.
#2 Trade Storm (GB) (6-1) - Like the fact he ran a good one here last year and this seems to be the preferred distance. WON $11.10
#9 Jack Milton (7-2) - Consistent sort is definitely in the mix for all slots.
#5 Kaigun (5-2) - Not sure he'll have enough speed up front for his best, but must be played underneath. 2ND

PK4 - 3 4 8 11 13 / 2 3 7 10 / 3 7 8 / 2 4 9 = $36 for $.20 X 2 = $72

 

 

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 27th Noble Damsel (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

An excellent wagering event even if 7-2 ML fave Annecdote runs her race first time NA (1st/Lasix) for Clement. Byrama (10-1), Devilish Love (6-1), Love Train (6-1), Medea (12-1), Julie's Love (10-1) and Baffle Me (5-1) all have credentials/styles that can impact this in any pay slot. Unless you're convinced Annecdote 'can't lose', feels like you'll need to spread to start the P4..

Best Value: #1 Byrama 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Baffle Me 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Annecdote 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #7 Medea 12-1 7th


8th: 20th Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Agree with Nick Tammaro's Friday ATR thoughts that Ball Dancing -- out of the Group 1 Prix de Diane -- has potential to excel in this solid group at a decent price (for a Chad Brown import). Xcellence, Brown's other Euro-soph, has now been beaten twice in the US and had zero excuses upstate when failing to get the money in the Lake Placid after putting her head in front late. Plenty of obvious candidates in good form (Sea Queen, A Little Bit Sassy, Daring Dancer) are signed on here, but Miss Besilu (10-1) offers bonus pricing returning the grass after a summer of modest main track success including an Alabama board hit. Walk Close (15-1) looks like the type who can clunk up for 3rd or 4th. Mott and Clement at 10-1 and 15-1 respectively? Yes please..

Most Likely: #10 Ball Dancing 5-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #1 Xcellence 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Besilu 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Walk Close 15-1 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (DD)

Some nice pedigrees here. Pletcher's Daredevil (More Than Ready) a half to Albertus Maximus (Albert the Great); Donk's Mandolin Wins (Bluegrass Cat) half to Fiftyshadesofhay (Pulpit); Wild Dynaformer (Dynaformer) a half to full Pulpit brothers Pyro and Longview Drive. Hot 2yo barns send Bow Tie Boss (Jerkens) and Mizumi (Asmussen). Orseno's 2nd out Breezy My Way exits the 8/9 Spa MSW that produced Requite-Two Weeks Off-Da Jenius. Tricky read on this potentially important set..

Most Likely: #4 Daredevil 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 Bow Tie Boss 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Breezy My Way 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Mandolin Wins 15-1 4th


10th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #4 Mobridge 9-2 9th
Next Best: #10 Sneaky Kitten 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Analysis 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Hurry Up Alan 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Status of Forces 50-1 12th


$75 P4 Grid/Plays:

7: 1-6-9 (A), 3-4-7 (B), 2-5-8 (C)
8: 1-10 (A), - (B), 3-4-5-6-8-9 (C)
9: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-5-6-7-8-9 (C)
10: 4 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-8-12 (C)

Simple A/B's: 6x2x2x3 = $72 ($36 for .50)


Option with single of Daredevil in 9th and using 6 in 10th:

7: 1-3-4-6-7-9
8: 1-10
9: 4
10: 1-4-7-8-10-12

6x2x1x6 = $72 ($36 for .50)


Full A/B/C's: 11 plays = $75

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 4 with 4 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7 with 1,10 with 4 with 4 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 1 with 4 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 4 with 7,10 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7 with 1,10 with 1 with 4 - $3.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,7 with 1,10 with 4 with 7,10 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 1 with 7,10 - $6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,8 with 1,10 with 4 with 4 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9 with 4 with 4 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 2,3,5,6,7,8,9 with 4 - $21.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,9 with 1,10 with 4 with 1,8,12 - $9.00

Total: $75.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY RESULTS
 


Churchill Downs


R7 - Md 30k

#3 Tizsotiznot (3-1) - Underated barn knows when to take the hood off. 3RD
#4 Mexican Miss (7-2) - The slight cut back should have him right there at the end. 2ND
#1 Concert Pianist (5-2) - Better races came here and Simms is always dangerous under the Twin Spires. WON $5.20
#5 Speedy Girl (4-1) - Should be forwardly placed. 4TH

R8 - Clm 40k N2L

#5 Purple Sky (7-2) - Mixed signals, but thinking he might be to much for this group.
#2 Shobiz Star (8-1) - Turf to dirt could have been intentional. WON $20.20
#6 Buck Magic (3-1) - Looks to be involved early and could be gone without any pressure. 4TH
#7 Scoonie Nation (5-1) - Minor award seems top as he faces winners for the 1st time.

R9 - Alw 39k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Franklin (3-1) - Broke maiden here and last should set him up well for 2nd off.
#4 Mr. Chow (7-2) - Draws well and definitely fits on speed figures. WON $12.00
#2 Stroll to Victory (4-1) - Have a feeling he might need one. 2ND
#7 Vigorish (7-2) - Held his own versus a contentious group in most recent at Saratoga.

R10 - MSW 37k

#4 Loud Cat (6-1) - Working well and barn high % with runners off the bench.
#3 Abbaa (5-1) - 1ster sharp in the mornings and attracts Rosie. 4TH
#5 Panama Will (4-1) - Two decent spins on this course.

PK4 - 1 3 4 / 2 5 6 / 4 8 / 2 3 4 5 8 =$45 for $.50  


 


 


BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/11


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Four that have run exit Spa turf routes (Mott-Maker-Dilger-Friedman), while inside/outside faves Cover Up (Shug) and Kinsley (Pletcher) stretch out from debuts. Tony Dutrow offers Cara Marie, a $460k Three Chimneys purchase that has mixed signals as to readiness. Tricky start to late P4..

Most Likely: #1 Cover Up 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Kinsley 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Classy Teacher 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Midnight Citra 5-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Golden Story 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Charlie's Picnic 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #3 Bajan Summer 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lunar Tales 7-2 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Encryption 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 M J Plus 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Mosler 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Sir Leslie 10-1 7th


9th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T

Most Likely: #11 Bella Kateri 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #9 Rose Quartz 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Maura's Pass 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: ##5 Roman Reign 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 4-5 (B), 3 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 2 (C)
8: 1-8 (A), 6 (B), 5-7 (C)
9: 11 (A), 1-9 (B), 4-5 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S 9/11 RAINBOW 6 RESULTS 

 

Gulfstream Park - $150 PK6 Mandatory payout


R5 - Md 12.5k (Turf 5F)

#4 Antares (9-5)
Gulfstream Park - $150 PK6 Mandatory payout


R5 - Md 12.5k (Turf 5F)

#4 Antares (9-5) 3RD
#5 Quick Hall (3-1) WON $7.80
#6 Sequestrate (5-1) SCR
#1 Picketts Corner (4-1) 4TH

R6 - Md 12.5k

#9 R Lovely Lindsey (5-2) WON $3.20
#4 Mini Brew (3-1) 2ND
#8 Chica Chapina (4-1)
#5 Regal Presence (8-1)

R7 - Clm 30k B (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Charlie in Charge (3-1) 3RD
#8 Saturday Special (4-1) WON $8.40
#9 Mahubo (SAf) (20-1)
#6 Strongbow (6-1)

R8 - OC 10k/SAL 6k

#1 Capriccio Blue (4-1) WON $9.20
#6 Desirable Lady (6-1)
#10 Daddys Jewel (3-1) 2ND
#9 Nena's Memory (15-1)

R9 - OC 16k/N1X

#5 U.S.S. O'Brien (8-1) BEST BET WON $11.60
#11 Cowgirl Spirit (20-1)
#1 Elusive Harmony (6-1) 3RD
#4 Corner the Market (3-1) 2ND

R10 - Clm 6250 N3L

#1 Little Bart (5-2) 4TH
#9 Skibo in July (3-1)
#6 Cottontail (5-1)
#2 Bea Wildcat (10-1) 2ND

PK6 - 1 4 5 / 4 9 / 2 8 9 / 1 6 10 / 1 4 5 11 / 1 = $57.60 for $.20

PK5 - 4 5 8 9 / 2 8 9 / 1 6 10 / 1 4 5 11 / 1 = $72 for $.50 4 OF 5 PAID $252.90

PK4 - 2 6 8 9 / 1 6 10 / 1 4 5 11 / 1 9 = $48 for $.50

 

 

 

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Pacelessness adds layer of mystery to this group of mediocrities. After the obvious (2-4-6-7), Porvoo a goofy 30-1 player that is dropping in for tag after being run over her head in various ALW's for ages. Gets weight break and rail and has numerous competitive races..

Most Likely: #2 Eddy's Time 3-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Barbara's Smile 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Porvoo 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Casey Roo 5-2 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Everything unfolds depending on what happens with Sweet Sway and Trail Walker up front. If they vie for lead, the stalkers benefit, but if one or the other gets away easy, everything goes up in the air..

Most Likely: #1 Bobby Jo 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #4 What the Frost 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Mama Zee Late SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Trail Walker 6-1 2nd


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Not convinced the obvious are the way to go here. Contessa's ADK Posse a half to the good, fast 6x winner Too Tough Jake. May fire at first asking..

Most Likely: #3 Adirondack Posse 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Black Friday Rush 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Tiz a Chance 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 One Eyed Ray 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Super Add: #4 Boldlee 7-2 6th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

If the pace players (5-7-8) gut each other, Castellano can pounce with Finding Candy..

Best Value: #3 Finding Candy 8-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #5 Groomedforvictory 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Herbal Prospector 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Big Town 7-2 6th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Here He Fitz 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Groupthink 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bluegrass Flash 7-2 WON ($7.70)
Super Add: #3 Here Comes Tommy 5-1 3rd


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 5.5f

Most Likely: #8 My Ellierose 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Giant Hearted Lee 3-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Writing 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Captain Munnings 5-1 WON ($11.20)


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2-4
5: 1
6: 1-3-7
7: 3-5
8: 2-5
9: 8-9

2x1x3x2x2x2 = 48 X $2 = $96


$82 P4 Play:

6: 3-7 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 8 (B), 7 (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 4-7 (B), 3-5-6-10 (C)

 

 


 

GUS ALONSO'S WEDNESDAY ACTION 
 

Kentucky Downs


R7 - Alw 100k N1X (Turf 8F)

#8 Culprit (8-1) - Decent comeback race sets him up well for Turf debut. Bred well for the lawn and Romans does well with these types.
#8 Aqtaar (5-1) - Has done well off the bench and reunites with Graham.
#12 Sayler's Creek (3-1) - Obviously in good form, but must overcome a difficult post while taking on tougher competition. Some things to think about.
#5 Mygalsal (10-1) - A little concerned the way he drifted in last out to be DQ'd for the win, but is the only one that has ran well on this course.

R8 - Alw 100k N1X (Turf 8F)

#3 Highball (5-2)- Catalano showed tremendous confidence in the younster to throw him straight into graded company off strong maiden win. Draws well and Cat / Hill have had success here before.
#6 Archway to Heaven (8-1) - I like the fact he'll be forwardly placed in a race the lacks pace. Has been knocking at the door at Arlington.
#10 Heuston (Ire) (8-1) - Another one that should show some speed and his best races have come on the lawn.
#11 Chocolate Ride (4-1) - Tough draw to face winners for the first time, but his three career races have been sharp.

R9 - Alw 102k N2X (Turf 8F 70yds)

#3 Bitty Kitty (6-1) - It's seems like she has finally figured it out and draws perfect for her stalking style. Huge chance. (Possible singleton on smaller tickets)
#8 Share the Sugar (5-1) - Rough trip last out at Arlington, but she's lightly raced and has shown some ability.
#7 Helen Kathleen (6-1) - Moving in the right direction for top notch connections.
#11 Seanchai (7-2) - Solid turf runner is a must use in exotics despite wide draw.

R10 - MSW 80k (Turf 10.5F)

#7 Archanelus (12-1) - This seems like the perfect spot (10.5F) for a wake up call for sharp turf conditioner.
#1 Humphrey Entry (7-2) - If they both go they form a dangerous 1 - 2 combination.
#4 Lonelily (Ire) (6-1) - Lightly raced filly should really relish the extra ground.
#2 Ventoux (6-1) - Working well for return and nice to see Rosie on board.

PK4 - 4 5 7 8 9 12 / 3 6 10 11 / 3 8 / 1 4 7 = $72 for $.50

Good Racing Luck


 


 


 


BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/6


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Arch Avenger has improved 3-4 lengths since moving to grass. Candir another who looks like different horse on lawn, but 7-5 tough to accept. Mott gets Dobra Historia back for 3yo debut and gives him a chance on the turf. By Unbridled's Song out of good Amoss SW sprinter Miss Lodi, Dobra Historia's full brother Lead Singer owns both his career wins on the green..

Best Value: #7 Arch Avenger 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Candir 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Dobra Historia 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Strong Stipulation 10-1 4th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Came in looking to beat 2-1 fave Brendan G but reality is he can sit comfortably behind pacesetters or go on with it if Velasquez chooses..

Most Likely: #7 Brendan G 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Solly's Mischief 6-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #4 Ice Wagon 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two Seventeen 8-1 6th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Balancing this group's contenders means evaluating the MDN events from which those that have run exit and Lucky Leroy Brown out of the Strong Coffee-Face the Music-Firespike looks like chief beneficiary by that method. Royal Squeeze should improve after tardy start in Designed for War race 8/9 at Spa. Vision Perfect (Donk) and King of New York were steady 2nd in debuts. Shug unveils Janney H/B Command Control (Smart Strike), half to Seal Cove, Norumbega, Quiet Harbor, etc. May jump right in among these solid but unremarkable turf babies. Goldberg (#9 St. Louie, 10-1) is 6/1-2-0 since last fall debuting runners in turf routes. Expect Santulli homebred by Arch has some quality to him..

Most Likely: #4 Vision Perfect 7-2 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #2 Animal Kracker 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Royal Squeeze 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Lucky Leroy Brown 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Command Control 6-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 10f-IT (P3, DD)

Turf test at the classic distance and only a couple appear to have bona fide credentials for the task and don't think Joe's Blazing Aaron can wire them..

Most Likely: #2 Red Vine 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Shock Leader 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Star Channel 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Artic North 6-1 2nd


9th: 1st Yankee Affair, 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Tricky 12 panel affair that looks like it may have an actual assembly of pace with Red Rifle, Slim Shady and Elnaawi keeping each other honest. If that happens, ralling Reflecting will have every opportunity to get in his run..

SCR NOTE: Legendary will run in MD..

Most Likely: #1 Reflecting 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Slim Shadey 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Red Rifle 2-1 WON ($5.40)


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Messy looking group with some career maiden types. Four of these missees take MSW to MCLM drop (2-3-9-10) and it may be as simple as corralling them. Fire Ship, Keep Right and Sweetdreamsaboutme toiling at $40k level, but note each has isolated merit upon inspection. Bad horses win bad races, so be prepared for anything including 6yo mare Mini Muffin 2nd whose pre-Saratoga effort turf sprinting produced the best last race Beyer (62) in this field..

Most Likely: #9 Lil' Zilla 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Sweetdreamsaboutme 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Keep Right 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Chrissy Girl 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Fire Ship 3-1 WON ($9.60)


<$200 P6 Grid:

5: 6-7 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
6: 7 (A), - (B), 2-4-6 (C)
7: 4 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 5-8-9 (C)
8: 2 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 1 (A), 2 (B), 3-6 (C)
10: 9 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-2-3-5-6-8-10 (C)

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 2,3,7 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $12.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 6,9 with 1 with 9 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 2 with 9 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 1 with 4,7 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 2,3,7 with 6,9 with 1 with 9 - $24.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 2,3,7 with 2 with 2 with 9 - $12.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 2,3,7 with 2 with 1 with 4,7 - $24.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 6,9 with 2 with 9 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,7 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 2 with 4,7 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $2.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 2,4,6 with 4 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $12.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 5,8,9 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $12.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 1,5 with 1 with 9 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 3,6 with 9 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 7 with 4 with 2 with 1 with 1,2,3,5,6,8,10 - $28.00

Total: $198.00


<$75 P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-4 (A), 5-7-9 (B), 6-8 (C)
8: 2 (A), 4-6-9 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 1 (A), 2-6 (B), 3 (C)
10: 9 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-2-3-5-6-8-10 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $1.50

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,9 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $1.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 4,6,9 with 1 with 9 - $4.50
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 2,6 with 9 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 1 with 3,4,7 - $4.50

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,9 with 4,6,9 with 1 with 9 - $4.50
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,9 with 2 with 2,6 with 9 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,9 with 2 with 1 with 3,4,7 - $4.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 4,6,9 with 2,6 with 9 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 4,6,9 with 1 with 3,4,7 - $13.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 2,6 with 3,4,7 - $9.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 2 with 1 with 9 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 1,5,7 with 1 with 9 - $4.50
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 3 with 9 - $1.50
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,4 with 2 with 1 with 1,2,5,6,8,10 - $9.00

Total: $74.50



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Power Nap 5-1
Next Best: #1 Sourcesandmethods 5-2
Best Value: #8 Tanner's Popsicle 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Reed's Bridge 12-1


8th: 31st Locust Grove, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Don't Tell Sophia 5-2
Next Best: #7 Molly Morgan 5-2
Best Value: #5 Ria Antonia 8-1
Exotics Use: #3 On Fire Baby 2-1


9th: 33rd Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Hashtag Bourbon 4-1
Best Value: #7 Danny Boy 6-1
Next Best: #2 Mr. Z 5-2
Exotics Use: #6 Cleveland Sound 6-1


10th: 46th Pocahontas (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pangburn 9-2
Best Value: #6 Frolic to the Wire 10-1
Next Best: #1 Loom 6-1
Exotics Use: #8 Take Charge Brandi 7-2


11th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Sky Hero 7-2
Next Best: #4 Risetotheoccasion 4-1
Best Value: #1 Sturdy Allen 6-1
Exotics Use: #3 Divine Storm 4-1


P5 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), - (B), 4-8-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 7 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), 4-6-8 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-6 (B), 4-7-8 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 3-6 (C)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 2 (C)
9: 1 (A), 2-7-6 (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-6 (B), 4-7-8 (C)
11: 4-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 3-6 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY RESULTS 

 

Arlington Park

R7 - Arlington Washington-Lassie 100k (2yo f 7F)

#1 Lemon Gala (8-1) - Only one with a win at the distance on this surface. Barn on fire this meet.
#2 Sarah Sis (5-2) - Serious contender after blowout debut win. 2ND
#7 Susan's Day (5-1) - Comes in from Presque Isle after sharp debut at a mile.
#4 Puntsville (3-1) - Has plenty of gas early, but will have company. 4TH

R8 - Arlington Washington-Futurity 100 (2yo 7F)

#7 Ike Walker (9-2) - Draws well after impressive maiden score at the distance.
#4 Recount (3-1) - Maybe didn't care for the dirt at Prairie Meadows, but the poly debut sticks out. WON $5.80
#6 Bourbon Cowboy (4-1) - Two solid efforts to start career and should improve with the stretch out. 4TH
#5 Private Prospect (7-2) - Hard to argue with being undefeated in 3 starts, but the speed numbers are light. 2ND

R9 - Alw 31k N1X (Turf 5F)

#5 Bajan Rhythm (12-1) - Benefits form all the speed lined up.
#6 Goesse (6-1) - Last two have been sharp and could translate it to the turf. 2ND
#9 Voodoo Spell (5-2) - Ultra consistent and just need a clean trip. 3RD
#2 Bluegrass Dan (8-1) - Could catch a flyer and be difficult to reel in.

R10 - MSW 31k (Turf 2yo 8F)

#5 Oak Brook (4-1) - Full brother to multiple Grade 1 winner (Giant Oak), who won his debut at Arlington going a mile on the Turf for the same connections. Deja Vu. (Singleton) 2ND
#11 Lawless Est (3-1) - Working well for the Cat Man.
#1 Willing to Travel (8-1) - Made a nice late move in debut and should due the same from the inside draw.
#12 Kinsmanor (10-1) - Should be tighter in 2nd start.

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 7 / 4 6 7 / 2 5 6 8 9 / 5 = $37.50 for $.50


Gulfstream Park POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R9 - MSW 43k (2yo f 6.5F)

#12 Undertherain (6-1)
#5 So It's True (8-1)
#3 Free Flying (4-1) WON $14.60
#8 Danessa Deluxe (3-1) 2ND

R10 - Florida Stallion Affirmed 250k (2yo 7F)

#1 Sing Praises (7-5) - Clean break and he could be gone. 2ND
#9 Twotwentyfive A (10-1) - Solid debut and hopes the extra furlong helps. WON $11.60
#3 Of Course (3-1) - Can easily complete the Stanley Gold Trifecta.
#8 Wayne's Way (12-1) - Expect him involved early.

R11 - Florida Stallion Susan's Girl 250k (2yo f 7F)

#8 Hangover Saturday (12-1) - Works indicate she likes the dirt as well.
#3 Awesome Ice (5-1) - Zimmerman sticks here after maiden score. 4TH
#6 Standard Deal (4-1) - Will be gunning from the sound of the bell.
#9 Holywell (12-1) - Deserves another shot after troubled trip. WON $85.60

R12 - MSW 43k (Turf 2yo F 5.5F)

#12 Catfight Cowgirl (10-1) 2ND
#6 Golden Emily (6-1)
#4 R Javy's Dream (5-2)
#7 Artiebabe (20-1) 3RD

PK4 - 3 5 8 12 / 1 9 / 3 6 8 9 / 4 6 12 = $48 for $.50


Kentucky Downs POST SCRATCHES - FIRM


R7 - Kentucky Downs Juvenile 200k (Turf 2yo 7F)

#2 Luck of the Kitten (5-2) - Should be tough on the front end. 2ND
#4 Reality (7-2) - Two decent efforts to start career at Saratoga.
#8 Croninthebarbarian (8-1) - Barn excels with youngsters and improved on turf last time. WON $10.40
#9 Czar (10-1) - Made a nice late run after having trouble leaving the gate in debut. 3RD

R8 - Kentucky Downs Fillies 200k (Turf 2yo f 7F)

#2 Late Spring (8-1) - (BEST BET) Well bred filly made short work of rivals in debut and could take another forward step here. 3RD
#5 Artistic Touch (30-1) - The switch to the turf could give her a wake up call.
#1 To Be Determined (5-2) - Has the speed, but the extra distance is a concern. 4TH
#11 Nicky's Brown Miss (8-1) - Fits here on a couple of solid turf efforts. WON $19.60

R9 - Dueling Grounds Derby 250k (Turf 10.5F)

#8 Medal Count (5-2) - Huge class edge and returns to what could be his best surface. 2ND
#4 My Afleet (8-1) - Proved tough on the front end at Saratoga in most recent and they'll have to get by him to win. WON $19.00
#2 Can'thelpbelieving (Ire) (9-2) - Seems to always bring it and fits well with this group. 3RD
#6 Woodfield Springs (8-1) - Better when close to the pace and capable of a minor award

R10 - MSW 80k (Turf 12F) - Head scratcher to end sequence.

#5 Diacetto (10-1) - Well bred and thinking the blinkers will wake him up.
#10 Wall Street Kitten (5-1) - This extra distance might be to his liking.
#8 Northeast Bound (5-2) - 11 chances with 6 board finishes is hard to trust on top, but the change in scenery might help him get over the hump. WON $6.80
#3 Lune de Caro (20-1) - Showed some ability when last seen over 26 months ago.

PK4 - 2 4 8 / 1 2 5 11 / 4 8 / 3 5 8 10 13 = $60 for $.50 PAID $826.35 FOR $.50

 

 

 

DEL MAR RESULTS 9/3


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, PL Pick All)

Best Value: #7 FLOWINWITHEBREEZ 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Susan B Good 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Three Blondes 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Lethal Story 3-1 WON ($12.40)


2nd: 16th Pirate's Bounty-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

No shortage of pace dependents here which makes you think think returning No Silent and last out sparkler Bull Dozer may be ones to use most..

Most Likely: #1 Bull Dozer 3-1 5th
Next Best #6 Seeking the Sherif 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 No Silent 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Ankeny Hill 5-1 WON ($14.00)


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Treacherous low level sellers with droppers, raisers, last-chance-on-the-synthetic players grappling. If it's not Fighter Squadron from the remarkably resurgent Hess-Desormeaux, it could be any..

Most Likely: #5 Fighter Squadron 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Friendly Banter 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Barney Rebel 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Tiznow or Then 4-1 7th


4th: 21st C.E.R.F., F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

That was a bad 3rd at .80 by Reneesgotzip in the 4 mare Rancho Bernardo and it doesn't inspire a great deal of confidence for today. Class of field obviously and a slam dunk if right, but..

Most Likely: #1 Reneesgotzip 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #2 Top Kisser 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Kinz Funky Monkey 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Clearly Confused 6-1 6th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Zip Cat 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Sunrise Legacy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 World Famous Sam T 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Valentine Boy 12-1 WON ($23.20)


<$75 P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 1-3 (B), 5 (C)
2: 1-6 (A), 4 (B), 5 (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-6-8 (B), 3-7 (C)
4: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-5-6-7-9 (C)
5: 11 (A), 3-12 (B), 6-7-10 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50
4 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 11 - $1.50
12 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 2,8 with 11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 4 with 5 with 1 with 3,12 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 2,8 with 11 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 1,6,8 with 1 with 3,12 - $6.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 2,8 with 3,12 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $1.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 5 with 5 with 1 with 11 - $0.50
19 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 3,7 with 1 with 11 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 4,5,6,7,9 with 11 - $5.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 7 with 1,6 with 5 with 1 with 6,7,10 - $3.00

Total: $56.00


6th: 3rd Oak Tree Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Mysterious event with 7 maidens involved including Casse FTS (first time starter) Conquest Bespoke which gets Mike Smith. I'm trying the other Casse..

Best Value: #8 Pioneerof the West 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Dallas Skyline 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Papacoolpapacool 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Daddy D T 8-1 WON ($7.20)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Cougar Country a half to SW Procurement..

Most Likely: #2 Cougar Country 7-2 10th
Best Value: #4 Pretentious 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Fame and Power 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Stormy Liberal 9-2 8th


8th: 67th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Baffert has won this 11 times. He has also taken 'blinkers off' in a 2nd career start 92 times in the last 5 years with 35% W's and 72% ITM results..

Best Value: #1 American Pharoah 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #5 Iron Fist 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Skyway 9-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Calculator 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $35.20
$1 Trifecta (1-4-5) Paid $121.30
$1 Superfecta (1-4-5-9) Paid $541.80



9th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (DD)

Very tough group to separate with serious firsters and several with experience that are easily good enough..

Most Likely: #7 Stormy Adieu 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #5 Diamond Debbie 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Flat Footed Mama 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pause the Memories 5-1 10th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Taste Like Candy 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Disregarded 5-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Practising 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Vanlose Stairway 9-2 7th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Kukaluka 8-1 6th


<$65 P4 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
8: 1 (A), 5-9 (B), 4-6-7-8 (C)
9: 5-7 (A), 1 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 1 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 3-8-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 1 with 1 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 1 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 1 with 1 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 1 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 5,7 with 2,4,7 - $12.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 1 with 2,4,7 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,10 with 1 with 5,7 with 1 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 4,6,7,8 with 5,7 with 1 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 2,6 with 1 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 1 with 5,7 with 3,8,9 - $6.00

Total: $64.00

 

 

 

 

After an emotional penultimate day that bid adieu to Tom Durkin's immortal race-calling career, the Saratoga season draws to a close Monday. The stand moved at what felt like an especially brisk pace this summer and the Labor Day slate offers one last opportunity to score at the Spa. I hope everyone has enjoyed the coverage of Saratoga and benefited from the information and opinions offered. It's been a great meet with no shortage of the typical ecstasy, agony and frustration and satisfaction.

After today, ATR moves back to 9a-12p Tuesday and will shift to Sirius 220/XM 206 next Monday. Note that the show will only be available online Tuesday-Friday on SportsZone 961 and at www.stevebyk.com.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 9/1


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Wide open start to season-ender..

Most Likely: #3 Keening 5-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #4 Bella Serenade 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Clearbrook 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Lady of Gold 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Kitten's Queen 6-1 3rd


2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Joshan's Giant 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Brad's Ruby 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #10 Jilly Mac 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Honeychild 12-1 4th


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Elusive New Yorker 4-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Got Winged 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Buddy the Elf 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mark My Style 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Fleeting 3-1 8th


4th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 I Spent It 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Competitive Edge 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Signature Cat 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Requite 4-1 4th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Treacherous group of older state bred MDN's..

Most Likely: #1e Live Oak entry 1-1 2nd/6th
Next Best: #9 Curious Cal 5-1 WON ($18.40)
Best Value: #4 Hidden Warrior Late SCR-Gate
Exotics Use: #5 Keen's Cupla 6-1 5th


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 3-4 (A), 5-8 (B), 1 (C)
2: 1-2 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), 5-9-11 (C)
4: 5-6 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
5: 1-9 (A), 4 (B), 3-5-8 (C)

$0.50 Pick 5 (3/1/6,11,12,13,14/6/9) Paid $1,505.00


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 10 (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 7-8 (B), 5-9 (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
5: 1-9 (A), 4-5 (B), 3-8 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Live in Joy 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #11 Abilio 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Which Market 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Where's Danny 30-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Ask Chuck is a half to Here Comes Ben..

Most Likely: #1 Carpe Diem 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 River of Dreams 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ready for Rye 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Old Mexico 6-1 8th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Box Office 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Wizardly 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 C J's Awesome 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Grand Strand 15-1 10th
Super Add: #6 Harpoon 6-1 6th


9th: Saranac (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ring Weekend 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #4 Cabo Cat 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Storm 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Wallyanna 7-2 5th


10th: CLM, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #10 Shankopotomus 5-2 10th
Best Value: #9 Seeker 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Moe Man 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Capital City 12-1 WON ($28.60)


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 1-8-9 (A), 6-7-10 (B), 2-3-5-11 (C)
9: 1 (A), 4-5 (B), 10 (C)
10: 10 (A), 8-9 (B), 1-4-7 (C)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,9,11,12/8/1,2,6,9/1) Paid $366.25
 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Flamingo Lane 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 Revealing Moment 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 High Jinks 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Arsenal 10-1 6th

.10 SUPER: 6-11/6-9-11/1-6-7-9-11/1-2-5-6-7-9-11 (2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


2nd: CLM, F&M_3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Go Olivia Go 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Coast of Sangria 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Ginny's Grey 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 E Z Passer 7-2 WON ($11.40)


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 River Rocks 4-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #5 Candyman E 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Salutos Amigos 6-2 2nd


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Goodnewsisnonews 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Belly of the Whale 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Yellow Mountain 12-1 9th
Best Value:: #3 The Spotted Wonder 20-1 4th
Super Add: #7 March Reward 5-1 3rd


5th: OC/N2X,

Most Likely: #1 Upgrade 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Cajun Breeze 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Summer Breezing 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Bye Bye Bernie 12-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Hear the Footsteps 5-1 8th


P5 Grid:

1: 6-11 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
2: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C)
4: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-7 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-4 (B), 5-6-12 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's):


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3 (A), 1-5 (B), 2 (C)
4: 1-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-7 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 4-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4xx3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's):


6th: Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Outstanding betting opportunity. Take any combo you believe in and fire. By my count, there are 2,352 superfecta combos to consider (7x8x7x6). I'm keying Irish Mission..

Most Likely: #6 IRISH MISSION 6-1 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #4 Emotional Kitten 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Whatsdachances 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cat's Claw 3-1 6th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$151k P6 C/O starts here..

Good looking group of baby gals. #1 Lady Serena a half to Honor Code..

Most Likely: #8 Feathered 6-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #3 Etiquette 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lady Serena 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Red Hot Heels 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Theophilia 15-1 7th


8th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Completely wide open. Sartorius, from legendary adman Bill Backer and Sheppard, is a full to Romans Reward and half to Art Fan. Wasn't precocious at 2 but who cares?

Best Value: #7 Sartorius 20-1 10th
Next Best: #11 T Sizzle 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Alexahente 6-1 WON via DQ ($6.90)
Super Add: #9 Coach Inge 10-1 8th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Gombey Dancer 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Chapman 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 John's Island 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1a Mr. O'Leary 5-1 WON ($10.20)


10th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Angela Renee 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Winter Dawn 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 By the Moon 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Condo Commando 4-1 WON ($8.70)


11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Another fantastic opportunity at boxcar payouts. Using #9 Dreaming of Danny too..

Most Likely: #8 Hard Enough 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 OFF TURF SCR
Next Best: #11 OFF TURF SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Odeon 20-1 4th
Super Add:#1 OFF TURF SCR


12th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f

Best Value: #12 Pierce's Prize 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Saint Joseph 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Persuasive Devil 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Ostralenko 7-2 6th


P6 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 1-3 (B), 7-10 (C)
8: 7-11 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
9: 8 (A), 3 (B), 4 (C)
10: 2 (A), 6 (B), 4 (C)
11: 8 (A), - (B), 6-11 (C)
12: 8-12 (A), 10 (B), 5 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $178


P4 Grid:

9: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 1-10 (C)
10: 2 (A), 6 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
11: 6-8-11 (A), 1-4-9 (B), 5-7 (C)
12: 8-12 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-7-11 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $91

 

 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/30



POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Opening note is that all the AE's demand attention should any draw in, especially C. Brown's Royal Squeeze. Epsilon (Desert Party) a half to Alpha, though relation to turf router Lavender Sky as appropriate as any sibling strength tie-in. Will protect on favorite Firespike WON ($5.30), but think he's the type that will be leapfrogged by new faces..

Most Likely #7 Epsilon 5-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Congrats to Ken 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Tapkee 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Sierra Delta 15-1 10th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

From famed Steinbrenner racemare Dream Supreme by Md'O, Gold Shield a $1,000,000 Farish purchase that Kinsman bought back into as partner. Half to Majestic Warrior working at Fair Hill, so you don't get Clocker Report insight, but Shug regularly live in 7f debuts. 5-1 ML, so watch board for additional clues. Da Jenius was moving well late in 5.5f debut behind sharp Requite..

Best Value: #6 Gold Shield 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Two Weeks Off 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #1 Da Jenius 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Frammento 12-1 4th


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dangerous Lad 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mshawish 2-1 3rd-Down on DQ from WIN
Exotics Use: #3 Set the Sail 6-1 WON-on DQ ($18.80)
Super Add: #6 Marine Patrol 7-2 5th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Zayat-Terranova El Kabeir adds Lasix for 2nd start which came in well rated 8/14 heat that produced Blofeld; Kick Off (Bernardini) is FTS out of fast MGSW Game Face that has worked sharply; Royal Son returns for 2nd start after highly contentious debut that produced Pride of Stride; Butchy Reid brings Bird Barrage to NY off Philly debut 3rd which says he expects win early type to improve here..

Most Likely: #5 El Kabeir 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #7 Royal Son 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Kick Off 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Birdie Barrage 12-1 8th


5th: 56th Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Spot like this is where you're supposed to try and beat a horse like Wise Dan due to illness and fact that he's giving away 8-13#'s to the field. I'm not going try, but you're supposed to..

Most Likely: #4 Wise Dan 3-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #1e Wachtel entry 5-1 5th/8th
Best Value: #10 Sky Blazer 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Five Iron 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 1-7 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-3 (C)
2: 4-6 (A), 1 (B), 5-8-9 (C)
3: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-9 (C)
4: 5 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), - (B), 1-8-9-10 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x3x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C method): $80


P4 Grid:

2: 4-6 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-8-9 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 6 (B), 1-9 (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), - (B), 1-8-9-10 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x4x3x1 = $48 ($1) $1.00 Pick 4 (4/3/5/4,5,7) Paid $327.00
Full (A/B/C method): $72


[quote=Kasept]6th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Duke of the City 5-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Prosecution 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Regulus 4-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Jade Master 15-1 4th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Challenging group with so many making 2nd starts and/or switching surface. Shift Colors, after Set the Sail and Wise Dan, could make it a big day for LoPresti. Mott 2nd timer Colorful got on track late in debut and worked well out of it. Maggie Bryant had a big day last Saturday running 1-2 in the Travers and she's got every chance here with Hope Cross from C. Brown. Chad also sends a seemingly live firster in Justice's Love and Marriage..

Best Value: #9 Shift Colors 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Colorful 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Hope Cross 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #5 Love and Marriage 6-1 4th

.10 SUPER: 9 w/ 3-4 w/ 2-3-4-5-6-7-10-12 w/ 2-3-4-5-6-7-10-12 (1x2x7x6 = 84 x .10 = $8.40)


8th: 67th Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Quirky group as almost all have similar near-lead running style. As Nick Tammaro explained Friday on ATR, Stonetastic likely offers the most versatility for assignment today, but not one of these would surprise as a photo subject..

Best Value: #2 Stonetastic 6-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #6 Miss Behaviour 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Tea Time 12-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Sweet Whiskey 2-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ballerina Belle 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Runway Ready 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Orient Harbor 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Scatcapade 5-1 3rd


10th: 35th Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Clearly Now gets his opportunity for G1 win and obviously is best on paper, but has reacted to big tries in the past and last was huge effort..

Most Likely: #8 Clearly Now 7-5 8th
Next Best: #6 Palace 3-1 WON ($10.60)
Best Value: #10 Confrontation 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Big Business 15-1 2nd


11th: 61st Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Can see Moreno/Itsmyluckyday 1-2 all the way around or possibility of the pair at each others' throats immediately. Is this the sport that one or the other of the Godolphin pair (Long River/Romansh) get over the top? Maybe. They'll get trips that put them in position to pounce. Chad Brown pair (Zivo/Last Gunfighter) have their merits. Interesting jockey moves for this include Castellano -- formerly on Last Gunfighter who gets Bravo back -- going to Norumbega with Rosario -- Norumbega's recent regular -- to Stephanoatsee after Lezcano sticks with Zivo..

Best Value: #1e Godolphin entry 8-1 7th/8th
Next Best: #2 Itsmyluckyday 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #4 Moreno 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Norumbega 10-1 9th


12th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Belisarius 3-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Iron Power 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Special Agent 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Lure of the South 20-1 11th


P4 Grid:

9: 6-8 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-9-11 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 10 (B), 2-4-9 (C)
11: 1 (A), 2-4 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
12: 1-7 (A), 8-12 (B), 4-10-11 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C method): $80

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY RESULTS

 

Saratoga POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R9 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 5.5F)

#2 Zamquick (12-1) - Rosie is a nice fit for this mare and should get a nice stalking trip. WON $53.00
#9 Silver Union (10-1) - Barn excels at Turf Sprints and it doesn't hurt when top jock sticks around for Turf debut.
#8 Ballerina Belle (3-1) - Has been knocking on the door at this level, but could have a serious case of seconditis. 2ND
#1 Orient Harbor (7-2) - Expecting another strong late run.

R10 - G1 Forego

#8 Clearly Now (7-5) - Anything close to latest and they're all running for 2nd.
#10 Confrontation (10-1) - Obviously gets a class test today, but has shown the ability to lead all the way and rate off the pace.
#6 Palace (3-1) - Not sure if 6lbs is the difference between 6.5 lengths, but he likes this surface and is definitely capable of firing a big one. WON $10.60
#3 Vyjack (15-1) - There's enough pace lined up for him to uncork a late rally for a minor award. 3RD

R11 - G1 Woodward

#4 Moreno (2-1) - Some sharp handicappers might say that the time to bet him was last time. It looks like he'll get a similar trip unless he gets bum rushed early a la Travers last week (Bayern). Controlling speed. 2ND
#2 Itsmyluckday (5-2) - Gutsy effort in latest versus top choice and adds the hood for the rematch. WON $7.70
#9 Stephanoatsee (30-1) - Bullet work coming in after solid 2nd at today's distance. Rosario fits his style well.
#5 Prayer for Relief (12-1) - Hard to endorse for win honors, but has proven a solid underneath exotic runner versus similar. 3RD

R12 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Belisarius (Ire) (3-1) - Improved every race under the care of top conditioner (O'Brien) and now adds lasix for the deadly combination of Mott/Rosario. Bet against at your own risk.
#12 Special Agent (5-1) - The slight cut back should help the cause tremendously and these connections are not to shabby either.
#8 Iron Power (7-2) - He'll be forwardly placed throughout, just have to question him late at the distance. 2ND
#9 Golden Soul (8-1) - This seems like a desperate move to switch back to the lawn after a dismal try last year at Kentucky Downs. This could actually wake him up and catch a minor piece here.

PK4 - 1 2 5 6 7 8 9 11/ 6 8 10 / 2 4 / 7 12 = $48 for $.50


Arlington Park POST SCRATCHES


R6 - Alw 31k N1X (Turf 8F)

#7 Voluptuous (9-5) 2ND
#6 Brazen Appeal (6-1)
#5 Elusive Knoll (3-1) WON $8.60
#4 Solitary Life (9-2) 4TH

R7 - Clm 20k (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Gold Former (9-2)
#2 Guest Star (3-1)
#3 Strike Impact (6-1) WON $10.60

R8 - G2 Washington Park Handicap

#4 Avanzare (5-2) WON $8.60
#5 Only in America (5-1)
#1 Fordubai (6-1) 4TH
#3 Mister Marti Gras (8-5) 3RD

R9 - Alw 31k N1X

#1 County Corrections (5-2)
#8 Sleepy (9-2)
#4 Drama Coach (7-2) 3RD
#2 Aztec Brave (Fr) (3-1)

PK4 - 2 4 5 6 7 / 2 3 8 / 4 / 1 2 4 8 = $30 for $.50

 

 

 

 

Enjoyed good day Thursday and now gear up for final 10% of summer stand. 45 races between here and Labor Day finish line, so let's make the most of them!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/29


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Tacones the right price 'key' but concerned that there's not enough early lick in here for her rally..

Best Value: #3 Tacones 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Little Gidding 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Super Add: #2 Lady Doris 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure what to do with Herd Mentality, as Asmussen barn continues to throw one dirt sprinter after another in to the lawn dash arena. Fast enough to contend from bell but not a lot to recommend for assignment from the pedigree end..

Best Value: #8 Bajan Summer 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Golden Story 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Recanted 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Kid Blast 4-1 3rd


3rd: MCLM/$65k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Not a typical MDN Claimer with some very solid faves and intriguing prices including Weaver 2nd timer getting hood and Lasix and sharp working Lewis firster for prominent owners..

Best Value: #4 One More Song 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Late Night Artist 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Amazing Little Lady 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Path to Power 15-1 6th


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Very tricky classic distance test..

Most Likely: #1e Ownership entry 5-2 3rd/8th
Best Value: #3 Springcourt 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Village Warrior 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Desvelo 10-1 2nd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lady Kreesa 2-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Take It Inside 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coriander 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Life's a Stage 4-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Devious Maddy 7-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 3-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6 (C)
2: 5-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 7 (B), 4-6 (C)
5: 4 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-7-9 (C)


P4 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 9 (B), 3-10 (C)
3: 4 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
5: 4 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-7-9 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Mish Mosh 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #4 Partly Mocha 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Flashlight 20-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Jess Not Jesse 8-1 3rd


7th: NY-CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Won Great Classic 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Jeter 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Joe Mooch 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Super Add: #5 Cay to Pomeroy Late SCR


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Would love to reach for prices but the obvious players seem to stand out. Brandini (15-1) is out of mare that is a half sister to CDN turf SW Don Cavallo hinting at possible lawn aptitude..

Most Likely: #7 Takeoff Your Hat 5-2 9th
Next Best: #8 Milkyyourway 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Brandini 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Keen Katana 7-2 3rd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Alexandre 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 My Super Nova 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Madoo Late SCR-Gate
Exotics Use: #7 Dream On 6-1 5th


10th: 6th Riskaverse, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Well-matched group of soph gals..

Most Likely: #3 Fashion Fund 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Old Harbor 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Miss Frost 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Granny Mc's Kitten 9-5 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Wild group. Clear faves, but looming firsters..

Most Likely: #6 Zindaya 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #8 Braided 4-1 10th
Best Value: #10 Miadoro 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Galroyale 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Wavell Avenue 5-1 9th
Wide Spread: #4 Court Appeal 12-1 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 7-8 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-3-4-9 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 7-9 (B), 1-2-4-11 (C)
10: 3 (A), 2-6 (B), 5 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), 1-10 (B), 4-5-9 (C)

 

 

 

 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/28


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Mrs. Jeffords, F&M-4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Jump season ends with a small group. Nothing clever to offer other than Brilliant Match potentially boosting exotics..

Most Likely: #2 Cat Feathers 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Brilliant Match 8-1 WON ($8.40)


2nd: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Five class droppers are featured among this modest assembly that looks to have potential as a staggerfest. Looking for runners who will at least have fitness on their side..

Most Likely: #4 First Bid 5-2 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #8 Fruit Ludt 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Identity Crisis 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Aggrandizement 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #1e Ownership entry 5-1 6th/8th


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

More gaudy C. Brown 'first out/turf route' stats in tow as he sends pair (#2 Kerjillion/#5 Offering Plan) with Offering Plan having worked a bit better for bow. Foxhall Drive (3rd at 9-1!) has sibling strength as half to Relatively Ready, but 7-2 seems low. Jim Lawrence 2nd timer Cosmo Storm adds Lasix for appropriate move to lawn being by Cosmonaut..

Most Likely: #5 Offering Plan 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #8 Come Around 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Cosmo Storm 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Kerjillion 2-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

C. Baker has struggled at the meet, but it feels like there are more than enough front end types involved here to give The Brothers Rap an honest target to attack in 2nd start off the layoff (26%)..

Best Value: #5 The Brothers Rap 4-1 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #3 Saturday Appeal 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Onecat's Chance 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Writingonthewall 7-2 2nd

5th: 10th With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Tough to argue against obvious types from Motion (Strong Coffee/Hot Tin Roof), Brown (Startup Nation), Pletcher (Designed for War) and Maker (International Star), but there won't be a more physically imposing colt in the paddock for this than Chris Van Culin's Nutty Futty (10-1). Modest Johar purchase was bred by Doc Chandler out of '99 Senorita winner Coracle and though a May foal, looks like a 3yo. Mellon Course should suit his long, loping style..

Best Value: #5 Nutty Futty 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Startup Nation 5-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Hot Tin Roof 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Strong Coffee 3-1 4th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Very tricky bottom level N2L. Maximus Mike and Birds Gone Wild take the biggest drops and are the 4th and 5th choices respectively. Decarlo could simply take them all the way around on Maximus Mike..

Most Likely: #1 Maximus Mike 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Birds Gone Wild 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 The Candidate 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Grandpa Len 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Successful Brothers 7-2 WON ($10.00)


P5 Grid:

2: 4 (A), 3-8 (B), 1-2-5-6 (C)
3: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4 (C)
4: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-6 (C)
5: 5 (A), 1 (B), 2-6-8-9 (C)
6: 1 (A), 8 (B), 2-3-4 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $41.50


P4 Grid:

3: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4 (C)
4: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-6 (C)
5: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), 6-8 (C)
6: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $53

$0.50 Pick 4 (5/5/1/4) Paid $225.25


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Amazing Anne, full to turf routing Deciphering Dreams and Jung Man Scott, goes long on grass for Morley in 2nd start. Alvarado a plus. Any of the other 2nd time starters -- Momma Giovanna, Smiling Sundae, Moondance Joy and Battle Axe -- wouldn't surprise. Firster Jules N Rome has hinted at ability for Schettino..

Best Value: #7 Amazing Anne 8-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #8 Moondance Joy 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Momma Giovanna Late SCR-Gate
Super Add: #10 Battle Axe 7-2 2nd


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Lady's Lunar Luck 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Scenario Analysis 4-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Edie 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Indian Starlight 6-1 WON ($8.70)


9th: OC/C, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Heaven's Runway 12-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #8 Stormy Rush 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Golden Rifle 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Chart Topper 5-2 6th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f

Best Value: #8 Okey Dokey Smokey 5-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #1 King Gettigan 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Freddie Freud 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Mineral Water 8-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 7-8 (A), 1/via SCR-10 (B), 2-3-4-5-9 (C)
8: 4-7 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 3 (B), 1-4 (C)
10: 8 (A), 1-7 (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $76

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,4,7,11/6/5/8) Paid $171.00 x 2 = $342.00

 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/27


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 All the Way Jose 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Next Best: #6 Albany Road 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Overwhelming 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Witor 10-1 6th

.50 TRI: Key 3-6 1st/2nd with 2-4-5-8-9 (2x1x5 + 2x5x1 = 20 x .50 = $10.00)


2nd: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Just 6 but very tricky group with potential for Alexndeed, Hi Speed Chase and blinkered Ireland's Eye to produce pace battle. Pletcher Spa skid has reached 0 for last 25, but Marsh Creek drops a tick and could sit comfortably behind speed. Sherifco can get similar voyage. Maker's War of Honor lone participant that moves up in class. Whole 6 pack requires some degree of coverage to start P5..

Most Likely: #2 Marsh Creek 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #3 Ireland's Eye 8-1 5th
Next Best:#5 Sherifco 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Alexndeed 5-1 2nd


3rd: 10th P. G. Johnson, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Set of 7 with all but Dorochenko visitor looking possible. Flying Tipat, full sister to P.G. Johnson & BC Juvy Filly winner Tapitsfly enters as maiden after late-arriving debut 3rd 8/10. Lone runner to already make today's tri, sShould be tighter here 2nd out and gets pace to chase with 5 of the other gals stretching in distance..

Best Value: #4 Flying Tipat 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Partisan Politics 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Sunday Sonnet 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Ancient Goddess 4-1 3rd


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Have found these 9f affairs vexing all meet. Beyond Empire obvious on paper but hasn't seen circle since career debut with also rans starting to pile up..

Most Likely: #1 Beyond Empire 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Gridley Here 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Alcolite 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Roaring Conquest 9-5 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Decent looking set of NY baby girls, with Dilger, Gullo, Lawrence and Maker 2nd timers sticking out.. Lawrence's Jessica's Ride, one of the 3 Freuds in here, get first turf, Lasix and blinkers and is a price..

Most Likely: #7 First Charmer 5-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Jessica's Ride 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Perfect Freud 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 In Spite of Mama 4-1 6th


6th: NY-MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Based on pedigrees, sibling strength and worktab notes, this is a weak group. May have to make a stand with Mike Lerman, Al Gold and Chris Decarlo with Miss Potenza who has the race under belt..

Most Likely: #5 Miss Potenza 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Club O R 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Laura's Patriot 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 She's Roman 3-1 4th


P5 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 2 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), 3 (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
5: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
6: 5 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C)


P4 Grid:

3: 2-3-4 (A), 1 (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
5: 5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-10 (C)
6: 5 (A), 8 (B), 1-2 (C)


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Tried to claim Street Shark out of runner up effort early in meet and discussed with Wilkes who won him back. Turf sprinting may be exactly what he is meant to do. Merits upset look over even money fave..

Best Value: #2 Street Shark 10-1 WON ($20.00)
Next Best: #6 Console 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Isn'tlovejustgrand 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Fast Time 8-1 6th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Highly treacherous starter that has too much going on including clever Dennis Lalman with Dynaformer gelding Apex (o/o Seeking the Gold mare) who has only been on turf or routed once. We also get Kelley Rubley, (former Toner & Tagg assistant and part of Justin Nicholson's Ninety North/AJ Suited operation), back to try and pad her gaudy turf stats with St. Pierre. Lilli Kurtinecz has Manchurian High in the hands of Irad Ortiz getting class relief out of the United Nations and John's Call. Fun race..

Most Likely: #6 Manchurian High 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2b St. Pierre 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Sayler's Creek 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Apex 12-1 5th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Typically bettable turf sprint. Ziptronic obviously the horse to beat..

Most Likely: #10 Ziptronic 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Pirate's Pleasure 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Casa Creek 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Cap'n Raymond 20-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Spartiatis 8-1 2nd


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT

Notes don't show it on early PP's, but Bold Runner gets blinkers and Castellano sticks. Good enough for upset chance from capable Quartarolo at fat price..

Best Value: #10 Bold Runner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Retire Fifty Five 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Romans Paradise 2-1 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #3 Carson's Ten 15-1 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-6 (A), 1 (B), 3-4-5-7 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 7 (B), 4-5-9-10 (C)
9: 9-10 (A), 2-3-6 (B), - (C)
10: 9-10 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-6 (C)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/7/4,10/5) Paid $312.00

 

 

 

 

 

Terrific Travers Weekend gets a $71k carryover coda Monday as the NY Showcase card produced enough pricey winners to stymie those that tried to string the six together. Hope everyone did well on the meet's biggest day. With today's tricky card we begin to prepare to wind down the intense 7 week Spa extravaganza...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 72nd NY Turf Writers Cup (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

G1 event benefited from being pushed back by weather coming up tougher than originally drawn. Last 2 race winners -- Italian Wedding and Demonstrative -- headline this group with Liz Voss adding Smithwick winner Makari. Pace looks honest to assure all of fair chance..

Most Likely: #7 Demonstrative 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #6 All Together 8-1 4th-3rd for wagering
Next Best: #2e Naylor entry 7-2 6th/DNF
Exotics Use: #1e Sheppard entry 5-1 2nd/3rd


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Wire candidate Giantinthemoonlite can extend terrific stand for Bruce Brown, and Castellano as well, but could end up grappling with Cuantos from the bell. Swell the candidate to pick them up late..

Most Likely: #6 Giantinthemoonlite 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Swell 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cuantos 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Say Mr. Sandman 10-1 6th


3rd: OC/ALW-C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

First of the day's 3 challenging turf sprints and appears that there's enough dash up front to seek out stalker/closer as winner..

Most Likely: #2 Magical Moon 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Indian Splendor 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Good So Far 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Macaroon 2-1 WON ($13.80)


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Trappy-feeling MCLMer where firsters may not have to be special to impact..

Most Likely: #3 Mr Classic Seneca 3-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Grandpa's King 6-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Skerkis 15-1 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Banker's Boss 6-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$71k P6 C/O starts here..

Board clues for P6 players a big help in this thoroughly impossible group. Clocker Report adds only modest insight with nearly all having worked solidly for debuts and returns. Chad Brown of course has those gaudy turf route bow numbers and Lady Eli a half to Bizzy Caroline. Mott & Donegal's Puca (Big Brown) a half to Finnegan's Wake and moves to lawn while stretching in 2nd start and Alvarado sticks..

Most Likely: #9 Lady Eli 4-1 WON ($4.50)
Best Value: #4 Puca 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Thebeatofthestreet 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Scottish Sweetie 12-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Treacherous $20k seller..

Most Likely: #2 Love to Run 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Bemata 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Road Agent 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1a Ancient Rome 5-2 3rd


P4 Grid:

3: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), 6 (C)
4: 3 (A), 5-9 (B), 7 (C)
5: 9 (A), 4-11 (B), 3-5-6-7-8-10 (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 1-7 (B), 3-4-5 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x3x3x4 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $58

I'm sorry I do not have the time to lay these tickets out every day. For those struggling to understand the A-B-C ticket formatting, here's the way the above grid is built for $58 with all the horses when using A/B's in Caveman Style (4x3x3x4) is $72:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 9 with 2,6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 3 with 9 with 2,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 9 with 2,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 4,11 with 2,6 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 9 with 1,7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 5,9 with 9 with 2,6 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 3 with 4,11 with 2,6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 3 with 9 with 1,7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 4,11 with 2,6 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 5,9 with 9 with 1,7 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 4,11 with 1,7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3 with 9 with 2,6 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 7 with 9 with 2,6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 2,5,6,7,8,10 with 2,6 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3 with 9 with 3,4,5 - $3.00

Total: $58.00


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Zamquick SCRATCHED will be leaned on heavily for P6, but it's a turf sprint and she may have company up front, so it's not like she's invincible..

Best Value: #2 Lady Luciano 12-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Benny's Bullet 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Saratoga Karaoke 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Dattts Da Boss 6-1 3rd


8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Resolutely 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Maura's Pass 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Piccolo Flats 7-2 7th
Super Add: #8 Jenny's Creek 4-1 WON ($9.00)


9th: 3rd Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Motion's Stars Above Me couldn't have impressed more in stakes-winning US debut here 4 weeks ago..

Best Value: #9 Stars Above Me 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 To My Valentine 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #11 Madame Giry 5-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Speedinthruthecity 6-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Ooof.. Grab bag of modest Empire fillies and mares with half the field or more (1-3-5-9-10-11) seemingly eligible..

Most Likely: #5 Kelly's Prize 3-1 WON ($7.90)
Best Value: #3 Kevin's Steel 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Miss Motivation 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Taramislew 12-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Lutheran Miss 4-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

5: 9 (A), 4 (B), 2-5-11 (C)
6: 2 (A), 6 (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), 1 (B), 8 (C)
8: 5 (A), 10 (B), 2-8 (C)
9: 9 (A), - (B), 3-11-12 (C)
10: 5 (A), 3 (B), 1-10-11 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 2x2x3x2x1x2 = $96
Full (A/B/C's): $108


P4 Grid:

7: 2-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 5-10 (A), 2 (B), 8-11 (C)
9: 9 (A), 3-11 (B), 2-6-12 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 1-11 (B), 6-7-9-10 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x3x3x4 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $78


 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/23


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Tough opener with older maidens and some nice looking ones at that..

Most Likely: #5 Three Alarm Fire 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #7 Liam's Map 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1e Brushwood entry 10-1 6th/9th
Exotics Use: #8 Cosmic Gold 7-2 4th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Face the Music 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #3 Imperia 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Potthast 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Incremental 4-1 3rd


3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Poliziotto 6-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Hidden Vow 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ocala Jim 4-1 WON ($9.70)
Super Add: #6 John Bailey 5-1 5th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Deep group of well intentioned juvies. Those with experience, and exiting well rated events, merit slight edge..

Most Likely: #6 Waging War 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Today's Agenda 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Frosted 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bayerd 5-1 WON ($19.00)


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Stock Fund 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Luna Time 8-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Divine Luck 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Chat 5-1 WON ($12.60)


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 8 (C)
2: 2 (A), 3 (B), 1-4-5-9 (C)
3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
4: 6 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-7 (C)
5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 3x2x4x2x3 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $40


P4 Grid:

2: 2-3 (A), 1-9 (B), 4-5 (C)
3: 1-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-10 (C)
4: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 3 (A), 6-9 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 4x4x3x3 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $78


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Cashmere Cat 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Shatak 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 McIlroy 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #10 Lawyer Jim 5-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Eddy Gourmet Late SCR-Gate/Vet
Next Best: #10 Divided Attention 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Shayjolie 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Madre Ditutticapi 12-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bad Debt 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Shining Copper 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #2 North Slope 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Top Striker 8-1 6th


9th: 26th Ballston Spa (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

SCR of Dayatthespa for tomorrow's Yaddo leaves field at mercy of emergent Filimbi..

Most Likely: #7 Filimbi 2-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Centre Court 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Abaco 4-1 WON ($10.60)


10th: 30th King's Bishop (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Unusual gathering for this..

Best Value: #3 Myositis Dan 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 The Big Beast 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Fast Anna 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Wildcat Red 4-1 5th


11th: 36th Ballerina (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Geeky Gorgeous 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 My Miss Aurelia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Willet 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Artemis Agrotera 5-1 WON ($10.60)


12th: 145th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (P3, DD)

In this spot, how can you not give McGaughey and Mr Speaker every chance at by far the best price available among contenders?

Best Value: #10 Mr Speaker 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Tonalist 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Kid Cruz 12-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Viva Majorca 20-1 6th


P4 Grid:

9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 3-6-7 (A), 2-8 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
11: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6-8 (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 1-3-5 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 1x5x4x5 = $50
Full (A/B/C's): $86


13th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Invading Humor 4-1 WON ($12.80)
Best Value: #6 Equilateral 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Fizzy Pink 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Painter 3-1 2nd


14th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #2 Macagone 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Morning Calm 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Toy Cannon 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Thurgood 7-2 7th


P4 Grid:

11: 4-9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-8 (C)
12: 6-10 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-5 (C)
13: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
14: 2-5 (A), 3-8 (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple Main (A/B's): 2x5x4x4 = $80
Full (A/B/C's): $100

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Saratoga


R9 - G2 Ballston Spa (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Centre Court (5-1) - Classy mare shows steady works for return. The inside draw is the key to her success. All systems go. 4TH
#7 Filimbi (2-1) - She's on the improve and caught a nice quick pace in most recent as she ran down #5 Dayatthespa.
#4 Strathnaver (GB) 6-1) - Deserves another shot after a less than ideal trip in G1 Diana. 2ND
#3 Abaco (4-1) - Not sure there's enough pace now to uncork a late rally. WON $10.60

R10 - G1 Kings Bishop

#2 Wildcat Red (4-1) - He brings it and 7 panels seem like a perfect fit. Expecting strong performance on the turn back. Probably gets 1st run on the closers.
#8 Coup de Grace (2-1) - Closing sprinter is his game and he'll once again have enough pace for his late run. 3RD
#5 Noble Moon (20-1) - Interesting spot for his comeback and could fire a big one at a juicy price. 4TH
#7 The Big Beast (5-2) - Speedster might forget to slow down late, but will have to contend with #6 Fast Anna early and often.

R11 - G1 Ballerina

#4 My Miss Aurelia (3-1) - Roughed up in return last month and should be much sharper today with a stalking trip. 2ND
#6 La Verdad (7-2) - She only knows one way to go and she's quick enough to clear the field early.
#2 Better Lucky (4-1) - Benefited from speed duel in most recent and will need a similar type setup for her best. 4TH
#8 Hot Stones (6-1) - G3 winner at the distance is a serious contender on the cut back and ideal draw for her pressing style.

R12 - G1 Travers

#6 Tonalist (3-1) - Last was simply a prep and should be fully cranked up his for 2nd G1 this year. The extra distance should help as well. 3RD
#5 Viva Majorca (20-1) - Strong effort in Curlin when routing for the 1st time and could take another step forward with added ground.
#7 Wicked Strong (7-2) - Gutsy win in prep when the blinks were added. Obvious contender right back. 2ND
#2 Bayern (2-1) - He'll definitely be the one to catch, but the 10 furlongs is a legitimate concern.

PK4 - 2 3 4 7 / 2 5 8 / 4 / 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 = $42 for $.50

R13 - Alw 100k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#4 Fizzy Pink (GB) (5-2) - Better draw makes the difference here.
#5 Sky Painter (3-1) - High % barn with addition of lasix and she showed some talent as a 2 yr old. 2ND
#1 More Than Less (20-1) - Had a troubled trip in last and should be considered underneath at a nice price. 3RD
#3 Invading Humor (4-1) - Has been beating up on state breds and you'll have to take a short price here. Use caution. WON $12.80

R14 - NYB Alw 90k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Macagone (8-1) - Should be a handful on the front end. 2ND
#5 Morning Calm (3-1) - Best efforts on less than firm and is a contender regardless. WON $8.80
#3 Thurgood (7-2) - Benefits from any kind of pace setup.
#8 Toy Cannon (8-1) - Two decent efforts at the meet and has to be considered for another minor award. 4TH

PK4 - 2 4 6 8 / 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 / 4 / 2 3 5 = $42 for $.50

 

 



SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/22


POST-SCRATCHES -- ALL RACES OFF THE TURF


1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Faves obvious but not Cannizzo has bonus numbers raising claimers in class (19% W's; $3.39) and venerable Bernie the Maestro likes SAR and likes the off going..

Most Likely: #5 Doubledown Again 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Bernie the Maestro 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #3 Be Bullish 9-5 4th


2nd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Feels like whomever gets up early has chance to wire; Rudy & Pletcher droppers eligible of course; New sire Concord Point throwing runners, so Arctic Ocean could pop early..

Best Value: #1 French Magician 5-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Know It All Anna 2-1 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #2 Zarleeza 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Arctic Ocean 12-1 2nd


3rd: Tale of the Cat, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Very nice set and not easy to eliminate anyone too readily..

Most Likely: #6 Bern Identity 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Tenango 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Traffic Light 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Royal Currier 5-1 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

KMc's Via Strata SCRATCHED has worked like she'll be ready; Jerkens pair formidable; WinStar-Mott Savvy Star worked with Cigar Street..

Most Likely: #1e J. Jerkens entry 3-1 WON-DH ($3.10)/4th
Next Best: #3 Judy Legend 7-2 5th
Best Value: # 6 Savvy Star 8-1 WON-DH ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Trautman 15-1 6th


5th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Nice to get Cigar Street back to the races. If he stays in for a wet track, it's a glowing endorsement for his health. Has trained very well for return per Welsch/Vesce but 9f a demanding trip..

Best Value: #2 Qualify 3-1 4th
Most Likely: #4 Cigar Street 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bad Hombre 8-1 6th
Super Add; #5 Pick of the Litter 4-1 WON ($13.60)


P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 6 (C)
2: 1-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-7 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4 (C)
4: 1 (A), 3 (B), 5-6-7 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 3x4x4x2x2 = $96
Full (A/B/C's): $90


P4 Grid:

2: 1-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-7 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-4 (C)
4: 1 (A), 3 (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), 3 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 4x4x2x4 = $64
Full (A/B/C's): $70

$0.50 Pick 4 (8/6,7/1,4,6/5) Paid $84.12


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

OTT: 12-10 WON ($11.00)-1-6 Order of finish: 10-12-2-6


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Looks like a pretty sparkling set of baby girls..

Most Likely: #1 Gap Year 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Paulassilverlining 6-1 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #7 Sierra Olivia 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Tippany 5-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Path 12-1 6th


8th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Away Game 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Sinistra 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Perfect Title 10-1 3rd

Super Add: #5 Gotham News 4-1 6th

$1 Trifecta (9-4-7) $99.75


9th: 65th Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

As discussed on ATR, this appears to be an excellent running of this recent Travers Weekend standard, especially given the evidence that says the Distaffers are more tightly bunched than originally thought at the start of the year. While Close Hatches is the filly to beat, the West Coast outfits of Baffert and Shirreffs have price options in Fiftyshades and Stanwyck that merit consideration and we already know that Antipathy and Belle Gallantey can challenge the favorites. Pletcher brings Majestic River back from New Jersey exile while blinkering Princess of Sylmar, a move that was authored after positive experiments in the morning..

Most Likely: #6 Close Hatches 8-5 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #4 Fiftyshadesofhay 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Stanwyck 15-1 3rd

$1 Trifecta (6-4-2) $180.75


10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

OTT: 5-7/9-10-11 WON ($12.20) Order of finish: 11-1-5-9


11th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF

OTT: 11-8/12-10 WON ($8.90) Order of finish: 10-8-11-12


P6 Grid:

6: 12 (A), 1-10 (B), 6 (C)
7: 1-3 (A), 7 (B), 2-11 (C)
8: 9 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-4-5-7 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
11: 11 (A), 8 (B), 10-12 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 3x3x2x1x2x2 = $144
Full (A/B/C's): $184


P4 Grid:

8: 9 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2-4-5-7 (B), 3 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 9 (B), 8-10-11 (C)
11: 8-11 (A), 10 (B), 12 (C)

Simple main (A/B's): 2x6x3x3 = $54
Full (A/B/C's): $44.50

 

 

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/20


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Virsito 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Bodie Island 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #6 Spy in the Sky 4-1 3rd 

Exotics Use: #1 Sal the Barber 10-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ridinwiththedevil 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unrepented 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bossy Saratoga 10-1 WON ($2.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Good Catholic Girl 4-1 5th


3rd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Usually love these state bred turf routes but finding this group enigmatic..

Best Value: #4 Tom Kitten 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Majestic Raffy 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Mr Rosenthal 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Captain Gaughen 15-1 WON ($21.20)


4th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Meh..

Most Likely: #3 Jimbaran 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Richie's Rich 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Mariano Intheninth 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Dangerous Cowboy 5-2 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Charming Eyes 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Conzig 5-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Lemon and Honey 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Mononoke 4-1 3rd


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bridgeville 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Bigger Picture 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Roman Approval 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Signature Seven 7-2 WON ($8.50)


P5 Grid:

2: 2 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 6-8 (C)
3: 4 (A), 5 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 2 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
5: 7 (A), 8 (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple main A/B (4x2x3x2x3): $72
Full A/B/C: $38.50


P4 Grid:

3: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-6-8 (C)
4: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C)
5: 7-8 (A), 3-6 (B), 5 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)

Simple main A/B (3x4x4x3): $72
Full A/B/C: $68


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Kenzadargent 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #4 Fade to Black 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Hardly 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Valseuse 5-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Almurra 12-1 4th


8th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Saratoga Dreamer 5-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #6 Boldlee 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Banana Thief 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Watergate 3-1 8th


9th: 1st Better Talk Now, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

With Lynch rep preceding, there's no way Heart to Heart goes off at 10-1, but still should be square. Very nice homage to to the terrific Better Talk Now..

Best Value: #2 Heart to Heart 10-1 WON ($9.70)
Next Best: #6 Storming Inti 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Pure Sensation 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Craftsman 4-1 7th


10th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Murderous finale with favored Battle Hardened being fire sold. Worked less than moderately the other day which makes you wonder if he's worth avoiding other than as a

Most Likely: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Most Happy Fella 6-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Mr. Espresso 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Chairman Now 5-1 WON ($11.60)


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-5 (C)
8: 10 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 1-3-5-7-8-9 (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
10: 7 (A), 8 (B), 1-2-4-5-6-9 (C)

Simple main A/B (3x4x4x2): $48
Full A/B/C: $40.50

$0.50 Pick 4 (8,10,12,13,14,15,16/10/2/6) Paid $249.75

 

  

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/18


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Syros 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #1 Selection Sunday 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Wantan 8-1 7th
Super Add:#3 Umbraggio 15-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Invocation 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 One More Chief 6-1 WON ($8.90)
Next Best: #3 Cosmic Coincidence 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Scare City 4-1 6th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Battle Red 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Cyclogenesis 5-1 WON ($8.90)
Best Value: #5 Majestico 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Louisiana Brown 2-1 6th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Very Cherry Candy 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Guayana 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Bobby Jo 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Precious Franca Late SCR-Gate


5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$71k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Are We Not Men 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Global Showdown 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Boss Man 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Dividend 10-1 2nd


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Corporate Culture 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Lonesome Town 10-1 6th
Next Best: # 5 Devilish Love 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Three Hearts 5-1 4th

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/1/1,9,10,13,14/1,2,5,9) Paid $168.50
$0.50 Pick 5 (5/3/1/1,9,10,13,14/1,2,5,9) Paid $677.00



7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dyker Beach 7-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #3 Brendan G 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tony B 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Captain Toews 12-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Respect Pyrite Mountain as the 2-1 fave but 2nd choice Red Vine (5-2) looks vulnerable..

Most Likely: #9 Pyrite Mountain 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Side Road 10-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Shock Leader 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Red Vine 5-2 4th

.10 SUPER: 5-9-10 with 5-9-10 with 1-3-5-9-10 with All (3x2x3x4 = $7.20)


9th: 1st Summer Colony-R, F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

As we've seen the last several days, these smaller groups going 9f are tricky. Natalie Victoria will be on an easy lead if Endless Chatter doesn't engage her on a timely basis..

Most Likely: #2 Zucchini Flower 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Ambusher 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Endless Chatter 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Natalie Victoria 9-5 6th


10th: MCLM/$65k, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #5 Summation Time 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Loves Last Chance 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #2 Callans Candy 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 In Speight Ofitall 15-1 2nd


 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/17


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Queen's Parade 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Sky Bird 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Antrim Collen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Quarla 5-1 7th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Matching Skies 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Go Olivia Go 5-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Love to Score 4-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Eskenformoney 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sweet Maya 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Cool Comfort 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Tammy the Torpedo 6-1 WON ($6.20)


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+,

Most Likely: #4 House Rules 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Next Best: #1 Unbridledexplosion 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Madaket Millie 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 She's Justified 15-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Back Flip 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Top Decile 8-1 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #2 Ring Knocker 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Divine Praises 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 9 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5-8 (C)
2: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3-8-9 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
5: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 3x3x3x2x3 = $81
Full multis (A/B/C): $60


P4 Grid:

2: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-3-8-9 (C)
4: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-7 (C)
5: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 3x3x2x3 = $27
Full multis (A/B/C): $17.50


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Hooked Forever 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Raglin River 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Vecino 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Billy the Bull 6-1 WON ($14.00)


7th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Terrific betting race with ML faves (2-3-8) not appreciably stronger than numbers (4-5-9)..

Best Value: #4 Lemon Song 15-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #3 Ready's Legend 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Tacones 10-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Aunty Pearl 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Evening Show 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dulcedumbre 12-1 WON ($27.40)
Next Best: #1 Discreetly Elusive 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Amazing Rose 8-1 9th


9th: 2nd Alydar, 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Odd assembly. Think you'll need to cover all 6 to one degree or another to guarantee passage to the 2nd half of the P4..

Best Value: #3 Farhaan 15-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #2 Dawly 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Easter Gift 5-1 6th


10th: 40th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Imagining 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Amira's Prince 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Main Sequence 2-1 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Twilight Eclipse 5-2 3rd


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #8 Mambo At the Gym 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hines 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Breakeven Analysis 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Super Add: #10 Day Six 10-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-7-10 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5 (C)
10: 5 (A), 3-4 (B), 7 (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 3 (B), 2-7-10 (C)

Simple main (A/B): 4x4x3x3 = $72
Full multis (A/B/C): $70

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/3/4/3) Paid $972.75

 

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/17


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Ghareeb 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Forever Thing 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cost Affective 3-1 3rd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Mish Mosh 5-2 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #9 Jess Not Jesse 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Fast Time 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Thomas Hill 5-1 2nd


3rd: 23rd Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Xcellence 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Crown Queen 5-2 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Minorette 7-5 4th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Security Risk looks to break MDN here ahead of older brother's ALW try in the 8th..

Most Likely: #3 Security Risk 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Can't Happen Here 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #6 Mr. Discreet 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Reality 7-2 4th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Catholic Cowboy 10-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #1 Bay of Biscay 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Matterhorn 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #7 Baratti 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-7 (A), 1-6 (B), 4 (C)
2: 10 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 4 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (4x3x1x4x3): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $76


P4 Grid:

2: 10 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
3: 4 (A), 5-6 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 2-6 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-10 (C)
5: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (3x3x4x3): $54
Full (A/B/C's): $50

$0.50 Pick 4 (10/2,3,5/1/2) Paid $653.00


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Zennor 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Money Changer 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Bold Conquest 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Super Add: #4 Noble Hustle 5-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 9.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Grand Rapport obviously the horse to beat but interesting that Bruce Brown went back for Gourmet Dinner whose good turf races fit here..

Most Likely: #1 Grand Rapport 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Gourmet Dinner 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Cozy Kitten 6-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Sandyinthesun 15-1 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

As tweeted last night, this may not be the King's Bishop or Forego, but there won't be a more intriguing 7f race run at the meet than this. A mindbender that requires virtually all to start the late P4..

SCR NOTE: Mammouth exit from event by Crafty Dreamer..

Most Likely: #5 Surfing U S A 7-2 10th
Best Value: #6 Dream Saturday 15-1 WON ($29.00)
Next Best: #4 Scam 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Mosler 6-1 11th
Super Add: #9 Rich 'n' Tuck 10-1 4th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Western Tryst 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Mobridge 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Orino 3-1 WON ($7.10)
Super Add: #3 Hurry Up Alan 7-2 7th


10th: 134th Alabama S. (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

With more and more examination, this turns out to be a terrific edition of one the venues most cherished events. As discussed this week on ATR, the mile and a quarter is as much a dividing point for 3yo fillies at thistime of year as the Derby trip is for sophs in May. Dallas Stewart occasionally wins big races and with Golden Soul and Commanding Curve the last two years on the first Saturday, he has shown ability to point for a targeted classic successfully. In the CCA Oaks, Unbridled Forever ran the runner up race that Commissioner ran in the Peter Pan behind Tonalist. She should get the opportunity to pass Stopchargingmaria here in a better scenario than 4 weeks ago..

Most Likely: #1 Unbridled Forever 4-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Got Lucky 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Size 5-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Stopchargingmaria 2-1 WON ($4.00)


11th: OC, 3yo, 8.5f-IT

Terrific finale to cap off an outstanding day of racing..

Most Likely: #1 Innovation Economy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Broadway Zen 6-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Woodfield Springs 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Request 3-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Shaun's Blessing 4-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-9-13 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
11: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple main (3x3x4x4): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $80



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: American St. Leger, 3+, 13.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Eye of the Storm 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Havana Beat 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Admiral Kitten 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Dandino 3-1 2nd


8th: Secretariat (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Adelaide 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 General Jack 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Tourist 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Global View 5-1 4th


9th: Beverly D (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Simply spectacular assembly of F&M turf talent. The Breeders' Cup version of this may not be better..

Most Likely: #9 ALTERITE 4-1 11th
Best Value: #1 Just the Judge 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Stephanie's Kitten 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Somali Lemonade 6-1 5th


10th: Arlington Million (G1), 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Up With the Birds 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Smoking Sun 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Magician 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Real Solution 5-2 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 4-6-9 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
9: 9 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-10 (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-7 (C)

Simple main (3x4x3x4): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $66 (With A's -- 9/4-6-9/9/2-5 for $1)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S AP MILLION DAY RESULTS

 

Happy Million Day


Arlington Park


R1 - Clm 5k B

#1 Mystic (9-2) 3RD
#4 Space Traveler (5-2) 2ND
#5 Proud Jackson (6-1)
#11 Sea of Change (7-2) WON $9.60

R2 - Alw 31k N1X (Turf 5F)

#6 Selz (9-2) - Clean break and he could be gone. WON $26.60
#4 Laythatpistoldown (8-1) 4TH
#8 Pick Three Punchie (5-1)
#1 Mac West (4-1)

R3 - OC 125k/C (Turf 8F) - Super betting race.

#11 Tiz Sardonic Joe (6-1) - In good form and has enough early speed to help Frankie get a good trip.
#7 Live in Joy (10-1) - Likes this course, preferred distance, and upgrade in jock help chances. 4TH
#4 O T B Bob (9-2) - Two strong efforts on the lawn and seems to always bring it.
#9 All Stormy (12-1) - Sharp works lately with the addition of blinkers.

R4 - MSW 31k (Turf 8F)

#3 Kinsmanor (8-1) - Steady works since mid June and I'm a sucker for anything Speightstown relative.
#9 Luck of the Kitten (3-1) - Showed speed in debut at the Spa as the chalk and should be tighter here. WON $4.00
#11 Inavanti (4-1) - Above average works for strong barn. 3RD
#7 Chadwick (20-1) - Probably better suited for grass.

R5 - Hatoof 75k (Turf 8.5F)

#2 High Wire Kitten (8-1) - 2nd off and better draw do the trick.
#6 Colonel Joan (8-1) - Her best races have come on the Turf and the addition of Rosario makes her a real contender.
#4 Share the Sugar (7-2) - Freshened up and seems to always be running late.
#10 Zubi Zubi Zu (9-2) - Has been in good form lately. 4TH

R6 - Straight Line 65k

#6 Good Bye Greg (3-1) - Rivelli only sends his top runners to Saratoga and this one scorches this poly surface. The one to catch. 3RD
#5 Bourbonize (7-2) - Successful synthetic barn sends out gelding that is stakes battled tested.
#10 I Got It All (5-1) - Looks to sit a nice stalking trip. WON $10,80
#4 Sultry Cat (15-1) - Poly debut was solid and could add some value underneath.

PK4 - 7 10 11 / 3 9 11 / 2 6 / 4 5 6 10 = $36 for $.50

R7 - American St. Leger 400k (Turf 13.5F)

#8 Admiral Kitten (10-1) - BEST BET Has back class and should relish the extra real estate. Expecting a big effort.
#9 Eye of the Storm (Ire) (6-1) - Recent Group 3 winner benefits from a soft going and distance will not be an issue.
#5 Moment In Time (Ire) (20-1) - O'fer this year in 8 starts, but that was a strong performance at Woodbine last fall. 4TH
#2 Dandino (GB) - Not coming in with the same form this year, but defending champ must be respected nonetheless. 2ND

R8 - G1 Secretariat (Turf 10F)

#6 Adelaide (Ire) - Will have a target in #9 Tourist, which is questionable if he'll stay the 10 furlongs. Looks like a standout with America's best hope Mr. Speaker deciding to give the dirt another shot in the G1 Travers in two weeks. WON $4.20
#2 Highball (15-1) - Should be closer to the pace with addition of blinkers and only lacks experience not talent. Great value in exotics.
#9 Tourist (5-2) - Definitely heading in the right direction, but will have to contend with added two furlongs versus top notch competition. 2ND
#7 Divine Oath (8-1) - Not spectacular in prep race, but liked the way he split horses late for the win.

R9 - G1 Beverly D (Turf 9.5F) - Tremendous edition.

#9 Alterite (Fr) (4-1) - Talented filly needed last and all systems go here.
#1 Just the Judge (Ire) (6-1) - Has mixed it up with Group company in Europe and the price could float up. 3RD
#5 Stephanie's Kitten (7-2) - Strong finish in G1 Diana should set her up well here with the added distance. 2ND
#8 I'm Already Sexy (15-1) - Loves this course and a must inclusion in vertical plays at that price.

R10 - G1 Arlington Million (Turf 10F)

#2 Smoking Sun (9-2) - Exits a tough race and looks primed up for a peak performance.
#3 Magician (Ire) (7-5) - BC Turf winner has faced Euro's heavyweights this year and should appreciate coming back to the States. Obvious contender. 2ND
#5 Up With the Birds (6-1) - Not camera shy at all and Pierce feels confident enough to try this high class group. 4TH
#6 Real Solution (5-2) - Rested for defense of title and should be heard from late again.

PK4 - 2 3 5 7 8 9 10 11 / 6 / 1 2 5 8 9 11 / 2 3 = $48 for $.50

R11 - Hatoof 75k (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Kiss Moon (5-2) - She stands out on back class and her lone turf attempt beats these. Singleton. WON $6.20
#9 Battlefield Angel (4-1) - Has improved since switched to the lawn and looks to be forwardly placed.
#1 La Mejor Fiesta (5-1) - Should appreciated leaving graded stakes company and returning to the turf.
#4 Maria Maria (6-1) - Probably takes back and makes a late run for a minor slice. 2ND

R12 - Md 7.5K

#3 Confident Berna (12-1)
#10 Little Bit o' Soup (2-1)
#9 Amame (6-1)
#7 Hubbala Hubbala (7-2) 3RD

PK6 - 5 6 10 / 8 9 / 6 / 1 5 9 / 2 3 / 3 / 3 9 10 = $108

PK5 - 8 9 / 6 / 1 2 5 8 9 11 / 2 3 / 3 / 3 9 10 = $36 for $.50

PK4 - 1 2 4 5 8 9 10 11 / 2 3 5 / 3 / 3 9 10 = $36 for $.50

 

 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE 8/15


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Mysterious NYB's with reliance on trainers, pedigrees, works demanded thanks to the 5 firsters. Pricey Omagoddonna (12-1) and Timely Cat (15-1) merit looks having worktab and pedigree respectively to their credit..

Most Likely: #6 Ten Penny Princess 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Omagoddonna 12-1 DNF-Bled
Next Best: #5 Bebop Raindrop 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Timely Cat 15-1 4th


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tizquick 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Upstart 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Bo Bop 4-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Deputy Busterstone 12-1 4th


3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Happy to get My Pal of Pals to his 5yo debut after nearly injurious Belmont fire drill, but trip likely too short for him. Should serve as perfect tightening for stretch out assignment in next 10-14 days..

Most Likely: #1 Rangey 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Slamarama 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Cap'n Raymond 4-1 WON ($8.60)


4th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Street Girl 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Rubindy 4-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Sheer Drama 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Taketheodds 3-1 5th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Hmm.. Typically tough turf sprint to end P5/P4 sequences..

Most Likely: #8 Latigo Trail 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #6 Sir Maurice 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Vischer Ferry 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Spark to Ignite 20-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 6-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-4 (C)
2: 2 (A), 4 (B), 5-6 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-4x2x3x2x3) $72
Full with backups (A/B/C's):


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4 (A), 5-6 (B), 7 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-4x3x2x3): $36
Full with backups (A/B/C's):


6th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 6f (PG/S, P3, DD)

Horatio could get a nice stalking trip behind those who wish to be closer to the pace. Price is square..

Best Value: #6 Horatio 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1a Night Maneuver 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Half Nelson 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Chilton LATE SCR


7th: MSW, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 De Facto 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Decisive Edge 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Northeast Bound 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Trecastle 5-1 WON ($12.40)


8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Blinkered Mariel N Kathy is the only candidate to impede Stormin Elle from getting loose up front. Race unfolds based on how that pair go early..

Best Value: #7 Stormin Elle 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tabreed 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Maximova 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Super Add: #2 Mariel N Kathy 10-1 2nd


9th: 11th Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

7yo Quick Money was a clever claim by Joe Imperio and Michelle Nevin then pounced on immediately after him. Tactical veteran can sit behind pace and is simply the best price horse with a chance in here..

Most Likely: 5 Moonlight Song 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Quick Money 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Saratoga Snacks 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Big Business 5-2 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #6 My Four Rewards 8-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Share 'n Stone Late SCR-Flipped paddock
Exotics Use: #4 Barbara's Smile 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Malibu Queen 2-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), 6 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
9: 4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 4-9-12 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-3x3x3x5): $67.50
Full with backups (A/B/C's):

 


 



SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Michael Walsh Novice H., 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Super competitive set of hoppers..

Best Value: #7 Top Striker 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Address Unknown 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2e Sheppard entry 5-1 3rd/4th
Trifecta Add: #5 Sporty 20-1 DNF-Fell


2nd: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e B. Schwartz ownership entry 3-1 WON ($7.20/7th)
Best Value: #5 Loving Lorri 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Vale Ridge 5-1 3rd


3rd: ALW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Nice extended route test with 4 (2-3-4-5) exiting Crown Queen's (Lake Placid Sat.) coming out party..

Best Value: #5 Neat Package 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Silky 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 High Heel Kitten 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Sabbatical 4-1 WON ($13.00)


4th: 11th Saratoga Dew-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Stake honors the Charlie Engel-owned, Gary Sciacca-trained filly that was the first New York bred to earn an Eclipse Award. Her 1992 Championship season saw the 3yo win the Gazelle, Beldame and Comely while being nosed in an Alabama photo..

Best Value: #4 Royal Suspicion 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tahoe Tigress 2-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Easy Living 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 (POE) Carameaway 3-1 WON ($11.20)/2nd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Had to settle for wince-inducing minor awards opening day with The Lewis Dinner at 14-1 and now we'll have to accept underlay number if maintaining confidence. And plenty of hot-working fresh faces join the fray including latest Broman baby to bow, Bar of Gold..

Best Value: #9 Bar of Gold 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Lady Daphne 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 The Lewis Dinner 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Saluda 6-1 7th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Of the Pletcher pair, Blofeld is working brilliantly for debut while Malibu Warrior -- better bred for winning early -- has been torpid..

Most Likely: #4 Blofeld 8-5 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #3 El Kabeir 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Signature Cat 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Banksy SCR


P5 Grid:

2: 4 (A), 1 (B), 2-3-5(C)
3: 5 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 3-4 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
5: 8-9 (A), 3-10 (B), 4-6 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3 (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)

Main (A/B's-2x3x3x4x2): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $59


P4 Grid:

3: 5 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-6 (C)
4: 3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-6 (C)
5: 8-9 (A), 3-6-10 (B), 4 (C)
6: 4 (A), 3 (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)

Main (A/B's-3x4x5x2): $60
Full (A/B/C's): $62


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Wine Burglar 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Eurokay by Me 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Al's Gal 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #8 Eddy's Time 6-1 5th


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Storm Pursuit 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #2 Take Down Two 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Photon 5-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Broad Rule 6-1 3rd


9th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Distorted Beauty 9-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #7 Run to Mama 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 One Time Only 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Candidate 8-1 5th


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 The Big Deluxe 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Tarpy's Goal 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Joking 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Bug Juice 6-1 WON ($16.00)


P4 Grid:

7: 6 (A), 4-5 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 2-7 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 5 (A), 1-7-8 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 5 (B), 3-7 (C)

Main (A/B's-3x4x4x3): $72
Full (A/B/C's): $57


 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

CANCELLED


2nd: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Ziggy's Moondust 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Warrior's Hero 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Broadway Bay 5-2 WON ($5.70)
Super Add: #4 Wildniteattheopera 5-1 3rd


3rd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Sheriffa 8-5 4th
Next Best: #7 Desert Valentine 5-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #6 The Lost Tigress 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Daddy's Lil Saint 5-1 3rd


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Amulay WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #2 Jane's Heir 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Ginny's Grey 2nd
Super Add: #6 Revealing Moment 5th


5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Keep Right 5-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Kleptocrat 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Penella 5-1 WON ($24.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Senso 3-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Laura Can Disco 10-1 2nd


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Piquant 5th
Next Best: #1 Great Attack 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Eastwood WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #12 Zee Bros 2nd


P4 Grid:

3: 2 (A), 5-6-7 (B), - (C)
4: 3 (A), 2 (B), 6-10 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 2-9 (B), 4 (C)
6: 14 (A), 1-12-13 (B), - (C)

Main (A/B): $64

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/3/2/13) Paid $421.75


7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Superior Sarah 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Isabelle 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #7 Bridgetta 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Here's Zealicious 7-2 7th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Chrysolite WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Royal Jest 3rd
Super Add: #14 Wisdom of Oz 4th



9th: Troy, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (DD)

Now Off the Turf..

Most Likely: #5 Dad's Caps 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Choctaw Chuck 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Spring to the Sky 5-2 WON ($7.40)


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #8 Stalagmite 10-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Whatabouthonor 15-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Beau Who 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Sand Paper 20-1 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
8: 8-9 (A), 2-14 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 4-8 (A), 2-3-6-9 (B), 1-5 (C)

Main (A/B): $48



DEL MAR


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD)

$172k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Would You 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandstand 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Little Jerry 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Jomelo 7-2 6th


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Brazilian Court 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Perfect Set 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Goyan 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tempest Rising 8-1 6th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

This may turn out to be a bellwether MDN set. REALLY nice group..

Most Likely: #6 She's Complete 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pure 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Redshirt 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Hone In 10-1 6th


6th: Cal-ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Benba 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Durango Flier 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Law Dog 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Cat Meeting 3-1 4th


7th:12th Green Flash, 3+, 5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 No Jet Lag 4-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Merit Man 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #3 Mr. Sexy 10-1 4th


8th: Cal-MCLM/$50k, 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Aperfectdaytofly 3-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Militant 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Watch It Buster 7-2 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Arctic Code 8-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Sibernation 10-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

3: 5-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 3 (B), 8-9 (C)
5: 6 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
6: 9 (A), 8 (B), 2-6 (C)
7: 6 (A), 2 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
8: 5 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-6 (C)

Main (A/B): $288


P4 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 3-4-7 (B), 8-10 (C)
6: 9 (A), 2-6-8 (B), 7 (C)
7: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 5 (A), 3-9 (B), 2-6 (C)

Main (A/B): $72


 


 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/11


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

If either Oldwick or Silver Morgan get away without pressure, they'll wire. If they duel, Dedicated Deal or Wild Finish will get them. Your call..

Best Value: #2 Oldwick 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Dedicated Deal 2-1 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Wild Finish 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Silver Morgan 5-2 5th


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-[T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Bad Girl Phase 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Moondance Joy 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Battle Axe 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Skinner Box 3-1 WON ($7.50)


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Tough to be overly confident in anyone here..

Most Likely: #5 Moe Man 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Wealth to Me 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Chairman Now 8-1 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Romancing the Gold 7-2 4th


4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Downgoesfrazier 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Chasin Chama 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Rontos New York 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Super Add: #10 Regretless 15-1 10th


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Buckeye Heart 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Dan's Gold 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Attractive Ride 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #1 Seeker 5-1 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-2 (A), 4-6 (B), 3 (C)
2: 7-8 (A), 1 (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-10 (C)
5: 2 (A), 4 (B), 1-7 (C)


P4 Grid:

2: 7-8 (A), 1-2 (B), 6 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
4: 1 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-10 (C)
5: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), 1-7 (C)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/6/9/7) Paid $180.75


6th: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Tricky start to late quad..

Most Likely: #5 Bird Now 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Perfect Danger 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Forest Boy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Byron's Pop 6-1 6th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Be My Love 3-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Thisdanceistaken 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Trail Walker Late Vet SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Chelsea Road 4-1 5th


8th: 1st Tenski, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Madhouse event..

Most Likely: #2 Sweet Acclaim 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Final Redemption 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Walk Close 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Carolina Shag 30-1 9th


9th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #8 Captain Keon 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Giant Slayer 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Spa City Treasure 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Eternal Bull 5-2 WON ($4.40)


P4 Grid:

6: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-9/SCR (C)
8: 2-11 (A), 3-12 (B), 6-9 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 3-5-7 (B), 10 (C)


 



SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULT 8/10


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Time to Shine 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Bellamy Way 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Market Conduct 7-2 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #5 Thank You 3-1 4th


2nd: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Tiger D 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 John Bailey 3-1 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #3 Little T. Louie 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Whyalwaysme 12-1 6th


3rd:NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Saturday Appeal 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Sir Leslie 5-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Pinball 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Goodtolook 4-1 4th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Impossibly deep group of juvy lawn gals.. Romans-Jones' Flying Tipat a full sis of Tapitsfly; Miss Always Ready a full to More Than Real; The Strip a half to solid Inchcape; Dance With Ron a half to SW Gold Medal Dancer, o/o SW Bachata..

Most Likely: #4 Lady of Victory 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #7 Miss Always Ready 3-1 10th
Best Value: #3 The Strip 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Dance With Ron 10-1 9th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Alakazan Alakazan 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Duke of Perth 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Bingo Kitten 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Rankhasprivleges 12-1 5th


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 6 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
2: 5 (A), - (B), 3-4-7-8 (C)
3: 1-6 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3 (C)

Main (A/B)
Backups: (C/A)


P4 Grid:

2: 5 (A), 7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
3: 1-6 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-3 (C)
4: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3 (C)

Main (A/B)
Backups: (C/A)


6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Petey Cramer 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 With Exultation 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ziptronic 5-2 WON ($6.70)


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Terrific set of babies with some nice siblings: I'll Show Me (Proud Spell); Sophronia (Wine Police); Treasure (Silver City), etc..

Most Likely: #10 Treasure 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Blame Dixie 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Puca 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 I'll Show Me 4-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Sophronia 6-1 8th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Killer Crossover 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Part 6-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Stableford 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Toy Cannon 8-1 4th


9th: 98th Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Angela Renee 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Empressive Humor 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Vivian Da Bling 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Take Charge Brandi 10-1 5th


10th: 109th Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 I Spent It 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #10 Majestic Affair 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Z 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 W V Jetsetter 10-1 3rd


11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #3 Nineinthenine 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Tapitdar 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Doc Almon 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Golden Itiz 5-1 4th


P4 Grid:

8: 11-12 (A), 7 (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3 (A), 7 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1 (A), 10 (B), 3-7-8-11 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Main (A/B)
Backup (C/A)

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/9

POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Union 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #2 Island Candy 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Wraith 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Quick as a Bunny 6-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$35k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Curious group.. SCR of Ireland's Eye takes a lot of appeal out..

Most Likely: #7 Madd Exchange 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Nicholson 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Star Academy 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Eight Cents 12-1 3rd


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 March Reward 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Storm 8-5 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #3 Adirondack Dancer 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Iron Power 5-1 2nd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Requite 8-1 WON ($5.50)
Next Best: #2 Two Weeks Off 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Call Daddy 8-1 8th
Super Add: #1a Proven Commodity 10-1 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Dr Disco 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Meet the Mets 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Star of New York 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Glory Game 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)
2: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 6 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 8-9 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 3 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Main (A/B's): $81

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,7/5,7,8/5,6,7/3/7) Paid $721.75


P4 Grid:

2: 7 (A), 2-3 (B), 6-8 (C)
3: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 1-8-9 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 6 (B), 1-8 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-4-8 (B), 2-5-6-7 (C)

Main (A/B's): $54

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,7,8/5,6,7/3/7) Paid $103.25


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$88k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #3 Dubai Sky 8-1: Extra time for bow since gate flip.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Royal Squeeze 4-1: From highly productive dam.. 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Designed for War 7-2: Solid if unspectacular in morning.. WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #9 King of New York 12-1 2nd


7th: NY-ALW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Groupthink failed as fave here opening weekend but impressed enough in downstate to bullet for return engagement..

Most Likely: #4 Groupthink 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gran the Man 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Native Hero 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Station Chief 5-1 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Point Roll SCR'D horse to beat with anything close to MDN-breaker, but Last Run (15-1) a full to $350k Empire earner Vicki's Dancer and has turf try benchmark to run back to. Gets Napravnik who should his style. Saez lost ground all the way on Birchwood Road (20-1) in grey's first run from Wilson barn. Easrns 2nd try at bonus mutuel. Archer Hill and The Spotted Wonder .

Best Value: #7 Last Run 15-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #4 Archer Hill 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Birchwood Road 20-1 6th
Super Add: ##6 Woke Up in Malibu 7-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Got lucky Friday scooping turf sprint 8th, but contenders here more obvious and shorter priced. Pace looks lively with 1-4-7-9-11 all knowing but one way to go. Someone in the lead group likely stays on (Rivelli fave?) while stalker-closers swamp..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Mizzen Moon 12-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Orient Harbor 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Kiss Me Lola 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Richies Sweetheart 5-2 WON ($4.90)


10th: 30th Fourstardave (G2), 3+, 1m-IT (DD)

Just a six pack but Key here is how quickly and vociferously Silver Max and Sayaad engage up front..

Most Likely: #3 Jack Milton 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Grand Arch 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Silver Max 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Seek Again 3-1 WON ($6.70)


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Trophee 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Forensic 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Coronette 5-1 5th
Exotics Use:: #2 See Ya Signe 15-1 10th


P6 Grid:

6: 3-10 (A), 7 (B), 9 (C)
7: 4 (A), 7 (B), 5-6 (C)
8: 1 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6-8 (C)
9: 10-12 (A), 2-6 (B), 1 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-6 (C)
11: 7 (A), 6 (B), 3 (C)

Main (A/B's): $144


P4 Grid:

8: 4-7 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 6-10-12 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)
10: 3 (A), 1-2-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 7 (A), 3-6 (B), 2 (C)

Main (A/B's): $72

 

 

 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/8


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Heir to Dare 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 My Donna Jean 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Pura Vida Zen 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Bobby Jo 4-1 WON ($5.90)


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: # #5 Potthast 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Path Dependent 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Lamontagne 7-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Hillbilly Style 12-1 4th


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Confrontation 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 5th/7th
Best Value: #3 Associate 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Scarly Charly 5-2 4th


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Lady Zuzu the $1.25MM half sis to Optimizer..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Zuzu 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Magnificent Margo 6-1 WON ($19.00)
Next Best: #7 To Be Determined 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Co 5-1 5th


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bella Kateri 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Sleek 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Donatienne 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Chasing Paradise 5-1 WON ($7.40)


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), 2-4 (C)
2: 5 (A), 1-7 (B), 9 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 3 (B), 6 (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), 6-8 (C)
5: 5 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C)


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Betweenhereandcool 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Denzel 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Lieutenant Seany O 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #4 Piscesbymoonlight 6-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Dominate 6-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Uncle Mitcho 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Loveisheartandsoul 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #5 Handsome Dennis 7-2 5th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

No reason to not fire aggressively in these manic turf sprints. Entire field separated by perhaps 3 lengths..

Most Likely: #10 Mighty Reward 5-1 WON ($17.20)
Best Value: #9 Kimmies Lucky Star 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Baby B 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 In Her Day 3-1 4th

Super Add: #6 Porvoo 30-1 7th


9th: Hall of Fame (G2), 3yo, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bobby's Kitten 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Give No Quarter 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Bashart 4-1 5th


10th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f

Murky bunch..

Most Likely: #9 Bird Rockette 4-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Murmure 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #10 Sweethots 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Prove It All Night 10-1 WON ($12.00)


P4 Grid:

7: 9 (A), 4-6 (B), 5-8 (C)
8: 5-9-10 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-3-8 (C)
9: 7 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 6-9 (A), 7-10 (B), 2-3 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY RESULTS 

  

Arlington ParkPost SCRATCHES


R6 - Clm 50k B (Turf 8.5F)

#5 Include the Aussie (2-1)
#1 Roussel Entry (9-2) 4TH
#2 Scorpion Alley (3-1) 2ND
#8 Penelope Perfect (8-1) WON $17.80

R7 - Clm 7.5k B

#3 Tonzie (6-1)
#7 Che Serai (5-1) WON $8.80
#2 Eastern Precipice (7-2) 4TH
#4 Denyit (3-1) 2ND

R8 - ILB Alw 33k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Zippy Do (6-1) - If she can duplicate her last, she'll be tough to reel in. 4TH
#1 Tapnfire (7-2) - Consistent and the inside draw helps chances. 2ND
#6 Cabana (5-2) - I'm thinking she might need one after two months off. $5.40
#8 Cracking Good Pins (3-1) - Versatile runner seems to always bring it.

R9 - OC 40k/N2X (Turf 8F)

#8 Yankee Dealer (8-1) - Likes this course and should be in good position throughout. WON $33.40
#4 Midnight Notes (3-1) - DQ'd in last facing similar company and has a legit off the pace shot. 4TH
#5 Revolt (6-1) - Expecting him to make his familiar late run for a minor piece. 2ND

PK4 - 1 2 5 8 / 2 3 4 7 8 / 1 2 6 / 4 8 = $60 for $.50 PAID $1047.45 FOR $.50
 

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/7


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Mrs. Phipps, F&M-4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

May be opportunity to try to beat 2-1 Kisser N Run here. She came to SAR from Georgia last year on similar trajectory and flopped which may indicate that she isn't right for racetrack chasing. If so, it opens the door for decent exotics..

Best Value: #5 Opera Heroine 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Brilliant Match 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Cat Feathers 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #2 Secret Reward 10-1 5th


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Considering that everyone says we don't run route races in America, isn't this about the 20th main track mile and an eighth event of the meet? Jimmy Jerkens' maiden winner 3-5 here and not enthralled by Welsch Clocker Note of him lugging out in 8/3 drill..

Most Likely: #1 Star Grazing 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Annie Walker 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Legally Bay 15-1 3rd

Exotics Use: #6 Desert Valentine LATE SCR

Post Script: I looked it up.. There have been 26 races at 9f already this meet, though 4-5 were off the turf to the main track..


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Treacherous place for a 'Best Bet' type of designation but Thirst for Glory has appeal as 'shouldn't lose' in here. As such, looks to be ideal key horse with some prices as Pletcher 7-2 Animalia and Brown 5-2 Chief Kitten seem underwhelming while Clement 5-1, Schettino 15-1 and Brown 6-1 as likely for success..

Most Likely: #6 Thirst for Glory 3-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Brother O'Connell 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 G R's Giant 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Startup Nation 6-1 WON ($21.20)


4th: 4th Birdstone, 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Birdstone certainly deserving of a stake in his honor, but if we're running one at a mile and three quarters, shouldn't it be named for the local record holder at the trip, the great Reigh Count? Will lean on the 8# spread between the top choices..

Best Value: #4 Don Dulce 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Micromanage 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Irsaal 4-1 2nd


5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Transplendid 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Miss Motivation 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 The Lady's Cruisen 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Bi Light of Day 6-1 4th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Faves (1-5-7) are the right horses but Golden Nugget is by sire (Stonesider) whose progeny steadily improve with age and experience. About 3-4 lengths behind the top choices going in and best candidate to boost exotics..

Most Likely: #7 Chrisandlorisposse 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #5 Navaho Ca Lo 5-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Q Two 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Nugget 10-1 6th


P5/P4 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), 3 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
3: 6 (A), 3 (B), 4-8 (C)
4: 4-5 (A), 2 (B), 1-3 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), 5 (B), 9-10 (C)
6: 7 (A), 1-5 (B), 4 (C)

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,6/8/5/3,7,11,12/7) Paid $153.00 (5OF5)
$0.50 Pick 4 (8/5/3,7,11,12/7) Paid $105.12 (4OF4)



7th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

State breds long on the grass regularly a recipe for boxcars. Nearly all have board-hit potential. Micelli 2nd timer on the lawn No Trespassers feels sneaky in here after significant improvement moving to turf for 4yo debut. More forward progress makes him a contender at a big price. He should float up from that 15-1..

Most Likely: #7 Tenacious Indeed 8-1 4th
Best Value: #5 No Trespassers 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Fire Ship 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Kevin's Steel 6-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

As in Rumble Doll-Datts Da Boss monster exotics race Sunday, potential here for gonzo closers to scoop 'em up late..

Most Likely: #4 Defiant 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Bluegrass Springs 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Casa Creek 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Santa Elf 8-1 3rd

.10 SUPER: Key 4 in 1st/2nd with 1-2-3-5-9 ($12)


9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ghurair 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #4 Two Months Rent 15-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Red Rifle 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Tetradrachm 5-1 3rd


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

This lawn dash isn't as hot-blooded up front. Leaders could stay on to the wire..

Most Likely: #7 Rose Quartz 8-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Barrier to Entry 20-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Jenny's Creek 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Home to Carrowkeel 6-1 8th


P4 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 4 (A), 2-9 (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 1 (A), 3-4 (B), 7 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 3-11 (B), 9-10 (C)

 

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/6


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Presence of Lillehammer SCR'D and Mr. Starr's Report would figure to assure honest pace for steady stalker Manacor; Witor won't be 20-1 with Tod Wyatt's '14 record an attraction; Sheppard (All the Way Jose) admitted his layoff hoppers have been a start behind right now, but young gelding here broke through at Parx 6 weeks ago; Albany Road a nibbler who may float up in price..

Most Likely: #3 Manacor 5-2 WON ($8.70)
Best Value: #6 Witor 20-1 5th
Next Best: #5 All the Way Jose 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Albany Road 10-1 3rd


2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Hard to make group with some being obviously dangled for sale. 3-5 Moonluck has been poor in mornings preparing for return while Boss Daddy, from a very unsound female family, has been good moving towards debut. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #4 Boss Daddy 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Yankee Dime SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Moonluck 3-5 WON ($3.50)
Super Add: #3 Lyrical Miracle 15-1 3rd


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Well-matched set of honest $25k claimers and there's no reason to wholly swallow the faves. Both inside runners are big numbers and both appear to be circling back towards good efforts. Most Happy Fella or Dynamical look like the ones potentially able to control the pace up front..

Best Value: #2 Most Happy Fella 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Dynamical 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Matt and Jesse 20-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Sacred Ground 5-1 4th


4th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dinner Time 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Radamel 5th
Next Best: #7 Jet Alley 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Dangerous Cowboy 8-1 3rd


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$36k C/O starts here..

To get a price involved with faves (4-5-11), you're obliged to project Spun Silky running her A race or Kiama improving 2-3 lengths. Spun Silky is the more attractive number. Derek Ryan seems to struggle crossing from Jersey into NY, but Aquinnah is tactical and gets the weight break with Tiny Taylor..

Most Likely: #5 Aquinnah 7-2 6th
Next Best: #11 Subtle 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Spun Silky 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Quay 4-1 WON ($8.40)


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Some notable pedigrees among these Empire breds including Razia Sultana (Half to Samraat); She's Marvy (Half to Flea Flicker); Hard to Stay Notgo (Halt to Monday NYSS winner Mark My Way). Top pair should be enough to end P5..

Most Likely: #1 Razia Sultana 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Zo Zo 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Sweetpollypurebrd 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Building Permit 4-1 4th


P5/P4 Grid:

2: 4 (A), 5-7 (B), 3 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 5-6-7 (C)
4: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 4 (C)
5: 5 (A), 11 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Precarious 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Kitten's Queen 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Lawn Party 2-1 5th
Super Add: #7 More Than Less 8-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Excellent group with plenty of options. Note Napravnik reunited with Motion's 8-1 Helm who may be better now than when he made solid lawn debut at KEE that was career best effort at the time. Gets first run on what may be dueling leaders..

Best Value: #9 Helm 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Middleburg 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Silver Freak 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #4 Joes Blazing Aaron 8-1 9th


9th: John's Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Winning Cause 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Manchurian High 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Tricky Hat 5-1 WON ($9.10)


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #2 Sole Train 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Copper Core 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Island Therapy 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Full Pads 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

5: 5 (A), 11 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
7: 1-11 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 9 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 1-2-7 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 3 (B), 10 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-11 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 8 (A), 7 (B), 1 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 3 (B), 10 (C)

 

 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/4 


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Salisbury Knight 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Onecats Chance 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Beyond Empire 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Do a Legger 3-1 4th


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Three late-starting firsters complicate this already murky NYB seller. Greg's Intuition (5-1) is competitive on figs, returns to the Empire State, finds friends dropping from open MSW at PRX to NY-MCLM and gets services of top pilot..

Best Value: #6 Greg's Intuition 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #3 King Gettigan 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Bryce Bryce Baby 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Mineral Water 8-1 5th


3rd: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Specialized condition stake based on qualified NY sires quite a fun gathering. Pace picture far from clear which could make it tricky on the obvious, but later-running, favorites..

Most Likely: #4 Mental Iceberg 4-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Mark My Way 8-5 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #6 Forever Utopia 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Free Mugatu 3-1 2nd


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Iced Over 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #2 A Marked Man 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Dreamboat 5-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Blue Shark 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Doubledown Again 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Frazil 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Back Forty 7-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Metaurus 20-1 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 2-7 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
2: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 4-9 (C)
3: 4 (A), 7 (B), 5-6 (C)
4: 3 (A), 2-4 (B), 5 (C)
5: 5 (A), 7 (B), 4 (C)


6th: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)[

Most Likely: #6 Old Harbor 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Selenite 8-1 WON ($22.60)
Next Best: #8 Missy Bay 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #2 Takeoff Your Hat 5-1 -


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Thundering Gale 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Saratoga Karaoke 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Dattts Da Boss 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rumble Doll 12-1 WON ($35.60)


8th: NY-ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (DD)

Will cover Unbelievable Dream in multis but play against within race..

Best Value: #1 Dreaming of Cara 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Invading Humor 5-1 WON ($16.20)
Exotics Use: #8 Frosty Bay 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Vicki's Dancer 7-2 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Good old fashioned $20k claimer with 7-8 win candidates..

Most Likely: #4 Cast a Doubt 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Ancient Rome 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Reserved Quality 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Sense of Peace 4-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

6: 6 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-7-10 (C)
7: 9 (A), 3 (B), 1-8 (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 4-8 (B), 2 (C)
9: 4 (A), 2-9-11 (B), 1-3-10 (C)

 

 

 

 

 

Thoroughly terrific Whitney Day at Saratoga Saturday with a tremendous card that whistled by in front of an appreciative, enthusiastic crowd. Proving once again that horseplayers relish big days and competitive action, the 11 race slate generated a stunning $27.8MM in handle from a myriad of exciting and notable heats. While the Moreno win in the Whitney was a fascinating apex of the afternoon, the thrilling Test was undoubtedly the highlight; a frantic finish offering 4 superb efforts from the superfecta quartet with Sweet Reason.

Graham Motion swept the 2yo maiden events with gargantuan turf baby Strong Coffee and resolute main track 2nd start winner Pride of Stride. Strong Coffee's win continues the remarkable freshman stallion success of Warrior's Reward as the 6th debut tally for his progeny in just 10 unveilings.

Went into Saturday looking for price plays and the the front half of the afternoon went well with alternatives to the favorites clicking with alacrity. But aside from Moreno's 9-1 tote in the feature, one or other of the top 2 public choices prevailed in the 6th-11th. Still, a good day overall from every vantage point. Hope everyone did well!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Feathered 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Kinsley 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Harbouring 8-1 3rd


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Summer Breezing 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Partly Mocha 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Banzai Charge 8-1 WON ($12.60)


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Prefer the firsters..

Most Likely: #5 March Too 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Sherifco 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Flat Jack 2-1 2nd


4th: NY-ALW/C, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kharafa 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Barrel of Love 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Compliance Officer 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Front 8-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Saucon Valley SCR'D being given away but that doesn't mean she needs to be avoided. With Delite freshened and likely ready to fire..

Best Value: #11 With Delite 6-1 10th
Next Best: #3 South Sound 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Little Gidding 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Mononoke 8-1 4th


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 3 (B), 1 (C)
2: 4-7 (A), 6 (B), 2 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
4: 7 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
5: 11 (A), 3-7 (B), 5-6 (C)


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun betting affair with plenty of prices (1-6-10-11-12) to feather in with the solid faves (5-8)..

Most Likely: #8 Shining Copper 3-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #1 Mop Head 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dream Man 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Chief Cochise 15-1 8th


7th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Milista 3-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Replay Runaway 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Mercer Mill Mae 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Ex Wives 10-1 9th
Super Add: #3 No Shanks 6-1 5th


8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Political Courage 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Nubin Ridge 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Cage Fighter 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Precious Metal 8-1 4th


9th: Waya, F&M-3+, 12f-IT (DD)

Crazily well-matched and of course the pace scenario is completely muddled. No bad concepts..

Most Likely: #8 Inimitable Romanee 9-2 9th
Best Value: #10 English Class 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Gulsary 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Cat's Claw 6-1 WON ($28.40)


10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Fun nightcap. Seems a good spot to take shot(s)..

Best Value: #9 Reckless Move 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Costenia 5-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Little Miss Brown 3-1 3rd-DH
Super Add: #8 Town Leader 10-1 5th


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 7-8 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 9-10 (B), 8 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 12-13 (B), 3-7-9-11 (C)
10: 7-9 (A), 1 (B), 8-12 (C)

 

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/2



POST-SCRATCHES


Should be a terrific day. Many vulnerable faves to take shots against..


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Hard as I tried, cannot get past the top choices..

Most Likely: #12 Dowse's Beach 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #8 Leroy Jr. 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Hooked Forever 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Il Vagabondo 30-1 8th


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Not a lot of speed signed on here. Someone (Brilliant Jewel? Ridingwiththedevil?) can dictate from up front. Note that Skidmore was 'fast early' target for Tea Time in tandem drill 7/26 and may show speed off the long layoff. Wondering if T2D, cutback, blinkers triple whammy doesn't get Guilty Verdict involved from the outset too. Tricky start to early quad..

Best Value: #4 Guilty Verdict 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Ridingwiththedevil 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Brilliant Jewel 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Candy Portenta 20-1 5th


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Strong Coffee 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #3 Face the Music 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Cordero 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Lucky Leroy Brown 15-1 4th


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Eye-crossing set provides backdrop for as good a race as there is all day. Entire field separated by perhaps a length..

Most Likely: #6 Keening 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Malibu Holiday 20-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Lady of Gold 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Strike Charmer 4-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Tokyo Time 7-2 WON ($7.80)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Getting gate up to 10 babies should help boost prices and this race an immediate example. With money magnet Pletcher starters signed on (Royal Son; Mariano Intheninth) value will be found easily on firster candidates like Sir William Bruce & Burndines and 2nd out runners Evolution & Pride of Stride..

Best Value: #6 Pride of Stride 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Next Best: #1 Royal Son 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Sir William Bruce 8-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Evolution 10-1 3rd


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 8-12 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
2: 4-7 (A), 6 (B), 10 (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 5 (B), 1-10 (C)
4: 6 (A), 1-2-10 (B), 3-5-8-9 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-7-10 (C)


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

First level ALW but companion event to the insanely competitive 4th. This one is just maniacal. Taking shots with faves only marginally better than price players..

Best Value: #7 Pretty Syrie 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Granny Mc's Kitten 3-1 WON ($4.30)
Exotics Use: #11 Bartiromo 7-2 7th
Super Add: #9 Fashion Fund 5-1 3rd


7th: 11th De La Rose-R, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Hoping the entrymates outside and Filimbi spar up front and G1-exiting Ready Signal pounces in the stretch..

Most Likely: #6 Ready Signal 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Pianist 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Baffle Me 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Dayatthespa 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Filimbi 4-1 WON ($6.70)


8th: 30th Vanderbilt H. (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Palace, Happy My Way & Bakkan SCR the obvious 'fastest' candidates. Vyjack working sharply for return to sprinting..

Most Likely: 5 Happy My Way 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Palace 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #7 Vyjack 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bahamian Squall 8-1 7th


9th: 89th Test (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Thoroughly spectacular lineup. Pick your hand and play it. You won't be embarrassed no matter which missies you favor.. No one can say it better than Flounder: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=arZdeg_fL-I

Best Value: #9 Tea Time 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Sweet Reason 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Sweet Whiskey 6-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Fiftyshadesofgold 8-1 4th


10th: 87th Whitney (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

As discussed this week, trust Eddie Plesa's judgement directing Itsmyluckyday towards this opportuity. Palace Malice still needs to be bested of course, but he'll be after the Lawyer Ron colt in the stretch. Interesting sidebar here is Lawyer Ron's own Whitney success and subsequent epic battle with Palace Malice sire Curlin in the Jockey Club Gold Cup 2 months later. Kind of fun that their sons tangle 7 years later..

Most Likely: #5 Palace Malice 1-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Itsmyluckyday 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Will Take Charge 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Departing 6-1 8th


11th: 2nd Lure-R, 4+, 8.5f-IT

If you've made it here live in multis, you're still confronted with a challenge as easily half this field, or more, looks like they can win. Hope as you arrive here it's been a great day!

Best Value: #3 Edge of Reality 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Plainview 5-1 DH-4th
Exotics Use: #4 Big Blue Kitten 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #9 Bio Pro 12-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 1 (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 9 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 5-6-11-12 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 4 (B), 7-8-9 (C)

 

 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 8/1



PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

This is some kind of hodge podge of middling horseflesh. Half switch turf to dirt (2-3-7-8) and 2 stretch out (4-5). Jacob's Here drops from open MSW to state-bred MCLM. Hmm..

Best Value: #5 Pepi's Find 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Jacob's Here 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 No Nukes 2-1 4th
Super Add: #7 The Mooche 6-1 8th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Point to the Wild 1-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Ave's Halo 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Best Value: #8 Insolvent 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 My Bella Beauty 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Terrific lineup of 3yo maiden fillies that have plenty of upside yet. Rachel Alexandra full sister Samantha Nicole makes 2nd start and figures to appreciate the trip. And you can be sure that KMc -- already strong with this kind of layoff -- wants to impress new client Stonestreet. Motion's Luna Time (10-1) has plenty of pedigree power for today's stretchout as the Malibu Moon chestnut is out of High Yield mare High Moment who won the Dr. Penny (8.5f-T) for Rodney Jenkins. High Moment is a half to Jimmy Toner's Sir Whimsey who won the GP Handicap (9.5f)..

Most Likely: #4 Samantha Nicole 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Luna Time 10-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #6 Cali Star 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dragonberry 5-1 2nd


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Odd cast lacking clear pacesetter. North Slope working lights out for return. St. Moose offers price punch and might find himself on easy lead. Should be an easy day for speed figure makers given 3 races at 9f in the first 4 of the day!

Most Likely: #2 North Slope 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 St. Moose 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 All Tied Up 5-2 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$32k P6 C/O starts here..

Lots of class droppers involved to make start of C/O sextet plenty treacherous. 1-2-3-5-7-10-11 all possible..

Most Likely: #7 Herd Mentality 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Solly's Mischief 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Brendan G SCR
Exotics Use: #1 You You 4-1 WON ($9.10)


P5/P4 Grid:

1: 5-6 (A), 1-4-7 (B), 2-3-8 (C)
2: 3 (A), -- (B), 6-7-8 (C)
3: 1-4 (A), 3-6 (B), 7 (C)
4: 2 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
5: 7-10 (A), 11 (B), 1-2-4-5 (C)


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Daddy Loves Gold 7-2 WON ($4.50)
Next Best: #7 How 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Once a Week SCR
Exotics Use: #4 My Place 7-2 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Shore Runner 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #12 Pirate's Pleasure 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Soul House SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Let's Go Ben 10-1 3rd


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Wow. Pick and pray. There is no combination of 4 horses that cannot comprise the super..

Most Likely: #6 Aripeka 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Call Wil 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Smokey Brown 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Pep the Champ 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Arch Avenger 6-1 WON ($12.00)


9th: 3rd Caress, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Munnings Sister tries to take her strong sprint game to the lawn. Has been working on the turf and merits big shot if she takes to it, but there's not a lot of support for her family-wise as a grass runner. I'll try to play against in-race but use liberally in multis..

Best Value: #6 Jewel of a Cat 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Free as a Bird 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Madame Giry 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Believe in Charlie 6-1 8th


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Certainly feels as if there will be horses in here that would trip a double carry. Impossible end to potentially explosive sequences..

Most Likely: #6 Romans Paradise 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 All My Trails SCR
Best Value: #12 Perfect Stormy 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Mote 12-1 7th
Super Add: #3 All Cash 4-1 WON ($7.80)


P6/P4 Grid:

5: 7-10 (A), 11 (B), 1-4 (C)
6: 2-7 (A), -- (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 8 (A), -- (B), 7-5-12 (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-3 (B), 5-8-11 (C)
9: 6 (A), 3-5-10 (B), 1 (C)
10: 6-9 (A), 12 (B), 2-3-7-8 (C)

 

 


 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 7/30


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Harrods Creek 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Virsito 2-1 WON ($9.30)
Best Value: #4 Bodie Island 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Naylor Ownership entry 5-2 2nd/7th


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Weak group.. You can easily anticipate a staggerfest late..

Best Value: #6 Bella Fachi 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 On a Snowy Evening 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Kelly's Prize 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Brandini 3-1 WON ($9.20)


3rd: NY-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

More than enough pace to allow Willet to scoop them up late. Atlantic's Smile working brilliantly for 2nd start under Baker's watch and though improvement needed yet from 4yo debut, half sis of Johannesburg Smile has the upside to warrant confidence. Galiana nipped Winning Image at DEL, but has reacted after big efforts previously and regression more likely than the improvement needed to rebuff Willet..

Most Likely: #6 Willet 7-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #3 Atlantic's Smile 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Galiana 2-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rock Me Mama 5-2 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #5 Dash to the Flash 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Alaskan Bird 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 4-1 2nd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Tony Dutrow rolling and will be intriguing to see if he SCR's Oohlala to get Zo Zo in or runs both if Zo Zo should draw in on her own. Note that rebuilding Neal Terracciano sends hot-drilling Nonna Jo (Majestic Warrior) here after her half sister Bella Fachi (FuPeg) looks for her diploma in the 2nd!

Next Best: #8 First Charmer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Nonna Jo 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Oohlala 3-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Yourcreditisgood 10-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mama Zee 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 My Donna Jean 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 My Tee Time 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Kelwynne 4-1 4th


P5/P4 Grid/Plays:


1: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C)
2: 6 (A), -- (B), -- (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 5-7 (B), -- (C)
4: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-5-8 (B), -- (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 3,5,8 - $18.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 1,7 with 1 - $4.00

Total: $70.00


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tough start to late quad with whole field is separated by about 5 lengths..

Best Value: #8 Wine Burglar 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sundae School 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ear D' Rhythm 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Super Add: #3 Benny's Bullet 5-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Who says today's game can't fill allowance races? Excellent, deep group..

Most Likely: #6 La Madrina 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Dear Mama 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Love You Loads 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Eddy Gourmet 15-1 3rd


9th: 3rd Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Plenty of speed lined up here and 'first North America' Stars Above Me may overwhelm these. We won't be getting 5-1 though..

Most Likely: #7 STARS ABOVE ME 5-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Scatcapade 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Elena Strike 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Burn Control 6-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT

Fascinating finale that features some appropriate pedigrees for lawn moves and career debuts. #13 Jimmy Soul draws in and complicates things even more..

Most Likely: #11 Candir 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Same As 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 All the Way 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Jimmy Soul 3-1 10th


<$65 P4 Play/Grid:


7: 7-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 6 (A), 5-7-11 (B), 3-8-10 (C)
9: 7 (A), 5 (B), 3-10 (C)
10: 5-11 (A), 2-13 (B), 8 (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (1,4/6/2,4,7,9/11) Paid $212.25
3 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $12.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 5 with 5,11 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 2,13 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 2,13 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,8,10 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 3,10 with 5,11 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 8 - $1.00

Total: $65.00

 



SARATOGA RACE COURSE RESULTS 7/28


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pecorino 9-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #3 Forest Boy 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Pulpit's Legacy 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Act of Heroism 5-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+,

This is a fun race off the turf. Wide open..

Best Value: #9 Apex 4th
Next Best: #4 Big Sugar Soda 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Father Johns Pride 8th
Super Add: #15 Takajo WON ($28.40)


8th: 23rd Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #3 R Free Roll 4-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #1 La Verdad 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Speedinthruthecity 6-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Best Value: #5 Rap d'Oro 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Zoebear 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Espresso 6-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Bedouin Now 15-1 WON ($58.50)


Simple <$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3
7: ALL (15)
8: 1-3
9: 3-5-6

2x8x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/27 

Thoroughly spectacular day Saturday at the Spa with beautiful weather and terrific action accommodating an ebullient throng of 31k+. The performances were excellent starting with the Pletcher powerhouse Competitive Edge (88 Beyer) whose debut sends him toward a Hopeful matchup with Big Trouble and the rest of the better Sanford exiters. Coup de Grace and C Zee were very good in the Amsterdam but the effort of The Big Beast 25 minutes earlier left an impression on observers. The Larry Jones and Tony Dutrow charges both earned 100 Beyers and a meeting in the King's Bishop.

In the co-feature, Jimmy Jerkens capped off the Jim Dandy-Curlin double as Wicked Strong showed a new dimension parlaying blinkers-on into an authoritative Travers prep victory (98 Beyer) on the front end. Twenty four hours earlier, Jerkens had sent V. E. Day to a rallying score in the Curlin (88 Beyer) which marked Jose Lezcano's 2,000th career win. Belmont Stakes hero Tonalist was an adequate but no excuse 2nd, failing to ever get closer than a length to the Wood Memorial winner. The result adds some rivalry pizazz to the Travers with the Centennial Farms star out-finishing the Robert Evans color-bearer for the first time in 3 meetings. Kid Cruz certainly will go in the meet's Classic as well and with Haskell players potentially joining the fray, the Travers looms as an excellent confrontation at the end of August.

Work at the windows continued to build steam steadily Saturday too, with some key horse triggering tremendous multi-race or exotics returns. Wins from $58 Away Game, $17 Razzle Jazil and the excellent effort of 21-1 nightcap runner up Charity Reins all helped fill the coffers including the 3rd-5th and 4th-6th bonanza P3's ($371; $1,016). Already enjoying a day where some good betting choices augmented solid opinions, it looked mid-stretch like Bravo and the Serpe claimant would parade home $45 winners in the 11th. But to his credit, Chris DeCarlo gave Elroi an absolutely brilliant ride and the Peter Pugh trainee inhaled Charity Reins in the final yards and a $326 ($2) exacta had to be the consolation prize.

Hope everyone did well. Another deep and tricky card on tap today with weather a bit threatening. Monmouth of course has a fantastic Haskell Day slate to consider as well..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-Off the turf (P5, P3, DD)

Sunday Sonnet a half to Pianist; Miss Always Ready a full to BC Juvy Turf winner More Than Real..

Most Likely: #1 Sunday Sonnet WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #2 Amy's Image 2nd


2nd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-Off the turf (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Love the Breeding 3rd
Next Best: #2 Electro Peg WON ($7.70)


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Nevin better with juvies after an outing, but be aware Paulassilverlining (10-1) is half to Dad's Caps and 14x winner Conga Bella. Leiblongs are in town having enjoyed The Big Beast Saturday and High Dollar Woman could make the weekend even more special..

Most Likely: #5 High Dollar Woman 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #6 Hopefaithjoy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Paulassilverlining 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Skipalute 7-2 5th


4th: MSW, 3+, 9f-Off the turf (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Lunar Rover WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #5 Social Affair 6th
Best Value: #2 Shopping Spree 7th
Exotics Use: #1a Aslan 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Darnley Bay 2nd
Best Value: #8 Allie Sweet 5th
Next Best: #9 Who's Mary's Daddy 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Swakopmund 4th


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Money to be made if you can figure out how to beat Dyker Beach..

Most Likely: #5 Dyker Beach 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 LATE SCR
Next Best: #6 Charitable 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Mack Miller 6-1 WON ($11.20)


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-Off the turf (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Mr Rico is Valid 3rd
Next Best: #9 Eurokay by Me 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Tacones WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #7 Sultry Warrior 5th


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Exploring 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Night Maneuver 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Cozzetti 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Perilous Indian 6-1 3rd


9th: 38th Shuvee H. (G3), 9f (DD)

Antipathy looks like the right forward-going filly, but how confident can you be of anything from the 5/0-0-0 McLaughlin barn right now?

Most Likely: #3 Antipathy 9-5 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #2 Flashy American 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Unlimited Budget 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Stanwyck 3-1 2nd


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-Off the turf

Most Likely: #4 Milkyyourway 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lucky Nancy 10-1 WON ($19.00)
Next Best: #15 Very Accompished 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #16 Touching My Toes 5-2 DNF-Eased



 

RESULTS 7/26
 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

With Friday's extended route as an example, you're hamstrung by knowledge that pace in these affairs never seems to materialize..

Most Likely: #5 Rapid Repair 2-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Magnolia Lane 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Engaginglee 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 La Majestique 10-1 8th


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Three state bred turf ALW routes today (2nd, 9th, 11th) and as I've said before, these frequently produce the most explosive exotics at Saratoga. Don't be shy about using the big numbers, though the top 3 ML choices are all bona fide players. Clement's Blue Pigeon makes 3yo debut and with typical development from juvy to soph, has potential to overwhelm..

Most Likely: #2 Blue Pigeon 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Mr Algebra 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Hidden Vow 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Ocala Jim 12-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Pletcher AE the pick if in. Brown's Aldrin a half to Tapit..

Most Likely: #9 Competitive Edge 9-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #8 Aldrin 1-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Today's Agenda 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bayerd 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Captain Moss 8-1 8th


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Vecino 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #2 Sir Maurice 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Poppy's Watching 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Chang's Secret 15-1 6th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rocket Time 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Rankhasprivleges 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Forever Thing 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Away Game 20-1 WON ($58.00)


P5/P4 Grid:

New TicketMaker redesign, while good and more user-friendly overall, not making it easy to format a 'print' layout. A-B-C designations below as an alternative to build tickets..

1: 1-5 (A), 6 (B), 3-4 (C)
2: 2 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-3-6-8 (C)
3: 8-9 (A), -- (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 1 (A), 2-4 (B), 6-7 (C)
5: 2 (A), 1-8 (B), 6-7 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 12f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Razzle Jazil 12-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #4 Knight's Nation 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Arc Above 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 State Flag 5-1 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Twang 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Rich 'n' Tuck 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cost Affective 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Gombey Dancer 20-1 2nd


8th: 22nd Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #2 Rock Fall..

Most Likely: #8 Captain Serious 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Coup de Grace 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #5 Tiznowforamerica 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Casiguapo 15-1 5th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lady's Lunar Luck 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Palace Dreams 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #1 Run to Mama SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Miz Owell 3-1 4th


10th: 51st Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tonalist 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kid Cruz 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Legend 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Wicked Strong 2-1 WON ($6.40)


11th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Charity Reins likely 'ouchy' but he's competitive, will save ground, comes in on the barn change to Serpe and worth stab at huge price inopen affair..

Best Value: #1 Charity Reins 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tapitation 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Poliziotto 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Noosh's Tale 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3-6-7 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
11: 1-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 6-7-9-12 (C)

  

 

RESULTS 7/25  

 

Highly productive start to the week Wednesday with only 7th race winner Treaty Oak escaping notice. Early chalk made multis easy up to that point and 9-1 Shankopotomus, and the $200+ exacta with 18-1 Street Shark, was just the tonic to make up a lot of ground on the opening weekend deficit. After whiffing on Treaty Oak to start the late quad, the last P3 for $250 further enhanced the bankroll. Hope everyone did well and made up any early lost ground. Start to a great weekend today..

 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Union 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Vision of Mine 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bird Rockette 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Lovely Elle 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Valerie Victoria 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 My Place 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Violet Hour 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #10 Ah Gaga 10-1 4th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Clearbrook 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Shetan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Royal Blessing 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Grand Rapport 6-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dan's Gold 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Noble Cornerstone 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Jeter 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 The Big Deluxe 4-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Animal Style 2-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Upward 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Stormy Rocit 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Tiz Yankee 15-1 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 5-7
2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1-2
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 8-9

2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64


Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-5,7/2,8/1/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-2/2,8/1/7/9 - 1.00
3-5,7/6,10/1/7/9 - 2.00
4-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
5-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
6-5,7/2,8/1/7/8 - 2.00

A's with Two B:

7-2/6,10/1/7/9 - 1.00
8-2/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 2.00
9-2/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 2.00
10-2/2,8/1/7/8 - 1.00
11-5,7/6,10/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
12-5,7/6,10/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
13-5,7/6,10/1/7/8 - 2.00
14-5,7/2,8/2,5/2,3/9 - 8.00
15-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/8 - 4.00
16-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/8 - 4.00

A's with One C:

17-1,3,6/2,8/1/7/9 - 3.00
18-5,7/2,8/6/7/9 - 2.00
19-5,7/2,8/1/1,5,6/9 - 6.00

Total (All .50): $58.00


<$40 P4 Play:

2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 3-8-9-10

4x1x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32



Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-2,8/1,2/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-6,10/1,2/7/9 - 2.00
3-2,8/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
4-2,8/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
5-2,8/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00

A's with Two B:

6-6,10/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
7-6,10/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
8-6,10/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00
9-2,8/5,6/2,3/9 - 4.00
10-2,8/5,6/7/8,10 - 4.00
11-2,8/1,2/2,3/8,10 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-2,8/1,2/1,4,5,6/9 - 8.00
13-2,8/1,2/7/2,3 - 4.00

Total (All .50): $52.00


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Qualify 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Guilt Trip 3-1 4th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Samba Sunset 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #3 Hope Cross 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Shift Colors 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Place Card 10-1 5th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 M J Plus 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Noble Doss 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Writingonthewall 5-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Bug Juice 3-1 5th


9th: 6th Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD)

SCR #1 Commanding Curve who will run Saturday in the Jim Dandy..

On an otherwise mundane card, this is a terrific group with some advancing types. Seems like there's a good amount of pace on, which makes you wonder why Commanding Curve opts for Saturday's alternative..

Best Value: #2 Viva Majorca 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Protonico 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Life in Shambles 6-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Cousin Stephen 5-1 9th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Incredible array of pedigrees on display with featured dams including Shadow Cast (Upstaged), Raging Fever (Colorful), Catinca (Illapa), Velvet Snow (Jolene), Vacare (Knotty Pine), Madcap Escapade daughter and SW herself Mi Sueno (Por Que Te Sueno)..

Most Likely: #4 Knotty Pine 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Upstaged 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Jolene 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Illapa 20-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4-8
8: 4-6
9: 2-3-10
10: 1-3-4-5

4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 Multi-ticket P4 Play:

All A's:

1-3,4/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00

A's with One B:

2-2/4,6/2,3/4 - 2.00
3-3,4/2,9/2,3/4 - 4.00
4-3,4/4,6/6,10/4 - 4.00
5-3,4/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 8.00

A's with Two B:

6-2/2,9/2,3/4 - 2.00
7-2/4,6/6,10/4 - 2.00
8-2/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 4.00
9-3,4/2,9/6,10/4 - 4.00
10-3,4/2,9/2,3/1,5 - 8.00
11-3,4/4,6/6,10/1,5 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-8,10/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00
13-3,4/3,10/2,3/4 - 4.00
14-3,4/4,6/5/4 - 2.00
15-3,4/4,6/2,3/3,7,9 - 12.00

Total (All .50): $72.00

 

 

 

Off to a very clumsy start at Saratoga, failing over the first 4 days to gain much of a foothold or continuity. At the same time, got a little something out of the Sanford and only needed The Lewis Dinner (14-1) to get past Graeme Cracker Friday or Fade to Black (16-1) to win the steward's decision Saturday to be in nice stead, so I'm not fretting. $27k C/O to start the week..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Steeplechase season starts here with solid group of modestly credentialed hoppers. Jack Fisher comes in with a strong pair that luckily are not an entry..

Best Value: #2 Syros 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Wantan 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Rudyard K 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #7 Selection Sunday 4-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P5, P3, DD)

Have to deal with pair of Pletcher fillies here including $340k Repole purchase Overspending, a full to Wicked Deed and half to Western Prize, both SW's. Dallas Stewart filly a half to last year's Spa-precocious Designer Legs but draws rail. Schettino good with early runners and Kisses for Romeo working well. Asmussen-Durant's Empressive Humor dropped from fast dam. Tough group to decipher..

Best Value: #6 Kisses for Romeo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Empressive Humor 4-1 WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Overspending 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Margaret Reay 15-1 6th


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Fun group and if Got Lucky doesn't run at least her A-/B+ race, it gets very open. Rumba has some speed and may be a new filly..

Best Value: #7 Rumba 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Got Lucky 1-1 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Equilateral 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Unbridledexplosion 10-1 2nd


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A number of droppers make this another challenging set. If Poliziano doesn't tackle Shot to Win the early leader could wire this. Pace has to be at least somewhat contentious to give this a fair running..

Best Value: #4 Shot to Win 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Ithastobegeorge 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Santa Elf 7-2 WON ($9.30)
Super Add: #2 Betweenhereandcool 5-2 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$27k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Girlaboutown 8-5 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Verismilitude 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Jilly Mac 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Senso 8-1 5th


6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Tough to argue against Artemis Agrotera returning to NY company but the Acorn was dismal and with that and modest worktab to go on, you get the feeling that things are amiss. Shaky at 2-5..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Artemis Agrotera 2-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #8 Hot Splash 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 What the Frost 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Familyofroses 20-1 6th


7th: MCLM/$65k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Even with their speed, the major candidates from Clement and Romans are poorly posted out wide. At 15-1, Galroyale an outstanding play with a big shot off more than solid first turf try..

Best Value: #2 GALROYALE 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Beauty Surprise 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Late Night Artist 3-1 8th
Super Add: #11 One More Song 10-1 7th


8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Kenneally dropping 5-2 Go Appeal in from $50k purchase plenty disconcerting and much of the rest of this group has similar red flags. Bemata drops way down but has been consistent v. better..

Most Likely: #7 Bemata 7-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Shankopotomus 15-1 WON ($21.20)
Next Best: #1 Go Appeal 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Street Shark 20-1 2nd


9th: 20th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Steady parade of high quality sophs have been winning this event including Centre Court, Winter Memories and Perfect Shirl recently. There appears to be pace (Daring Kathy, Speed Seeker) and pressure (A Little Bit Sassy) involved here, but if anyone is allowed to loaf up front, it will compromise the 4 looking to rally..

Most Likely: #7 A Little Bit Sassy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Little Journey 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Daring Dancer 3-1 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Acclaim 4-1 3rd


10th: NY-OC/N1X, D&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Rousing end to the day with fast-paced lawn dash. Open to any to fill the super slots..

Most Likely: #3 Saucon Valley 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Royal Jest 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hot Squeeze 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #1 All Mine Tonight 8-1 4th


Late to post-SCR multis today...


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 2-5
6: 1
7: 2-10-12
8: 7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

2x1x3x1x3x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-10-12
8: 1-4-5-7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

SARATOGA RESULTS 7/21


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1 7th


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1 WON ($5.90)


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1 SCR


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1 4th


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2 7th
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1 9th


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1 5th


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1 9th


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

 


 

SARATOGA REULTS 9/20


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Thirst for Glory 8-1: Trounces Kimmel Fri. winner mornings.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thank You 15-1: T2D & blinks 2nd start a potent trick.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tax Package 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandler 7-2 8th
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve
2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Groomedforvictory 7-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Tizmas 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Most Happy Fella 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Interested in Premium in 2nd start as 4yo and in U.S., but KMc's runners have been dreadful here early..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Scampering 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Premium 6-1 5th


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely #4 Glickman 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Denzel 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Carolinian 6-1 3rd


5th: 1st Lucky Coin, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spring to the Sky 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Strong Impact 2-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $12.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,4,5 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $16.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 4 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,4 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4
3: 1-3-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-5-6

3x3x1x5 = $45


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$66k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Dreaming of Danny 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Treasury Devil 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Mia Poppy 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky reads add more difficulty to already tough lawn dash..

Most Likely: #2 Eternal Bull 4-1: Experience edge; Showed speed in last.. 5th
Best Value: #4 Ireland's Eye 15-1: Sharp works for 2nd start per Mike Welsch.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Hidden Candy 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 T Sizzle 10-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fiona's Hero 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Sir Leslie 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Beautyinthepulpit 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Crown Queen 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Silky 5-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Fizzy Pink 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Princess Mara 15-1 10th


10th: 97th Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Unbridled Forever looks to break through after minor awards in the best 3yo filly races of the year..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Forever 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Besilu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Stopchargingmaria 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Taketheodds 8-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

All trip here with perhaps 7 of the 12 within 5 lengths..

Best Value: #6 Island Therapy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hushhushmushmush 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Downgoesfrazier 7-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Tsonga 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7,8,9 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 12 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 5,6 with 6,1 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 10 - $2.00

Total: $136.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 1,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 1,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,3,9 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

Total: $52.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY ACTION

 

Saratoga POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R8 - NYB OC 40k/N1X

#1 Jacobson Entry (3-1)
#7 Beautyinthepulpit (5-1)
#6 Sir Leslie (4-1)
#5 Fiona's Hero (7-2)

R9 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 9.5F)

#1 Neat Package (8-1) BEST BET
#12 Fizzy Pink (GB) (3-1)
#11 Crown Queen (7-2)
#5 Silky (Ire) (5-1)

R10 - G1 CCA Oaks

#6 Taketheodds (8-1)
#2 Unbridled Forever (9-5)
#1 Stopchargingmaria (8-5)
#3 Miss Besilu (6-1)

R11 - NYB Md 40k

#10 Tsonga (12-1)
#11 Hushhushmushmush (3-1)
#1 Downgoesfrazier (7-2)
#3 Wake Up and Go (5-1)

PK4 - 1 3 5 6 7 8 / 1 12 / 1 2 6 / 1 10 11 = $54 for $.50


Del Mar


R8 - MSW 75k (2yo 5F)

#3 Conquest Archangel (3-1)
#1 Backstreet Lisa (15-1)
#8 Luminance (5-2)
#10 Megyns Gold (8-1)

R9 - OC 40k/N1X

#5 Satirical (6-1)
#11 Sweet Profit (7-2)
#8 Mum's Truckee (15-1)
#3 Georgia (6-1)

R10 - Clm 40k (Turf 8F)

#3 Noise of the Crowd (7-2)
#7 Boller Bomb (8-1)
#9 Redressthebalance (Ire) (3-1)
#10 Plaza de Indias (Chi) (8-1)

R11 - Md 20k

#7 Lucky Jack (3-1)
#2 Secret Command (5-1)
#5 Mahalo Arturo (6-1)
#1 Burning (6-1)

PK4 - 1 3 8 / 3 5 8 11 / 3 7 9 / 2 7 = $36 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/19

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King's Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $73.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 - $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th


7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday's filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna's Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can't Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd


9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)


10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 - $8.00

Total: $62.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION  

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/18 

Scene shifts to Saratoga after a rollicking opener at 'old Del Mar' that saw multiple longshots trip a $107k P6 carryover into Day 2. Based on Thursday's wild action and the first weekend of cards at both major summer venues, it should be an outstanding 7 weeks. Coolish temps at San Diego gave rise to some strong front end efforts on the poly, so as usual, you need to monitor the meteorologics when dabbling at DMR. Certainly Barry Abrams' implausible wire-to-wire winner Know More vwas the day's most glaring beneficiary of the tight surface. The new turf course played fairly with Super Ability wiring the 5th and Enterprising rallying from last into a square pace in the Oceanside. ATR listeners benefited from Brad Free's warning on $62.80 Passing Game and Jeff Seigel's excellent tab of 24-1 runner up Eldorado Prado ($20.60 to place) who was beaten in a photo. Hope everyone did well and are ready for a great weekend with the Spa's first day dawning gloriously..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:


Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..

Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th


3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira's Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

There's nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can'thelpbelieving..

Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can'thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th


<$75 P5/P4 Plays:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 - $6.00

Total: $72.00


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..

Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..

Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th


9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

Tough to stray to far from the faves..

Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Deep set of state breds that won't make it easy on multi-race plays..

Best Value: #10 Maura's Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

 

  

 


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

 




 
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