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SELECTIONS FROM STEVE AND GUS Print E-mail

Racing writer and broadcaster Steve Byk joined At the Races and Beyond as a handicapper/commentator in November 2005 and assumed duties as host with the introduction of At the Races with Steve Byk in June 2007. An avid racegoer and player for more than 20 years, Byk has attended more than 50 Triple Crown races, 15 Breeders' Cups and visited more than 30 different racetracks across North America. He launched DerbyTrail.com in 2003, where his feature writing, prep previews and editorial columns attracted a large following. Byk and trainers Chuck Simon & Gary Sciacca introduced Dee Tee Stables in December 2006, and have brought more than 130 fans into the game as owners. 


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Visit & join DerbyTrail.com: http://www.derbytrail.com


   

 

 

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WEDNESDAY JULY 23

 

 

 


Off to a very clumsy start at Saratoga, failing over the first 4 days to gain much of a foothold or continuity. At the same time, got a little something out of the Sanford and only needed The Lewis Dinner (14-1) to get past Graeme Cracker Friday or Fade to Black (16-1) to win the steward's decision Saturday to be in nice stead, so I'm not fretting. $27k C/O to start the week..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Steeplechase season starts here with solid group of modestly credentialed hoppers. Jack Fisher comes in with a strong pair that luckily are not an entry..

Best Value: #2 Syros 8-1
Next Best: #5 Wantan 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Rudyard K 5-2
Super Add: #7 Selection Sunday 4-1


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P5, P3, DD)

Have to deal with pair of Pletcher fillies here including $340k Repole purchase Overspending, a full to Wicked Deed and half to Western Prize, both SW's. Dallas Stewart filly a half to last year's Spa-precocious Designer Legs but draws rail. Schettino good with early runners and Kisses for Romeo working well. Asmussen-Durant's Empressive Humor dropped from fast dam. Tough group to decipher..

Best Value: #6 Kisses for Romeo 5-1
Next Best: #3 Empressive Humor 4-1
Exotics Use: #8 Overspending 7-5
Super Add: #2 Margaret Reay 15-1


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Fun group and if Got Lucky doesn't run at least her A-/B+ race, it gets very open. Rumba has some speed and may be a new filly..

Best Value: #7 Rumba 12-1
Next Best: #5 Got Lucky 1-1
Exotics Use: #2 Equilateral 4-1
Super Add: #1 Unbridledexplosion 10-1


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A number of droppers make this another challenging set. If Poliziano doesn't tackle Shot to Win the early leader could wire this. Pace has to be at least somewhat contentious to give this a fair running..

Best Value: #4 Shot to Win 8-1
Next Best: #6 Ithastobegeorge 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Santa Elf 7-2
Super Add: #2 Betweenhereandcool 5-2


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$27k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Girlaboutown 8-5
Next Best: #5 Verismilitude 4-1
Best Value: #7 Jilly Mac 12-1
Exotics Use: #9 Senso 8-1


6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Tough to argue against Artemis Agrotera returning to NY company but the Acorn was dismal and with that and modest worktab to go on, you get the feeling that things are amiss. Shaky at 2-5..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Artemis Agrotera 2-5
Next Best: #8 Hot Splash 5-1
Best Value: #3 What the Frost 15-1
Exotics Use: #2 Familyofroses 20-1


7th: MCLM/$65k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Even with their speed, the major candidates from Clement and Romans are poorly posted out wide. At 15-1, Galroyale an outstanding play with a big shot off more than solid first turf try..

Best Value: #2 GALROYALE 15-1
Next Best: #10 Beauty Surprise 6-1
Exotics Use: #12 Late Night Artist 3-1
Super Add: #11 One More Song 10-1


8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Kenneally dropping 5-2 Go Appeal in from $50k purchase plenty disconcerting and much of the rest of this group has similar red flags. Bemata drops way down but has been consistent v. better..

Most Likely: #7 Bemata 7-2
Best Value: #5 Shankopotomus 15-1
Next Best: #1 Go Appeal 5-2
Exotics Use: #4 Street Shark 20-1


9th: 20th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Steady parade of high quality sophs have been winning this event including Centre Court, Winter Memories and Perfect Shirl recently. There appears to be pace (Daring Kathy, Speed Seeker) and pressure (A Little Bit Sassy) involved here, but if anyone is allowed to loaf up front, it will compromise the 4 looking to rally..

Most Likely: #7 A Little Bit Sassy 5-2
Best Value: #6 Little Journey 5-1
Next Best: #2 Daring Dancer 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Acclaim 4-1


10th: NY-OC/N1X, D&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Rousing end to the day with fast-paced lawn dash. Open to any to fill the super slots..

Most Likely: #3 Saucon Valley 5-1
Best Value: #2 Royal Jest 12-1
Next Best: #8 Hot Squeeze 3-1
Exotics Use: #1 All Mine Tonight 8-1


Late to post-SCR multis today...


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 2-5
6: 1
7: 2-10-12
8: 7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

2x1x3x1x3x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-10-12
8: 1-4-5-7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

 

 

 

 

SARATOGA RESULTS 7/21


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1 7th


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1 WON ($5.90)


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1 SCR


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1 4th


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2 7th
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1 9th


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1 5th


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1 9th


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

 


 

SARATOGA REULTS 9/20


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Thirst for Glory 8-1: Trounces Kimmel Fri. winner mornings.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thank You 15-1: T2D & blinks 2nd start a potent trick.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tax Package 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandler 7-2 8th
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve
2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Groomedforvictory 7-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Tizmas 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Most Happy Fella 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Interested in Premium in 2nd start as 4yo and in U.S., but KMc's runners have been dreadful here early..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Scampering 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Premium 6-1 5th


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely #4 Glickman 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Denzel 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Carolinian 6-1 3rd


5th: 1st Lucky Coin, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spring to the Sky 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Strong Impact 2-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $12.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,4,5 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $16.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 4 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,4 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4
3: 1-3-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-5-6

3x3x1x5 = $45


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$66k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Dreaming of Danny 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Treasury Devil 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Mia Poppy 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky reads add more difficulty to already tough lawn dash..

Most Likely: #2 Eternal Bull 4-1: Experience edge; Showed speed in last.. 5th
Best Value: #4 Ireland's Eye 15-1: Sharp works for 2nd start per Mike Welsch.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Hidden Candy 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 T Sizzle 10-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fiona's Hero 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Sir Leslie 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Beautyinthepulpit 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Crown Queen 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Silky 5-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Fizzy Pink 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Princess Mara 15-1 10th


10th: 97th Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Unbridled Forever looks to break through after minor awards in the best 3yo filly races of the year..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Forever 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Besilu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Stopchargingmaria 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Taketheodds 8-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

All trip here with perhaps 7 of the 12 within 5 lengths..

Best Value: #6 Island Therapy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hushhushmushmush 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Downgoesfrazier 7-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Tsonga 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7,8,9 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 12 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 5,6 with 6,1 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 10 - $2.00

Total: $136.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 1,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 1,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,3,9 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

Total: $52.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY ACTION

 

Saratoga POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R8 - NYB OC 40k/N1X

#1 Jacobson Entry (3-1)
#7 Beautyinthepulpit (5-1)
#6 Sir Leslie (4-1)
#5 Fiona's Hero (7-2)

R9 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 9.5F)

#1 Neat Package (8-1) BEST BET
#12 Fizzy Pink (GB) (3-1)
#11 Crown Queen (7-2)
#5 Silky (Ire) (5-1)

R10 - G1 CCA Oaks

#6 Taketheodds (8-1)
#2 Unbridled Forever (9-5)
#1 Stopchargingmaria (8-5)
#3 Miss Besilu (6-1)

R11 - NYB Md 40k

#10 Tsonga (12-1)
#11 Hushhushmushmush (3-1)
#1 Downgoesfrazier (7-2)
#3 Wake Up and Go (5-1)

PK4 - 1 3 5 6 7 8 / 1 12 / 1 2 6 / 1 10 11 = $54 for $.50


Del Mar


R8 - MSW 75k (2yo 5F)

#3 Conquest Archangel (3-1)
#1 Backstreet Lisa (15-1)
#8 Luminance (5-2)
#10 Megyns Gold (8-1)

R9 - OC 40k/N1X

#5 Satirical (6-1)
#11 Sweet Profit (7-2)
#8 Mum's Truckee (15-1)
#3 Georgia (6-1)

R10 - Clm 40k (Turf 8F)

#3 Noise of the Crowd (7-2)
#7 Boller Bomb (8-1)
#9 Redressthebalance (Ire) (3-1)
#10 Plaza de Indias (Chi) (8-1)

R11 - Md 20k

#7 Lucky Jack (3-1)
#2 Secret Command (5-1)
#5 Mahalo Arturo (6-1)
#1 Burning (6-1)

PK4 - 1 3 8 / 3 5 8 11 / 3 7 9 / 2 7 = $36 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/19

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King's Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $73.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 - $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th


7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday's filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna's Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can't Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd


9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)


10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 - $8.00

Total: $62.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION  

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/18 

Scene shifts to Saratoga after a rollicking opener at 'old Del Mar' that saw multiple longshots trip a $107k P6 carryover into Day 2. Based on Thursday's wild action and the first weekend of cards at both major summer venues, it should be an outstanding 7 weeks. Coolish temps at San Diego gave rise to some strong front end efforts on the poly, so as usual, you need to monitor the meteorologics when dabbling at DMR. Certainly Barry Abrams' implausible wire-to-wire winner Know More vwas the day's most glaring beneficiary of the tight surface. The new turf course played fairly with Super Ability wiring the 5th and Enterprising rallying from last into a square pace in the Oceanside. ATR listeners benefited from Brad Free's warning on $62.80 Passing Game and Jeff Seigel's excellent tab of 24-1 runner up Eldorado Prado ($20.60 to place) who was beaten in a photo. Hope everyone did well and are ready for a great weekend with the Spa's first day dawning gloriously..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:


Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..

Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th


3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira's Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

There's nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can'thelpbelieving..

Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can'thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th


<$75 P5/P4 Plays:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 - $6.00

Total: $72.00


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..

Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..

Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th


9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

Tough to stray to far from the faves..

Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Deep set of state breds that won't make it easy on multi-race plays..

Best Value: #10 Maura's Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY ACTION 

 

Saratoga Opening Day


R2 - MSW 83k (2yo f 5.5F)

#8 Wall Street Lady (3-1)
#6 Vinolicious (5-2)
#2 Know It All Anna (4-1)
#3 By the Moon (8-1)

R3 - G3 Schuyerville (2yo f 6F)

#4 Fashion Alert (3-5)
#5 Take Charge Brandi (6-1)
#3 Evrybdymstgetstonz (12-1)

R4 - MSW 83k

#7 Premura (5-1)
#5 Julia Tutwiler (10-1)
#3 Mumtaazah (5-2)
#2 Judy Legend (3-1)

R5 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 9.5F)

#3 Can'thelpbelieving (Ire) (4-5)
#2 My Afleet (12-1)
#7 Papy (6-1)
#10 Special Agent (5-1)

PK4 - 2 3 6 8 / 4 5 / 2 3 5 7 / 2 3 7 = $48 for $.50

R7 - Clm 50k (Turf 8F)

#2 Monument Hill (4-1)
#8 Joe's Blazing Aaron (9-5)
#3 Tiz Sardonic Joe (7-2)
#10 Golden Itiz (15-1)

R8 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 5.5F)

#1 Zamquick (5-1)
#3 Aventure Love (Fr) (7-2)
#9 Gratitude (4-1)
#5 Revealing Moment (15-1)

R9 - Sir Cat 100k (Turf 8F)

#1 Storming Inti (9-5)
#7 Ring Weekend (10-1)
#5 Tourist (8-5)
#2 Cabo Cat (4-1)

R10 - NYB MSW 73k (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Piccolo Flats (12-1)
#10 Maura's Pass (6-1)
#4 Shades of Indygo (20-1)
#5 Traipse in Utopia (8-1)

PK4 - 2 3 8 10 / 1 3 / 1 7 / 3 4 5 10 = $32 for $.50


Del Mar


PK6 - R3 - 3 5 7 8 12 / 1 / 3 4 / 5 6 / 7 / 3 12 = $80

Good Racing Luck 


 


 


 


RESULTS 7/17
 


DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Jules Journey 7-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Stoney Fleece 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Kokaltash 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Super Ability 6-1 WON ($16.60)


6th: Cal-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Pulmarack 9-2: Full to Luckarack, half to Tamarando.. 6th
Next Best: #5 Whatahustler 5-1: Sharp worker offers some value.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 London Legacy 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Quiet Thunder 5-1 8th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Cinmars Dance 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Romar Success 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Maxx the Giant 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Navarre 6-1 8th


8th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Carla Gaines won a division of Oceanside last year with Gervinho in 5th start and coming in 2nd/layoff from June. From Mr. Williamson's outstanding race and broodmare Blending Element, Texas Ryano is similarly making 4th start, 2nd/layoff from June and appears highly progressive. The one to beat. Fourth in the Singletary last time, Forever Juanito a bit of reach, but is 20-1 now (could go higher) and as viable in the mix as Argyle Cut (9-2), Home School (15-1) and Love Rules All (15-1). Sammy Mandeville draws in from AE's and will be overlooked..

Most Likely: #10 Texas Ryano 4-1 5th
Best Value: #12 Forever Juanito 20-1 8th
Next Best: #13 Sammy Mandeville 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Enterprising 7-2 WON ($7.80)


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Diamond of Blue 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Magic Beam 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Close to the Edge 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Xuang Feng 5-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Paceless affair is begging for an offbeat option..

Best Value: #4 Hittheroadrunning 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Affretando 6-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Godard 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Coastal Breeze 12-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Vibrato Jazz 5-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 4,8 - $12.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 8 with 4,8 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,10 with 10 with 9 with 9,11 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 8 with 4,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 1,9,12,13 with 9 with 9,11 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 8 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7,9 with 10 with 9 with 4,8 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 3,4,5 with 9 with 4,8 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 4,6,7,10 with 4,8 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 10 with 9 with 5,6,12,13 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


 

 


 

GUS ALONSO'S THURSDAY RESULTS 


 

Del Mar Opening Day


R7 - Starter Alw 40k

#6 Romar Success (5-1) 2ND
#7 No Barneys (6-1)
#10 Maxx the Giant (9-2) 4TH

R8 - Oceanside 100k (Turf 8F)

#9 Enterprising (7-2) WON $7.80
#3 Home School (Ire) (15-1) 3RD
#1 Argyle Cut (9-2) 2ND
#4 Love Rules All (15-1)

R9 - Clm 20k

#8 Magic Beam (8-1) 3RD
#9 Diamond of Blue (5-2)
#2 Sheer Talent (12-1)
#3 Scorpion Warrior (15-1)

R10 - Clm 32k N1Y (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Affrettando (6-1) WON $10.60
#9 Godard (5-1) 3RD
#13 Causeithertz (7-2) 4TH
#6 Buenos Dias (Ire) 20-1)

PK4 - 2 6 7 8 10 / 1 3 9 / 8 9 / 8 9 = $30 for $.50 

 


 

 


RESULTS 7/12

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Not a desperate group of NY maidens and no easy task narrowing options. Sand Paper is a ridiculous 30-1 off an open company seasonal debut and now gets first Lasix and blinkers for Pat Kelly. Bryce Bryce Baby and Pepi's Find probably need to be on your back up tickets..

Most Likely: #6 Hampden Fiveone 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Sand Paper 30-1 WON ($44.00)
Next Best: #9 King Gettigan 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Startripenterprise 6-1 7th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wake Up in Malibu 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Archer Hill 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Hooked Forever 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Wild Finish 8-1 6th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open extended turf sprint with 7 of the 12 looking like win candidates. Spread out if playing P4. Pick and pray slot in P6..

Most Likely: #5 Eddy's Time 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Eurokay by Me 12-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Saratoga Karaoke 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Malibu Queen 6-1 4th


8th: CLM/$40, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cousin Michael 2-1
Next Best: #4 Divine Child 7-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Bobby V. 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Associate 4-1 WON ($16.00)


9th: Bowling Green H. (G2), 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Grandeur overdue for win but unless Rosario is going to keep him closer today, there's no guarantee here with little speed involved. Decision of Chamois (here or DEL) important to scenario. Shortish field but no easy solutions..

Most Likely: #5 Grandeur 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Reflecting 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Hangover Kid 5-1 WON ($11.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Boisterous 3-1 4th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Sequence ends as it starts, with iffy set of maidens that may be vulnerable to either of the first time starters. AE-13 Josie's Prospect (entered back Sunday) a major player if in..

[i]Most Likely: #3 Joshans Giant 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Lakeview Lady 10-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #4 Pie's First Lady 3-1 4th
Exotics Use:#12 Home to Carrowkeel 12-1 6th



DELAWARE PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Fort Delaware, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Very well balanced set here and 6 of 8 look to be needed in terms of starting multi-race plays..

Best Value: #2 Avarice 6-1 2nd-WON on DQ ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Picko's Pride 4-1 WON-DQ'D to 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Adirondack King 8-1 4th-3rd on DQ
Super Add: #3 King Henry 7-2 5th-4th on DQ


7th: Sweet and Sassy, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Defending champ Winning Image the clear speed and difficult to pass late..

Most Likely: #5 Winning Image 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Interest Free 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Lion D N A 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 She's Ordained 8-1 3rd


8th: Cape Henlopen, 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Very tough group considering the $50k satch. As Nick Tammaro noted Friday on ATR, Xmas Sky the lone player eligible to engage Bellarmine. If he doesn't, pace will be soft and McPeek trainee named for Louisville college will wire. Other than that, Talk Show Man jumps out at me as likely to outrun 12-1 odds..

Most Likely: #8 Bellarmine 8-1 9th
Best Value: #6 Talk Show Man 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Dannhauser 15-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Holiday Star 8-1 3rd


9th: Delaware H. (G1), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Nothing should prevent a Princess win here, but the other accomplished graded stakes runners here are not completely over-matched either. Gamay Noir (10-1) is the right price key underneath. She's out of an Unbridled mare and may be ideal covering the additional furlong required here..

Most Likely: #6 Princess of Sylmar 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Gamay Noir 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Molly Morgan 3-1 5th



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Arlington H. (G3), 3+, 10f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Mister Mardi Gras 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 War Dancer 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Admiral Kitten 3-1 2nd


8th: Stars and Stripes, 3+, 12f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 The Pizza Man 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Seton Hall 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Olympic Thunder 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Dreams Cut Short 20-1 7th


9th: American Derby (G3),

Thoroughly entertaining group and I don't think you're required to accept the obvious short prices including Divine Oath who may struggle with the added distance..

Most Likely: #7 Our Channel 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Hesinfront 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Schoolofhardrocks 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Giacallure 15-1 8th


10th: Modesty H. (G3), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

14 horses field so another spot where you need not pay attention to the ML. Swing from your heels..

Most Likely: #5 Kepi 10-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Street of Gold 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Every Way 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 I'm Already Sexy 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #7 Dance Again 15-1 8th

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION 

 

Arlington Park - Million Preview Day - Expect a soft turf course after it rained hard overnight and there's more rain expected on and off throughout the day.


R7 - G3 Arlington Handicap (Turf 10F)

#2 War Dancer (2-1) - His win in the Louisville a Churchill proved he's at his best going long on the Turf and also showed some grit. He's been freshened and looks to sit behind the projected front runner #4 Avanzare before making his move.
#4 Avanzare (7-2) - Have to like how he held off the competition in his most recent win at Churchill and will have the opportunity to take them along way in the front here.
#5 Finnegans Wake (9-2) - His last nine starts have been versus G1 or G2 company and he has the right style to come up for a minor piece late.
#1 Admiral Kitten (3-1) - Won the Secretatriat last year on this course, but he has not progressed to the point to deserve a short price. Besides beating an overmatched field in Sam Houston, there's not much there. Minor award candidate.

R8 - G2 Stars and Stripes (Turf 12F)

#5 Dreams Cut Short (20-1) - Huge improvement once Maker got him in his barn. I don't trust most of this field at the marathon distance and this runner is eligible to take another step forward at a big price.
#7 The Pizza Man (7-2) - Has been really handled well with 10 wins out of 15 starts. Has been mostly beating up on state breds and must prove he's graded stakes worthy before taking a short price at a distance where there are some concerns.
#3 Suntracer (3-1) - Ultra consistent and has faced some nice company throughout his career. The question with him is the distance and once he makes the lead, he likes to wait on horses.
#8 Olympic Thunder (Brz) - Should be forwardly placed which seems to be a good thing in this race and has battled with some nice horses at Churchill.

R9 - G3 American Derby (Turf 9.5F)

#4 Scholofhardrocks (3-1) - Really took a step forward when stretched out on the lawn last time in Cali. He was considered a serious racehorse on the Triple Crown trail earlier in the year. The pedigree screams out Turf. The only concern will be if he can handle what looks to be a soft turf course today.
#2 Divine Oath (7-2) - Finally draws inside and no one was catching Bobby's Kitten in the Penn Mile. Expecting a big performance from the Pletcher runner.
#10 Afortable (9-2) - Had little chance as the favorite in the G3 Arlington Classic where the filly Istanford was allowed to slow it down on the front end. He still made a move late to finish 3rd.
#8 Chief Barker (Ire) (8-1) - I was expecting better in his two U.S. starts and can't find a viable excuse in either race. He has been freshened and shows some nice works leading up to this race.

R10 - G3 Modesty Handicap (Turf 9.5F)

#3 Every Way (15-1) - The morning line is way off and she'll probably be half those odds. She's in sharp form and draws an advantageous inside post. Like to see the Graham sticks here.
#2 Street of Gold (30-1) - Taking a shot that the inside draw will help and avoid another wide trip. That was a sneaking good effort at Belmont in her most recent and she could light up the toteboard.
#6 Tabreed (GB) (7-2) - Yes she's making her 1st start of the year, but hard to go against Clement with a mare that has shown some talent to handle this field.
#4 Gulsary (Ire) (4-1) - Really dug in last and should get a similar trip for Proctor (39% at the current meet).

PK4 - 2 4 / 2 5 7 8 9 / 2 4 / 2 3 4 5 6 9 13 14 = $80 for $.50

PK4 - Budget Play - 2 / 2 5 7 8 9 / 2 4 / 2 3 6 = $15


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/10 

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$23k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Academyperformance 5-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Causeways Friend 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Crashing Conclave 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Reiff entry 15-1 8th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Smashing 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sweet Shirley Mae 5-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Dear Mama 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Regent's House 4-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Oldwick 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Solly's Mischief 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Go to the Net 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Donttellyourmother 5-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Wally Did It 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #11 You Tarzan 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Brendan G 3-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Flowing Mane 15-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #3 Bernardo 7-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Scarly Charly 8-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #1 Sinistra 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Roman Approval 8-1 4th


9th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T

Most Likely: #3 Pink Poppy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Almurra 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Irish Score 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Whispering 30-1 8th


<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 3 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 6,10 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 3 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 6,10 - $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1,5 with 6,10 - $16.00

A's with One C

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3,7,8 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,2,5 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 3 - $12.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 8 with 3 with 7,8,9 - $12.00

Total: $116.00


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 3,10 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 1 with 3,10 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 6,7,8 - $12.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (8/2,5,7,8,10/5/8) Paid $204.75

A's with Two B's

4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 1 with 6,7,8 - $3.00

A's with One C

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 8 with 3,5 with 3,10 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 1,3,4,6,9,11 with 3,5 with 3,10 - $24.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 2,4,7 with 3,10 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 8 with 3,5 with 9 - $2.00


Total: $63.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/9

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Deep start to late quad with at least 6 of the 12 particularly eligible for laurels (1-3-5-8-10-12). Request makes first start as a 3yo here and that can be a formula for big forward move off solid juvenile tries which included exchanges with Mr. Speaker. Give No Quarter, Killer Crossover and Souper Lucky all make turf debuts adding to the intrigue..

Best Value: #10 Request 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Smooth Daddy 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Patent 5-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Dance Champion 9-2 10th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Jere. Englehart has had time with Birds Gone Wild (20-1) and like that hois 2 best races have come at 7f and one turn mile. Should get pace to close in to. Englehart also sends 15-1 Surfspun who will be on the front end and .

Most Likely: #5 Dyker Beach 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Birds Gone Wild 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Howl 8-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Late SCR


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

As discussed Tuesday with Andy Serling, a stakes quality 3rd level ALW with many familiar faces. Lochte (3-1) and Upgrade (6-1) get out-posted in the 12 & 11 respectively, encouraging you to look for alternatives. Pace looks moderate. Nice to see Timmy Toner get Two Months Rent back after missing all of 2013..

Most Likely: #7 Plainview 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #4 Red Rifle 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Bad Debt 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Lochte 3-1 3rd


9th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Sunrise Kitty 3-1 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #7 Radiant Cut 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ornelia 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Off My Cloud 4-1 -
Super Add: #11 Painted Poney 12-1 3rd


<$70 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 5 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $4.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $1.50
4 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 2,4,9,12 with 1,7,9 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 7 with 4 - $0.50

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 3 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $4.50
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 5 with 2,4,9,12 with 1,7,9 - $18.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 5 with 7 with 4 - $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3 with 2,4,9,12 with 1,7,9 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3 with 7 with 4 - $0.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 2,4,9,12 with 4 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4,6,7,9,11,12 with 5 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $12.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 1,2,4,6,7 with 7 with 1,7,9 - $7.50
14 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 6 with 1,7,9 - $1.50
15 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 5 with 7 with 11 - $0.50

Total: $69.50

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S WEDNESDAY RESULTS

 

Belmont Park POST SCRATCHES


R6 - OC 75k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Dance Champion (9-2)
#1 Master Lightning (6-1)
#8 Smooth Daddy (3-1) 3RD
#4 Give No Quarter (12-1) WON $24.20

R7 - Starter Alw 50k

#5 Dyker Beach (2-1) 2ND
#6 Howl (6-1)
#2 Maximus Decimus (6-1)
#4 Catholic Cowboy (5-2) WON $7.60

R8 - OC 80k/N3X (Turf 8F)

#4 Red Rifle (10-1) 2ND
#2 Bad Debt (5-1) 4TH
#12 Lochte (3-1) 3RD
#7 Plainview (4-1) WON $6.40

R9 - Clm 35k N3L (Turf 6F)

#1 Off My Cloud (4-1)
#7 Radiant Cut (4-1) 2ND
#11 Painted Poney (12-1) 3RD
#9 Sunrise Kitty (3-1) WON $5.90

PK4 - 1 3 4 8 10 / 5 / 2 4 7 12 / 1 7 = $20 for $.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/6 

 

Inaugural Stars & Strips Festival Day at Belmont an unequivocal smash hit as outstanding card draws an enthusiastic on-track crowd (11k) and a flood of wagering handle from all corners (nearly $19,000,000). The stars of the day included Jose Lezcano (Natural stakes hat track in Sprint-Derby-Suburban), Chad Brown (Zivo/Suburban; Minorette/Oaks), Clearly Now (New 7f track record) and Mr. Speaker (Derby win over excellent International cast). The mutuels were plenty inviting and lucrative as the big, competitive fields required deep penetration on tickets to score. The P6 carryover went "Darlington" (the track too tough to tame) courtesy of $49 Mr. Speaker and $29 Zivo and offers a big $177k invitation into today's mundane sequence.

In addition to the big pot at BEL, the United Nations at MTH (and on Fox Sports 1) and Queens Plate at WO add to the windup from a grand Holiday Weekend...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$177k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Wake Up and Go 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Patrolikeachampion 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 The Mooche 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 With Expression 6-1 WON ($10.80)


5th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Giant Fox 9-2 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #3 Master Yank 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Baskets 7-2 4th
Super Add: #5 Ignatius 12-1 3rd


6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Edie 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #7 Morethanvictorious 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cotton Pickin 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Starship Pleasant 3-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Only one of Andy Berg's entry will run. Sacred Ground prefered but Mongolia drops to appropriate level..

Most Likely: #7 Springcourt 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Moe Man 8-1 WON ($13.20)
Next Best: #1a Sky Blue Mongolia 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Love to Run 4-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Sinatra 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Inchcape 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Deep Speed 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Middleburg 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Where's Danny 30-1 7th


9th: MSW, 3+, 10f-IT

Best Value: #1 Crown Thy Good 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Are We Not Men 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #8 Heyaarat 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #5 Boss Man 4-1 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $2.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1 - $6.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 2,3 with 1 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 3,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 3 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 4 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 4 with 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1 - $12.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 2,3 with 1 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 6,7 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 3,8 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $2.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3 with 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1 - $6.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3 with 5 with 7 with 2,3 with 1 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 3,8 - $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 7 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1 - $6.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 7 with 7 with 2,3 with 1 - $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 3,8 - $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 1,2,4 with 2,3 with 1 - $12.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 3,8 - $12.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 2,3 with 3,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3,9 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $6.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5,9 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 2,3,6,9 with 7 with 5 with 1 - $8.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 4,9,10 with 1 - $6.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 5 with 5,11 - $4.00

Total: $150.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 5 with 1,3 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 7 with 5 with 1,3 - $6.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1,3 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 2,3,4,9 with 1,3 - $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 5 with 5,8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 1,3 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 7 with 2,3,4,9 with 1,3 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,7 with 7 with 5 with 5,8 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,4 with 2,3,4,9 with 1,3 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,4 with 5 with 5,8 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 2,3,4,9 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9 with 7 with 5 with 1,3 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,8,9 with 5 with 1,3 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 10 with 1,3 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 7 with 5 with 11 - $0.50

Total: $73.50

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY ACTION 

 

Woodbine POST SCRATCHES - POLY / FIRM

R7 - G2 Dance Smartly (Turf 9F)

#6 English Class (8-1) 4TH
#2 Overheard (5-2) WON $7.20
#4 Deceptive Vision (2-1) 2ND
#3 Industrial Policy (6-1)

R8 - Alw 58.6k N1X

#2 Rhythm Blues (3-1) 3RD
#1 Steel Dust Dancer (9-2) WON $6.80
#3 Constantino (2-1) 2ND
#4 Tap for Ami (7-2) 4TH

R9 - G2 Singspiel (Turf 12F)

#3 Perfect Timber (6-1) 2ND
#5 Forte Dei Marmi (GB) (6-5) 4TH
#6 Aldous Snow (2-1) WON $6.70
#4 Dynamic Sky (4-1) 3RD

R10 - G2 Highlander (Turf 6F)

#1 Something Extra (9-5) WON $5.50
#3 Phil's Dream (5-2) 2ND
#9 Mr. Online (6-1)
#2 Occasional View (10-1)

R11 - Queen's Plate $1 Million - Super Hi-Fi Mandatory Payout

#6 We Miss Artie (8-5) 4TH
#10 Matador (8-1)
#4 Asserting Bear (10-1) 3RD
#12 Tower of Texas (20-1)
#15 Ami's Holiday (10-1) 2ND

$.20 Super Hi Fi - 6 / 4 8 10 12 15 - $24 for $.20

$.20 Super Hi Fi - 4 8 10 12 15 / 6 / 4 8 10 12 15 = $24 for $20


R12 - Alw 58.6k N1X (Turf 7F)

#5 Best Bard (3-1) 4TH
#6 Yer Blues (4-1)
#8 Callmeoldfashion (20-1)
#9 The Original Scotty (8-1) WON $16.80

PK4 - 3 4 5 6 / 1 2 3 9 / 6 10 / 5 6 8 = $48 for $.50


Monmouth Park POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R9 - Alw 40k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#4 Picozza (5-2) 2ND
#7 Kildare (15-1)
#11 Doherty (15-1)
#6 Kwacha (6-1)

R10 - G3 Salvator Mile

#7 Itsmyluckday (3-1) WON $4.40
#11 Elnaawi (20-1)
#10 Valid (6-1) 3RD
#2 Bradester (10-1) 2ND

R11 - OC 20k/N1X

#6 On the Loose Again (5-1) 3RD
#2 Ain't Got Time (4-1)
#11 Jax Maxx (9-2) 2ND
#8 Inmyfathersimage (7-2)

R12 - G1 United Nations

#10 Side Glance (GB) (15-1) BEST BET 3RD
#2 Ghuair (3-1)
#7 Kaigun (5-1)
#8 Winning Cause (15-1) 4TH
#5 Main Sequence (8-1)

PK4 - 4 7 11 / 7 11 / 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 / 2 10 = $42 for $.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/5  

Tremendous day of racing crafted by Martin Panza, Frank Gabriel, Andrew Byrnes and the rest of the NYRA Racing Department. Utilizing the former Jamaica (Derby) and Garden City (Oaks), this concept should be a great new fixture on the summer season at Belmont. $35k P6 C/O adds to the intrigue..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


TURF 'GOOD'.. RAILS DOWN


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Interesting and mostly lightly-raced group of gals looking for diploma. Question marks include Shug sending Smuggler daughter Guilty Verdict who hits lawn for first time and gets initial shot of Lasix; Goldberg-Santulli stretchout candidate Pedal Princess; And even Nevin reacquisition Di Lissa. Note Matz' Striking Style makes 2nd start of 3yo year but first back on prefered surface. Candidate to jump up. All 7 can win..

Most Likely: #1 Lady Lavery 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Striking Style 10-1 WON ($18.40)
Next Best: #2 Silverama 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Pedal Princess 9-2 5th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Eastwood 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Kingsford Drive 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Confrontation 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 4th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Don't want to just accept the obvious and short-priced in this rather open-looking set. Pace picture a tad murky, so perhaps trying aggressive riders is the way to go..

Most Likely: #2 Partly Mocha 6-1 WON ($8.30)
Best Value: #7 Lead Singer 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Adirondack Dancer 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 American Progress 15-1 8th


4th: 97th Dwyer (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Compact field but interesting race with emergent types involved. Starlight expected big things from Tiz Dark and the confidence appears to have been justified..

Most Likely: #4 Tiz Dark 6-5 5th
Next Best: #1e Rice/Hushion ownership entry 8-5 WON/2nd ($3.40)
Best Value: #3 Ulanbator 6-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$35k P6 C/O starts here..

Turf sprint for MDN's a trying start to P6 sequence.

Most Likely: #10 Dowse's Beach 5-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #9 Blue Chips Only 8-1 8th
Next Best: #11 A Marked Man 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Latigo Trail 4-1 2nd


@$50 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $0.50
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $1.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 11 with 4 with 10 - $1.50
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 1 with 10 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 1,2,8 with 2,7 with 4 with 9,11 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 1 with 10 - $0.50
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 11 with 4 with 9,11 - $1.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 1 with 9,11 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5,7 with 2,7 with 4 with 10 - $2.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 3 with 10 - $1.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 4 with 2,7 with 4 with 8 - $1.00

Total: $51.00


6th: 7th Belmont Sprint Ch. (G3), 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Former James Marvin comes down from Toga and lures an eclectic cast of dashers that have resumes dotted with 7f success. There is questionable pressure up front, so 'cheaper' speeds Dads Caps and Moonlight Song may be cruising comfortably on top and remember what Dads Caps got away with in the Carter. Favored Central Banker the horse to beat and should get a cozy inside stalking trip. Clearly Now will win at some point obviously. Big Screen moderately interesting if he runs here 2nd/layoff, turf/dirt and cutting back at huge price..

Most Likely: #2 Central Banker 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Moonlight Song 12-1 4th-DH
Next Best: #3 Clearly Now 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Big Screen 20-1 8th


7th: 65th Belmont Derby (G1), 3yo, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Wildly diverse group assembled for this reinterpreted Jamaica with International cast of 11 having made last starts at Meydan, Churchill, Belmont, Longchamps, Ascot.. and Penn National. Jamie Osborne, Aidan O'Brien, Gai Waterhouse (!) and Dermot Weld (Oaks player Flying Jib) sending runners gives this concept instant credibility and gravitas. In addition to International challengers Toast of New York, Adelaide, Gailo Chop and Pornichet, credible domestic types Bobby's Kitten and Dance With Fate very much in with chances. Note too lurking presence of Paddy Gallagher's Flamboyant who arrived in New York very early with this event always the target. Damsire Until Sundown is also the sire of Chilean champion and serious stayer Quick Casablanca, so added ground to 10f may be ideal for this potential surprise package that has trained forwardly, was within a nose of Gailo Chop last fall and retains Rosario..

Most Likely: #4 Adelaide 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Flamboyant 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Gailo Chop 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Toast of New York 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 SCR


8th: 128th Suburban H. (G2), 4+, 10f (P3, DD)

Solid if unglamorous edition of this historic New York standard..

Most Likely: #6 Romansh 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Micromanage 9-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Last Gunfighter 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Zivo 20-1 WON ($29.40)
Super Add: #4 Norumbega 6-1 8th


9th: 36th Belmont Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-IT (DD)

As in the boys' edition, the Euros appear clear favorites with domestic interest Room Service looking like a real threat off brilliant American Oaks win in California..

Most Likely: #7 Xcellence 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Goldy Espony 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Room Service 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Flying Jib 5-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Minorette 12-1 WON ($14.60)


10th: NY-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Point Roll 5-2 9th
Next Best: #12 Hidden Vow 7-2 7th
Best Value: #10 Adams Note 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Mobridge 8-1 WON ($13.20)


<$130 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $12.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9,11 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3,4,8 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $6.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 12 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 12 - $2.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 1,2 with 12 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5,7,9 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 6 - $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 5,6,9 with 6 - $6.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 2 with 4 with 6 with 7 with 2,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $130.00


$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 12 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 6 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 12 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 4,5 with 1,7 with 12 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 2 with 12 - $1.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8,9 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 6 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 3 with 1,7 with 6 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 5,6,9 with 6 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,6 with 1,7 with 2,7,10 - $6.00

Total: $55.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY RESULTS 

 

Belmont Park


R7 - G1 Belmont Derby Invitational (Turf 10F)

##11 Gala Award (10-1)
#7 Gailo Chop (Fr) (5-1) 4TH
#5 Flamboyant (Fr) (15-1) 3RD

R8 - G2 Suburban

#6 Romansh (3-1)
#5 Last Gunfighter (7-2)
#3 Zivo (20-1) WON $29.40
#1 Micromanage (9-2)

R9 - G1 Belmont Oaks Invitational (Turf 10F)

#5 Flying Jib (GB) (5-1)
#1 Goldy Espony (Fr) (10-1)
#11 Sea Queen (10-1) 2ND
#7 Xcellence (Fr) (5-2) 4TH

R10 - NYB Alw 77k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Mobridge (8-1) WON $13.20
#6 Point Roll (5-2)
#3 Mr. Algebra (9-2) 4TH
#7 Noosh's Tale (12-1) 3RD

PK4 - 1 3 4 5 7 11 / 5 6 / 1 5 7 11 / 2 6 = $48 for $.50


Ellis Park


R6 - Alw 30.5k N1X (Turf 8F)

#6 Franklin (5-1) 3RD
#2 Colonel Krenz (10-1)
#9 Bel Air Bullet (9-2) 2ND
#11 Shake Up (8-1)

R7 - MSW 28k (2yo 5F)

#4 Eagle (5-1) WON $4.00
#9 Aldean (9-2)
#8 Sea of Stars (7-2) 4TH
#3 Chasing Mavericks (15-1) 3RD

R8 - Ellis Park Turf 50k (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Honey Hues (3-1) WON $4.40
#2 Midnight Ballet (10-1)
#5 Miz Ida (7-2)
#4 Gal About Town (9-2) 2ND

R9 - MSW 28k (Turf 5.5F)

#9 Revise (5-1)
#3 J'esprit (4-1) 3RD
#5 Twitterverse (10-1)
#6 Smart N Soft (8-1) 4TH

PK4 - 2 6 9 / 4 8 9 / 1 2 3 4 5 9 / 3 9 = $54 for $.50 


 


 


SANTA ANITA PARK RESULTS 6/28


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 17th Royal Heroine (G2), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$64k P6 C/O starts here..

Habibi the wild card in this solid lineup but appears a lumbering sort from morning observations of Andy Harrington. Parranda stands out and the mile her best trip..

Most Likely: #10 Parranda 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #5 Moulin de Mougin 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Wishing Gate 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Kathleen Rose 6-1 2nd


6th: 63rd Triple Bend (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

G1 event at seven-eighths but not really laden with speed..

Most Likely: #1 Declassify 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Next Best: #4 Sahara Sky 8-5 6th
Best Value: #7 Wine Police 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Cyclometer 5-2 2nd


7th: 46th Senorita (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Good group of soph missies. Either Hollendorfer looks highly appealing, including the maiden. Rovenna on a roll but this is open company and she looks to have plenty of company on the front end..

Best Value: #4 Morning Fix 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Famous Alice 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Burning Arch 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Sushi Empire 6-1 6th


8th: 75th Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f *P3, DD)

Value here looks like Majestic Harbor who appears in career best form under McCarthy..

Most Likely: #1 Game On Dude 4-5 4th
Next Best: #2 Fury Kapcori 9-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Majestic Harbor 12-1 WON ($30.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Clubhouse Ride 9-2 2nd


9th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wildly competitive group where any number of progressive types could improve to win at a square price. And if that's the way you approach it, why not Proctor at 12-1? (My Friend Jimmy).. Or Proctor at 6-1? (Chelios)..

Best Value: #7 My Friend Jimmy 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Snaps 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 A Red Tie Day 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Chelios 6-1 DNF-Pulled Up


10th: OC/C, 3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

$24k Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Is American Pride too obvious? If so good off that big maiden-breaking effort, why the modest, unimaginative placement here? Feels like pace gets hot here..

Most Likely: #1 American Pride 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #10 Celebrity Status 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Endless Cruise 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Whine for Wine 8-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #7 Final Step 4-1 7th


<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 7 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 2 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 9 with 1 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 2,5,10 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 7 with 2 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 7 with 1 with 9 with 1 - $4.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 7 with 1 with 7 with 2,5,10 - $12.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 2 with 9 with 1 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 2 with 7 with 2,5,10 - $12.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 9 with 2,5,10 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,5,7,9 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 6,7 with 4 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 5,6,9 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $12.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 3,6 with 7 with 1 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 1,4 with 4 with 1 with 3,4 with 1 - $8.00

Total: $124.00


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 7,9 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 5,6,9 with 1 with 7,9 with 1 - $6.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2 with 7,9 with 1 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 3,4 with 1 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 7,9 with 2,10 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6,9 with 2 with 7,9 with 1 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6,9 with 1 with 3,4 with 1 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6,9 with 1 with 7,9 with 2,10 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2 with 3,4 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2 with 7,9 with 2,10 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 3,4 with 2,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1 with 7,9 with 1 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3,4,6 with 7,9 with 1 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 2,8,10 with 1 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 7,9 with 5,6,7 - $6.00

Total: $64.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION 

 

Churchill Downs

R7 - Kelly's Landing 65k

#7 Captain Genius (8-1)
#6 Z Rockstar (8-1)
#9 Pass the Dice (2-1)
#10 River Bear (12-1)

R8 - G2 Firecracker (Turf 8F)

#7 Joha (15-1)
#8 Regally Ready (5-2)
#5 Silver Max (8-5)
#6 Villandry (5-1)

R9 - OC 62k/N2X

#11 Big Town (7-2)
#6 Joy Boy (10-1)
#1 Flashy Sunrise (12-1)
#9 Cary Street (6-1)

R10 - MSW 50k (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Engaginglee (7-2)
#2 Cash in Pocket (5-1)
#3 Temper Flairs (12-1) - Appropriately named for a Romans's runner this week.
#9 Lonelily (Ire) (12-1)

PK4 - 1 6 7 9 10 / 2 5 6 7 8 / 11 / 2 3 8 9 = $50 for $.50


Arlington Park


R8 - ILB Alw 36k/N1X

#4 Party in Vegas (3-1)
#6 Flashdance Road (12-1)
#12 Goesse (10-1)
#1 (POE Rivelli)Bangthedrumsallday (9-2)

R9 - G3 Chicago Handicap

#10 Disco Barbie (4-1)
#6 Flower Spell (8-1)
#2 My Option (6-1)
#5 Apropos (7-2)

R10 - Alw 34k/N1X (Turf 8F)

#3 Stock Yard Hen (8-1)
#10 Solitary Life (4-1)
#12 Faster Then Light (5-1)
#11 Penelope Perfect (8-1)

R11 - Clm 7.5k/N2L

#3 Faithful Gift (4-1)
#2 Nobel Bird (3-1)
#1 Dorris Entry (9-2)
#8 Rycon (8-1)

PK4 - 1 3 4 5 6 10 11 12 / 2 6 10 / 3 10 / 2 3 = $48 for $.50


Santa Anita - $64k Pick 6 Carryover


R5 - G2 Royal Heroine (Turf 8F)

#3 Wishing Gate(5-1)
#9 Kathleen Rose (6-1)
#10 Parranda (3-1)
#1 Stormy Lucy (4-1)

R6 - G1 Triple Bend

#4 Sahara Sky (8-5)
#6 Cyclometer (5-2)
#3 Gladding (15-1)
#1 Declassify (5-2)

R7 - G3 Senorita (Turf 8F)

#4 Morning Fix (5-1)
#1 Miss Machiavelli (12-1)
#7 Famous Alice (7-2)
#8 Clenor (Ire) (4-1)

R8 - G1 Gold Cup

#1 Game On Dude (4-5)
#3 Clubhouse Ride (9-2)
#6 Majestic Harbor (12-1)
#2 Fury Kapcori (9-2)

R9 - OC 40k/N1X (Turf 8F)

#4 Chelios (6-1)
#10 Prodigious (6-1)
#3 A Red Tie Day (8-1)
#1 Mr. Lexis (12-1)

R10 - OC 40k/N1X

#1 American Pride (5-2)
#3 He's Had Enough (6-1)
#7 Final Step (4-1)
#9 Jedi Mind Trick (15-1)

PK6 - 3 9 10 / 4 6 / 1 4 7 / 1 3 / 4 10 / 1 = $144

PK4 - 1 4 7 / 1 3 / 1 3 4 10 / 1 3 = $24 for $.50


Prairie Meadows


R7 - G3 Iowa Oaks

#3 Size (6-1)
#7 Thank You Marylou (7-2)
#8 Senior Prom (12-1)
#5 Sugar Shock (5-2)

R8 - G3 Iowa Derby

#3 Six Spot (5-1)
#5 Charge Now (8-1)
#8 Vicar's in Trouble (3-1)
#4 Smack Smack (12-1)

R9 - G3 Cornhusker Handicap

#3 Bellarmine (8-1)
#6 Ground Transport (4-1)
#7 Carve (7-2)
#8 Golden Ticket (3-1)

PK3 - 3 5 7 8 / 3 4 5 8 / 3 6 7 = $24 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

RESULTS 6/27 


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P3, DD)

Pletcher-Siena Bernardini filly Angela Renee a full sis of To Honor and Serve who may need longer off series of solid but moderate works. Breen-Hall miss by Any Given Saturday a half to the nice Pianist..

Most Likely: #4 High Dollar Woman 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Sunday Sonnet 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Angela Renee 8-5 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Militsa 6-1 6th


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$85k DBL C/O starts here..

Deep set of turf maidens make this a tricky start to carryover sequence. Sleek found herself in tough company for 3yo debut and any added improvement makes her strong here. Arch Kingsley's Chasing Paradise owns style that keeps her involved. Keen Katana will need to rally into the murky pace picture. Dixie Gem is interesting at 15-1 off highly obfuscated seasonal debut..

Most Likely: #4 Sleek 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Chasing Paradise 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Dixie Gem 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Keen Katana 6-1 WON ($6.60)


5th: NY-CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Quiet Sunshine 3-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Sweet Sway 5-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #6 Bird House 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Downtown Hottie 4-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thought this was toughest set of the day with curiosity of entire field attempting a turf sprint for first time. They're running the Iowa Turf Sprint late tonight and first time starter We Fly Private (U S Ranger) is out of Skybox who produced the 2002 winner of that event, Sand Ridge. Skybox has plenty of progeny with grass prowess including Stopshoppingmaria who won the GP Ladies Turf Sprint last year. At 15-1, We Fly Private is worth a flyer in this undefined group..

Best Value: #5 We Fly Private 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Bright Face 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Eternal Bull 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Charlie's Picnic 5-2 WON ($6.80)


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

This is a quirky bunch that comes down to how heated the pace gets. Station Chief, Brass Pear, Pillar of Strength, Say Mr. Sandman and Horatio all have speed. Someone may take control or they all may look at each other out of the gate. There's little way of knowing how this unfolds, though Garcia (Sandman) and Rosario (Strength) both enjoy grabbing advantages when they're offered. Thxtomyuncle is 3rd/layoff and will be closing into the possible collapse..

Most Likely: #5 Say Mr. Sandman 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Station Chief 5-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Brass Pear 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Thxtomyuncle 10-1 4th


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Harpoon 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Unlocked 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 J to the Croft 4-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Los Borrachos 8-1 2nd


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

#13-AE Wake Up and Go a major player if he gets in..

Best Value: #5 Baskets 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Copper Core 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Electric Currency 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Bapu 8-1 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 1,9 with 5 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 1 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 2 with 4,5 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 1,9 with 5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 3 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1 with 4,5 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1 with 4,5 with 5 with 1,9 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 3 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 3 with 1,9 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 3 with 7 with 3 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 1,9 with 3 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5,6,7 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 1,2, 6,7 with 5 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 6 with 5 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4,5 with 5 with 7 with 7 - $4.00

Total: $140.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 1,7,8 with 7 with 3,5 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3,5 with 7 with 7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 1,7,8 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $12.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 1,7,8 with 7 with 7 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3,6,7,8 with 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4,6 with 7 with 3,5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $4.00

Total: $59.00

 


 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY RESULTS 

 

Churchill Downs - Twilight Racing PK4 starts at 9:15pm ET


R7 - Clm 15k B

#1 Victory Courts (5-2)
Churchill Downs - Twilight Racing PK4 starts at 9:15pm ET POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R7 - Clm 15k B

#1 Victory Courts (5-2) WON $3.00
#3 Fela Kuti (5-1) 2ND
#6 Smoke Town (3-1)

R8 - OC 80k/N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#8 Zero Game (Ire) (6-1)
#5 Via Villaggio (9-2) WON $18.20
#2 Pappascat (5-2)
#1 Humphrey Entry (7-2) 3RD

R9 - Alw 52k N1X

#10 Mio d'Oro (4-1) WON $5.60
#1 Back Off Buddy (9-2) 4TH
#3 Relentless Spirit (4-1) 2ND
#2 Otis My Man (9-2)

R10 - Md 50k

#8 Wine Scholar (8-1) WON $17.80
#3 Buck Magic (7-2) 3RD
#2 Stormy Dan (15-1)

PK4 - 1 3 / 2 5 8 / 1 2 3 6 10 / 3 8 = $30 for $.50 PAID $245.95 FOR $.50
 

 

 

RESULTS 6/22 
 


SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Nikki Allyn 6-5 (A) WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #7 La Brisa 6-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Spirit of Ten 2-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Lady Vronsky 8-1 (C) 5th


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

May not be enough chase here to hold back Oscar Party and/or Heat Trap on front end. May depend on what Elvis does Scarlet Strike. Very solid group top to bottom..

Most Likely: #5 Heat Trap 5-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #1 Scarlet Strike 6-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #4 Oscar Party 3-1 (B) 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Queen of the Sand 9-2 (C) WON ($7.80)


6th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hollywood Producer 2-1 (A) WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #5 Getaway Keys 3-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Senso 3-1 (C) 3rd
Super Add: #6 Italian Harmony 5-2 (C) 4th



7th: 75th Santa Anita Juvenile, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

May not look like much at a glance, but a very nice group. In addition to rock solid players with experience, note win-early trainer Miller debuts Homer Matt, a $625k half to Biofuel and Tu Endie Wei by Majesticperfection..

Most Likely: #4 Holiday Camp 2-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #3 Story to Tell 3-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Henry's Holiday 6-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Homer Matt 8-1 (C) 3rd


8th: 70th Landaluce, 2yo-F, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Enchanting Lady 9-5 (A) WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #1 Seduire 8-5 (B) 2nd
Best Fiona: #3 My Fiona 8-1 (C) 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Morning Coffee 8-1 (C) 4th



9th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Unusual Taste 5-2 (A) WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #4 Play Hard to Get 8-1 (B) 4th-DH
Next Best: #3 Specimen 6-1 (C) 4th-DH
Exotics Use: #7 Yes Yes Yes 4-1 (C) 3rd


<$100 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,4 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 3 with 9 with 5 - $2.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 1 with 5 - $2.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 4 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 1,4 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 5 with 4 with 3 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 1 with 5 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,7 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 4 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,4 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,4 with 4 with 3 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,4 with 4 with 4 with 1 with 5 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,4 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 4 - $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 5 with 3 with 9 with 5 - $2.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 1 with 5 - $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 4 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 3 with 1 with 5 - $2.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 3 with 9 with 4 - $2.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 1 with 4 - $2.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $2.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 3,6 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 1,6 with 4 with 9 with 5 - $4.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 2,5,6,7 with 9 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/7/4/5/9/5) Paid $45.80 (5OF6)
27 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 3,4 with 5 - $4.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 5 with 4 with 4 with 9 with 3,7 - $4.00

Total: $96.00


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 9 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4 with 9 with 4,5 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 9 with 4,5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 1 with 4,5 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 9 with 3,6,7 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 3 with 9 with 4,5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4 with 1 with 4,5 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4 with 9 with 3,6,7 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 1 with 4,5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 3 with 9 with 3,6,7 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 1 with 3,6,7 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 2,5,6,7 with 9 with 4,5 - $8.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (4/5/9/5) Paid $69.60
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 3,4 with 4,5 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5 with 4 with 9 with 1,2,8 - $3.00

Total: $47.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 6/19

 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group. Zane looks like he has a class edge but Ortiz needs to be caredul not to fall too far out of it with him. Prado will have to work out a trip with Kiss of Thunder, but 8-1 works if you get it..

Best Value: #12 Kiss of Thunder 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Zane 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Seeking Harmony 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Media Kid 7-2 2nd


5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dividend 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Corinthian Summer 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Neilos 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Distant Thoughts 20-1 7th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Tricky start to P4 with perhaps 6 of the 9 photo-eligible..

Most Likely: #2 Cajun Wedding 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Mononoke 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Soul Opposition 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Gold Potion 10-1 7th


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Anmaat 5-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Cashmere Cat 5-1 WON ($7.90)
Best Value: #6 Handsome Dennis 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Madam I'm Adam 3-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD)

Is it encouraging or discouraging that Mott wants to see Miss Besilu on trhe dirt again?

Most Likely: #1 Very Cherry Candy 9-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Tahoe Tigress 7-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #5 Our Amazing Rose 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Miss Besilu 5-1 2nd


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #4 Noble Cornerstone 5-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #7 Beyond Empire 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Midnight Missle 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Wake Up in Malibu 7-2 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2 (A), 4-6 (B), 5-7-8-9 (C)
7: 1 (A), 6-8-11 (B), 12 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 5 (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 4 (A), 7 (B), 1-8-9-10 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 1,6 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 1,6 with 4 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 6,8,11 with 1,6 with 4 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 5 with 4 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 1,6 with 7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,8,11 with 1,6 with 4 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 5 with 4 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1 with 1,6 with 7 -$2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 6,8,11 with 5 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 6,8,11 with 1,6 with 7 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 5 with 7 - $1.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7,8,9 with 1 with 1,6 with 4 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 12 with 1,6 with 4 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 2,3 with 4 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 1,6 with 1,8,9,10 - $8.00

Total: $50.00

 

 

RESULTS 6/18

Won't be surprised if there's a carryover Thursday off what feels like a wide open group of races at Belmont Wednesday...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Hillhouse High 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #8 Flaring 20-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Scatcapade 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Charm City Girl 5-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Asset Inflation as an uninspiring short price fave..

Most Likely: #2 Mister Popscicle 4-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Pirate's Pleasure 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Asset Inflation 6-5 4th
Super Add: #3 Archer Hill 5-1 WON ($12.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Papy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Horvat Clan 10-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Special Agent 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Happy Fella 5-1 6th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #10 You You 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Takajo 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 Poppa Loves Mambo 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Harrythenavigator 7-2 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

6: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-7 (C)
7: 2 (A), 6-8 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 7 (A), 3-5-8-10 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 4-5 (B), 3 (C)

15 plays (.50 ea.) = $63.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 6/14

Left $1,300 P5 on table Friday at Churchill but crazy $39.00 mutuel on 8-1 ML Trace Creek propelled the day and recouped good portion of Belmont Day losses. This weekend not as big the one previous, but Foster Night card at Downs on heels of $26k Belmont C/O and Shoemaker/Vanity SA doubleheader should make for another fun 10 day..


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Terrific lineup to start the serious portion of the Downs card. Carroll entry and both Arnolds (including old pal Depeche Chat) are well priced with Catalano's Marine Patrol appearing the one to beat..

Most Likely: #9 Marine Patrol 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #2 Dream Man 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Depeche Chat 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 San Antone 8-1 3rd


4th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m (Single 6, P4, P3, DD)

Strong cast of G3 or top level ALW types assemble here, a group with nearly $2,000,000 in earnings led by good ol' Sabercat. One or more here looks capable of isolated big efforts, but steady Pick of the Litter always runs his race..

Most Likely: #3 Pick of the Litter 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Carve 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Guilt Trip 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1e Tafel entry 6-1 4th/6th


5th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Very difficult group to separate with more than half the field capable (1e-2-5-6-8-9-11)..

Most Likely: #5 Cov 7-2 5th
Best Value: #11 Blarp 10-1 9th
Next Best: #1a Highball 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Penobscot 15-1 6th


6th: Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Derby trophy will be handed out to Chrome owners tonight and appropriate that stake named for the man that saved the Downs and made the race what it is be on the card. Matt Winn saw the first 75 runnings of the Derby and after leading a buyout of the troubled oval at the turn of the 20th century, crafted the 'Run for the Roses' into the preeminent stakes race in North America, effectively changing the landscape of American Thoroughbred Racing.

Excellent set involved here with an interesting pace scenario that starts with need-the-lead Almost Famous who is 3/3 when in front early but 4/0-0-0 when unable to secure the point. Presence of Rise Up and The Admiral seem to assure challenges, which leads me to believe we want those that will be stalking and closing. Ulanbator at anything near the 12-1 appears the most employable..


Best Value: #7 Ulanbator 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Tapiture 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #6 The Admiral 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Conquest Titan 10-1 6th


7th: Fleur de Lis H. (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Another pace question to decipher here with how heated Baby, Ondine and Fiftyshades make the front end. Extra 16th od a mile has been undoing for On Fire Baby before and doubt she breaks through here unless left completely alone. Flashy American (7-2) relishes the 9f and could sit an ideal trip off the speeds..

Best Value: #6 Flashy American 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Fiftyshadesofhay 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 On Fire Baby 8-5 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 7 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 5,11 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 7 with 4,5 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 1 with 7 with 6 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 5,11 with 7 with 4,5 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1 with 2,6 with 6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 1 with 7 with 4,5 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 2,6 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 5,11 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 8,9 with 7 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 3,4,5 with 6 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,11 with 7 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $50.00


8th: Stephen Foster (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Obligated to bet against Will Take Charge until proven he's come back around and Revolutionary won't get pace meltdown he saw at PIM. Stall effective pointing for spots and Departing figures to get first run on leaders. Long River won't be anywhere close to the 15-1 ML and looks to break through here..

Best Value: #8 Long River 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Departing 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Moonshine Mullin 10-1 WON ($22.00)
Super Add: #7 Golden Ticket 8-1 6th


9th: Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Very well-matched group including some moving to lawn for first time..

Most Likely: #4 A Little Bit Sassy 7-2 4th-DQ'd from win
Next Best: #1 Kiss Moon 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Aurelia's Belle 6-1 WON via DQ ($8.80)
Super Add: #7 Istanford 9-2 7th


<$60 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P5: 1,11 with 7 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 2,6 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 5 with 6,8 with 4 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 6 with 4 with 4 - $1.00
6 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 6 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,11 with 7 with 5 with 6,8 with 4 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,11 with 7 with 6 with 4 with 4 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,11 with 7 with 6 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 2,6 with 5 with 6,8 with 4 - $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 2,6 with 6 with 4 with 4 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 2,6 with 6 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 5 with 4 with 4 - $0.50
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 5 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $3.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 6 with 4 with 1,6,7 - $1.50

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 6,8,9 with 7 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 3,4,5 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 1,2,4 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 7 with 6 with 1,2,3,5,7,9 with 4 - $3.00

Total: $59.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,7 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 1,4,5 with 6,8 with 4 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 6 with 4 with 4 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 6 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,4,5 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6 with 4 with 4 - $0.50
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 1,4,5 with 4 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 1,4,5 with 6,8 with 1,6,7 - $18.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 6 with 4 with 1,6,7 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,5 with 6 with 6,8 with 4 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 2 with 6,8 with 4 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 6 with 1,2,3,5,7,9 with 4 - $6.00

Total: $59.50

 

 


RESULTS 6/13 -- CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Aqtaar 5-2 5th
Best Value: #7 Trace Creek 8-1 WON ($39.00)
Next Best: #2 March Reward 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Lurego 5-1 3rd


6th: MSW, D&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rumba 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Treaty Oak 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Cora Mesa 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sugar Run Wild 7-2 5th


7th: MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cat With a Twist 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Nice Number 8-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #8 Adventure at Sea 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Sagittars Stars 8-1 3rd


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cali Star 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Impetuous Youth 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Unbridledexplosion 6-5 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Queen Daenerys 5-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Annulment 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Keening 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Moon Angel 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Kitten's Queen 7-2 3rd


<$55 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 4,5,6 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 3,8 with 4 with 1,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 4 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 7,9 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 4,5,6 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 4 with 1,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 3 with 4 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,7 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 4,5,6 with 3,8 with 4 with 1,6 - $6.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 4,5,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 4,5,6 with 4 with 4 with 7,9 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 3,8 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 4 with 2,7 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3,6 with 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $3.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 7 with 4 with 1,6 - $1.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 10 with 3 with 4 with 3 with 1,6 - 1.00

Total: $55.00


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 4 with 4 with 1,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 3,8 with 4 with 1,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 3,8 with 4 with 1,6 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 4 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 3,8 with 2,7 with 1,6 - $8.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (3,7/3/7/2,3,4,6,11,12,13,14,15,16) Paid $62.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 3,8 with 4 with 7,9 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4 with 2,7 with 7,9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 7 with 4 with 1,6 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4 with 3 with 1,6 - $2.00

Total: $46.00

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 6/7

The best of the game is going to be showcased at Belmont Park today with a backdrop of an attempt at the rarest of feats in all of sport. Since Baltimore, we have spent a good portion of 45 hours on ATR discussing the prospects of California Chrome winning again in New York and there is no obvious reason as of today to think that he cannot. In advance of the 6:52p feature and thanks to a brilliant job by the NYRA racing office, we are to be treated to a non-stop festival of handicapping puzzles providing 7+ hours of wagering opportunities. Like a Breeders' Cup Saturday card, it will likely take just one or two hits to make the day a winning one, so fire away and don't panic if you don't score immediately. The big hit is there for you individually -- maybe in the 13th -- and for all of us in the 11th with a win by the favorite. Hope everyone enjoyed ATR coverage from Belmont as much as I enjoyed bringing it to you. Best of luck to participants on track and off. Safe trips to all..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Live prices appear to abound to start day with Away Game (12-1), Spartiatis (10-1) and Wabbajack (8-1) jumping out, but top three faves have real merit. Bernardo (3-1) 7/2-1-2 at BEL, gets Jose Ortiz back and return to race two back plenty good enough. Jimmy Connors (4-1) adds blinks to already certain leadership and can wire. $1,000,000 Tapit son Forever Thing (7-2) is first time as a 4yo and has likely progressed considerably since last summer..

Most Likely: #7 Forever Thing 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Away Game 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Spartiatis 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Jimmy Connors 4-1 8th


2nd: 4th Easy Goer, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Legend's last 2 efforts have been outstanding and though he faces a quality cast, looks like a breakout star in the making getting classic conservative Bond development handling. Life in Shambles bested Tonalist in tandem drill a week ago..

Most Likely: #7 LEGEND 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Life in Shambles 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Pass the Coffee 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Misconnect 4-1 4th


3rd: 126th Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f (P3, DD)

A dress rehearsal for the Belmont 6 hours later and interesting to note that 7 of the riders of the 8 here have calls in the feature. The Drosselmeyer prep players look like the right ones and Eriugena provides value entering on a roll with a pedigree that screams the trip..

Most Likely: #3 Micromanage 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ground Transport 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Eriugena 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Ever Rider 5-1 4th


4th: 31st Jaipur (G3), 4+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Fun cast with the amazing Ben's Cat on hand to make his turf debut in New York and 6 of the 11 looking possible on top. With Marriedtothemusic choosing to run Friday in the True North, pace duties fall to Marchman and Ben's Cat and the pair may take some catching. Positive Side adds Lasix after bleeding in the CD stake and gets heads up lawn pilot Nakatani..

Most Likely: #9 Positive Side 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ben's Cat 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Upgrade 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Marchman 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Anyriderill Do 20-1 6th


5th: 30th Woody Stephen -- formerly Riva Ridge (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Havana never had a chance to distinguish himself on the Triple Crown stomp this winter and spring, but this spot appears prime for Champagne winner to kickstart his sophomore season. Top Fortitiude has been a favorite of mine from day one and I love that Kory Owens was compelled to show up for this. Social Inclusion may overwhelm this set cutting back from Preakness, but it feels equally likely that he gets nothing. Tough call..

Most Likely: #3 Havana 6-1 11th
Best Value: #12 Top Fortitude 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Social Inclusion 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Kobe's Back 15-1 4th


$100 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,8,9 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 1,5 with 9 with 3 - $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 1 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 1,5 with 9 with 11,12 - $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 11,12 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $2.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 4,8 with 9 with 3 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 1,7 with 7 with 2,3 with 9 with 6,10 - $4.00

Total: $101.00


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 11,12 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 4,5,8,10 with 3 - $12.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,4,5 with 9 with 11,12 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 4,5,8,10 with 11,12 - $16.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,8 with 2,3 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 6,7,8 with 9 with 3 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 6,11 with 3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,3 with 9 with 7,10 - $4.00

Total: $65.00


6th: 84th Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

You can get creative and try to create some alternate scenarios, but on her best, My Miss Sophia remains second of her sex to Untapable. As Andy Serling points out, she may be best on the lead in two turn routes, but she broke her maiden on a one turn layout and doesn't have to be part of the hot pace. After her, any among House Rules, Fiftyshadesofgold, Sweet Reason, Unbridled Forever and returning Artemis Agrotera are plausible..

Most Likely: #8 My Miss Sophia 6-5 7th
Best Value: #7 Unbridled Forever 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Artemis Agrotera 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Sweet Reason 10-1 WON ($20.80)


7th: 46th Ogden Phipps -- formerly Hempstead H. (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

The billing for this started nearly three months ago and needs no further embellishment with a set of 4yo fillies that are collectively 12/12 going the 8.5f trip. Princess of Sylmar looks to get her set up here but I don't think she can get to Beholder. The Breeders' Cup Distaff in June..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 7-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Close Hatches 5-2 WON ($7.80)


8th: 21st Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Top pair line up from the 9 & 10 holes with Discreet Marq needing to find early forward position and Better Lucky not wanting to get shuffled too far back..

Most Likely: #10 Better Lucky 3-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Discreet Marq 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Somali Lemonade 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Stephanie's Kitten 4-1 5th


9th: 121st Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Spectacular edition of this historic event and cannot blame anyone for taking their price shots. Of the prime contenders, Palace Malice (8-5), Normandy Invasion (5-1) and Shakin It Up (6-1) are the most logical. Perfectly drawn Shakin It Up is the key if that price is holding. Looking to the numbers, consistent Moreno (10-1) and turnback Romansh (15-1) have real chances. Vyjack will be every bit of his ML 30-1 tab and could charge the exotics 2nd/layoff..

Most Likely: #13 Shakin It Up 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Palace Malice 8-5 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #5 Moreno 10-1 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Normandy Invasion 5-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Romansh 15-1 3rd


10th: 113th Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Entire group may be separated by less than 3 lengths on paper, which makes you want to take a chance and find a price. Rookie Sensation (12-1) has been much improved as a 4yo, though his record obscures it. Was able to close ground on hard-baked Santa Anita lawn and that bodes well for his prospects on a real turf course. Shipped to NY by Shirreffs immediately after near miss in Last Tycoon and :59.4 drill 5/19 tells you what you need to know. Surprise package in slightly soft running of this century-plus standard..

Best Value: #3 ROOKIE SENSATION 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Real Solution 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Imagining 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Grandeur 5-1 4th


10th: 146th Belmont S. (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

The Belmont Stakes has unique constructs on an annual basis that are further amplified under Triple Crown attempt conditions. The urge to anoint a Triple Crown winner is based on performances that seem germane, the Derby and Preakness, but in reality, are not. The 11th and 12th furlongs of the Belmont -- a quarter of a mile further than the Derby -- makes handicapping this 'test of the Champion' completely different. To distill the equation in another way, how would you approach the merits of these 11 horses if all were exiting 6f races but were now going 1 mile? Or pretend every horse in the Derby had never been beyond a mile and were now going a mile and a quarter. Two extra furlongs is 4+ football fields AFTER the group has already run the Derby distance. With that planted in your mind, recall all the implausible horses over the years that have invaded the pay slots of this event. They do so because the speed figures and general maxims of our handicapping on a daily basis do not apply as readily for these uncharted waters. With that established, feel free to include the likes of Commissioner (20-1), Medal Count (20-1), Matuszak (30-1) and even Matterhorn (30-1) with the major players that you feel you know.

We have all come to know the Triple Crown candidate best of course and there's nothing in his approach to the race that suggests he cannot -- or will not -- succeed today. Victor Espinoza will have every opportunity to choose his position early with none of the horses around him interested in being forwardly placed from the bell. Depending on what Samraat, General a Rod and Tonalist do, California Chrome and Espinoza can stalk or dictate. He can win on the front end if the pace is moderate and he can get first run on whomever is left in front after the first 6f to a mile. Either way, he will have to brace for challenges later from credentialed Wicked Strong and Ride On Curlin and/or Commissioner and the other one-paced grinders. If up to the task, we will be treated to a performance and Triple Crown winner that will stand up to the requisite scrutiny of the achievement's heavy mantle. Despite all the obvious faults of the stance from a wagering perspective, I'm voting for..


Most Likely: #2 California Chrome 3-5 4th-DH
Next Best: #9 Wicked Strong 6-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #8 Commissioner 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ride On Curlin 12-1 11th
Super Add: #4 Commanding Curve 15-1 9th


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 3,8 with 2 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 2 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 9 with 3,8 with 2 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 2 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 9 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 1,4 with 2 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 9 with 3,8 with 9 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 1,4 with 9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 2 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 5,12 with 3,8 with 2 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 1,13 with 3,8 with 4,5,8,11 - $16.00

Total: $64.00


12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Shining Copper 8-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Developer 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Ghurair 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 North Star Boy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Artic North 10-1 8th


13th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #11 Celebrator 10-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Pazolini 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #12 Quick Money 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Protocol 6-1 7th
Super Add: #15 Associate 15-1 9th


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 11 with 8,11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 7,8 with 8,11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 10,12,15 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 8 with 11 with 8,11 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 7,8 with 8,11 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4 with 2 with 11 with 10,12,15 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 7,8 with 8,11 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 8 with 11 with 10,12,15 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 7,8 with 10,12,15 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6,7 with 2 with 11 with 8,11 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,10,11 with 11 with 8,1 - $18.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 2,4 with 8,11 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 1,5 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY RESULTS


Belmont Park


R1 - Alw 96k N1X

#9 Jimmy Connors (4-1)
#8 Wabbajack (8-1) WON $7.60
#7 Forever Thing (7-2) 4TH
#4 Lieutenant Seany O (6-1) 2ND

R2 - Easy Goer 150k

#7 Legend (3-1) 2ND
#6 No Surrender (8-1)
#5 Misconnect (4-1) 4TH
#4 Kid Cruz (5-2) WON $8.90

R3 - G2 Brooklyn

#1 Eriugena (Ire) (10-1)
#2 Ground Transport (3-1)
#4 Cat Burglar (5-2) 3RD
#3 Micromanage (7-2) 2ND

R4 - G3 Jaipur (Turf 6F)

#4 Upgrade (10-1)
#6 Undrafted (5-1) WON $11.60
#8 Ben's Cat (5-2) 4TH
#10 Marchman (3-1) 2ND

R5 - G2 Woody Stephens

#10 Kobe's Back (15-1) - Gets back to the winner's circle with a clean break. 4TH
#11 Social Inclusion (7-5) - Have to respect his raw talent. 3RD
#3 Havana (6-1) - Should be much tighter 2nd off the bench.
#9 Spot (30-1) - Picks up some pieces late.

PK5 - 7 8 9 / 1 2 4 6 7 / 1 / 4 6 8 10 / 10 11 = $60 for $.50

PK4 - 1 2 4 6 7 / 1 2 4 / 4 6 8 10 / 10 11 = $60 for $.50


R6 - G1 Acorn

#7 Unbridled Forever (10-1) - Fits on the cut back and addition of Rosario doesn't hurt. 3RD
#8 My Miss Sophia (6-5) - Has done little wrong and is a deserving favorite.
#2 House Rules (12-1) - Faced some very nice fillies in So Fla and deserves a serious look.
#9 Artemis Agrotera (5-1) - G1 winner at this distance and track is working well for return.

R7 - G1 Odden Phipps

#5 Beholder (7-5) - Seems like this distance will help her the most. 4TH
#1 Close Hatches (5-2) - Hard to argue with her record and must be respected. WON $7.80
#6 Princess of Sylmar (9-5) - She's ran big off a break before. 2ND
#4 Classic Point (20-1) - Does the Giant Killer have another one up his sleeve.

R8 - G1 Just A Game (Turf 8F)

#1 Ready Signal (30-1) - She's in sharp form and don't fall asleep on her chances.
#5 Coffee Clique (10-1) - Definitely moving in the right direction. WON $11.60
#6 Stephanie's Kitten (4-1) - Have to believe she'll be much better 2nd off the break.
#9 Discreet Marq (5-2) - Hard knocker loves this turf course.

R9 - G1 Metropolitan Handicap

#1 Palace Malice (8-5) - Probably the best horse in training in the U.S. at this time, but must earn it today from a difficult post and deep field. WON $4.70
#12 Romansh (15-1) - Like the turn back in distance and has been freshened up for this. 3RD
#10 Clearly Now (10-1) - As solid as they come and no reason to think he'll throw a clunker.
#9 Normandy Invasion (5-1) - He'll try the top choice again and he's dominated at this distance in both tries.

R10 - G1 Manhattan (Turf 10F)

#3 Rookie Sensation (12-1) BEST BET - Draws well and Shirreffs shows confidence showing up here. Sitting on a big one.
#6 Seek Again (3-1) - A slight improvement after battling Horse of the Year and he gets his picture taken. 3RD
#9 Kaigun (15-1) - Extra distance fits and the price will be juicy. 2ND
#8 Real Solution (5-1) - Looks to sit a nice stalking trip. WON $13.00

R11 - G1 Belmont Stakes

#1 Medal Count (20-1) - Looks great and works great, but the dirt is still a major question.
#2 California Chrome (3-5) - On the brink of history. With a clean break he'll be in his familiar stalking position before Victor pushes the button turning for home.
#3 Matterhorn (30-1) - Same connections that brought us Danza and he's improved with every race.
#4 Commanding Curve (15-1) - Getting much respect after finishing 2nd in the Derby. He should be running late attempting to catch a minor slice.
#5 Ride On Curlin (12-1) - Huge run in the Preakness and is doing well coming in. Minor award seems like the ceiling at this point.
#6 Matuszak (30-1) - Only a maiden win to his credit, but these top connections sure know how to win big races.
#7 Samraat (20-1) - If he finds himself loose on the lead, he could forget to stop. Dangerous on the front end if left alone.
#8 Commissioner (20-1) - He was born for this, but hasn't show the ability to complete at this level yet.
#9 Wicked Strong (6-1) - Would benefit from any kind of pace duel, but regardless expect him to make a serious rally off the pace.
#10 General a Rod (20-1) - Tricky read because it's hard to tell what Rosie will do. Send or Stalk?
#11 Tonalist (8-1) - Has the ability to end up being the most talented runner of the bunch. High ceiling.

Selections:

#11 Tonalist (8-1) WON $20.40
#7 Samraat (20-1)
#9 Wicked Strong (6-1) DH 4TH
#2 California Chrome (3-5) DH 4TH
#8 Commissioner (20-1) 2ND

PK6 - 2 7 8 9 / 5 / 1 5 6 9 / 1 / 3 6 / 7 11 = $128

PK4 - 1 4 5 6 8 9 10 / 1 12 / 3 6 / 2 7 9 11 = $56 for $.50


R12 - OC 62k/N2X (Turf 9F)

#12 Mr. Jenney (4-1) - Visually impressive win in last and just needs a trip from outside draw.
#7 Ghuair (9-5) - Takes a class drop that should wake him up. WON $6.80
#2 Artic North (10-1) - Both wins at this distance and should get a nice inside trip.
#11 Shining Copper (8-1) - Lots of changes that can produce a better effort. 4TH

R13 - OC 62k/N2X

#5 In Trouble (5-2) - Has the back class to dominate this field.
#10 Protocol (6-1) - Working well for sharp barn.
#11 Celebrator (10-1) - Expect the price to come down for Pletcher runner.
#13 Ragtime (12-1) - Must duplicate last effort to contend.

PK4 - All (10) / 2 3 7 8 9 11 / 7 12 / 5 = $50 for $.50

 

   

 

RESULTS 1/25

Hard to be disappointed with the strong day Thursday at Santa Anita, but also know that a big pay day was well within reach and was missed. The P6 paid $75k to 13 players, at least 2 of which utilized the analysis that offered $29 Awesome Prospect as a major upset candidate in the middle of the sequence. I settled for the $544 5 of 6 conso and $1,488 on the P4 as my own P6 ticket had 3 "A's", 2 "B's" and Only the Gold as a fateful "C". To hit Thursday, the investment had to be closer to $250 or more fortuitous adjustment in the A-B-C priorities. Still, it was a swell afternoon and I'm delighted for the large group of people that appear to have benefitted from the write-up or discussions with Brad Free and Rich Eng on ATR.

Most of all, finding Leo Powell's Awesome Prospect and making him key to plays serves as indisputable evidence that if you do the work associated with the most rewarding elements of handicapping, you will get to winners and impact your bankroll positively. Believe it. Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game.. Meanwhile, the rest of us will do the work, satisfy our intellectual curiosity and enjoy the challenge. Great weekend ahead. Continued good luck to the NHC players!


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 37th Forward Gal (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Onlyforyou 7-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Aurelia's Belle 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Resistivity 4-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/36' (P4, P3, DD)

Going to figure that Apologize (6-1) gets lost on the board and floats upward to providing an overlay. Filly hales from important Alexander/Groves female line that boasts Blue Hen mare Courtly Dee (Althea, Aquilegia, Twining, Noble Courtier, et al) as 2nd dam. Apologize's own dam Aurelia is a half to both Atelier and Aldiza. There has been plenty of turf success in the family and being by Lemon Drop Kid should help bring it out in Apologize. She's a better horse now then when she tried grass in fall of her 2yo year and seems a viable key in this wide open group..

Best Value: #3 Apologize 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Kipling's Joy 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #9 First Acquital 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Shop Gal 12-1 7th


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Another event where breeding looms, Emollient sister Calm Water (Mott) and Data Link sib Guard the Lines (McGaughey) being the glaring examples. Archangelus is out of Palais Versailles, daughter of the great Versailles Treaty and sister of Saarland and George Vancouver. But the story in this group centers around the breeder/owner who brought you Fort Larned.. and Bayakoa.. and Affluent. Janis Whitham has amassed a remarkable record with a narrow band of stock and there could be a lot of upside in Innate Grace whom Ian Wilkes starts here. While everyone will be familiar with the Juddmonte and Janney produce, many may have forgotten the underappreciated Affluent whose dam Trinity Place (Strawberry Road) was a half sister of Arlucea (Broad Brush), the dam of Fort Larned. Affluent had the misfortune of being a 3yo when Xtra Heat exploded in 2001 and a 4yo when Azeri was going nuts in 2002. But as a sophomore, she won the G1 Queen Elizabeth II (9f-Turf) in October and the G1 La Brea (7f-Dirt) in December. As an older filly and mare, she continued to demonstrate her ability on any surface at varied distance winning the G1 Mabee/Ramona at DMR (9f-Turf) and G1 Santa Monica (7f-Dirt) at SA. She NEVER missed a check in 23 career starts (8-5-4-3-3), hitting the board in 10 of 13 G1's for earnings of just under $1,500,000 for Ron McAnally. Innate Grace is 20-1 and the surface and added ground should suit her..

Best Value: #3 Innate Grace 20-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Calm Water 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Joy's Kitten 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Miz Lee 10-1 3rd


10th: 28th Holy Bull (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fascinating edition of the this Fountain of Youth/Florida Derby prequel with credentialed Cairo Prince meeting a big group of wannabes. Most interesting price prospects are drawn to the very difficult outside in Conquest Titan (12-1) and Intense Holiday (6-1). There's not a great deal of speed involved here and you get the sense that Cairo Prince will be in the best position throughout. Think he's better than Coup de Grace whose reputation took a hit by proxy when Unknown Road embarrassed himself Friday at Fair Grounds. There's no reason that Mr. Speaker -- whose dam Salute is a daughter of Personal Ensign and hence a half to My Flag, Miners Mark, etc. -- shouldn't get over the main track..

Most Likely: #7 Cairo Prince 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #9 Conquest Titan 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Intense Holiday 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Speaker 5-1 7th


11th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/96' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Charade 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Stars Collide 8-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #3 Lucky Empress 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Henin 4-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Princess Zaima 12-1 -


<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 10 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (3/1,7,8,11/11/7/4) Paid $9.60 (4OF5)

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 10 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 6,11 with 10 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 4 - $6.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (3/1,7,8,11/11/7/4) Paid $9.60 (4OF5)
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 6,11 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 2,5,6 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 4,5,8 with 7,9 with 10 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 1,2,8 with 10 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 2,3,8 - $12.00

Total: $73.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 11 with 10 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 10 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 11 with 10 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 4 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 11 with 10 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 1,10,12 with 7,9 with 4 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 11 with 4 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 10 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 4,5 with 7,9 with 10 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 1,6,8 with 10 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 3,7 with 7,9 with 2,3,8 - $12.00

Total: $67.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 57th Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (P3)

There's potential for Teddy's Promise and Socialbug to get into a duel here which would open it up for stalking alternatives Iotapa and Heir Kitty. Teddy's Promise crosses the millionaire threshold with a win in what is her final career start..

Most Likely: #2 Teddy's Promise 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Iotapa 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Heir Kitty 3-1 4th


5th: CA SunMill F&M Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3)

$74k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #8 Unusual Hottie 7-2 4th
Next Best: #7 This Means War 4-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Heat Du Jour 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Ciao Bella Luna 9-2 WON ($13.00)


6th: CA-MSW, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Very tricky group. Tribal Torch could jump forward first time on real dirt. Girl On the Lam with upset potential. Next pair logical and even Benecia Gem, Swiss Heart and Tickle Again may require 'C' coverage..

Most Likely: #5 Tribal Torch 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Girl On the Lam 8-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Sea John's Spirit 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Heavens Stairway 4-1 3rd


7th: 1st Cal Cup Oaks, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #13 Swiss Lake Yodeler 7-2 11th
Best Value: #7 Kukaluka 12-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Sprague River 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Cal Gal 12-1 8th


8th: 24th Cal Cup Sprint, 4+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #10 Big Macher 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #6 Cyclometer 2-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Spirit Rules 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Follini 12-1 8th


9th: 24th Cal Cup Turf Classic, 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Question here is simply if Summer Hit gets any pressure on front end. If not, he'll wire. Weewinnin may not want this kind of trip, but could be the one that takes some starch out of the fave for Jules Journey, Tiz a Minister, Huntsville, China Prince or Stoney Fleece..

Most Likely: #1 Summer Hit 7-2 9th
Best Value: #9 China Prince 12-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Huntsville 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Jules Journey 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Tiz a Minister 6-1 13th


10th: 1st Cal Cup Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 California Chrome 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #8 Awesome Return 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tamarando 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Life Is a Joy 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Aotearoa 10-1 -


<$175 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $6.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $6.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $12.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 - $12.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 - $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 3,4,7 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 - $12.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 6,9 with 1 with 7 - $8.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 5,9 with 7 - $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 4,8 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 5,9 with 7 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,8 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 5,9 with 4,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 2,3,11 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $6.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 2,6,8 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $6.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 4,6,12 with 10 with 1 with 7 - $6.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 1 with 1 with 7 - $2.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 7,8 with 7 - $4.00
28 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 13 with 10 with 1 with 2,6 - $4.00

Total: $172.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $4.50

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $6.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 - $12.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 2 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6,9 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 10 with 1 with 2 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 5,7,8,9 with 4,7,8 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 6,9 with 1 with 2 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 5,7,8,9 with 2 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,12 with 10 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $4.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 1,3 with 1 with 4,7,8 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 11 with 4,7,8 - $1.50
15 $0.50 pick P4: 13 with 10 with 1 with 6 - $0.50

Total: $73.00

    

 

RESULTS 1/20 

Came away from Saturday feeling like an opportunity was missed as hits at Aqueduct ($96) and Santa Anita ($142) and puny GP conso ($10) fell $35 short of squaring the total investments on multis. Having $19.20 Star Channel and $37.40 Charlie A as "C's" on the Gulfstream P5 was two too many, as one needed to be an "A" or both "B's" to catch the $1,323 P5 and/or $378 P4 prizes. Hope everyone did well. MLK Holiday Monday provides some terrific racing and carryovers at both Aqueduct (Jimmy Winkfield) and Santa Anita (San Pedro). The Smarty Jones anchors the Oaklawn card.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

No surprises here as the favorites stand out. Distorted Dream (6-1) offers a little value and will be in front early, but note Frame adds blinkers for the stretchout and could prompt or duel..

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 8-5 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Winter Games 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Frame 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Distorted Dream 6-1 5th


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Esler barn going very well but Taylor Jagger appears a vulnerable 5-2 favorite in a well matched field. Levine sends Andy Berg's $8k Chicago discovery Silver Crush whose recent races more than good enough for this. Mess in a Dress returns to claiming ranks and her races for $20-25k fit well. Could get loose under bug girl Rice who has been holding her own. Note also Araya's 2nd runner, C C's Pride, owns win at PEN 10/18 that would impact here. Tough spot in challenging P6..

Most Likely: #4 Silver Crush 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Mess in a Dress 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Seven Dreams 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Coast of Sangria 6-1 2nd


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Another hotbed of possibilities with slightly shaky fave in last out (96 hours ago) MDN-breaker Lunar Surge. Belle Gallatney goes first off the claim by Rodriguez..

Most Likely: #5 Belle Gallantey 4-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #2 Sally's Dream 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Lunar Surge 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Kara's Match Point 8-1 3rd


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Dawly 7-2 WON ($9.70)
Best Value: #5 Irsaal 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sliver and Onions 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Two Is to Many 4-1 8th


8th: 30th Jimmy Winkfield, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Fun edition of this MLK Day standard honoring the remarkable Winkfield. If you've not read 'Wink' by the equally fascinating Ed Hotaling, (who passed away last year), order it today: http://www.amazon.com/Wink-Incredibl...0223457&sr=1-2

Most Likely: #6 Hot Heir Skier 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #3 Oliver Zip 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Cavu 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Charleymillionaire 5-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Shylock 2-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Gabriel's Flame 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Cuckoo House 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Television Too 8-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 -$4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,3 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 -$16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 2,5 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 3 with 4 - $2.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 1 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $2.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 3 with 4 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 2,5 with 6 with 7 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 3 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $4.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 1,8 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 3 with 1 with 6 with 4 - $2.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 5 with 4 with 2,5 with 1 with 6 with 8 - $4.00

Total: $176.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 4 - $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 7 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 4 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6,7 with 3,6 with 4 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 1 with 4 - $1.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,5 with 3,6 with 8 - $3.00

Total: $58.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bury Pacer 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Big Medicine Man 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Cronut 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 On Draft 8-1 7th


5th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #2 Half Dome Dude 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Sammy's a Runnin' 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Senator Bob 7-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Dunmore East 6-1 WON ($11.60)


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

4-11 are the likelies, 1-2-12 the interesting prices..

Most Likely: #11 Dixieland Blues 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Insideondoutside 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Relentless Heat 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Distort This 8-1 7th


7th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Yana 3-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Capers N Wine 7-2 10th
Best Value: #5 More Complexity 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #14 Warrenspoweroflove 6-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Wonderful Lie 12-1 WON ($36.40)


8th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pulpit's Express 7-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Candy's Sunrise 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Mr. Ornery 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Pulla Train 6-1 12th


9th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Ugly end to the sequences..

Most Likely: #7 Yesterday Sings 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Perched 9-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Mean Emma Jean 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Katy's Plum 7-2 6th
Super Add: #12 Singinthelast 4-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 5,11 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 4,5 with 7 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 11 with 3 with 7 with 8 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 4,5 with 7 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 5,11 with 7 with 8 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 4,5 with 8 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 7,9 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 -$4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 1,3,9 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 1,2,12 with 3 with 7 with 7 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 9,14 with 7 with 7 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 13 with 7 - $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,8 with 2 with 4 with 3 with 7 with 2,9,12 - $12.00

Total: $146.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $12.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 4 with 7,8 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 4 with 7,8 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 5,11 with 5,7 with 2,9 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 4 with 2,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6,12 with 3 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 9,14 with 5,7 with 7,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 9,11,12 with 7,8 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 6,12 - $4.00

Total: $73.00

 

 


 

RESULTS 1/18


AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open start to P4 with un-raced and lightly raced state bred gals. Official (Officer) comes from a zippy, win-early family and if McMahon is getting horses now from Dennis Narlinger, you can be sure he'll have them ready; Happy Recap, half to nice, ill-fated Meese Rocks, showed speed in debut; Kimmel not a 'first out' trainer, but Marketable Miss popped a 5f bullet gate work 12/27 that is enough of a red flag for prominent inclusion..

Best Value: #2 Official 10-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Happy Recap 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Marketable Miss 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Saratoga Shoes 3-1 WON ($7.20)


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

SCR NOTE: Race gets overwhelmed with more than half of the field coming out..

Most Likely: #3 Tenango WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #1 B Shanny 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Luckysdream 2nd


8th: 95th Evening Attire, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Saratoga Snacks a SCR to run Sunday, but that only eliminates one of the possibilities. KMc/Magnuson rolling and Long River should save ground for stalk and go voyage. Pletcher puts hood back on Percussion and note how much better he was with it. Cease obviously a player off big effort in last, but regression makes him just one of those that can win. 'Other' Jacobson Don Dulce has been rock steady for every barn that has had him..

Most Likely: #1 Long River 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #2 Percussion 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Cease 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Don Dulce 8-1 5th


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y

Best Value: #1 Another Page 4-1 9th
Next Best: #2 My Sparky 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Starship Elusive 3-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #7 Twillerbee 8-1 2nd


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 5,7 with 1,2 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 1,2 with 6 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 5,7 with 1,2 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8,10,11 with 3 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (8/3/1/6) Paid $96.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 5,7 with 1,2 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,10 with 1,2 with 6 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3 with 5,7 with 6 - $1.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 3 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 8 with 1,2 with 1,2 - $2.00

Total: $60.00



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 4th FL SunMill F&M Sprint-R, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

$88k P5 C/O starts here..

Sweet N Discreet SCR'D & My Pal Chrisy cross-entered in Distaff and either/both could have a say cutting back with Ullapool, R Free Roll, Ladyfromhavana & Classic Point vying/pressing up front..

Most Likely: #4 Ullapool 3-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #3 My Pal Chrisy 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 R Free Roll 5-2 4th


8th: 4th FL SunMill Turf-R, 4+, 9f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Excellent group with the West Coast invaders adding intrigue. Bad Debt just never runs a bad race and can sit behind speeds like Racing Aptitude and Tune Me In..

Most Likely: #7 Bad Debt 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Blameshifter 10-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Old Time Hockey 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Tune Me In 3-1 10th
Super Add: #4 Hobbs 20-1 7th


9th: 4th FL SunMill Sprint-R, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Fort Loudon finally off rail after three straight inside and should get opportunity to stalk and pounce on potentially dueling Ribo Bobo and Star Harbour..

Best Value: #5 Fort Loudon 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ribo Bobo 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Star Harbour 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Black Diamond Cat 15-1 6th


10th: 4th FL SunMill Classic-R, 4+, 9f (DD)

Would have preferred to see Mucho Macho Man in the Donn H., but it's great that the 6yo is back for another season..

Most Likely: #4 Mucho Macho Man 2-5 WON ($2.20)
Next Best: #5 Bernie the Maestro 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Gourmet Dinner 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Blush Again 12-1 9th
Best Value: #2 Ready Player One 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Miss Lech 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Easton Arch 5-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Gauge 12-1 6th


<$90 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $6.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $9.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $18.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 4,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 3,4,10 with 3,5 with 4 with 7,9 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 4,7 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 2,6 with 3,5 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 1,8,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $4.50
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 7 with 3,5 with 4 with 4,6,8,11 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (4/5/3/4/11) Paid $10.50 (4OF5)

Total: $88.50


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $4.50

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $13.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 4,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 7,9 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 4,9 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $9.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7,10 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 7,9 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 4,9 with 4 with 7,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,6 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $13.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,8 with 4 with 2,3,10 - $3.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 3,5,7 with 4 with 4,6,8,11 - $6.00

Total: $67.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Time for Xtra Heat son Pimpernel to graduate? Doffs blinks, adds Lasix. As discussed on ATR, 'other' Baffert Roger Rocket has some historic pedigree strength out of a sister to Mutakkdim. Garen from Peter Miller (who delivered $30 El Nino Terrible to listeners Friday) is a half to Invasor who adds the hood and gets a pace to close into. Firsters Cowtownmary, Ferocious and Reno Rebel all have impressed National Turf stopwatches in the morning..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Garen 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Roger Rocket 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Ferocious 10-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bee Brave 3-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #8 Moulin de Mougin 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Clear Pearl 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Heat Du Jour 4-1 8th


8th: 67th Strub (G2), 4yo, 8.5f (DD)

Nicely balanced cast for this with plenty of pace up front..

Most Likely: #3 Shakin It Up 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Next Best: #6 Hear the Ghost 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Rookie Sensation 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Governor Charlie 4-1 3rd


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Dancinginthestreet 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Practising 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #6 Cacica Dulima 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Star Act 10-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Kitten de Pere 9-2 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 3 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 3 -$4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 6,10 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 3 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 3 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 10,11 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 6,10 - $8.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (11/6/3/10) Paid $142.65
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 2,5 with 3 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8 with 3,6 with 6,10 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 2,5 with 6,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 3 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4 with 3,6 with 3 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 4,7,8 with 3 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1,6 with 3,6 with 1,2 - $4.00

Total: $68.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/17  

Some of the obvious players scratched out of the late P4 sequence at Aqueduct Thursday, but things worked out nicely anyway as $17.80 Voodoo Tales keyed a very good afternoon. Vulnerable Pletch stretch fave Violet Hour was dueled into submission by Esquivel and Voodoo Tales and not only generated a $195 quad hit, but triggered a bulky $367 triple ($1) with 11-1 Hugh McMahon invader No Means No up for 2nd. No Means No hinted at being a great exotics candidate given the Laurel N1X regular was clearly in NY for a shot at the nice $53k starter ALW pot. With the solid purses available these days in Maryland, you had to think that McMahon wouldn't go to the trouble of coming to Queens without a viable runner. So, what at first looked like a problematic situation with the scratch of Royal Suspicion -- whom I really liked and was going to essentially single -- turned out to a fortuitous result. Hope everyone did well.

Gulfstream seemed liked the best candidate for Friday action, though Santa Anita ended up generating a $42k P6 carryover for later.. Big Weekend Preview ATR coming up with Hersh, Privman, Welsch, Tammaro, DeRosa, Hammerle and HRTV's Amy Zimmerman.


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-4+, 1m-T/0' (P5, P3, DD)

It took forever to get Frere Pilgrim on the turf and when she did, she ran her career best. Will have to do it on front end again, but Rosario sticks and drop has to help. May have found right spot and it will be interesting to see if she gets claimed as the better bred half sister to GSW/G1PL Tamarind Hall (Graeme Hall)..

Most Likely: #3 Frere Pilgrim 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Dont Miss Crissy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hit Squad 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Bet On Kitten 4-1 3rd


7th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Sleepless Knight 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Bombaguia 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kalamos 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 English Progress 8-1 4th


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Hennig's Full of Sugar will have to negotiate the irksome one hole, but fact that Rosario lands here over Pletcher/Coolmore player Spring Blossom worth price of admission (ML 12-1)..

Best Value: #1 Full of Sugar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Lucky for You 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 House Rules 5-1 WON ($13.00)
Super Add: #11 Secret Someone 10-1 8th


9th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/0' (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Feelingbettertoday 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Bella Promessa 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Brandys Secret 3-1 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Dance With Gio 12-1 8th


10th: MSW, F&M-4+, 5f-T/60' (Super Hi-5)

Feels like this has to collapse at least a bit with 6-7 involved on the front end..

Most Likely: #2 Street Trick 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Zamquick 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Braided 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 So Royal 10-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Town Tour 5-1 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 -$2.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 2 with 1,3 with 8 with 4,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 7 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 8 with 2 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 7,8,9,10,11,12 with 8 with 2 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 2 with 2 - $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3,5 with 1,5 with 1,3 with 8 with 8,11 - $8.00

Total: $73.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 2 with 2,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 4,11 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 2 with 2,6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 4,11 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 2 with 2,6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 11,12 with 7,8 with 4,11 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 2 with 4,11 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 7,8,9,10 with 7,8 with 2,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 5 with 2,6 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 8 - $2.00

Total: $66.00 

 

 

 


RESULTS 1/16

Got fortunate at Gulfstream Wednesday as 'C' ticket converted for $105 to defray overall investment of $135 in the P5 & P4. $22.80 Where's the Baby upset the P5 opener and was not on my radar at all, but at least when Starship Journey ($17.60) prevailed in the 7th, the back up ticket had life. The very obvious horses in the late trio -- Private Ensign, Ack Rider, Wire Funds -- not only came through, but dominated. Hope everyone did OK. An interesting late P4 at AQU today with a MSW with several options to start ahead of a 7th-9th that may only require a narrow band of inclusions..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Appears you need to cover 6 of these (1-2-3-5-9-10) to get by..

Most Likely: #3 Biddy Martin 3-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Magdalena Bay 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Hey Kiddo 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #5 Latin Tudor 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Cinnamonjellybean 5-1 8th


7th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Royal Suspicion SCR'D should sit ideal stalking trip behind stretchout speeds. Will be surprised if she gets beat..

Best Value: #8 Voodoo Tales 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #4 Violet Hour 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Garmentos Girl 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 No Means No 12-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

2nd/break Cubicle Queen -- who gets pilot upgrade to Baker go-to guy J. Ortiz -- and Talent N Passion look to be the speeds here. Favored Aliana, SCR'D in light with Esquivel, looms close up and poised to strike should one or the other pacesetters get away too easily..

Best Value: #3 The Magic Stone 5-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #1e Hushion entry 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Darling Bridezilla 10-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Cubicle Queen 15-1 6th


9th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 4+, 6f

SCR Ballybrit who broke MDN Sunday..

Best Value: #9 Private Irving A 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Nail It 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Insighting 4-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Keyaly 8-1 7th


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 1,3 with 9 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 with 9 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/8/3/1,8,10) Paid $195.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 1 with 1,3 with 1 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 9 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 2,9,10 with 1,3 with 9 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 6 with 9 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,10 with 4,8 with 1,3 with 2,4 - $8.00

Total: $58.00

 


 

  

RESULTS 1/15


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/60' (Jackpot Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Tremendously intriguing group with surface switchers possessing decent back form on grass (20-1 Molly Morgan; 5-2 Via Villaggio), a trio of barn movers (3-1 Long Face and 6-1 Euro Import Triple Charm to Clement; 4-1 Alaura Michelle to Pletcher) and a pair of medium priced 'shots with races two back that can win (10-1 Gamay Noir; 8-1 Royal Fury). No bad combos for you to try here and be thankful this isn't in the P5 or late P4..

Best Value: #3 Gamay Noir 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Via Villaggio 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Long Face 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Molly Morgan 20-1 8th


6th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Isutalkintome 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Megalith 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Playing a Joke 12-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Sinorice 8-1 3rd


7th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo-F, 5f-T/60' (P4, P3, DD)

Torturous set of $50k maidens featuring eye-crossing assembly of turf movers, barn switchers, class droppers and first time starters. There are some gaudy trainer stats in tow here that may be clues or may confound including Herman Wilensky (20-1 When We Act) hitting at an astounding 50% W's with his last 24 acquisitions ($3.17 ROI). If you want to go back further, he's still good for a 26% clip with his last 148 for a $2.73 ROI..

Most Likely: #5 Rogue Lady 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 When We Act 20-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Claque 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Journey 6-1 WON ($17.60)


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Slightly awkward group of fillies and mares with potential for a surprise. Eastern Atlantic (Stormy Atlantic) makes a late-in-life first start on dirt and there is reasonable expectation that she might like it. The 5yo mare is out of Echo d'Or, a full sister to the excellent Meyerhoff-owned, Buddy Delp-trained sire Western Echo. Echo d'Or herself was a good dirt sprinter and Eastern Atlantic merits an upset look..

Most Likely: #5 Private Ensign 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Eastern Atlantic 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Arriba Anna 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pixie Devil 3-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$35k, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ack Rider 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #2 Tappintothemusic 6-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Mesa Way 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Valid Concept 8-1 4th


10th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 5f-T/60' (Super Hi-5)

Wire Funds appears very imposing here. Consistent and already fastest coming in, he should get targets to stalk as well. First turf Full Moon's Back mildly interesting with unraced dam Moonshot a half sis to very nice Drysdale GSW & G1PL mare Cat By the Tale..

Most Likely: #3 Wire Funds 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Full Moon's Back 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Didn't Take It 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Statutorial 10-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Thomas Hill 8-1 2nd


<$100 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $12.00
5 $1.00 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 4,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 5 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 4,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 2,7,9 with 6,7 with 3 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 6,8,12 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 4,6 with 2,3 with 3 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6 with 5 with 5 with 2,3 with 1,8 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 3 -$3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 1 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 6,7 with 3 - $9.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 2,7,9 with 2,3 with 1 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 6,7 with 1 - $3.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8,12 with 5 with 2,3 with 3 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (3/1,3,5/1,3,11/2,3) Paid $105.85
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 4,6,8 with 2,3 with 3 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,5,7 with 5 with 2,3 with 8 -$3.00

Total: $60.00

 

 

  

RESULTS 1/13 

First of 3 months of Mondays at Aqueduct starts this afternoon and has added incentive of $60k double carryover in tow. Track punished attempts to utilize the inside path Sunday, so it will be worth monitoring the early races (2 sprints; 1 route) ahead of the P6 to see if the situation carries into today's action. Andy Serling on ATR this morning at 10:40a to set the stage for this new scheduling wrinkle of Thursday-Monday racing..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Ah Gaga turns back and drops. Haldane drop almost suspicious..

Most Likely: #4 Magma 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #7 Haldane 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Ah Gaga 7-2 4th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Highly notable pedigree on display as KMc/Darley unveil Sublime (Medaglia d'Oro), first foal out of the wonderful Hystericalady. As well as McLaughlin barn is going, hard to expect this onw to win at first asking, though dam did win early going just 4.5f at Golden Gate in '05..

Most Likely: #3 Killer Crossover 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Smarty Burns 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ferlin Husky 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Sublime 4-1 5th


3rd: CLM, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Point Taken 9-5 7th
Best Value: #7 Scotus 8-1 WON ($14.80)
Next Best: #2 Dan and Shiela 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Sacred Ground 10-1 5th


4th: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$60k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Pletcher dropper has shown little in NY-MSW tries, but this seems like right level. Firsters Channel Bot (Rodriguez) and Astronomo (Kenneally) won't have to be too special to impact this and Rodriguez has handsome numbers debuting in MCLM's (25%; $2.06 ROI on DRF trainer stats)..

Most Likely: #4 Kick'n Butt 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Channel Boy 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Pete's Fleet 6-1 WON ($17.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Let's Discuss 10-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Joking is the likeliest winner, yes, but there are 5 others here within a couple of lengths of him. I struggled with this race and believe it is more perilous than it might appear at first glance..

Most Likely: #6 Joking 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 One for Don 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Mi Hijo 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Solly's Mischief 12-1 2nd


<$75 P5/P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 6 -$1.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 -$4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 6 - $0.50
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 2,7 with 4 with 6 - $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 6 with 6 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 2 with 1 with 4 with 7 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 6 with 6 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 2,7 with 4 with 7 - $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 6 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 1,7 with 6 - $4.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3,6 with 1 with 4 with 5,8 - $4.00

Total: $40.50


6th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Thrill Hill 2-1 4th
Next Best: #7 The Rhythmisright 5-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #4 Scare City 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Campion Lane 20-1 7th


7th: NY-CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sportswriter 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #8 El Grande Patron 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Armed U S A 8-1 7th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

#14 Escape to the Moon (7-2) an obvious player drawing in, at the very least from a pace standpoint..

Most Likely: #3 Saturday's Appeal 5-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Alcolite 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sea to Sky 2-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Escape to the Moon 7-2 7th
Super Add: #12 Jack's R Wild 12-1 9th


9th: MCLM/$12.5k, F&M-4+, 6f

Most Likely: #3 Myperfectvalentine 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #4 Pegasus Beba 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Lil Tiffy 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 High Inflation 7-2 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 6 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 -$8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 7 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 5 with 3 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 4 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 5 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $16.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2,4,5,8 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3 - $32.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 12,14 with 3 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 6 with 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 6,9 - $16.00

Total: $188.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3,4 -$8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 6,8 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,5 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6,8 with 5,12,14 with 3,4 -$6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,8 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 3,4 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3 with 3,10 with 3,4 -$2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 4,9 with 3,4 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 4,5 with 3,10 with 6,9 - $4.00

Total: $74.00

 

 


1/11 RESULTS 

 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: OC/$100k, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

High level OC lures return of LA Derby/Withers winner & KY Derby show pony Revolutionary, but also the seasonal debuts of SW's Reveron ('12 GP Derby), Honorable Dillon ('13 Hutcheson) & Falling Sky ('13 Sam Davis). While Revolutionary is working well for first start since Belmont, this is a prep for the Donn and his style may leave him with a lot to do on a track that isn't typically kind to off the pace rallyers..

POST SCR NOTE: SCR of Silver Menace takes earliest speed out of lineup..

Most Likely: #3 Honorable Dillon 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Reveron 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Revolutionary 7-5 WON ($2.60)


3rd: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Calm Pacific 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 North Slope 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Bi Flash 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Charming Kitten 3-1 WON ($6.20)


4th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Wild assembly of potential talent that features debuts from throng of expensive purchases with distinguished siblings: $700k Hartford SCR'D is a full to Dance Card (Pletcher/Stonestreet); $400k Constitution is a half to Emcee (Pletcher/WinStar-Twin Creeks); $550k Athens a half to Pomeroy (Mott/WinStar); $600k Indy's Legacy a three-quarter brother to Cool Coal Man (Byrne/Sanfords). Note that Bourbonize won an Oaklawn ALW Friday flattering Ian Wilkes' Ulanbator who was third to him at Churchill in November after a bad start..

Most Likely: #6 Constitution 4-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #5 Ulanbator 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Greyfell 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Juba 5-1 2nd


5th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Monteamira 5-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Donegal Hall 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Street Chief 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 War Artist 10-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 6 with 6,10 - $18.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 5,7 with 6 with 6,10 - $12.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 6 with 3,5 - $12.00

A's with Two B's

4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 5,7 with 6 with 3,5 - $6.00

A's with One C

5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 2,4 with 6 with 6,10 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 9,11,12 with 6 with 6,10 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 5 with 6,10 - $6.00

Total: $67.00


6th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/96' (Jackpot Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Rather wide open event with explosive potential if the favorites falter. Beyond obvious Majestic Sunset and Double Whammy, several at prices can move up significantly in turf bows including Blarp (12-1), Downtownleroybrown (20-1), Notability (8-1) and my especially kooky longshot Caspian Sea (20-1). Maddy Bird (20-1) another oddball number that lures Lopez and is out of dam that is full sister of $8,000,000 yearling Mr. Sekiguchi. ML second choice Perky Kitten (4-1) may be a play against off series of morning efforts that weren't viewed favorably..

Most Likely: #8 Majestic Sunset 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Blarp 12-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Double Whammy 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Notability 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Caspian Sea 20-1 7th


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Very tricky start to the P5 with too many players coming off layoffs. Would love to get the horses posted outside (Doherty, Tarpy's Surprise, Secretive) involved here, but they are really compromised at 8.5f..

Best Value: #5 Chee 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Secretive 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Doherty 4-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Fast Falcon 10-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/24' (P4, P3, DD)

Inner Goddess may have a real chance to steal this or be in position to out-finish Miss Arrangement. Another deep, contentious group..

Best Value: #6 Inner Goddess 15-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Miss Arrangement 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Super Sky 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Market Magic 8-1 5th


9th: 60th Ft. Lauderdale (G2), 4+, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Hierro 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Summer Front 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Tetradrachm 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Slumber 8-1 4th


10th: 27th Hal's Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (DD)

Terrific group with virtually no auto-toss candidates. May not be a great deal of pace on here and if Simmstown is left alone, he'll wire. Purple Egg may be the one to apply pressure to keep things honest. Strike One looks poised for a breakthrough and with no absolute 'beat me' type involved, I'm willing to take a shot at what should be a big number..

Best Value: #3 Strike One 15-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Simmstown 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Csaba 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Lea 10-1 WON ($14.00)


11th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/24' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Red Vine 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Twigazuri Strait 4-1 5th
Best Value: #14 Kid Lightening 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Big John B 6-1 WON ($10.40)


<$75 P5 Play:

Exceedingly treacherous sequence..

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 2,6 with 4 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 6 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 2,6 with 4 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,3 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 2,6 with 4 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 6 with 1,3 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 2,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3,7 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 8,9,11 with 3 with 1,3 with 4 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 2,6 with 3 with 1,3 with 3,14 - $8.00

Total: $68.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 4 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 1 with 1,3 with 4 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 4 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 2,6 with 4 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 6 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 2,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8,9,11 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 4 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 2,7,8 with 1,3 with 4 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 4,7,8,9 with 4 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 3,6 with 1,3 with 3,14 - $8.00

Total: $68.00


 


 


RESULTS 1/8
 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$24,569 P6 C/O starts here..

Tricky Slam obviously horse to beat, but Jersey Jet (main track?), Chief Scout (more improvement to come?), Pepe (return to career best?) and Sonnyandpally (enough pace to close into?) all within striking distance if circumstances allow..

Most Likely: #5 Pepe 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #1 Sonnyandpally 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Chief Scout 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Jersey Jet 15-1 DNF-Unseated rider


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Malibu Queen 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Morethanvictorious 4-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Julesco 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Raven Rise 3-1 6th


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Hard to believe that John Morrison will run both #4 Brendan G and #9 Qui C'est Moi SCR'D given on lead and pressing style of pair. Either could be on loose lead here without presence of other. Meanwhile, 2nd timer Oltre' Oto and Pletcher/Repole dropper Village Warrior loom as obvious players. Zito Indiana-bred Percy's Ambition, exiting MSW that produced Coup de Grace and Unknown Road, has look of one that will take to added ground. Will be a big number..

Most Likely: #4 Brendan G 3-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Village Warrior 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 (POE) Percy's Ambition 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Oltre' Oro 9-2 WON ($9.10)


7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

This race (and 8th) keys to sequence with break and early jock decisions central to whether pace is simply honest or heated. Jacobson continues to play claiming game aggressively with $20k last out buy Rift dipping to $12.5k tag here while seeking $15k winner's share of $25k pot. Exley, Money Only, Starship Captain, Alcomatch and Avenging Spirit are all jamming down in this set making your ticket exclusions very difficult..

Most Likely: #2 Exley 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Alcomatch 7-2 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #4 Starship Captain 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Say Mr. Sandman 12-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Treacherous group confounds at each look as players like Downtown Hottie lure you despite a 14/0-4-2 inner track mark. Gloria Victoria may have put it all together and may just overwhelm this set..

Most Likely: #6 Gloria Victoria 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Downtown Hottie 7-2 4th
Best Value: #5 City Gone Wild 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Hot Splash 6-1 WON ($17.40)


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3yo-F, 5.5f

Most Likely: #2 Birdsofafeather 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Confederate Bay 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Zimbabwe Lady 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Livininthefastlane 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Pari Nath 20-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 2 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 9 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 2 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 3,4 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 3,4 with 4 with 9 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 2 with 7 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 2 with 4 with 9 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 2 with 4 with 2 with 5 with 2 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 7 with 9 with 6 with 2 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 7 with 2 with 5 with 2 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 9 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 6 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 2,3 with 2 with 6 with 2 - $16.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 4,5 with 6 with 2 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 3 with 2 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 5,8 with 3,4 with 4 with 2 with 6 with 4,5,6,7 - $32.00

Total: $184.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 6 with 2 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,9 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 3,4 with 6 with 2 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 3,5 with 2 - $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 6 with 5,7 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 3,4 with 6 with 2 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,9 with 3,5 with 2 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,9 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3,4 with 3,5 with 2 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 3,4 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 3,5 with 5,7 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,9 with 2,9 with 6 with 2 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 4,7,8 with 2 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,9 with 6 with 4,6,8 - $6.00

Total: $70.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo, 6f (P6, P3)

$89k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Ranulf 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Too Fast to Pass 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Money Cannon 7-2 2nd


4th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rambling House 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Vegas Street 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Warren's Stylized 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Primal Lad 15-1 -


5th: Cal-MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Princess Genevieve 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Euroclydon 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Turn On 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Papa's Flashy Girl 4-1 5th


6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3)

Most Likely: #4 Jovita's Tuffy 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #7 Warren's Tyler S. 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 As Good as Gold 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Tale Be Told 5-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 10f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Monastic 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Power Foot 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Black Spirit 4-1 5th


8th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-4+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

$26,513 Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #4 Circular Logic 5-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Unique Suances 3-1 -
Best Value: #10 Amina Perfect 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Winninginfashion 5-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #2 Secret Memo 4-1 WON ($6.80)


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 5 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (1/5/6,9/4/1/2) Paid $39.40 (5OF6)
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 7,10 - $16.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 5 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 5 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 7,10 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (1/5/6,9/4/1/2) Paid $39.40 (5OF6)
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 5 with 4 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 5 with 4 with 1,2 with 7,10 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 5 with 7,10 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 1,2 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 4 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 2,7 with 1,2 with 4 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2 with 3 with 6 with 4 with 1,2 with 2,8 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (1/5/6,9/4/1/2) Paid $39.40 (5OF6)

Total: $152.00 3 Consos (5 of 6) = $118.40


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $3.00 pick P4: 6 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $9.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $3.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 2,7 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $6.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 7,10 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 2,7 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $3.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 7,10 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,7 with 1,2,5 with 7,10 - $6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 6 with 1,2,5 with 4 - $1.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 4 with 1,2,5 with 2,8 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (6,9/4/1/2) Paid $58.85

Total: $43.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/5


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 4+, 1m-70 (P6, P3, DD)

$25k C/O starts here..

Very tricky start to sequence with top 7 contenders less than 2-3 lengths apart on form. You can expect #11-AE Cat Man Fu to draw in to field given tragic circumstance Saturday that saw Six Drivers (#9) collide with Caixa Eletronica, killing both. Everyone who enjoys the game and appreciates the animal was shaken and saddened by the news and extends sympathies to all connected..

Best Value: #10 Onecats Chance 12-1 WON ($21.60)
Next Best: #11 Cat Man Fu 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 My Teddy Bear 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Sir Maurice 15-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Taylor Jagger 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #9 Get Gorgeous 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Mary Ann's Kitchen 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Newyork Conspiracy 20-1 4th



6th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Be Bullish 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #2 Crafty Dreamer 4-1 DH-3rd
Best Value: #1 Taxplayer 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Bellamy 20-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Dangerous spot in all the late multis with pace that could get hot or potentially find an aggressively ridden candidate loose up front. Hard to cross too many of these out..

Best Value: #8 Osceola Prince 10-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Majestic Number 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Litigate 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #7 Chasing Moonlight 6-1 2nd


8th: Judy Soda-NY, F&M-4+, 1m (DD)

In a funny coincidence, Tim Tullock upset Saturday's Frank Whiteley at Laurel with Germaniac, Judy Soda's 3yo son..

Most Likely: #7 Mischief Maker 9-5 7th
Best Value: #8 Hot Rendezvous 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Harbor Mist 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Friedman entry 10-1 3rd/5th-DQ'd from 4th


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-70y CANCELLED

Most Likely: #3 My Sparky 5-2
Next Best: #9 Starship Elusive 3-1
Exotics Use: #7 Another Page 5-1
Super Add: #1 Twillerbee 6-1


<$200 P6 Play:

Tickets created using TicketMaker

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 8,11 with 5 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $16.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 2 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 7 with 1,7 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00 P6 (5 of 6) Conso Pays $64.00 x 2 = $128.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 8,11 with 9 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 8,11 with 5 with 2 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 8,11 with 5 with 7 with 1,7 with 7 with 3,9 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 9 with 2 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 9 with 7 with 1,7 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 2 with 1,7 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 5 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 3 with 7 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 1 with 4,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 7 with 3,6,9 with 7 with 3,9 - $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 10 with 5 with 7 with 4,8 with 1,3,8 with 3,9 - $24.00

Total: $188.00


<$75 P4 Play:

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 3,9 with 7 with 3,9 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 1,3,8 with 3,9 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 3,9 with 7 with 3,9 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,4,7,8 with 1,3,8 with 3,9 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 3,9 with 1,3,8 with 3,9 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 3,9 with 7 with 7 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 1,3,8 with 7 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 3,9 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,5,6 with 7 with 3,9 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 4 with 3,9 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,7,8 with 7 with 1,2 - $4.00

Total: $72.00 

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/4

 

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 41st Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m-70 (P4, P3, DD)

Understand viewing Camille Claudel as a mudlark off the jump up maiden win in LRL slop, but note Tres Abbott added blinkers to the package for that effort which may have been more influential than footing. Happy to take a chance on a 10-1 stranger in this oddball assembly where pace scenario and styles are plenty murky..

Best Value: #4 Camille Claudel 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Alpaca Fina 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Flipcup 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Fleet of Gold 6-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

As Nick Tammaro said yesterday, a hodge-podge of allowance & starter types that ends up being a well matched set. Favored Hot Stones (2-1) a giant question mark on stretchout. Endless Chatter (6-1) fits the pattern we've been noting on ATR of a horse who returns to the scene off an extended break (10 months) and may be much better now than when she left. Rare chance at a price on Chad Brown barn runner..

Most Likely: #6 What the Frost 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Endless Chatter 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Holiday's Jewel 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Hundred Acre Wood 20-1 2nd


8th: 144th Jerome (G2), 3yo, 1m-70y (DD)

Rich Migliore's 'History of the Game' piece on the storied Jerome: http://www.nyra.com/aqueduct/videos/...me-the-jerome/

Not a lot of speed here and Noble Moon should have every chance to control this from down inside..

Most Likely: #1 Noble Moon 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #7 Classic Giacnroll 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Matuszak 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Scotland 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f

Anchor leg of perilous sequence has a number of mojo options including runners for new outfits (Gabrilicious and Speedy Lee D from Rudy Rod; Merryland Moon back to Midwest TB and adding blinkers; Guyana Princess first off claim for Riccio/Nevin). Question here is pace with Speedy Lee D and Thetrainwasgone confirmed frontrunners and little else certain to be part of the early mix. If one or the other gets loose, they can wire. If someone else gets aggressive and prompts, we'll get a fair rendering. Very tough end to difficult P4..

Most Likely: #7 Merryland Moon 8-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Matching Skies 20-1 WON ($14.60)
Next Best: #2 Gabrilicious 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Promised Mandate 12-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 1 with 1,7 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 7 with 1,7 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 2,5 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 4,6 with 1 with 1,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 7 with 1,7 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 2 with 1 with 2,5 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 7 with 1,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 4,6 with 1 with 2,5 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 7 with 2,5 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3,8 with 2 with 1 with 1,7 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 1,3,5,7,8 with 1 with 1,7 - $15.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 2,3,5,8 with 1,7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,4,6 with 2 with 1 with 3,6,10,12 -$6.00

Total: $76.00



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: FL-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Do Not Enter 8-1: Rivelli clever with FTS; Lures Rosario.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Dreamingoflawrence 3-1: From creepy, notorious Calabrese barn.. 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Can't Stop the Kid 5-1: Chased sharp Lynch winner; Now or never.. WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #2 Puntrooskie 6-1: Up to restricted MSW off OK open $50k debut.. 3rd


6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 5f-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gentleman's Code 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Didn't Take It 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #10 Drunken Love 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Law Dog 20-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

One of the more entertaining betting races of the day. 12-1 Zipso Facto -- who's kept good company, just missed with Davis two back and fits current course profile for rallyers -- for me..

Best Value: #7 Zipso Facto 12-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #4 Starship Pegasus 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Sands of Humor 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Grenoble 8-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Keep an eye on Zito's talented Hurricane Ray who likely will need a start before showing best..

Best Value: #9 Buck Magic 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Vinceremos 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Four More 12-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Hurricane Ray 12-1 9th


9th: 15th Marshua's River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Fun group and no bad ideas with plethora of price options including Catalano's Poetic Kid (10-1), Clement's Naples Bay (6-1), Mott's Floral Romance and Pletcher's Viva Rafaela (15-1). Big question here is stretch out capability of Silverette (12-1) and how much pressure is applied from any number of candidates. Pace could get hot and set it up for closers or it could be moderate providing stalker types with best chance..

Best Value: #8 Poetic Kid 10-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Angelica Zapata 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Abaco 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Floral Romance 8-1 6th


10th: 35th Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Whole lot of pace involved here and it seems likely that someone can pick them up late. Enter Stan Gold and C. Zee. Appears poised to capitalize if he can improve off excellent effort breaking maiden versus 13 (!) others. Likely floats higher than 6-1 with Pletcherpalooza and a Ramsey runner involved..

Best Value: #4 C. Zee 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Trail Blaze 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Corfu 5-2 6th
Super Add: #7 Hollywood Talent 4-1 3rd


11th: MCLM/$35k, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Keep an eye open for AE's drawing in..

Most Likely: #5 Principessa Gina 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Siyawe 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Ocean Gal 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Chuckle of the Day 6-1 8th


<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $4.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 3 with 5 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 3 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 7 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 3 with 5 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 1,12 with 2,4 with 7 - $4.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 3 with 7 - $2.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 2,3 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $4.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 8 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 5 - $4.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 4 with 2,4 with 5 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 4,7 with 9 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 2 - $4.00

Total: $65.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $12.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 2,4 with 5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 5 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1 with 2,4 with 5 $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 5 - $1.50
8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 7 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 3 with 5 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 1 with 2,4 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 3 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 4,5,6,7 with 2,4 with 5 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 7 with 5 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3,9 with 3,8,12 with 2,4 with 1,2,8 - $18.00

Total: $72.50



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 67th San Gabriel (G2), 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Interesting cast for this middle distance turf test and came in eager to try Drysdale's Fire With Fire at a price (10-1). Enthusiasm was tempered overnight by unappealing workout report from Harrington, but does figure to sit advantageous stalking trip up close..

Most Likely: #9 Jeranimo 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #5 Fire With Fire 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Te Rapa 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Arctic North 8-1 3rd

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 1/1 

All I can do this New Year's Day is pull out all the clichés after yesterday's improbable closing act. I say it's 'the greatest unscripted drama in the sporting world' and 'you can't make it up' and so forth and Tuesday's year end Ozone Park Miracle confirmed it again. I was beyond delighted to construct a successful P6 negotiation that may not have been life-changing, but certainly was vocation-affirming.

In addition to feeling like the P4 and P6 hits made up for a handful of truly agonizing near-misses in 2013, the way the wagers scored via the elaborate multi-ticket approach (5 A's, 1 C) justified the extra work involved in the process. As I've explained on radio for years, the Steve Crist A-B-C-X structure and multi ticket approach is the best way to attack, but for too long I tried to keep it simple 'on paper' in the selections with the 'caveman' tickets.

It is labor intensive to post each Ticketmaker play pre and post SCR's and I always worried that there would be small mistakes along the way that botched things and wasted people's money. Indeed, even with the successes Tuesday, there was a small post-SCR hiccup where I somehow omitted 2nd choice Petrocelli from the plays in favor of 3rd choice Star of New York. Luckily Tycoon Cat left no doubt about the anchor leg outcome.

Anyway, I'm pleased at least one person played along on the $152 P6 ($11,602) and many more on the 14-1 return $65 P4 ($905) and appreciate all the kind notes of encouragement and well wishes. It's important to have hits like Tuesday's if you play regularly and seriously because it not only keeps the balance sheet reasonable, but confirms confidence in your own opinion. And to those giving up the game blaming unbeatable and 'overwhelming' ambient conditions, returns that keep determined players profitable, or at least in the hunt, are the best response to braying quitters. You need luck certainly, but like anything else in life, the harder you work, the luckier you'll get. (Ben Hogan paraphrased.)

 Best wishes to all for a super 2014. Let's encourage each other and make it great..







AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Color Me Kitten 3-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Blue Sixty Four 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Blue Ballerina 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Julesco 4-1 2nd


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Giant Finish, away since Belmont, moved to the Sciacca barn this fall and has been working very well for return but may need tightener. Won ALW over strip 50 weeks ago but looks underlaid at 5-2..

Most Likely: #9 Go Get the Basil 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Pure Attitude 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #3 Giant Finish 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Street Lord 8-1 2nd


8th: 93rd Interborough, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

SCR'D down to 5 and all need to be covered somehow on your plays..

Most Likely: #6 Lion D N A 6-1 WON ($7.90)
Best Value: #7 Miss Mischief 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Delightful Quality 2-1 4th


9th: NY-MSW, 4+, 5.5f

Deep, contentious group with Galluscio firster mixed in for added intrigue..

Most Likely: #7 Handy Stan 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Shot to Win 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Wood On the Fire 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Horatio 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Chasintheblues 8-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 4 with 7 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 3,5,6,8 - $16.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4,9 with 4 with 7 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 3,5,6,8 - $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 4 with 3,5,6,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 3,5 with 2,7 with 7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 5,6 with 7 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,8 with 4,9 with 2,7 with 1,10 - $8.00

Total: $74.00 

 

 


RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

 

  

 


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

  

 




$552k double carryover Friday at Santa Anita as only one favorite (7th-Rangi) came through in the challenging sextet. I was able to identify the 3 biggest prices in the P6 as Best Value players Thursday ($20.40 Our Flitter Ball; $16.40 An Unusual Group; $20.60 Spirit Rules), but didn't have them weighted as needed to generate multi-race success. Plus, unlike Brad Free, I didn't like Rangi! Friday sequence doesn't feel immediately easier either, but let's give it a go..


SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3)

Repeat of most recent should get Autumn View over the hump, but make no mistake about her being win shy..

Most Likely: #3 Autumn View 6-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Oughttobenaughty 9-2 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Provenance 3-1 (C) WON ($8.40)


4th: S-ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Yikes.. Super tricky starter allowance at in-between trip with whole group about 3 lengths apart. Note Baltas won a pair yesterday and #7 Full's Dress Code worked at par with Thursday feature creature Rangi..

Best Value: #2 E Equalsmcsquared 5-1 (A) 6th
Next Best: #3 Hearitforthegirls 9-2 (A) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 L T Reckless 7-2 (B) WON ($11.40)
Super Add: #7 Full's Dress Code 6-1 (B) 5th


5th: Cal-ALW/N1X, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Betty's Bambino 5-2 (A) WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #7 Luz Atticus 4-1 (B) 2nd
Best Value: #6 Collation 15-1 (C) 6th


6th: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P3)

Bottom level claimers but some steady, formful players..

Most Likely: #7 Road Ready 5-2 (A) WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #3 Di Conti 9-2 (B) 6th
Next Best: #1 Xuang Feng 2-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Truelee Scrappin 4-1 (C) 4th


7th: OC, 4+, 12f-T (DD)

2.5 turn lawn test has quality cast including comebacker Lime Rickey away 9+ months since '13 Whittingham. Mambo Man (3-1) looks like a shrewd claim for Canani..

Best Value: #7 Mambo Man 3-1 (A) WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Boyett 2-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lime Rickey 5-2 (B) 8th
Super Add: #5 Death Star 12-1 (C) 7th


8th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Charbroiled 6-5 (A) WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Murmansk 8-1 (B) 7th
Next Best: #6 Jimrony 7-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ice Cream Truck 4-1 (C) 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #8 Slight Edge 8-1 (C) 5th


<$140 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 2 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 6,7 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 1 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 7 with 7 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 1 with 7 with 3,6 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 with 3,6 - $8.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $4.00 $2 Pick 6 (4/6/1,3/7/7/1) Paid $41.40 (5OF6)
24 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 4,6 with 7 with 7 with 1 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 3 with 7 with 1 - $4.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2,3 with 3 with 7 with 1 with 1 - $4.00

Total: $132.00 $41.40 x 3 = $124.20


<$40 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1,3/7/7/1) Paid $113.10

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,7 with 1 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 1,5 with 1 - $2.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 1,3 with 2,7 with - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 1,5 with 1 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 7 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 1,5 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,7 with 3,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 1,5 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with One C
12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,4,5 with 2,7 with 1 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 3,4 with 1 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,7 with 2,8 - $2.00

Total: $36.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/19



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4+, 1m (P6, P3)

Very tricky start to $125k P6 C/O sequence..

Most Likely: #4 Pulpit's Express 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Mind the Master 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Candy for Debbie 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Harlington Night 4-1 6th


4th: Cal-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Ryderoo DQ'd out of diploma last month and slips from open $40 to Cal $40. Filly to beat but Mullins rail miss 2nd timer a threat..

Most Likely: #6 Ryderoo 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Jaycee's Faith 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Our Glitter Ball 12-1 WON ($20.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Swiss Heart 7-2 2nd


5th: MCLM/$75k, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3)

MCLM's down the hill. May need to lean heavily on Lamazone..

Most Likely: #9 Lamazone 3-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Hugh Knew 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 An Unusual Group 10-1 WON ($16.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Gisele At Fonz's 4-1 3rd


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3)

War Academy, last seen in the '13 Arkansas Derby, returns off series of more than a dozen works. Not a great deal of speed involved in this sextet, so Garcia may take control fairly early depending on what Heir of Storm and Circle the Moon are doing..

Most Likely: #4 War Academy 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Spirit Rules 6-1 WON ($20.60)
Next Best: #2 Kate's Event 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Heir of Storm 3-1 5th


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Back down the hill and a very solid group. No shortage of pace up front which makes this eligible for all styles. Excellent affair and will trust Stevens to arrive on time with Sadler's wellCal-bred Monument..

Best Value: #5 Monument 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Incline Village 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Thunder Rode 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Door's Open 4-1 9th


8th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo-F, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Alice Roadtrain 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #11 Warren's Salute 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Royal Shaft 15-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Controller 5-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Late SCR (Gate)


<$140 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 8 -$4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 6 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 2,3 with 8 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 11 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

8 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 1 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 6 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 6 with 9 with 6 with 5 with 8 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 2,3 with 8 - $4.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 11 - $2.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 9 with 6 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 9 with 4 with 2,3 with 8 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 1 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 11 - $4.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 2 with 6 with 5 with 8 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 2 with 4 with 2,3 with 8 - $8.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 2 with 4 with 5 with 11 - $4.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 6 with 2,3 with 8 - $8.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 6 with 5 with 11 - $4.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 2,3 with 11 - $8.00

A's with One C

23 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2,6 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $6.00
24 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 5,7 with 4 with 5 with 8 - $8.00
25 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 2,5 with 5 with 8 - $8.00
26 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 4,7,8 with 8 - $12.00
27 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 6 with 9 with 4 with 5 with 7,12 - $8.00

Total: $140.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5 with 8,11 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 5 with 8,11 - $2.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 2,3,5,6 with 5 with 8,11 - $8.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 2,3,4,8 with 8,11 - $8.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5 with 12 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,3,5,6 with 5 with 8,11 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 2,3,4,8 with 8,11 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 4 with 5 with 12 - $0.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 2,3,5,6 with 2,3,4,8 with 8,11 - $16.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 2,3,5,6 with 5 with 12 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 2,3,4,8 with 12 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 5 with 8,11 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 7 with 8,11 - $1.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5 with 1,7 - $1.00

Total: $54.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/19 

 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

If right, STK/ALW dropper Ooohs and Aaahs (5-1) figures tough. Il Duomo is 1st/claim for Walder and Courage Belongs a Calabrese acquisition going first dirt after poly-only experiences in Toronto..

Most Likely #2 Ooohs and Aaahs 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #6 Our Ritz 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Il Duomo 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Kiton 3-1 6th


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

In & Outers near the bottom. Ginebra (5-1) drops and gets pilot upgrade to Paco..

Best Value: #9 Ginebra 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Early Glory 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 La Hija de Olga 6-1 WON ($26.40)
Super Add: #5 Utootweet 6-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3+, 12f-T/48' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Papy 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #4 Boss Man 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Successful Brothers 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Trescastle 6-1 5th


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Pixie Devil is going to be on a loose lead unless someone gets aggressive. Among the faves, Lady Cohiba returns from a 5 month break and Via Villaggio hasn't won in forever..

Most Likely: #7 Pixie Devil 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Lady Cohiba 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Molly Morgan 12-12nd
Exotics Use: #1 Sonja's Angel 3-1 3rd


9th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 5f-T/108' (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Didn't Take It 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Starship Sulu 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Drunken Love 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Thomas Hill 3-1 4th


10th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Angel's South 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Merillore 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Ceci N Red 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Southern Dunn 5-1 9th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Will to Shine 4-1 7th


<$50 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,5 with 3 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 4,6,7 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 9 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 7 with 3 with 9 - $0.50

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,5 with 4,6,7 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $9.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,5 with 3 with 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 9 - $9.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,5 with 3 with 7 with 3 with 9 - $1.50
9 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 4,6,7 with 1,2,3 with 2,4 with 9 - $9.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 4,6,7 with 7 with 3 with 9 - $1.50
11 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 1,2,3 with 3 with 9 - $1.50

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 4,6,8 with 3 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 1,8,9 with 7 with 2,4 with 9 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 8 with 2,4 with 9 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 7 with 9 with 9 - $0.50
16 $0.50 pick P5: 9 with 3 with 7 with 2,4 with 1 - $1.00

Total: $50.50


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,7 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $4.50
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,2,3 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $4.50
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 9 with 9 - $0.50
5 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 1 - $1.50

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,7 with 1,2,3 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $13.50
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,7 with 7 with 9 with 9 - $1.50
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,7 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 1 - $4.50
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,2,3 with 9 with 9 - $1.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,2,3 with 2,3,4 with 1 - $4.50
11 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 9 with 1 - $0.50

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8,9 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $4.50
13 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 4,5,6,8 with 2,3,4 with 9 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 6 with 9 - $0.50
15 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 2,7,11 - $4.50

Total: $55.50

 

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/15

  

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM/N3L, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Saturday Appeal 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 Southbeachsandy 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Copywriter 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Cactus City Road 3-1 3rd


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Capers N Wine 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Magdelena Bay 9-5 WON ($2.70)
Exotics Use: #1 Rosemarie 6-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ellen Dorene 5-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Mrs. Bean 3-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Frosty But Funky 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Rettalfa 8-1 3rd


6th: MCLM/$12.5k, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Locks of Gold 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Rocks Anne 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 High Inflation 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #6 You Take the Cake 7-2 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Milkyyourway 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Penthouse Party 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Vaid 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Soul Opposition 4-1 6th


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

When Pletcher barn opts for spot like this with big debut winner, as opposed to reaching for black type, it sometimes augers a regression. Equally impressive first ask winner Killaday is the threat and there's potential for the pair to hook up early and duel. Go West Marie (12-1) and Lady Liana (6-1) seem to have best chances to pick up pieces if top two collapse..

Most Likely: #3 Our Amazing Rose 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #7 Killaday 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Go West Marie 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Liana 6-1 4th


9th: NY-MCLM/$16k, 3+, 5.5f

Most Likely: #7 Pegasus Tiger 5-2 WON ($9.40)
Next Best: #5 Wood On the Fire 2-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Clearly Precious 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Tell It to the Man 8-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 3 with 5,7 - $12.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 3 with 5,7 - $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (3/1/3,6/7) Paid $21.12
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 7 with 3 with 5,7 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 3 with 2 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 7 with 3 with 5,7 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 7 with 5,7 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 3 with 2 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 7 with 7 with 5,7 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 7 with 3 with 2 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 6 with 3 with 5,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 1,8 with 5,7 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 3 with 6,8 - $4.00

Total: $45.00

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/15 

Enjoyed a nearly perfect afternoon at Gulfstream Friday running the table with 'A' selections up to the nightcap when 'B' player Moonwalker overwhelmed the turf sprint finale. Happily settled for $3,500+ in P5 & P4 success, but could not close out the pesky Rainbow 6 that had potential to make the day particularly special with an additional 5 figure score. Was certainly the beneficiary of the stewards' stand surviving 2 inquiries, being put up in a third and avoiding a possible look-see in the first leg when $22 Night Song got the day off to a roaring start.

One thing that becomes apparent from the Rainbow 6 flirtation is that the quality payouts for very modest investment are available if you are at ease with the nature of the wager. The sequence paid nearly $17k Friday and it would not have taken too much tinkering with the simple $38.40 play to bring it home. And obviously, a larger budget play had high potential to hit. But as I've discussed on ATR, it's an action bet and $40 is about what I'm willing to throw at the daily equine lotto the wager becomes when the pool is in the $500k range on a daily basis. Some people are playing for $20, some for $200, some for $2,000.

 After the initial trepidation about the appropriateness of playing it at all other than on the distribution day, it's become clear that you get exactly the amount of 'action' you're looking for if it's only a superfluous portion of your bankroll. It's not a 'smart' bet, but it's fun. Hope everyone did great yesterday and got something from the sequence if they were playing along.


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f-T/72' (P6, P3, DD)

Not all that much pace signed on here..

Most Likely: #2 Transcend 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Chairman Garey 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Hey Leroy 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #7 One Golden Road 4-1 6th


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Coin Broker 5-1 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #6 Elmutahid 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Harris 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Cary Street 3-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Some solidly pedigreed firsters and a few with square early efforts..

Most Likely: #4 What's Up Big Guy 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 American Bond 4-1 7th
Best Value: #6 Curlin's Gem 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Tuneintobow 6-1 4th


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/0' (P3, DD)

Utterly wide open affair with inscrutable pace scenario adding to chaos. Taking shots..

Best Value: #5 Offlee Fast 20-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Pinball 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Hakama 12-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Rocking Hall 4-1 8th


10th: 32nd Honey Fox (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T/72' (DD)

Fun edition of this. Virtually all 8 have quality to them and are eligible in one scenario or another. Improving Triple Arch (12-1) could be on loose lead here and 'other' Arnold Run a Risk (15-1) will be right behind. Centre Court, Parranda and Tapicat all deserve respect of course..

Most Likely: #7 Tapicat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Triple Arch 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Parranda 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Run a Risk 15-1 8th


11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0' (Super Hi-5)

Cover #2 Lawn Party in multis, but taking shot against within race..

Most Likely: #4 Forensic 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Annie Walker 20-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Miz Lee 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Purrfect Ride 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Scatcapade 5-1 4th


<$30 P6 Play:

6: 2-3-7-10
7: 3-6
8: 4-8
9: 2-4-5
10: 3-5-7
11: 4

4x2x2x3x3x1 = 144 x .20 = $28.80


<$60 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $0.50
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 7 with 4 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 3,5 with 4 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 2,8,10 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $1.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 7 with 4 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 4,8 with 4 with 3,5 with 4 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,6 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 2,8,10 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 1 with 2,5 with 7 with 4 - $1.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 1 with 4 with 3,5 with 4 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 1 with 4 with 7 with 2,8,10 - $1.50
14 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 3,5 with 4 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 2,5 with 7 with 2,8,10 - $6.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 3,5 with 2,8,10 - $6.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 5 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $1.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 3,6,7 with 4 with 7 with 4 - $1.50
19 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 3,9 with 7 with 4 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 1,2,4,6,8 with 4 - $5.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 3 with 4,8 with 4 with 7 with 1,6 - $2.00

Total: $56.50


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 7 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4,5 with 7 with 4 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 2 with 7 with 4 - $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 3,5 with 4 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 7 with 2,10 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 2 with 7 with 4 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4,5 with 3,5 with 4 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 4,5 with 7 with 2,10 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 2 with 3,5 with 4 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 2 with 7 with 2,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 3,5 with 2,10 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 5,7 with 4,5 with 7 with 4 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 4 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 1,2,4,6,8 with 4 - $10.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,8 with 4,5 with 7 with 1,6,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: 28th Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

4yo debut for Close Hatches and she appears to have the jump on Oaklawn-loving Don't Tell Sophia..

Most Likely: #1 Close Hatches 7-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Don't Tell Sophia 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Flashy American 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 On Fire Baby 7-2 4th


9th: 55th Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Wild group where the 'all' button may be needed to assure safe passage in multis. Opportunity here to perhaps land a Pletcher stake runner at a price with Golden Lad. Steady developing Robsham homebred by Md'O is a half to G1 placed R Gypsy Gold and MGSW Broadway's Alibi and has been on a roll at Gulfstream topping next out winners Suns Out Guns Out and Valid in last pair. Should sit a nice trip behind the speed and we'll get the $11.00 that's being offered..

Best Value: #4 Golden Lad 9-2 WON ($12.00)
Next Best: #1 Taptowne 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Street Spice 8-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Right to Vote 10-1 4th


10th: 54th Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

This race feels like an event that will not be run as in the manner it suggests on paper. Expect Tapiture will be more off the pace and Strong Mandate closer to it. Ride On Curlin moves inside, gains Desormeaux and may have the most upside in regards to options and value..

Most Likely: #4 Strong Mandate 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Ride On Curlin 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tapiture 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Hoppertunity 10-1 WON ($14.20)


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m

Best Value: #3 Sea Shadow 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Haveyougoneaway 5-1 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Ghost Locket 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Queen Daenerys 7-2 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 4 with 3,10 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,4 with 4 with 3,10 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,5 with 4 with 3,10 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 2,3 with 3,10 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 4 with 6,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,5 with 4 with 3,10 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,4 with 2,3 with 3,10 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 1,4 with 4 with 6,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,5 with 2,3 with 3,10 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,5 with 4 with 6,9 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 2,3 with 6,9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 1,4 with 4 with 3,10 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,6,7 with 4 with 3,10 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 5,7,8 with 3,10 - $6.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/4/5/10) Paid $240.05
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,4 with 4 with 1,11 - $2.00

Total: $47.00

 

 

RESULTS 3/14 

 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, F&M-4+, 7.5f-T/0' (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Keep watching for W. Ward 4yo MTO entrant Heaven's Touch who is working lights out for debut..

Best Value: #4 Night Song 12-1: Enough turf in ped to take shot.. WON ($22.60)
Next Best: #2 Street Trick 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Treasured 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Zuma Moon 20-1 8th


6th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/72' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Contributor 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #8 Atasheen 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Ellie's Prince 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Serafino 3-1 6th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Making Havoc 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #2 Best Behavior 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Yes I'm Sweet 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Sweet Shirley Mae 4-1 2nd


8th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 8.5f-T/0' (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group. If Becky's Kitten (20-1) can get position up front early -- Countryman the other speed perhaps? -- he has a chance to wire..

Best Value: #9 Becky's Kitten 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Tom Kitten 8-1 WON VIA DQ ($16.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Midnite Silver 4-1
Super Add: #4 Countryman 3-1 9th


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/72' (DD)

Another quirky OC/Starter group. Strategic Keeper, anointed winner of the controversial Fountain Day Rainbow 6 DQ, returns here and looks well spotted..

Most Likely: #2 Strategic Keeper 4-1 WON ($10.60)
Best Value: #4 Imaginethatmom 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Aunt Ruby's Kitten 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Telcontar 6-1 4th


10th: MCLM/$25k, 3+, 5f-T/0' (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Spa City Treasure 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 I Want the Roses 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Moonwalker 3-1 WON ($13.20)
Super Add: #3 Automatic Jax 5-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Kerry Washington 10-1 10th


<$40 P6 Play:

5: 2-3-4-8
6: 5-8
7: 1-2
8: 1-5-9
9: 2-4
10: 1-7

4x2x2x3x2x2 = 192 x .20 = $38.40


<$75 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 1 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/5/2/9) Paid $38.55 (4OF5)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 5,6 with 5,9 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 4 with 1 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 7 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/5/2/9) Paid $38.55 (4OF5)

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 5,6 with 5,9 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 4 with 1 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,3 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 7 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 5,6 with 1 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 5,6 with 5,9 with 4 with 1 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 5,6 with 5,9 with 2 with 7 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 1 with 4 with 1 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 7 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 4 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 4 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 4,6,8 with 2 with 1 - $6.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 3,6 with 1 - $8.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 5,8 with 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 9 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/5/2/9) Paid $2,587.90 (5OF5)

Total: $74.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 1,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 5,9 with 2 with 1,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 1,7 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 4,6 with 1,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 9 - $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/5/2/9) Paid $911.65

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1 with 2 with 1,7 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 5,9 with 4,6 with 1,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 5,9 with 2 with 9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 4,6 with 1,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 9 - $1.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 4,6 with 9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 4 with 2 with 1,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 3 with 1,7 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,9 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

Total: $53.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/13 

Ticket-building efforts were sloppy Wednesday but still was able to eke out some profit with P4 and consos boosting returns. Interesting to note what Mike Welsch pointed out Tuesday regarding power of favorites and likely types as the 'prime' portion of the Gulfstream meet starts to draw toward a close. Hope everyone did well..

 Highlight Wednesday was obviously the dominant performance of Ron Sanchez' Social Inclusion over Honor Code. Andy Beyer quickly calculated a 111 figure for the track record performance, the biggest number ever for a non-stake route at GP. As noted Wednesday, it was indeed Rontos Racing that was eager to make the ALW go as signaled by their entering of Specialnightaction and their Pioneerof the Nile colt will most be getting a Derby point audition next out. With the FL Derby just 17 days away however, Manny Azpurua and Sanchez may have to opt for a trip out of town April 5th (Wood Memorial) or 12th (Arkansas Derby).


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Very Cherry Candy 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Next Best: #4 Darnley Bay 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Amulay 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Prize Taker 5-1 3rd


7th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Notable here is effect of Martin Panza on the condition book as many more "straight" claiming races are being written. Examine PP's carefully for possible clues to horses that are exiting easier or tougher spots. In this case, Mystic Strike (first time Jacobson) and Aussi Austin (freshened) have been keeping better company..

Best Value: #1 Mystic Strike 5-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #5 Aussi Austin 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Photon 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Writingonthewall 2-1 6th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Kilnockagain 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Spinit to Winit 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #1 Imagine Tomorrow VET SCR
Exotics Use: #6 White Crane 3-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f

Conzig well overdue but Domino finally adds blinkers. Linda Rice 2nd timer (37%; $2.66) Cajun Wedding drops in and retains J. Ortiz..

Best Value: #8 Cajun Wedding 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Conzig 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Miss Red Cloud 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Di Lissa 4-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 3,8 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 7 with 3,8 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 7 with 3,8 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 3 with 3,8 - $4.00 $1 Pick 4 (2,7/5/3/3) Paid $83.50
5 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 1,5 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 6,7 with 7 with 3,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 3 with 3,8 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,5 with 7 with 1,5 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 3 with 3,8 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 6,7 with 7 with 1,5 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 3 with 1,5 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 1,6 with 3,8 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 1,5 with 7 with 4,7 - $2.00

Total: $50.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/12 

Took heartbreaker photo beat in AQU 8th Monday costing P6 hit that was worth $3,000+. Looking back, ticket structure allowed either Rontos Code or Ruthless Alley to win, but not both. Pair of sextet consos and chalky P4 defrayed multi expenses and other bingos made day pleasant enough. Hope everyone did well. Honor Code returns in GP 8th this afternoon which should be interesting. Publisher's Clearinghouse Carryover now $47,000,000.. Just kidding. It's close to $3MM, but no one is playing for that anyway..


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7.5f-T/0' (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Highly likely Marine the first of 5 on the afternoon for Rontos Racing, Manny & Leo Azpurua who will have a special day if able upend Honor Code in the feature with emergent Social Inclusion. El Gran Joyful has a full sister who has 2 of her 3 wins on turf. If fit and ready, has chance to wire in first race as a 4yo..

Most Likely: #4 Marine 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 El Gran Joyful 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Forever Conga 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Ginger Goose 5-2 WON ($4.60)


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

A lot of speed lined up shoulder-to-shoulder with Evolution, Neno and venerable Guam Typhoon. Hard to believe there isn't room for stalker-closer success. Confrontation, the least known undefeated horse in America, is back as a 4yo for Tagg and may pick up where he left off. Helooksthepart from capable Jimmy DiVito may sit ideal trip. Rontos-Azpurua runner #2 Border Song (10-1) a mystery horse on main track cutting back while moving off lawn. Posted :46.1 bullet of 86 on March 1 for this. Lezcano a good fit for rally..

Most Likely: #2 Confrontation 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Border Song 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Guam Typhoon 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Helooksthepart 8-1 5th


7th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 7.5f-T/0' (P4, P3, DD)

Has to work out a trip from the #9 hole, but Mutasadder drops to level of last win.. always an angle worth noting. Plenty of parties interested in the lead here..

Most Likely: #1 Barzini 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #9 Mutasadder 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Cairo Six 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Big Shindig 10-1 4th


8th: Cond/ALW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Was able to snare Social Inclusion in Fountain undercard debut, but note that inside was place to be that Saturday. As noted by Mike Welsch on ATR Tuesday, rail may have been deep and tiring over the weekend, so today's inside trip for the Pioneerof the Nile colt may be quite different and he has to negotiate two turns for the first time as well. Crafted for route and adds Lasix today too. Rontos has already rebuffed purchase offers for Social Inclusion and likely added Specialnightaction to the entries to make sure this race went; Whether they expected Honor Code in the field is a different question. Honor Code has had some issues getting ready for 3yo unveiling, but seems to be into a steady beat now. Has class edge coming in but doesn't have to win by any means. The value here is Kaplan's We're All Set who has kept good company..

Most Likely: #1 Social Inclusion 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #4 Honor Code 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 We're All Set 5-1 3rd


9th: MCLM/$75k, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0' (DD)

Ugly bunch. Late Night Artist a half to Mr. Palmer. You may need to rely on Chad Brown and Street Boss' 25% 'first turf' stats with Bartiromo. Dangerous race..

Most Likely: #5 Bartiromo 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #4 Starship Sassy 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Jannes Paul 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Late Night Artist 8-1 2nd


10th: MCLM/$25k, 3yo-F, 5f-T/72' (Super Hi-5)

Rogue Lady SCR'D seems very shaky, but along with Chief Dante, has kept best company. Shot Girl SCR'D gets Paco and looms the clever price..

POST SCR NOTE: Bill Kaplan 1/60 at meet but Take Charge Annie a half to Mr. Livingstone and may not have to be much to best these at first asking..

Most Likely: #9 Chief Dante 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Take Charge Annie 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Concorde's Fizz 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Guns at Dawn 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Addar 6-1 5th


<$30 P6 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 2-4-7
7: 1-3-8-9
8: 1-4
9: 5
10: 4-5-9

2x3x4x2x1x3 = 144 x .20 = $28.80


<$45 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 - $1.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 9 - $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 9 - $1.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 9 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,4 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 4 with 5 with 9 - $1.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 4,7 with 9 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 3,8 with 1 with 5 with 4,5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 4,7 with 9 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 4 with 5 with 4,5 - $2.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 4,7 with 4,5 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 5,6,7 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 9 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/1/5/10) Paid $10.55 (4OF5)
18 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 1,6,8 with 9 - $3.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,9 with 1 with 5 with 1,2,10 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick 5 (5/1/1/5/10) Paid $10.55 (4OF5)

Total: $43.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 1,7 with 4,9 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 1,5 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 4 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 1,7 with 4,9 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 1 with 4,5 with 1,5 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 1,7 with 4,9 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 4,5 with 1,5 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 1,7 with 1,5 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 1 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 2 with 4,5 with 4,9 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 2,6 with 4,9 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 1 with 4,5 with 2,10 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (1/1/5/10) Paid $148.35

Total: $58.00 


 


 

RESULTS 3/10
 

 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$28,700 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Brad's Ruby 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Jcs American Dream 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Gingee 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Myfriendthebird 6-1 5th


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Really well-matched field..

Most Likely: #7 Go Olivia Go 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #4 First Penny 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 C C's Pride 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Guyana Star 7-2 4th


$1 Exacta (7-4) Paid $27.50
$1 Trifecta (7-4-3) Paid $98.75
$1 Superfecta (7-4-3-2) Paid $293.50




6th: MCLM/$12.5k, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Don't know how trustworthy Rontos Code is on front end and note blinkers come OFF. Got the Moves is making first start out of the Jacobson barn. Could it be Keyaly's day to break his maiden and go over $100,000 in earnings? We've seen several career maidens graduate this winter and he's the king of the career maidens..

Most Likely: #5 Moonlite Encounter 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Got the Moves 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Keyaly 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Rontos Code 6-5 WON ($5.10)


7th: NY-CLM, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Artie Luvs to Party 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #7 Indy Tune 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pure Attitude 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Precious Metal 5-2 8th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 King of Broadway 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Finn's Quest 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Ghareeb 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Ruthless Alley 3-1 WON ($5.20)


9th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Schoolyard Dreams 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #8 El Oh El 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Festive Spirit 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 William Thomas 7-2 2nd


<$125 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 -$4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 4 with 5 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 3,7 with 5 with 1 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 3 with 5 with 1,2 with 1 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 3,7 with 1,2 with 1 - $16.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 3,4 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 2,3,8 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $12.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 6,7 with 5 with 5 with 1 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 1-7-2/7-5-4-1/2 (5 correct) Paid $36.80
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 4 with 5 with 1 - $4.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 3,4 with 1 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 1-7-2/7-5-4-1/2 (5 correct) Paid $36.80
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 7 with 5 with 5 with 5 with 6,8 - $8.00

Total: $124.00


<$55 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6,7 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 3,5 with 3,4,7 with 1,5 with 1 - $12.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 2,4 with 1 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 3,4,7 with 1,5 with 1 - $6.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,7 with 5 with 2,4 with 1 - $2.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (2/7-5-4-1/2) Paid $25.10
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 3,4,7 with 2,4 with 1 - $6.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 5 with 1,5 with 1 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 3,6 with 1 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5 with 1,5 with 3,5,6,7,8,9 - $12.00

Total: $55.00 


 


RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

 

  

 


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

 




 
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