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SELECTIONS FROM STEVE AND GUS Print E-mail

Racing writer and broadcaster Steve Byk joined At the Races and Beyond as a handicapper/commentator in November 2005 and assumed duties as host with the introduction of At the Races with Steve Byk in June 2007. An avid racegoer and player for more than 20 years, Byk has attended more than 50 Triple Crown races, 15 Breeders' Cups and visited more than 30 different racetracks across North America. He launched DerbyTrail.com in 2003, where his feature writing, prep previews and editorial columns attracted a large following. Byk and trainers Chuck Simon & Gary Sciacca introduced Dee Tee Stables in December 2006, and have brought more than 130 fans into the game as owners. 


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SATURDAY APRIL 18

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION 


Pimlico


R7 - Primonetta 100k

#9 She's Ordained (3-1)
#3 Sustainable (9-2)
#1 Aix En Provence (6-1)
#2 Queen's Blade (Kor) (15-1)

R8 - Dahlia 100k (Turf 8F) - Expect the ML odds to come down as two runners entered in this race ran yesterday at Aqueduct

#2 A Little Bit Sassy (5-1)
#13 Run of the River (15-1)
#4 Istandford (4-1)
#6 Lily Carstairs (GB) (15-1)

R9 - Federico Tesio 100k

#2 All Hands (2-1)
#1 Top of Mind (3-1)
#5 Noteworthy Peach (6-1)
#6 Bodhisattva (5-2)

R10 - Henry S. Clark 100k (Turf 8F)

#3 Captain's Affair (Ire) (15-1)
#7 Chamois (7-2)
#13 Special Envoy (12-1)
#9 Talk Show Man (4-1)

PK4 - 1 2 3 8 9 / 2 4 13 / 1 2 / 3 7 13 = $45 for $.50


Keeneland


R7 - MSW 58k (Turf 8F)

#5 Seeking Alpha (7-2)
#10 Animal Kracker (4-1)
#8 Security Risk (8-1)
#7 Cort'n Asong (10-1)

R8 - MSW 58k

#2 Mayla (5-1)
#7 Spinning Wheel (5-1)
#9 Warriorscmoutoplay (2-1)
#3 Get Set Go (5-2)

R9 - G2 Elkhorn (Turf 12F)

#3 My Afleet (10-1)
#10 Dynamic Sky (7-2)
#9 Aldous Snow (8-1)
#6 Holiday Star (5-1)

R10 - Clm 10k

#6 Silver Morgan (9-5)
#10 Tahoe Warrior (15-1)
#4 Ari's Pride (5-2)
#5 Proud Image (3-1)

PK4 - 5 7 8 10 / 2 7 9 / 3 4 5 6 9 10 / 6 10 = $72 for $.50



Hawthorne


R7 - Clm 5k B

#4 Tribute to Momma (7-2)
#7 Eastern Preicipe (15-1)
#6 Abby's Slew (3-1)
#5 M G Baby (6-1)

R8 - Alw 23.1k N$Y (Turf 8F)

#5 Chadwick (15-1)
#2 Mr. Lexis (7-2)
#6 Call Me West (5-1)
#12 He's Dann Good (6-1)

R9 - G3 Illinois Derby

#2 Verraco (5-1)
#5 Conquest Curlinate (8-1)
#6 Whiskey Ticket (7-2)
#3 Cross the Line (3-1)

R10 - Starter Alw 7.5k (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Long to Win (8-1)
#7 Kamchatka (8-1)
#11 Broken Key (6-1)
#10 Love You Mon (4-1)

PK4 - 4 5 6 7 / 2 5 / 2 3 5 6 / 2 7 10 11 = $64 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

 


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 85th Ben Ali (G3), 4+. 9f (P3, DD)

Based on workouts after the
Donn fiasco, Protonico is 100%. McLaughlin firing everywhere and Farhaan will impose if ready with what was delivered at SAR. Irish You Well is the value horse in the mix..

Most Likely: #5 Protonico 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Farhaan 5-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Irish You Well 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Ticket 3-1 5th


6th: MSW, 3+, 6f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Never like types that near-miss, but Big Red Charlie's pair easily best with these..

Most Likely: #3 Big Red Charlie 2-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Taketothestreets 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shathoor 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Battle Midway 15-1 WON ($21.20)


7th: 19th Giant's Causeway, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Turf status makes for tricky read but as with last week's Shakertown, the major players here are back from '14 edition in consistent Ageless and streaking Free as a Bird.

Most Likely: #11 Free as a Bird 8-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Ageless 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Henny Jenny 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Jewel of a Cat 6-1 9th


8th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

This is placed in a very tricky spot on the card with cast that pits firsters with potential against handful of experienced types that have been falling short. Siding mostly with those that have run, though Neil Howard's Seagrass is half to Grasshopper by Quality Road and may be ready for at least an ITM run upon debut..

Best Value: #11 Bon Heir 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Flying Jibe 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Amazing Party 6-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Seagrass 10-1 6th; #3 Super Humor 9-2 8th


9th: 27th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Supremely well-match group of fillies and mares with defending Hard Not to Like (5-1) well down in the pecking order. Obviously Ball Dancing and Filimbi appear likeliest, but Eden Prairie (10-1) is very dangerous up front in a largely paceless group, while Personal Diary (10-1) and Emotional Kitten (8-1) SCR both feel prepared for plus efforts..

Best Value: #8 Eden Prairie 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ball Dancing 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Personal Diary 10-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Filimbi 8-5 2nd


10th: 34th Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Interesting set of next level 3yo's signed on here with 'wild ride' MDN winner Donworth diving into deep end. Divining Rod has been nibbling against good horses and may be 100% now after Delacour dealt with hoof issue through winter..

Most Likely: #7 Donworth 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Divining Rod 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #3 Quimet 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiznow R J 5-1 6th


11th: ALW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Tons of colts with upside here in the hands of some of the top turf conditioners in the sport. Note that it's Opening Day at Woodbine, yet Steve Bahen is here for the one mount on Chiefswood's Nipigon..

Best Value: #5 Baldonnel 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Araqeel 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Nipigon 5-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Danish Dynaformer 4-1 WON ($9.00)
Hi-5 Play: #4 Indebted 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 11 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 2-5 (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), 4-8-14 (C)


P4 Grid:

8: 10-11 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 4 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 2-3-4-6 (B), 5 (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 6-8 (B), 4-14 (C)



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 69th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3)

Plenty of obvious players but be cognizant of Street Strategy (20-1), a pricey $425k 2yo-in-training buy, who is 3rd/layoff for capable Randy Morse and could sit perfectly behind the speed under Borel..

Most Likely: #1 Race Day 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #10 Street Strategy 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Carve 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Hard Aces 6-1 7th


8th: 13th Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Indian Brava 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Promise Me Silver 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Calypso Run 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Indian Annie 6-1 4th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8,5f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #9 West Village 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hottap 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #11 Dr Anderson 12-1 -
Exotics Use: #2 Lawless West 8-1 -


10th: 18th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #8 Wolf Man Rocket 4-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Hillbilly Royalty 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Poseidon's Way 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Holiday Man 7-2 6th


P4 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 4-10 (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
8: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-7 (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 2-11-12 (B), - (C)
10: 3-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,6/5,6/8/8) Paid $54.10


11th: 79th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Appears that anything other than a clear cut American Pharoah win will be harshly judged in the Court of Derby Opinion. Assuming a Pharoah win, virtually all the other 7 here can line up somewhere in the pay slots. Win the Space is absolutely possible for not just an exacta finish, but a Derby start as a Maiden. Papaprrodromou's Pulpit colt faced Wolf Man Rocket (Northern Spur) and Fame and Power (Lexington) in last and had worst of it on several fronts. Bred for the stretch out and expect Desormeaux to ride for a late-arriving placement..

Most Likely: #6 American Pharoah 1-2 WON ($2.20)
Best Value: #8 Win the Space 30-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Far Right 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bridget's Big Luvy 20-1 8th


12th: S/ALW, 4+, 14f

Most Likely: #9 Balega 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Perfectly at Home 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Barat 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Flyin Trey 10-1 9th


P4 Grid:

9: 8-9 (A), 2-11-12 (B), - (C)
10: 3-8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4 (C)
11: 6 (A), - (B), 3-4-5-7-8 (C)
12: 3-8-9 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 1-5-6 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/8/6/2) Paid $90.15

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Keeneland


R1 - Clm 25k

#6 Happy Fella (2-1)
#1 Dad Are We Here (5-2)
#4 Whatthecatdrugin (3-1)
#3 Out of Patience (3-1)

R2 - MSW 58k

#2 Dreaming of Gold (7-5)
#6 Vespers At Eight (8-1)
#7 Flash Trading (5-1)
#4 Billy's Star (8-1)

R3 - Clm 50k N2L

#10 Jumpin Frac Flash (5-1)
#3 Thundergram (3-1)
#2 Eton Blue (4-1)
#8 Purgenality (12-1)

R4 - Alw 60k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Strike Twice (6-1) BEST BET
#9 Queenie's Song (15-1)
#1 Divine Luck (5-1)
#4 Nominative (5-2)

R5 - G3 Ben Ali

#5 Protonico (9-5)
#1 Neck 'n Neck (4-1)
#4 Golden Ticket (3-1)
#3 Farhaan (5-2)

PK4 - 2 3 4 6 7 / 2 3 10 / 1 3 4 5 9 / 5 = $37.50 for $.50

R6 - MSW 58k

#5 Dr Turkmen (5-1)
#8 Taketothestreets (4-1)
#3 Big Red Charlie (2-1)
#6 Shathoor (3-1)

R7 - Giant's Causeway 100k (Turf 5.5F)

#4 Ageless (5-2) - Versatile runner draws well after just missing at Breeders' Cup.
#6 Runaway Ready (15-1) - Coming off a bullet and Castellano is a major upgrade.
#11 Free as a Bird (8-5) - Win machine will have to deal with another outside post and must avoid trouble late.
#8 Katie's Eyes (20-1) - Major step up in class, but has shown ability to set the pace or stalk successfully.

R8 - MSW 58k

#10 Flying Jibe (5-1) - Rosario should make the difference with filly that has been coming up short. Experience edge.
#4 Playtime (4-1) - Has been burning up the track in the mornings and Shug successful when he starts them at 7 panels.
#3 Super Humor (9-2) - Barn is sizzling at the current meeting and this 1ster looks live.
#11 Bon Heir (6-1) - Will probably sit back and make a late run for a minor piece.

R9 - G1 Jenny Wiley (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Personal Diary (10-1) - Will sit a cozy inside trip before Bravo cuts her loose turning for home. G1 winner.
#4 Ball Dancing (2-1) - She's as solid as they come and gave Stephanie's Kitten all she can handle in most recent.
#3 Filimbi (8-5) - With a clean break she's definitely in the mix for all slots.
#5 Hard Not to Like (5-1) - Grey mare will have to be at her best to defend her crown. Coming in razor sharp.

R10 - G3 Lexington

#7 Donworth (5-1) - Had every reason to lose in his debut and still managed to get it done. Motion confident enough to tackle G3 company in 2nd start. What he gives up on experience. he makes up for it on talent.
#2 Comfort (5-1) - Coming off nice win and lands in the Pletcher barn. Looks to get the ultimate stalking trip behind what appears to be a hot pace.
#1 Divining Rod (3-1) - Ran into a couple of buzz saws in Tampa and that might be the case again. Consistent runner.
#4 Tiznow R J (5-1) - Has been a disappointment this year, although he does get some class relief here.

R11 - Alw 60k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Araqeel (7-2) - Made up some serious ground in debut win, despite walking out of the gate. Talent edge.
#8 Danish Dynaformer (4-1) - Has found trouble in all 3 starts, but finds a way to get back into it.
#12 Whoopie Pie (20-1) - Have a feeling he'll move up on the switch to the lawn for Sharp trainer.
#4 Indebted (8-1) - Returns after a long break and Clement adds lasix (33%).

PK5 - 4 6 11 / 3 4 10 / 1 3 4 5 / 7 / 7 8 12 = $54 for $.50

PK4 - 3 4 6 10 11 / 1 3 4 5 / 2 7 / 7 8 12 = $60 for $.50



Oaklawn


R7 - G2 Oaklawn Handicap

#1 Race Day (5-2)
#3 Tapiture (9-2)
#5 Golden Lad (7-2)
#9 For Greater Glory (15-1)

R8 - Instant Racing 100k

#7 Indian Annie (6-1)
#5 Promise Me Silver (6-5)
#4 Harbour Island (6-1)
#3 Indian Brava (5-2)

R9 - MSW 66k

#3 Royal Marine (10-1)
#8 Hottap (9-2)
#9 West Village (7-2)
#12 Kenjiislucky (6-1)

R10 - Northern Spur 100k

#3 Hillbilly Royalty (5-2)
#2 Hillbilly Style (15-1)
#6 Holiday Man (7-2)
#9 Wolf Man Rocket (4-1)

PK4 - 1 3 5 / 3 4 5 7 / 3 8 9 / 2 3 6 9 = $54 for $.50

R11 - G1 Arkansas Derby

#6 American Pharoah (1-2)
#5 Bold Conquest (20-1)
#4 Madefromlucky (6-1)
#7 Far Right (9-2)

R12 - Starter Alw 7.5k (The traditional 14 Furlongs to finish the meet)

#4 Precipice Trail (6-1)
#8 Barat (2-1)
#9 Balega (3-1)
#3 Perfectly At Home (12-1)

PK4 - 3 8 9 12 / 2 3 6 9 / 5 6 / 4 8 9 = $48 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

 


RESULTS 4/4

 


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Brass Pear 6-5 5th
Next Best: #3 Smokem's Charm 12-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Frisky Warrior 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Free Mugatu 6-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Ekhlaas 7-5 WON ($3.10)
Next Best: #2 Defined 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Sir Dream a Lot 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Fitzgerald 5-2 3rd


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Winter Games 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Gold Shield 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ice Cream Truck 8-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Zingarelli 5-2 WON ($5.00)


5th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 One Sided 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Rectify 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #11 Chief of State 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 How Frosty It Is 12-1 7th


P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 2-4-6 (B), 8 (C)
3: 1 (A), 2 (B), 4-6 (C)
4: 3-8 (A), 4-5-6 (B), 2-7 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), 1-5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Full (A/B/C): $65 (With $1 All 'A' Play)


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Thankful this isn't in any of the big PX sequences because it's an impossible group. Take shot(s)..

Best Value: #7 Chapman 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Curious Cal 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Sassicaia 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Leilani's Ticket 10-1 Eased Stretch


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$22k P6 C/O Starts Here..

Best Value: #7 Testosterstone 20-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Longfor the City 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Ostralenko 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Moneyinyour Pocket 10-1 5th


8th: Gazelle (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wonder Gal 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Sweet Corine 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Puca 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Condo Commando 8-5 WON ($3.30)


9th: Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most likely: #8 Majestic Affair 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Ackeret 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Ready for Rye 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lord Nelson 2-1 2nd


10th: Wood Memorial (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 El Kabeir 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Tencendur 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Frosted 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Daredevil 9-5 4th


11th: Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Palace 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 The Big Beast 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Dad's Caps 7-2 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #2 Clearly Now 4-1 6th


12th: CLM, 4+, 7f

Best Value: #3 Dighton 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Writingonthewall 3-1 -
Exotics Use: #5 Finding Candy 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Frazil 15-1 -


P4 Grid:

9: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 5-6 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 7 (B), 1-2-3-6 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 1-2 (B), 7 (C)
12: 3 (A), 5-11 (B), 8-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $78



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lady Sabelia 3-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Princess Violet 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Wedding Toast 4-1 4th


7th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 C. Zee 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 I Got It All 5-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Jessica's Star 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Bourbon Courage 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Kobe's Back 5-2 WON ($7.60)


8th: Shakertown (G3), 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

After half foot of rain, think you're safe assuming yielding to soft turf..

Most Likely: #10 Power Alert 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Something Extra 10-1 WON ($18.40)
Next Best: #11 Amelia's Wild Ride 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Undrafted 5-2 3rd


9th: Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most manic of the day's 4 Oaks preps. All 7 eligible for laurels..

Most Likely: #6 Lovely Maria 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Angela Renee 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Lassofthemohicans 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Peace and War 3-1 7th


10th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Have been trying to build case for going against Carpe Diem all week but he merits top status going in. Danzig Moon, Ocho Ocho Ocho and Pepper Roani are the ones I'll tinker with over and around him..

Most Likely: #5 Carpe Diem 1-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #8 Danzig Moon 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pepper Roani 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Ocho Ocho Ocho 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 1-7 (A), 2-3-4-5 (B), 6 (C)
8: 10 (A), 4-11-13 (B), 12 (C)
9: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-3-5-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
Full (A/B/C): $69 (With $1 All 'A' Play) $0.50 Pick-4 (2/4/6/5) Paid $120.25


11th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Groovy A 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 High Ridge Road 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Classyshadesofgrey 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Heart of Midway 6-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Carolina Jasmine 6-1 8th


P4 Grid:

8: 4-10 (A), 11-12-13 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 4 (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-3-8 (B), 2-4-6-7 (C)
11: 4-7 (A), 2-10 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $60 (With $1 All 'A' Play)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Cal-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$39k C/O Starts Here..

Best Value: #4 Deputy Heat 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Zinvor 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Turn On the Pumps 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Cardiac 15-1 6th


7th: 76th Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Luminance 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Wild at Heart 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Stellar Wind 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Curlin's Fox 4-1 4th


8th: 78th Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dortmund 3-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #5 Prospect Park 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 One Lucky Dane 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bolo 4-1 3rd


9th: 35th Providencia (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Entrechat 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Prize Exhibit 7-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Spanish Queen 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Spirit of Xian 6-1 WON ($35.60)


10th: 4th Evening Jewel-R, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #13 Easter Fever 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Long Hot Summer 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bad Ju Ju 4-1 12th
Super Add: #10 Jenna's Faith 8-1 6th


11th: 11th Thunder Road, 4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Pure Tactics 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Talco 4-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Winning Prize 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Enterprising 8-1 10th


P6 Grid:

6: 4 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-7-8 (C)
7: 5 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-3 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-5 (B), 4 (C)
9: 4 (A), 8 (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 13 (A), - (B), 1-5-10 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $192


P4 Grid:

8: 1-5 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6(C)
9: 4 (A), 6-8 (B), 10-11 (C)
10: 1-13 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $51 (With $1 All 'A' Play)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Aqueduct


R8 - G2 Gazelle

#2 Sweet Corine (4-1)
#5 Condo Commando (8-5)
#4 Wonder Gal (7-2)
#7 Noble and Beauty (8-1)

R9 - G3 Bay Shore

#8 Majestic Affair (6-1)
#3 Ready for Rye (9-5)
#1 Lord Nelson (2-1)
#5 March (8-1)

R10 - G1 Wood Memorial

#4 Frosted (5-2)
#6 Daredevil (9-5)
#5 El Kabeir (3-1)
#3 Lieutenant Colonel (15-1)

R11 - G1 Carter Handicap

#2 Clearly Now (4-1)
#3 The Big Beast (5-2)
#6 Palace (5-1)
#7 Wild Dude (3-1)

PK4 - All (7) / 1 3 5 8 / 4 / 2 3 6 7 = $56 for $.50


Keeneland


R8 - G2 Shakertown (Turf 5.5F)

#10 Power Alert (Aus) (7-2) BEST BET
#13 Undrafted (5-2)
#11 Amelia's Wild Ride (6-1)
#7 Mosler (12-1)

R9 - G1 Ashland

#4 Angela Renee (7-2)
#3 Peace and War (3-1)
#6 Lovely Maria (7-2)
#1 Lassofthemohicans (4-1)

R10 - G1 Blue Grass Stakes

#5 Carpe Diem (1-1)
#8 Danzig Moon (8-1)
#4 Unrivaled (12-1)
#1 Ocho Ocho Ocho (6-1)

R11 - MSW 58k

#8 Carolina Jasmine (6-1)
#4 High Ridge Road (5-1)
#7 Groovy A (6-1)
#10 Heart of Midway (6-1)

PK4 - 10 / 3 4 6 / 5 / 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 = $21 x 2 = $42


Santa Anita


R7 - G1 Santa Anita Oaks

#3 Curlin's Fox (4-1)
#6 Stellar Wind (9-5)
#7 Wild At Heart (8-1)
#5 Luminance (5-2)

R8 - G1 Santa Anita Derby

#1 Dortmund (3-5)
#5 Prospect Park (7-2)
#2 One Lucky Dane (5-1)
#4 Bolo (4-1)

R9 - G2 Providencia (Turf 9F)

#1 Lutine Belle (12-1)
#8 Prize Exhibit (GB) (7-2)
#10 Spirit of Xian (Ire) (6-1)
#4 Entrechat (4-1)

R10 - CB Evening Jewel 200k

#5 Bad Ju Ju (4-1)
#2 Niassa (8-1)
#1 Long Hot Summer (7-2)
#9 Sheer Pleasure (5-1)

R11 - Thunder Road 75k (Turf 8F)

#9 Ganesh (Brz) (8-1)
#12 Moulin de Mougin (8-1)
#4 Winning Prize (Arg) (5-2)
#6 Talco (Fr) (4-1)

PK4 - 1 / 1 4 8 10 / 1 2 4 5 9 / 4 6 9 12 = $40 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

 

 


RESULTS 3/28

 

MEYDAN


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Golden Shaheen, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Secret Circle 3-1 ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Rich Tapestry 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Lucky Nine 20-1 11th
Super Add: #13 Cool Cowboy 10-1 6th


7th: Dubai Turf, 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Solow 3-1 ($5.60)
Next Best: #6 The Grey Gatsby 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Cladocera 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Euro Charline 6-1 4th


8th: Sheema Classic, 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Designs On Rome 4-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Harp Star 6-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Dolniya 12-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Flintshire 7-2 2nd


9th: Dubai World Cup, 4+, 10f

Best Value: #2 Hokko Tarumae 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lea 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 California Chrome 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 African Story 6-1 6th



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m-T/72' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Dustymour 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Make It Gold 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Artempus 8-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Lord Trondor 3-1 4th


2nd: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Face of Winner 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Delta Outlaw 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Tinto Mesa 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Starbound 8-1 5th


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Curalina 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #3 Sally Ride 6-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Bird Sense 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Alpine Sky 7-2 5th


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7.5f-T/0' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bride to Be 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #8 Clara Kelly 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Hundred Year Storm 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Commandaria 5-1 9th


5th: 33rd Skip Away (G3), 4+, 9.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Encryption 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Ulanbator 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Commissioner 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #4 Sr. Quisqueyano 4-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

2: 4-10 (A), 2-5-9 (B), 6 (C)
3: 3-5 (A), - (B), 4-9-10 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
5: 6 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)


6th: 68th Arthur Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T/72' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 War Correspondent 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Grand Tito 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Aripeka 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Lochte 4-1 7th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/72' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Caprock Kid 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Weekend Express 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Number One 12-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Lava 15-1 7th


8th: 8th Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Valid 2-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Confrontation 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Tarpy's Goal 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Pants On Fire 7-2 WON ($8.40)


9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Scorch 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Abounding Legacy 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #12 Dr. Toole 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Dekalb County 5-1 8th
Super Add: #2 River Date 6-1 5th


10th: 34th Honey Fox (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T/0' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Coffee Clique 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Lady Lara 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Next Best: #4 Sandiva 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mabre Rose 6-1 6th


P4 Grid:

7: 11-12 (A), 5 (B), 6-10 (C)
8: 6 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
9: 1-8 (A), 12-13 (B), 2-7 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-6-7 (C)

$0.50 Pick (9,12,13/8/1/5) Pays $249.35


11th: 55th Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 12f-T/72' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Riposte 5-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Photo Call 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Kitten's Point 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Notte d'Oro 12-1 8th


12th: 49th Gulfstream Park Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Birdatthewire 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #6 Eskenformoney 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Ekati's Phaeton 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Divine Aida 5-1 4th


13th: 59th Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0' (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Twilight Eclipse 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Artic North 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Imagining 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Glenard 8-1 9th


14th: 68th FL Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Upstart 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Materiality 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #4 Itsaknockout 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Ami's Flatter 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

10: 5-8 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
11: 7 (A), 9 (B), 1-2-3-4-5-6 (C)
12: 8 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
13: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1 (C)
14: 7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)


P4 Grid:

11: 7 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-2-3-5-6 (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 2-3-4-7 (B), 1-5 (C)
13: 2-8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1 (C)
14: 7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 23rd Mervin Muniz H. (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Divine Oath 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Slumber 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Paroled 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Chocolate Ride 5-1 WON ($10.40)


9th: 48th Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Forever Unbridled 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 I'm a Chatterbox 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Shook Up 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Danette 10-1 4th


10th: 90th New Orleans H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Albano 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Moreno 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 One King's Man 8-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Call Me George 12-1 WON ($46.40)


11th: 102nd Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 War Story 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 International Star 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #7 Keen Ice 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Stanford 5-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 8 (B), 1-4-7-9 (C)
11: 6-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-8 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION  

 

Meydan


R6 - Dubai Golden Shaheen

#4 Rich Tapestry (Ire) (6-1)
#7 Secret Circle (3-1)
#9 United Color (15-1)
#10 Shaishee (12-1)

R7 - Dubai Turf (Turf 9F)

#7 Trade Storm (GB) (10-1)
#6 The Grey Gatsby (Ire) (5-2)
#2 Umgiyo (Aus) (20-1)
#1 Euro Charline (GB) (6-1)

R8 - Dubai Sheema Classic (Turf 12F)

#9 Harp Star (Jpn) 6-1)
#4 Flintshire (GB) (7-2)
#7 Designs On Rome (Ire) (4-1)
#5 Main Sequence (9-5)

R9 - Dubai World Cup

#5 Lea (5-2)
#3 African Story (GB) (6-1)
#9 California Chrome (8-5)
#2 Hokko Tarumae (Jpn) (8-1)


Gulfstream Park


R1 - OC 25k/N1X (Turf 8F)

#1 Make It Gold (7-2)
#4 Hard Enough (12-1)
#7 Lord Trondor (3-1)
#10 March Reward (5-1)

R2 - MSW 55k

#4 Face of Winner (3-1)
#2 Tracking Stock (8-1)
#9 Tinto Mesa (7-2)
#6 R Cat Daddy (4-1)

R3 - MSW 55k

#4 Alpine Sky (7-2)
#5 Curlina (5-2)
#11 Eastern Rose (10-1)
#7 Flowing (15-1)

R4 - MSW 55k (Turf 7.5F)

#1 Hundred Year Storm (8-1)
#8 Clara Kelly (4-1)
#10 Queen of Scat (8-1)
#11 Killer Partner (5-1)

R5 - G3 Skip Away

#6 Encryption (3-1)
#5 Commissioner (7-5)
#1 East Hall (5-1)
#3 Ulanbator (6-1)

PK4 - 2 4 6 9 / 4 5 / All (11) / 6 = $44 for $.50

R6 - G3 Appleton (Turf 8F)

#8 Excaper (8-1) - He's going to be tough on the front end.
#4 Lochte (4-1)
#6 War Correspondent (2-1)
#5 Aripeka (8-1)

R7 - MSW 55k (Turf 9F)

#2 Pookie Delicious (15-1)
#4 Shadow Rider (10-1)
#12 Weekend Express (7-2)
#8 Honorable Duty (9-2)

R8 - Sir Shackleton 100k

#6 Valid (2-1)
#4 Confrontation (3-1)
#8 Pants On Fire (7-2)
#7 Tarpy's Goal (6-1)

R9 - MSW 55k

#13 Dekalb County (5-1)
#10 Super Surfer (10-1)
#12 Dr. Toole (12-1)
#3 Element (12-1)

PK4 - 4 8 / 2 4 6 8 12 / 4 6 / 1 3 10 12 13 = $50 for $.50

R10 - G2 Honey Fox (Turf 8F)

#9 Mabre Rose (Ire) (6-1)
#8 Coffee Clique (3-1)
#4 Sandiva (Ire) (7-2)
#2 Lori's Store (20-1)

PK4 - 2 4 6 8 12 / 4 6 / 1 3 10 12 13 / 8 9 = $50 for $.50

R11 - G3 Orchid (Turf 12F)

#9 Photo Call (Ire) (4-1)
#7 Riposte (GB) (5-2)
#2 White Rose (6-1)
#1 Tabreed (GB) (9-2)

R12 - G2 Gulfstream Park Oaks

#8 Birdatthewire (3-1)
#7 Danessa Deluxe (12-1)
#6 Eskenformoney (5-2)
#5 Cristina's Journey (10-1)

R13 - G2 Pan American (Turf 12F)

#8 Twilight Eclipse (6-5)
#3 Imagining (7-2)
#9 Glenard (GB) (8-1)
#7 Pyrite Mountain (8-1)

R14 - G1 Florida Derby

#7 Materiality (7-2)
#9 Upstart (8-5)
#1 Ami's Flatter (8-1)
#4 Itsaknockout (2-1)

PK5 - 4 8 9 / 2 7 9 / 5 6 7 8 / 3 8 / 7 9 = $72 for $.50

PK4 - 1 2 6 7 9 / 5 6 7 8 / 3 8 / 7 9 = $40 for $.50



Fair Grounds


R8 - G2 Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Handicap (Turf 9F)

#2 Slumber (GB) (7-2)
#1 Chocalate Ride (5-1)
#4 Divine Oath (5-2)
#7 Coalport (3-1)

R9 - G2 Fair Grounds Oaks

#1 Forever Unbridled (3-1)
#6 I'm a Chatterbox (4-5)
#8 Tachiello (12-1)
#7 Shook Up (6-1)

R10 - G2 New Orleans Handicap

#1 Red Rifle (5-1)
#5 Moreno (9-5)
#4 Afford (12-1)
#6 Albano (9-2)

R11 - G2 Louisiana Derby

#6 War Story (4-1)
#7 Keen Ice (5-1)
#9 International Star (3-1)
#1 Stanford (5-1)

PK4 - All (7) / 1 6 / 1 5 / 6 7 9 = $42 for $.50


Good Racing Luck 

 

 

 

SANTA ANITA 3/15 RESULTS



POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Spawr sharp off the claim and Desert Thief worked up to :59.0 bullet for return..

Most Likely: #5 Desert Thief 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #6 Clem Juice 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Ritzy Tags 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Abets Abet 5-1 5th


7th: 48th Santa Ana (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Queen of the Sand certainly the mare to beat, but Rosalind should be even better with time since last. Price should hold. Elektrum SCR'D will be ignored and may be more effective with Nakatani aboard. Love Diversy Harbor but that's a tough price to accept in competitive turf heat..

Most Likely: #8 Rosalind 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Queen of the Sand 4-1 8th
Best Value: #1 Testa Rossi 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Diversy Harbor 7-2 6th


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Hard to separate the top pair..

Most Likely: #7 Honey Ride 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #3 Interject 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Gracie Ragazza 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Sky Mega 7-2 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 This Is War 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Boat Drinks 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Avenge 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #9 Beth's Bling 8-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Redheads Rule 3-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 3-6-9 (B), 8-10 (C)
7: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-7-11 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 10 (A), 1-3-5-9 (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
Full (A/B/C): $69 (With $1 All A's Play)

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY ACTION 

 

Gulfstream Park


R9 - OC 35k/N1X (Turf 9F)

#1 Empress Maker (9-2) - Expecting improvement in 2nd start off the bench from an advantageous post.
#6 Tapnfire (3-1) - Sharp turf barn and she seems to always bring it.
#2 Fashion Fund (GB) (5-2) - Castellano will have to make sure to stay in touch with the field. Closer.
#5 Freethinker (12-1) - A proven closer and could add value underneath.

R10 - MSW 45k (Turf 9F)

#10 Blue Dahlia (15-1) - Made a nice run despite having a nightmare trip in debut.
#2 Trophee (Fr) (3-1) - 1/2 to two time French Arc winner Treve.
#1 Guilty Verdict (8-1) - Looks to get a cozy ground saving trip.
#8 Pure of Spirit (5-2) - 2nd twice versus the boys and she'll be coming late.

R11 - OC 62k/N2X

#5 City of Weston (9-2) - Versatile runner will need his 'A' game here.
#9 Rock Fall (9-5) - Draws perfectly for his stalking style.
#6 Gambler's Ghost (8-1) - Has the ability to be gone if able to get loose.
#4 Pomeroy's Package (7-2) - Moving in the right direction.

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Dyna's Recoleta (8-1) - BEST BET - Must have a better break.
#7 Casco Passage (6-1) - No value on a runner that should improve with a better draw and Turf debut. J/T combo high %
#13 Sonoma d'Oro (20-1) - Leparoux is good at taking cover early and this filly should be running well late.
#6 Ansible (5-1) - Long string of works for Clement debuter.

PK4 - 1 2 6 / 1 2 4 8 10 / 5 9 / 3 6 7 13 = $60 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/14


OAKLAWN


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: Azeri (G2), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3)

Happy to get Champion Untapable back to launch 4yo season..

Most Likely: #1 Untapable 1-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Gold Medal Dancer 10-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #6 Flashy American 5-1 5th


8th: Razorback (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best stake of the day anywhere with maddeningly well-matched group. Frank Mirahmadi scoffed at my suggestion of Illini interloper being a danger, but Swearingen gelding SCR was game in Essex try and may have same potential to juice exotics here. Issue will be tabbing right partners for the play because all 6 of the other participants can finish anywhere in the pay slots..

Most Likely: #5 Race Day 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #6 Midnight Hawk 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tapiture 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Ride On Curlin 3-1 6th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Using #9 King of New York (7-2) WON ($8.60) & #10 Star of Sky (12-1) 10th in multis as well..

Best Value: #5 Dr Anderson 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Hottap 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Dreamsdocometrue 6-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Summer Chase 5-1 5th


10th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

2yo Champion returns here and seems set for required effort. Shouldn't be any excuses with little other pace presence..

Most Likely: #4 American Pharoah 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #2 Madefromlucky 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 The Truth Or Else 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bold Conquest 8-1 3rd


11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #4 Allied Air Raid 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #7 Malibu Man 10-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Susan's Reward 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Noble Hustle 5-1 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 1-3-6-7 (B), 2 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 2 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
11: 4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), 6-8-12 (C)



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Kings Adventure 7-2 3rd
Best Value: ##1 Sidepocket Champ 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Coolington 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Indian Monkey 20-1 7th
Super Add: 8 Takem by Surprise 8-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Forest Chatter 9-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #9 Corinthian's Song 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Skylander 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Fighter Squadron 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Bako to Bako 6-1 9th


8th: 78th Santa Margarita (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Thegirlinthatsong 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Cassatt 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Warren's Veneda 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #3 Dame Dorothy 5-2 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Thoroughly impossible nightcap to end excellent multi-race wagering sequence. 12 go and there's no easy tosses..

Best Value: #8 Vendita 8-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Zip N Bayou 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Show Stealer 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #11 Kiana Believes 6-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #5 Madam Aamoura 6-1 6th


P4 Grid:

6: 11 (A), 1-2 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), 3-6 (B), 10 (C)
8: 4 (A), 2-7 (B), 3 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 5-6-11 (B), 1-2-3-4-7-9 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY RESULTS

 

Gulfstream Park POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R9 - MSW 45k

#3 Money Changer (3-1) 3RD
#1 Sir Alfred (9-5) 2ND
#2 Donworth (8-1) WON $5.20
#13 My High Roller (15-1)

R10 - OC 35k/N1X (Turf 9F)

#1 Town Extension (3-1) 3RD
#9 Big Bazinga (10-1)
#7 Saint Pierre (20-1)
#5 Yari (4-1) 4TH

R11 - Silks Run 75k (Turf 5F)

#8 Power Alert (Aus) (4-1) WON $3.80
#6 Amelia's Wild Ride (7-2) 2ND
#2 Bold Thunder (3-1)
#3 Mongolian Saturday (9-2) 3RD

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Kensington Court (5-1)
#4 Old Sport (7-2)
#8 Catch a Ride (15-1)
#7 Fundamental (4-1)

PK4 - 1 3 / 1 5 7 9 / 6 8 / 1 3 4 7 8 = $40 for $.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 3/7


OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3)

Note track starts sloppy today with wet forecast throughout afternoon..

Best Value: #3 Over Again 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Leap Year Lady 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Shezaghostslayer 5-1 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #4 Rulersshinyfuture 20-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N3X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #5 St. Louis City 5-1 5th
Next Best:#9 Heykittykittykitty 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Electric Temptress 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #4 Afternoon Tango 6-1 7th


8th: OC/N2Y, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #11 Agent Di Nozzo 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 For Greater Glory 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Best Value: #5 Joy Boy 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Evan's Calling 4-1 6th


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f

SCR's cut this field by 33%..

Most Likely: #5 World Elite 5th
Next Best: #6 Fashionable Frolic 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Bristol's Tale 7th
Super Add: #11 Lady Margarita 6th


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3 (A), 9 (B), 4-6-7-10 (C)
7: 5 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-4-7 (C)
8: 1-11 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2-6 (B), 11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
Full (A/B/C): $57.50 (With $1 All 'A' ticket)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 1,11 with 5 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 5 with 1,11 with 5 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 8,9 with 1,11 with 5 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 2,5,8 with 5 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 1,11 with 2,6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 8,9 with 1,11 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 5 with 2,5,8 with 5 - $1.50
8 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 5 with 1,11 with 2,6 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 8,9 with 2,5,8 with 5 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 8,9 with 1,11 with 2,6 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 2,5,8 with 2,6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,7,10 with 5 with 1,11 with 5 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 2,4,7 with 1,11 with 5 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 4,7 with 5 - $2.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2,3 with 5 with 1,11 with 11,12 - $4.00

Total: $57.50

 


 

RESULTS 3/7


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 30th Swale (G2), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Daredevil 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Bluegrass Singer 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Ready for Rye 9-2 WON ($14.60)
Exotics Use: #3 X Y Jet 4-1 6th


7th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wisecracker 3-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Unbridled Juan 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #2 Semblance of Order 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Seeking Alpha 5-1 3rd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Another very good MDN group going short and have to think firsters Tilted Halo (Plesa & Paco) and Chipit (Pletcher & Castellano) duel early. Tilted Halo is half to MGSW Old Forester among other quickish sibs. Golden Boot (Md'O) is out of G3W High Button Shoes and should improve 2nd time out and moving to dirt. His half brother Buck Benny (Dynaformer) happens to run in the 5th. Salsa Dog debuts for Miah Englehart and is a FULL brother to Conquest Two Step who of course headlines the San Carlos later at SA. Working well for bow and GSW sibling did win at first asking at today's trip. All this said, Centauro Star has been gelded since strong but problematic unveiling and has worked sharply at 'GPW' for return. Gets Saez. Deep, fun betting affair..

Most Likely: #11 Centauro Star 8-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Golden Boot 15-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Chipit 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Salsa Dog 12-1 7th


9th: 33rd Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T/115' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Night Prowler 2-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Divisidero 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Croninthebarbarian 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Eh Cumpari 9-2 WON ($15.40)


10th: 75th Gulfstream Park H. (G2), 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Private Zone 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Valid 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Honor Code 3-1 WON ($7.00)


11th: OC/C, 4+, 6f (DD)

Brutally tough group to decipher with perhaps 8 of the 14 looking win-eligible. Pick and pray..

Best Value: #14 Joh's Gone Wild 20-1 14th
Next Best: #3 Catalactic 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 French Quarter 20-1 WON ($40.20)
Super Add: #12 Flash Paws 12-1 6th


12th: MSW, 3yo, 7.5f-T/48' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Force the Pass 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #2 Weekend Express 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Dujac 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Boca Scuttlebutt 15-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #1 Able Archer 20-1 10th


P5 Grid:

8: 5-11 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 6-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 5 (A), 1-6 (B), 2 (C)
11: 3-14 (A), 7-12 (B), 4-5-6-9-11-13 (C)
12: 6 (A), 2-12 (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4x3 = 216 x .50 = $108
Full (A/B/C): $86

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,10 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 6,9 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 1,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 7,12 with 6 - $2.00
6 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,10 with 6,9 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,10 with 5 with 1,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2,10 with 5 with 5 with 7,12 with 6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2,10 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 6,9 with 1,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $8.00
12 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 6,9 with 5 with 7,12 with 6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 6,9 with 5 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 1,6 with 7,12 with 6 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 1,6 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 7,12 with 2,12 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $0.50 pick P5: 1,8 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $2.00
18 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 3,8 with 5 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
19 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 2 with 3,14 with 6 - $2.00
20 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 4,5,6,9,11,13 with 6 - $6.00
21 $0.50 pick P5: 5,11 with 5 with 5 with 3,14 with 1,10 - $4.00

Total: $88.00


P4 Grid:

9: 5 (A), 6-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
11: 3-14 (A), 7-12 (B), 1-2-4-5-6-9-10-11-12-13 (C)
12: 6 (A), 2-12 (B), 1-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $72 (With All A and A with 1 B plays at $1; $58 if all at .50)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $8.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 7,12 with 6 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 1,2 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 7,12 with 6 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 7,12 with 6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2 with 3,14 with 2,12 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 7,12 with 2,12 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,8 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 1,2,4,5,6,8,9,10,11,13 with 6 - $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,6 with 3,14 with 1,10 - $4.00

Total: $72.00



TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 24th Challenger, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Midnight Cello 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 General a Rod 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #1 Old Time Hockey 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mister Mardi Gras 9-2 7th


9th: 32nd Florida Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Consumer Credit 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Lismore 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Quality Rocks 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Tiger Ride 6-1 4th


10th: 17th Hillsborough (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Sparkling Review 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Stephanie's Kitten 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #6 Maria Maria 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Filimbi 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Ball Dancing 7-2 2nd

.50 TRI: 12 with 1-2-5-6-9 with 1-2-5-6-9 (1x5x4 = 20 x .50 = $10)


11th: 35th Tampa Bay Derby (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ocean Knight 2-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Great Stuff 20-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Carpe Diem 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Danzig Moon 12-1 4th



AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 63rd Gotham S. (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Classy Class 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Tencendur 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 El Kabeir 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Lieutenant Colonel 5-1 8th



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Emyvale Court 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Whisk 8-1 WON ($30.20)
Next Best: #9 Revenue Virginius 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Screaming Skylar 5-1 3rd


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Never Ends 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Black Betsy 6-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #9 Miss Centerfold 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Sweet Promises 4-1 5th


5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Chasintheaces 4-1 6th
Best Value: #8 May B 6-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Pulling G's WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Cautious Giant 6-1 4th


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$52,665 P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #6 Margot Machance 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Hug and a Kiss 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Circling 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Dakota Kid 4-1 9th


7th: 78th San Felipe (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Will take chance that both Ocho Ocho Ocho and Bolo are less than at their best for this serious test. Dortmund, Lord Nelson & Prospect Park are the now players and I'll tab under-appreciated Sir Samson (Blinkers off) as a value catalyst..

Most Likely: #3 Dortmund 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 Prospect Park 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Sir Samson 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Lord Nelson 4-1 4th


8th: 12th China Doll, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Curlin's Fox 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #12 Mio Me 15-1 8th
Next Best: #2 She's a Big Winner 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Spirit of Xian Gate SCR


9th: 77th San Carlos (G2), 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mammoth SCR's of both Chitu & Midnight Hawk changing race shape/flow..

Most Likely: #4 Conquest Two Step 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Wild Dude 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Kobe's Back 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Blues Blaster 20-1 6th


10th: 15th Frank Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Summer Front 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Za Approval 6-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Winning Prize 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Hay Dude 8-1 8th


11th: 78th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

$28,316 Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #5 Shared Belief 3-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #4 Dynamic Sky 15-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Bronzo 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Moreno 6-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #8 You Know I Know 30-1 7th


P6 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), 4-5 (B), 7-11 (C)
7: 3 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7/SCR-12 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 5 (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 8 (A), 3-11 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
11: 5 (A), - (B), 4-6-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x3x3x1 = 72 x $2 = $144
Full (A/B/C): $232

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4,5 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 6 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 8 with 5 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 5 - $16.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 4,5 with 6 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 4,5 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 8 with 5 - $4.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4,5 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 5 - $16.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 6 with 5 with 5 with 8 with 5 - $4.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 6 with 5 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 5 - $16.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 5 with 3,11 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 7,11 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 1,2,7,9 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $32.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 2,7,12 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $24.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 2,3,9 with 8 with 5 - $12.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 2,4,6 with 5 - $24.00
17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,6 with 3 with 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 4,6,8,11 - $32.00

Total: $232.00


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 2-7/SCR-12 (B), 4-6/SCR-8 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 5-9 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
10: 8 (A), 3-11 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
11: 5 (A), 4-11 (B), 6-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $70

All A Entries

1 $3.00 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 2,7,12 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $9.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,9 with 8 with 5 - $3.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 5 - $6.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 4,11 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,12 with 5,9 with 8 with 5 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,12 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 5 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,12 with 4,7 with 8 with 4,11 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,9 with 3,11 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,9 with 8 with 4,11 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 3,11 with 4,11 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8 with 4,7 with 8 with 5 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 2,3,6 with 8 with 5 - $1.50
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 2,4,6 with 5 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 4,7 with 8 with 6,8,12 - $3.00

Total: $63.50

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY (3/7) ACTION

 

Gulfstream Park


R2 - MSW 45k (Turf 9.5F)

#8 Muhaawer (15-1)
#10 Tapkee (8-5)
#2 Flash Trading (4-1)
#4 Nileator (9-2)

R3 - Md 35k (Turf 7.5F)

#3 Meetmeforasmoke (12-1) Value Play
#11 Rovavevi (5-2)
#8 Starship Cosmo (4-1)
#3 She's So Groovy (6-1)

R4 - OC 62k/N2X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Taghleeb (7-2)
#3 Coastline (6-1)
#5 Sycamore Lane (4-1)
#4 Inchcape (9-2)

R5 - OC 62k/C (Turf 11.5F)

#2 Biz the Nurse (Ire) (3-1)
#5 Jonrah (7-2)
#7 Layton Register (20-1)
#9 Calvados (Arg) (9-2)

PK4 - 2 4 8 10 / 3 11 / 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 / 2 5 = $64 for $.50

R9 - G3 Palm Beach (Turf 8.5F)

#5 Night Prowler (2-1)
#3 Decision Day (20-1)
#6 Croninthebarian (5-2)
#8 Eh Cumpari (9-2)

R10 - G2 Gulfstream Park Handicap

#2 Wicked Strong (5-2)
#1 Honor Code (3-1)
#5 Private Zone (6-5)
#6 Valid (6-1)

R11 - OC 25k/N1X

#11 Gryvon (3-1)
#5 Talon's of Tuscany (12-1)
#2 Manhattan Johnnie (10-1)
#4 Best Man (5-1)

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 7.5F)

#2 Weekend Express (10-1) BEST BET
#4 Sky Fire (6-1)
#12 Dujac (3-1)
#6 Force the Pass (2-1)

PK4 - 3 5 / ALL (6) / 2 5 11 / 2 4 6 12 = $72


Tampa Bay Downs


R8 - Challenger 60k

#4 General A Rod (3-1)
#3 Ghost Hunter (15-1)
#7 Midnight Cello (7-2)
#1 Old Time Hockey (10-1)

R9 - G2 Florida Oaks (Turf 8.5F)

#7 Consumer Credit (3-1)
#14 Ms McDougal (8-1)
#11 Get Down Kitten (12-1)
#5 Afleet Mary (30-1)

R10 - G3 Hillsborough (Turf 9F)

#1 Ball Dancing (7-2)
#2 Stephanie's Kitten (2-1)
#9 Filimbi (5-2)
#4 Principessa Ava (Ire) (20-1)

R11 - G2 Tampa Bay Derby

#3 Carpe Diem (8-5)
#2 Ocean Knight (2-1)
#4 Ami's Flatter (15-1)
#9 Danzig Moon (12-1)

R12 - Clm 16k (Turf 8.5F)

#12 Saturday's for Fun (6-1)
#4 Royal Hill (5-2)
#3 Sonofachub (15-1)
#11 H M S Anniversay (5-1)

PK5 - 3 4 7 / 7 14 / 1 2 4 9 / 2 3 / 2 4 12 = $72 for $.50

PK4 - 7 11 14 / 1 2 4 9 12 / 2 3 / 2 4 12 = $45 for $.50



Santa Anita


R7 - G2 San Felipe

#3 Dortmund (8-5)
#7 Bolo (6-1)
#1 Lord Nelson (4-1)
#2 Ocho Ocho Ocho (4-1)

R8 - China Doll 75k (Turf 8F)

#7 Spirit of Xian (Ire) (8-1)
#5 Curlin's Fox (5-2)
#6 Lutine Belle (8-1)
#8 Bobbi Grace (Ire) (3-1)

R9 - G2 San Carlos

#4 Conquest Two Step (5-2)
#1 Chitu (2-1)
#5 Kobe's Back (8-1)
#8 Midnight Hawk (6-1)

R10 - G1 Kilroe (Turf 8F)

#8 Summer Front (7-2)
#11 Za Approval (6-1)
#6 Silentio (8-1)
#3 Winning Prize (Arg) (4-1)

R11 - Santa Anita Handicap

#5 Shared Belief (3-5)
#13 Hard Aces (12-1)
#6 Moreno (6-1)
#11 Bronzo (Chi) (10-1)

PK4 - 5 6 7 8 / 1 4 / 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 / 5 = $36 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 


RESULTS 2/21

 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 41st Gulfstream Park Sprint (G3), 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Very curious assembly with legitimate concerns about the major players with Weekend Hideaway and Speechify eligible for regression off mammoth efforts last time, Happy My Way seemingly past midnight and seldom seen/undefeated Mean Season an ouchy question mark. Unless Happy My Way can fully extend Mean Season, the latter will wire this if right. Any of the prices from the second half of the field appear capable of impacting the pay slots and I'd expect C. Zee delivers a career best second off the layoff for the terrific Stanley Gold..

Best Value: #8 Weekend Hideaway 3-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mean Season 5-2 DNF-Eased
Exotics Use: #2 C. Zee 5-1 WON ($14.20)
Super Add: #7 Puntrooskie 20-1 4th


7th: 10th Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-4+, 5f-T/84' (Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Good Deed 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #12 Jewel of a Cat 4-1 WON ($25.20)
Best Value: #10 True Romance 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Fascinate 6-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Catching Fireflies 5-1 6th


8th: 31st Davona Dale (G2), 3yo-F, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

We may still be waiting for a truly good 3yo filly to emerge, but meanwhile, this is a delightful assembly of well matched missies. Pick a few that have caught your eye. Plenty of pace on, so the stalker-closers won't be compromised..

Most Likely: #1 Lassofthemohicans 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Birdatthewire 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Silverpocketsfull 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Cavorting 6-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Puca 10-1 4th


9th: 24th Mac Diarmida (G2), 4+, 11f-T/12' (P4, P3, DD)

Despite murky pace prospect, more I thought about Mac Diarmida scenario, more I concluded that Main Sequence isn't losing. Between careful handling and deliberate training by Motion to land here to healthy Rajiv Maragh getting back aboard, dual champion should arrive on scene in time. Given difficulty of rest of P5 sequence, single and spread in the spots that demand it..

Most Likely: #1 Main Sequence 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #6 Twilight Eclipse 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Divine Oath 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Artic North 12-1 6th


10th: 53rd Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/84' (P3, DD)

Have been a big Excaper fan since getting in front of him in BC Juvy Turf and here he is entering his 5th season of competition having amassed nearly $750k in earnings. Would love to believe he can wire off the bench but there are several pace pressers involved here. Jack Milton another I favored from the start and while he's disappointed more than rewarded, was ready off the bench as a 4yo and should be well placed by winter's crazily dominant pilot. Not ready to give up on Mutin after fiasco in the FLL last..

Most Likely: #6 Jack Milton 5-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Mutin 12-1 11th
Next Best: #2 Grand Tito 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Excaper 4-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Sky Blazer 8-1 7th


11th: 73rd Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

While there are fresh-faced candidates that have potential to overhaul the obvious top pair, Gorgeous Bird and Itsaknockout are spotting serious stakes experience to Upstart and Frosted..

Most Likely: #7 Upstart 8-5 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #6 Frosted 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Gorgeous Bird 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Itsaknockout 4-1 WON-via DQ ($12.80)


12th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/84' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Dreaming of Gold 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Animal Kracker 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tweet Kitten 6-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Cat Humor 8-1 12th
Super/Hi-5: #1 Caprock Kid 20-1 6th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-4 (A), 2-6-8-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-3-9-11-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 6 (B), 1-2-4-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $66

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,6,8,12 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 3,6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 6 with 5,7 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 2,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 6 with 3,6 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 3,6,7 with 6 with 7 with 5,7 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 1,3,9,11,13 with 7 with 5,7 - $10.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 1,2,4,5 with 5,7 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 1 with 6 with 7 with 1,8 - $2.00

Total: $66.00


P4 Grid:

9: 1 (A), 6 (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-6-10 (A), 3-9-11 (B), 1-8-12-13 (C)
11: 7 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-2-5 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $67

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 5,7 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 4,6 with 5,7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 3,9,11 with 7 with 3,6 - $3.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 4,6 with 3,6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,7 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 5,7 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 1,8,12,13 with 7 with 5,7 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 1,2,5 with 5,7 - $9.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1 with 2,6,10 with 7 with 1,8 - $3.00

Total: $67.00



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 30th Mineshaft H. (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Hard Aces & Quadrivium are SCR's from this so expect odds to be redistributed accordingly. Even without Quadrivium, there figures to be a fairly spirited pace on given Nates Mineshaft, Red Rifle and Street Babe all interested in the front end. Someone will sit an ideal stalking trip here with 6-1 Irish You Well, 10-1 Class Leader and 20-1 Cougar Ridge eligible at nice numbers. Tricky start to all-stakes P4..

Most Likely: #5 Irish You Well 6-1 6th
Best Value: #10 Class Leader 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Red Rifle 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Cougar Ridge 20-1 4th


9th: 29th Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Didn't expect to land on Catalano again here, but Highball always had quality about him and displayed encouraging development in first start as 4yo. Has shown ability to adjust to varied pace scenarios and will be a square price..

Best Value: #3 Highball 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Quadrivium 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Pyrite Mountain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Dreams Cut Short 15-1 7th


10th: 35th Rachel Alexandra (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Like the Davona Dale at 4p ET, a compelling betting affair that hopefully produces some Oaks prospects that get you excited. As discussed with Marcus Hersh on Friday ATR, pace figures to get zippy hear as outside speeds hurtling for turn generally prompt inside runners that seek forward positions.

Most Likely: #1 Shook Up 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Forever Unbridled 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Angela Renee 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lovely Maria 5-1 2nd


11th: 43rd Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

SCR of J S Bach takes some of the speed out of this leaving St. Joe Bay and Hero of Humor as the tablesetters with Tiznow R J, Bluff and War Story watching the action unfold. Tiznow R J (5-1) is the 'Most Likely' due to his added experience at the level, but I'll be basing my bets around upside-laden Bluff (12-1). Time and again we are seeing flighty Tapit offspring spring forward with maturity and once the light goes on, the lamp stays lit. Has advanced with every start and with another projective step, can make up margins he spots the major contenders..

Most Likely: #2 Tiznow R J 5-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Bluff 12-1 6th
Next Best: #10 International Star 9-2 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Imperia 7-2 5th


P4 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 6-10 (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), 1-10-11 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 5-6 (B), 4-7-10 (C)
11: 2-3 (A), 5-10 (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $78

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 5 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,3 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5 with 1,8 with 5,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 5,6 with 5,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7,8 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $12.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,10,11 with 1,8 with 2,3 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 4,7,10 with 2,3 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 3,6 with 1,8 with 6,8 - $4.00

Total: $78.00



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #10 Ribbon of Darkness 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Elaine Kowaleski 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Seans Silverdancer 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bourbon Warfare 7-2 3rd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #10 Mr. Tickle 7-2: Better with each start; Ran into Kantune last time.. WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Dreamsdocometrue 8-1: Good debut; Half brother Dreams Cut Short in FG 'Cap.. 5th
Next Best: #7 King of New York 9-2: 2nd to Leave the Light On at 2; Lasix added today.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Crafty Navigator 6-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Lawless West SCR


8th: 27th Spring Fever, F&M-4+, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lasting Bubbles 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chortle 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Boss Barney's Babe 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Heykittykittykitty 4-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #5 Escalate 4-1 7th
Next Best: #4 California Coast 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Best Value: #7 Perfectly 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Conquest Cobra 3-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 10 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5 (A), 4 (B), 3-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (10-10-7-4) Paid $200.05
Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1 All "A" Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $3.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 5,6,7 with 5 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 2,7 with 2,3,4 with 4 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 3,6 with 2,3,4 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 1,8 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 6,10 with 10 with 2,3,4 with 3,7,8,9 - $12.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Gulfstream Park


R1 - Alw 48k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#11 Lord Trondor (12-1)
#8 Empire Knight (3-1)
#10 Los Borrachos (8-1)
#12 Town Extension (9-2)

R2 - Md 50k

#5 Cort (7-2)
#4 Brett Park (3-1)
#1 Dixie One (6-1)
#9 Crown Holiday (20-1)

R3 - MSW 45k

#14 Cred (20-1)
#7 Face of Winner (6-1)
#1 Element (4-1)
#5 Canadian Flyer (12-1)

R4 - G3 Rampart

#2 Wedding Toast (2-1) - Controlling speed and doesn't like to give it up. Dangerous combo.
#3 House Rules (4-1) - Paid workout in most recent and just needs top choice to blink late.
#6 Got Lucky (3-1) - Much better going one turn and likes this surface.
#4 Thank You Marylou (5-2) - Expect her to be coming late versus this talented field.

R5 - G3 Very One (Turf 11F)

#3 Irish Mission (3-1) - Showed her class in latest and benefits from a nice inside draw.
#1 Caroline Thomas (4-1) - Saves all the ground before going outside late as she tries to run them down.
#6 Risposte (5-2) - Has a tactical advantage, but does she need one off the bench?
#7 Tabreed (GB) (6-1) - Made top choice work to the end last time and fits underneath.

PK4 - 1 4 5 6 9 / 1 5 7 8 14 / 2 3 6 / 1 3 = $75 for $.50

R6 - G3 Gulfstream Park Sprint

#4 City of Weston (20-1) - Live longshot with a clean trip. Needs a dry fast track for best.
#6 Speechify (4-1) - Capable of sitting the perfect stalking trip.
#8 Weekend Hideaway (3-1) - Potentially will hook up with other speedsters and possibly bounce, but a repeat wins this for fun.
#3 Happy My Way (7-2) - Gets off the rail, but must avoid getting cooked early.

R7 - Ladies Turf Sprint 75k (Turf 5F)

#3 Good Deed (3-1) - Margolis ships in with serious intentions. Mare likes the camera.
#2 Catching Fireflies (5-1) - Versatile runner is firing on all cylinders.
#6 Fascinante (6-1) - Completely a different animal since being switch to turf sprints.
#12 Jewel of a Cat (4-1) - Difficult post, but should have enough for a minor piece.

R8 - G2 Davona Dale

#6 Puca (10-1) - Mott had options and lands here. Rosario sticks.
#2 Eskenformoney (5-1) - Has started to figure it out and fits with this group.
#1 Lassofthemohicans (6-1) - Two quick bullets coming in and Paco takes the call. Go time.
#5 Skipalute (20-1) - Expecting a bounce back performance at a juicy price.

PK3 - 3 4 6 8 / 2 3 / 1 2 5 6 = $32

R9 - G2 Mac Diarmida (Turf 11F)

#1 Main Sequence (6-5) - Turf champ towers over this field in his '15 bow.
#7 Divine Oath (7-2) - Improving 4yr old earned right to face Turf monster.
#6 Twilight Eclipse (2-1) - Solid warrior must prove he can best top choice.
#4 Change of Command (15-1) - High % barn sends him right to the wolves. Might try to steal this.

R10 - G3 Canadian (Turf 8F)

#6 Jack Milton (5-1) - BEST BET There's speed lined up and he's fired off the bench.
#9 Sky Blazer (8-1) - Absolutely loves the course and will uncork a late rally.
#3 Mr. Online (6-1) - Returns to preferred distance and is capable of lasting a long time on the front.

R11 - G2 Fountain of Youth

#7 Upstart (8-5) - Stands out at this time versus this field. Even with a step back can win this.
#6 Frosted (5-2) - Blinks will probably have him closer to the pace, which isn't a bad thing.
#4 Gorgeous Bird (6-1) - Heading in the right direction and in good hands.
#5 Itsaknockout (4-1) - Impressive in both starts, but now gets the acid test.

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 9F)

#5 Animal Kracker (5-1) - Made up some serious ground in most recent and it could be graduation day.
#6 Cat Humor (8-1) - Being forwardly placed in this race might be a good thing.
#7 Dreaming of Gold (8-5) - Obvious contender, but no cinch at a short price.
#3 Tweet Kitten (6-1) - Needs a better break and don't discount chances for all slots.

PK5 - 1 2 4 5 6 12 / 1 / 3 6 9 / 7 / 3 5 6 7 = $36 for $.50

PK4 - 1 / 3 6 9 / 4 5 6 7 / 1 3 5 6 7 8 = $36 for $.50

$10 PK4 - 1 / 6 / 7 / 5 6 = $20



Fair Grounds


R8 - G3 Mineshaft

#8 Cougar Ridge (20-1) - He's in career form and wouldn't mind a little moisture underneath.
#5 Irish You Well (6-1) - Interesting spot for his return. Positive sign from Catalano.
#1 Hard Aces (9-2) - Must duplicate most recent as this is a deeper field.
#6 Red Rifle (3-1) - Finished '14 strong, but needs 'A' game right off the bench.

R9 - G3 Fair Grounds Handicap (Turf 9F)

#1 Glenard (GB) (6-1) - Motion lethal with these types and has been working well in Florida.
#3 Highball (8-1) - Seems to be getting better with each race and this could be the breakout.
#2 Villandry (9-2) - Consistent sort can make amends for chalk lost in most recent.
#8 Trace Creek (10-1) - McPeek ships in and looks to get a favorable stalking trip.

R10 - G3 Rachel Alexandra

#6 Angela Renee (5-1) - Brings in some back class and reunites with Bejarano.
#8 Forever Unbridled (8-1) - Barn does well with young fillies.
#1 Shook Up (7-2) - A wet track will definitely move her up.
#10 I'm a Chatterbox (4-1) - Must prove she can rate as she'll have company for the front end.

R11 - G2 Risen Star

#8 Keen Ice (8-1) - Improving colt from sharp barn should appreciate this surface and long stretch.
#6 War Story (5-1) - Capable of taking a step forward off latest.
#5 Imperia (7-2) - The plan was always to start 2015 here. Logical
#7 Hero of Humor (30-1) - Barn has been known to light up the toteboard every so often.

PK4 - 1 3 5 6 8 10 11 / 1 3 / 1 6 8 / 5 6 8 = $63 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 



RESULTS 2/14

 

LAUREL PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

At the dashy 5.5f distance, there's a modest danger that loose Spango wires here as lone speed..

Most Likely: #8 Regal Soldier 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Northern Label 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Compulsive 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Twelve Stone 5-2 7th


7th: John B. Campbell H., 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group with at least 7 of the 11 win eligible. Pimental sides with Trombetta's Live Oak runner, but Cosmic Gold (8-1) looks like he's developing right along and with tactical speed, may get first run on Cerro and whomever is attending pace with him..

Best Value: #5 Cosmic Gold 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Page McKenney 7-2 WON ($8.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Sailor's Revenge 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Souper Lucky 6-1 6th


8th: Barbara Fritchie (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Sam's Sister ships cross country, gives significant to weight to all and appears to need improvement to win as the likely well-bet favorite. No thanks..

Most Likely: #1 Princess Violet 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Lady Sabelia 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #8 Stormy Novel 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Sam's Sister 5-2 4th


9th: MD Racing Media, F&M-3+, 9f

Best Value: #5 Pearl Bay 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Flores Island 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Shayjolie 9-2 6th
Super Add: #1 Luna Time 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 8 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-5-7 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), 10-11 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 8-10 (B), 5 (C)
9: 5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $59 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 5 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 8,10 with 5 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 10,11 with 1,9 with 2,3 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 8,10 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5,7 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 5 - $6.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 4,8 with 1,9 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 5 with 5 - $1.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 3,5 with 1,9 with 1,6,8,9 - $8.00

Total: $59.00



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N1Y, 4+, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2 Gentleman's Bet 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Hogy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled's Note 5-2 2nd


8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3)

Ton of firsters with modest pedigree or trainer support to separate contenders..

Most Likely: #5 Mutation 3-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Chart Room 9-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Mission Driven 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Transformative 5-1 3rd


9th: 67th Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (DD)

You can't have a more competitive assembly for an ungraded, $100 stake. Ride On Curlin will get a pace to close into, but Code West and Golden Lad get first run from stalking slots and surely one of the pace setters will hang tough. With the El Camino and John Campbell, one of the day's most inviting wagering opps..

Most Likely: #8 Golden Lad 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #4 Code West 9-2 6th
Best Value: #3 I Got It All 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Ride On Curlin 2-1 2nd


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m

On paper, it looks as if Legal Eagle SCR'D! would have to fall down to get beat, but he obviously had issues if he didn't debut until January of his 4yo year. Did work since debut which is a positive sign and expect he wins, but there are alternatives to the 3-2 ML fave..

Best Value: #6 Stormy Deacon 20-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sail Maker 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Hillbilly Style 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Big Changes 5-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 2-9-12 (B), 7-11 (C)
9: 4-8 (A), 1-3-7 (B), 2-5-6 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 5 (B), 1-3-7-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x5x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Full (A/B/C): $59.50 (With $1 All A's Play)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 6 - $3.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $3.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 1,3,7 with 6 - $4.50
10 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,9,12 with 4,8 with 5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 1,3,7 with 5,8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3,5 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 6 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 7,11 with 4,8 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 2,5,6 with 6 - $3.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 5,8 with 4,8 with 1,3,7,9,11 - $10.00

Total: $61.50



GOLDEN GATE FIELDS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: El Camino Real Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3)

May not be a major Kentucky Derby player in the El Camino Real Derby, but it's a fun betting affair with a well-matched field and vulnerable favorites..

Most Likely: #5 Cross the Line 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Ernest Shackleton 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Mischief Clem 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Soul Driver 6-1 5th
 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY 2/14 RESULTS

 

 Gulfstream Park POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R5 - MSW 45k (9F)

#3 Gold Shield (3-1) - Working well and the 9 panels should be right in his wheelhouse. WON $4.40
#5 Blue Cap (15-1) - Gelded since last and should not be ignored at a price with the stretchout.
#8 Jambles (4-1) - Had a rough debut run and looks to improve with a cleaner trip.
#6 River Date (9-2) - Can build off latest and is in the mix with these.

TRI PAID $29.30

R9 - Clm 20k N3L (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Dominate (12-1) - New barn and better draw with Maragh hopping aboard. This runner was $3.60 to 1 versus similar last time.
#8 Dude About Town (8-1) - Back to back wins makes a big difference at this level.
#12 Franklin (7-2) - Surprised he was not claimed in most recent and capable of handling these as well. WON $5.00
#11 Caminito (8-1) - Has ran decent 2nds against this caliber and fits again.

R10 - G3 Hurricane Bertie

#4 Merry Meadow (7-5) - Difficult to get cute here as she'll stalk and pounce again. $4.00
#1 More Than a Party (5-2) - Best scenario is to catch a flyer and avoid any type of speed duel. 2ND
#6 Centrique (6-1) - Has an affinity with Gulfstream, but we'll need top 2 to have an off day. 4TH

R11 - Cooper City Handicap 60k (Turf 8F)

#3 I'm Already Sexy (4-1) - Drops from stakes company and picks up the aggressive Paco. This seems like the perfect fit. WON $4.40
#8 Kitty Wine (5-2) - Consistent sort looks to run another solid race. 3RD
#9 Indian Starlight (12-1) - Underrated barn has been having a productive meet and taking a shot right off the claim. 4TH

R12 - MSW 45k (Turf 7.5F)

#8 Force the Pass (9-2) - Above average string of works indicate he's ready to fire at 1st asking. 2ND
#1 Saham (8-1) - Decent work after losing the jock as the chalk last month. WON $12.40
#2 Jrock (12-1) - Barn lethal in Maiden 2nd start and he just has to run near his number on the lawn.
#9 Farz (8-1) - Respect connections and pedigree. Has been working steady since November '14.

[u]PK4 - 1 3 4 5 6 8 9 12 / 1 4 / 3 / 1 2 4 6 7 8 9 = $56 for $.50 PAID $81.85 FOR $.50


Santa Anita


R6 - Clm 20k

#1 Holiday Maker (2-1) WON $4.60
#6 Where Is My Mind (7-2)
#5 Erte (8-1) 2ND
#2 City Ride (4-1)

R7 - MSW 56k (Turf 6.5F)

#6 Boat Drinks (5-2) 2ND
#8 Entrechat (2-1) WON $8.80
#7 Zip N Bayou (12-1) 3RD
#12 Avenge (4-1) 4TH

R8 - G2 Santa Maria

#8 Awesome Baby (6-1)
#2 Thegirlinthatsong (5-2) 3RD
#6 Warren's Veneda (2-1) WON $5.60
#9 Backintheacademy (20-1)

R9 - Sweet Life 75k (Turf 6.5F)

#11 Spirit of Xian (Ire) (4-1) 3RD
#4 Havanna Belle (Ire) (4-1)
#2 Bobbi Grace (Ire) (5-2) 2ND
#10 She's a Big Winner (8-1) WON $17.40

PK4 - 1 2 5 6 / 6 8 / 2 6 8 / 2 4 6 10 11 = $60 for $.50 PAID $263.85 FOR $.50


Golden Gate

R7 - G3 El Camino Real Derby

#4 Ernest Shackleton (Ire) (12-1) - O'Neill knows which one to send up north and this one is improving.
#2 Indianaughty (4-1) - Romans seems fit to ship across the country. Expect a late rally when others get tired.
#3 Metaboss (8-1) - Winner at the distance and draws well for a stalking trip. WON $15.20
#9 Conquest Typhoon (7-2) - Brings some back class and Casse's runners are doing well. 3RD

 

 

 

RESULTS 2/12

 

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Grand Strand 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Maximus Mike 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #3 Mr. Lit 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Chrisandlorisposse 8-1 7th


6th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Son of Dixie 2-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Winter Games 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #3 Ultimate Empire 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Call Wil 6-1 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/C, 4+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #2 Saratoga Snacks 6-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #5 Readbytheline 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Spa City Fever 6-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Readtheprospectus 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $23.40
$1 Trifecta (2-5-6) Paid $91.50
$1 Superfecta (2-5-6-3) Paid $331.00



8th: MSW, F&M-4+, 6f

Most Likely: #9 Mine for Life 2-1 WON ($5.10)
Best Value: #4 Relax 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Pop of Color 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Flapper Girl 15-1 8th


P4 Grid:

5: 4-7 (A), 3 (B), 1-6 (C)
6: 2-6 (A), 1-3 (B), 4 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), 3-6 (B), 1-4 (C)
8: 9 (A), 4-5 (B), 6-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $72

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00 $0.50 Pick 4 (7-6-2-9) Paid $159.75

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 9 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 9 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 3,6 with 9 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1,3 with 2,5 with 4,5 - $8.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 3,6 with 4,5 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 9 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 4 with 2,5 with 9 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 1,4 with 9 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 2,6 with 2,5 with 6,8,10 - $12.00

Total: $72.00

 

 


 

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: 72nd Suwannee River H. (G3), F&M-4+, 9f-T/84' (P4, P3, DD)

Very deep group of authentic G3 type turf ladies with most of the obvious players stacked up on the outside half of the barrier in a race that should have an honest pace. Recent Chad Brown acquisitions Cay Dancer (9-2) SCR'D and underachieving Rosalind (6-1) the place to start considerations beyond Mott's White Rose (4-1) & Pletcher's Sandiva (7-2) who are the deserving ML faves. Bitty Kitty (12-1) and Scampering (8-1) offer value as ground-saving, mid-pack stalkers..

Most Likely: #8 Sandiva 7-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #10 Rosalind 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Scampering 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 White Rose 4-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Bitty Kitty 12-1 7th


11th: 30th Fred Hooper (G3), 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Jersey Town was Barclay Tagg's last main track graded stakes winner and Confrontation will draw comparisons to him as the season progresses. The War Pass gelding has shown steady development with age and exits an admirable, if unsuccessful, duel with Donn fave Lea in the Hal's Hope. Reuniteds with Rajiv Maragh here and may be a reliable horse to lean on in tricky sequence with pace scenario ideal for his just off stalking tactics..

Most Likely: #3 Confrontation 5-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Valid 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Race Day 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Ulanbator 15-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Mosler 8-1 9th


12th: 33rd GP Turf H. (G1), 4+, 9f-T/84' (DD)

Pletcher fave Mshawish only need repeat recent efforts to win, but Clement and Brown challengers appear in range..

Most Likely: #1 Mshawish 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #7 Slumber 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 War Correspondent 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Lochte 5-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Grand Tito 15-1 5th


X-Country P4 Grid:

GP12: 1-7 (A), 3-4-6-8 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
GP13: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-6-10 (C)
SA7: 8 (A), 1-4 (B), 5 (C)
SA8: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $74

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,9 with 8 with 5,8 - 4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 2,9 with 8 with 5,8 - $8.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4,6,8 with 4,8 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $16.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 2,9 with 1,4 with 5,8 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,5,9 with 4,8 with 8 with 5,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 1,6,10 with 8 with 5,8 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 5 with 5,8 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,7 with 4,8 with 8 with 1 - $2.00

Total: $74.00


13th: 60th Donn H. (G1), 4+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

As much as I'd like to create alternative scenario to defending winner repeating, it appears he's as good or better now than a year ago. Pletcher players offer legit challenge, but Lea clearly the likeliest lining up..

Most Likely: #4 Lea 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Protonico 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Commissioner 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Blue Tone 15-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #6 Catholic Cowboy 20-1 8th


$64 P4 Grid:

10: 8-10 (A), 3-13 (B), 1-2-4-6-9 (C)
11: 3 (A), 7-10 (B), 5-6-8-12 (C)
12: 1 (A), 6-7 (B), 3-4-5-9 (C)
13: 4-8 (A), 2-9 (B), 1-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $64

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 2,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 7,10 with 1 with 4,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,13 with 3 with 1 with 2,9 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 6,7 with 4,8 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 7,10 with 1 with 2,9 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 6,7 with 2,9 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2,4,6,9 with 3 with 1 with 4,8 - $5.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 5,6,8,12 with 1 with 4,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 3,4,5,9 with 4,8 - $8.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 8,10 with 3 with 1 with 1,5,6 - $3.00

Total: $64.00



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Pulling G's 8-5 6th
Next Best: #11 Logan's Moon 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Whine for Wine 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Solid Wager 20-1 WON ($138.20)
Super Add: #3 Got Even 8-1 8th


7th: 63rd San Marcos (G2), 4+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dynamic Sky 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Finnegan's Wake 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Power Ped 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Patrioticandproud 4-1 7th


8th: 77th San Antonio Inv. H. (G2), 4+, 9f (DD)

Exciting match-up of West Coast's best publicized 2014 sophomores in HOY Cal Chrome and unlucky Shared Belief, with added intrigue of solid Baffert 'B' team G1 winner Hoppertunity. Pace picture interesting with 30-1 Alfa Bird the speed and the 'Big 3' lining up behind him. Looks like using the top pair is safe approach as something odd would need to happen to put outsider in winner's circle..

Most Likely: #8 California Chrome 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Shared Belief 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Hoppertunity 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Alfa Bird 30-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Arethusa 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Intoxicating Move 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Dakota Kid 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Out Little Hen 6-1 12th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Sky Mega 12-1 11th


P4 Grid:

6: 9 (A), 2-11 (B), 1-3-4 (C)
7: 1-8 (A), 4 (B), 3-5 (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 1 (B), 2-7-9 (C)
9: 1-10 (A), 3-7 (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 114 x .50 = $54
Full (A/B/C): $71 $0.50 Pick-4 (4/1/5/10) Paid $2,193.30

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 4 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,11 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 1 with 1,10 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 4 with 5,8 with 3,7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 1 with 3,7 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3,4 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $12.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (4/1/5/10) Paid $2,193.30
13 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 3,5 with 5,8 with 1,10 - $4.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 2,7,9 with 1,10 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 1,8 with 5,8 with 2,11 - $4.00

Total:$71.00


Good luck!
Steve

 


 

GUS ALONSO'S X-COUNTRY P4 LOOK


Gulfstream Park


R12 - G1 Gulfstram Park Turf Handicap (Turf 9F)

#3 Imagining (3-1) - Seems to always fire a big one fresh and will appreciate that Main Sequence is not here.
#6 War Correspondent (8-1) - Looks like the ideal time to tackle Grade 1 company and be forwardly place throughout for sharp barn.
#5 Manchurian High (12-1) - Is in career form and is an off the pace threat at will be a good price.
#1 Mshawish (7-2) - Candidate for Horse of the Meet with a win here, but a slight concern creeps in after drifting out in latest.

R13 - G1 Donn

#4 Lea (9-5) - Hard not to start with the defending champion after a solid effort in Hal's Hope despite eventful trip.
#1 Constitution (7-2) - Reigning Florida Derby winner loves this surface and looks to be the controlling speed.
#8 Protonico (6-1) - Hard knocker will keep grinding and if the top 2 blink, he'll be ready to pick them up.
#7 Sloane Avenue (15-1) - Successful barn seem fit to take a chance here and that's pretty much all I need to include.


Santa Anita


R7 - G2 San Marcos (Turf 10F)

#5 Little Jerry (12-1) - Have a feeling that they'll ignore him on the front end and Maldonado might be able to lull them to sleep.
#8 Dynamic Sky (3-1) - The extra real estate will definitely help the cause.
#1 Finnegans Wake (5-2) - Has really improved since switching the the west coast, but this time you'll have to take a short price.
#9 Power Foot (8-1) - Comes in off a confidence booster win and the distance will not be a problem.

R8 - G2 San Antonio Invitational

#5 Shared Belief (7-5) - Only blemish was more than excusable in BC Classic and absolutely brings it every time. He's a single in my book until someone beats him fair and square.
#8 California Chrome (6-5) - Nice to see Derby winner still in training, but he draws a difficult assignment to start the year. Hoping he goes off the favorite.
#9 Alfa Bird (30-1) - Baze will be winging it on the front end and hopes top two forget about him until it's too late.
#7 Bronzo (Chi) (20-1) - If for some reason they get silly up front, expect him to come with a serious late run.

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 / 1 4 7 8 / 1 5 8 9 / 5 = $64 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

P5 may be too arduous to play for small money with this deep, well-matched group starting it..

Most Likely: #5 Stormy Pacific 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Examen 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Dramedy 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #13 Layton Register 7-2 9th


9th: 35th Suncoast, 3yo-F, 1m-40y (P4, P3, DD)

The endless parade of mediocrity in the sophomore filly ranks continues here..

Most Likely: #1 Irish Jasper 7-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Whimsicality 9-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Innovative Idea 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 A. P.'s Glory 8-1 6th


10th: 16th Endeavour (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Excellent cast for this early season turf test. As discussed on ATR with owner Covello, expect Testa Rossi to be more involved here. Also expect improvement from Hard Not to Like on move to Clement..

Most Likely: #1 Testa Rossi 3-1 WON-via DQ ($5.20)
Best Value: #11 Hard Not to Like 7-2 2nd-DQ'd from WIN
Next Best: #5 Principessa Ava 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 I'm Already Sexy 4-1 7th


11th: 35th Sam. F. Davis (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fun edition of this typically mundane Tampa Bay Derby prep despite the fact that race was denied Kentucky Derby points. Rooting that Chad Stewart's likeable Catalina Red continues to confirm bona fides but anticipate Josie Carroll's Ami's Flatter advances his classic credentials after excellent soph debut in dirt and stakes debut in Mucho Macho Man behind Bluegrass Singer (solid Holy Bull 3rd last week)..

Best Value: #3 Ami's Flatter 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Catalina Red 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Ocean Knight 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #8 G Five 10-1 12th


12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Penelope Perfect 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Lookout Raven 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Princess Mariah 9-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Stock Yard Hen 8-1 WON ($12.40)
Super/Hi-5: #6 See Trouble 6-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

9: 1-3 (A), 5-6 (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 1-11 (A), 5 (B), 4-6-7-12 (C)
11: 3 (A), 1-11 (B), 2-8-9 (C)
12: 2 (A), 1-4-9 (B), 6-9-10 (C)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Palos Verdes (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Secret Circle 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Distinctiv Passion 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Big Macher 5-2 5th


7th: 56th Arcadia (G2), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Kaigun 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Za Approval 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Avanzare 4-1 WON ($13.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Edge of Reality 8-1 6th


8th: 33rd Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Majestic Presence 7-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Maybellene 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Callback 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #9 Miss Mandate 12-1 5th


9th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Rockin Robin 7-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Blue Law 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Just Kidding 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Milton 10-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Steam Play 4-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 4 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-5-9 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 9-10-11 (B), 3-12 (C)


 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

RESULTS 11/1

Efficient, profitable Friday to start the Cup with serious run at a big P5 hit falling short when anchor leg complexion changed on Midnight Hawk's poor break. $25.00 score in Twilight Derby with Mystic Lake hero Long On Value giving the afternoon ballast including $129 straight P3 with Brendan Walsh's impressive Cary Street in the Marathon and Walther Solis' Cal stake juvy My Fiona. Fantastic performances in the Cup races from Hootenanny, Lady Eli, Goldencents and Untapable who were all dominant. Prices couldn't impact any slots other than deep exotics Friday, but expect that will change Saturday. Hope everyone did well. Watch early in the day for decisions on early turf given the rain that fell overnight. Might prove hard to hold back the speed on the main track early on too given the precipitation and tendency to tighten the surface.


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 3rd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ocho Ocho Ocho WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #9 Tizcano 3rd
Next Best: #2 Metaboss 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Gambler's Roll 5th


2nd: 2nd Golden State Juvenile-Cal, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Acceptance 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 Wake Up Nick 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mischief Clem 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Smack Talk 6-1 5th


3rd: 46th Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Warm Breeze 4th
Next Best: #12 Amaranth WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Velvet Mesquite 2nd


4th: 31st BC Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Though the Juvy boys are getting more attention, this is a better group than thought at first blush. Alcibiades runner up Top Decile attractive key while trouble Chandelier trip Hollendorfer filly Majestic Presence can ignite tote. Angela Renee the filly to beat. Puca and Christina's Journey look spectacular in the flesh. Danette, like teammate Texas Red, should be in your tris and supers..

Most Likely: #11 Top Decile 10-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Majestic Presence 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Angela Renee 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Puca 6-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Christina's Journey 6-1 11th


5th: 16th BC F&M Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Very competitive group and defending champ Dank not as vulnerable as first expected after middling season. Dayatthespa says goodbye to current connections after this and may never have been in better form than she is here. Distance questionable but slower pace at trip may do the trick. Shug at 15-1 (Abaco)? Yes please.. Fiesolana and Just the Judge demand use. Tough, tough race..

Most Likely: #3 Dank 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Dayatthespa 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Best Value: #1 Abaco 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Fiesolana 8-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Just the Judge 6-1 3rd


<$75 P5 Plays:

1: 3 (A), 9 (B), 2-7 (C)
2: 1 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 7-12 (A), 4 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
4: 7-11 (A), 2-5-8 (B), 1-4-10-12 (C)
5: 3 (A), 1-2-4-6 (B), 5-7-8-9-10-11 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $72.50
Simple (A/B): $75 (2x1x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75)


6th: 8th BC F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Stonetastic has touted herself all week here and at 7f, may get easy opening splits that will make her tough to reel in later. Judy the Beauty pointed for this spot all year and there's no Groupie Doll to deal with. Hadn't expected to use Little Alexis but will be a big number and is another that has looked great in the mornings..

Most Likely: #3 Stonetastic 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Judy the Beauty 5-2 ($8.20)
Best Value: #2 Little Alexis 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Southern Honey 20-1 6th


7th: 7th BC Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Hill course Cup events has been provenance of Left Coast runners/riders and this set looks like it shouldn't be exception. Like Judy the Beauty with Groupie Doll out of the way, Reneesgotzip tries to crown herself queen of the hill in Mizdirection's absence. Post no bargain and there's plenty of speed involved. Eddie D exacta pair of Home Run Kitten/Ambitious Brew make great sense, but Silentio has the profile of success for this turning back from the mile trip. Castellano has ridden the hill well and don't forget that he and Tightend Touchdown were 2nd here a year ago. Bobby's Kitten either takes to this swimmingly or is a sucker horse in the mold of Capo Bastone (9-1) last year and Bridgetown (6-1) the year before..

Most Likely: #2 Silentio 8-1 14th
Best Value: #10 Home Run Kitten 12-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Tightend Touchdown 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Reneesgotzip 5-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Ambitious Brew 12-1 7th


<$75 P4 Plays:

4: 7-11 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-4-5-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 4 (B), 1-2-5-6 (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-6-10 (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 10 (B), 1-5-6-8-11-12-14 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $75
Simple (A/B): $72 or $36 (3x2x4x3 = 72)


8th: 31st BC Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

With American Pharaoh out of this, Carpe Diem, Daredevil and Upstart are your principals. Texas Red is a big boy that is maturing rapidly and with any more improvement, can win at a big number. He also will get a target for his rally. Souper Colossal may be a cut below the major players but couldn't look sharper coming in for savvy Plesa and Mrs. Weber, but pace runners may get cooked..

Most Likely: #9 Carpe Diem 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Texas Red 20-1 WON ($29.80)
Next Best: #13 Upstart 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Daredevil 7-2 11th
Super Add: #8 Souper Colossal 12-1 7th


9th: 31st BC Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

As with the approach to the Mile, will appreciate prowess of the Euros while being sure to respect the 2 best North American players in Hardest Core and Main Sequence. Pace feels slightly murky so if you like a pricey forward type player (Twilight Eclipse maybe?), go ahead and use. Brown Panther will likely be on my multi-race plays though it seems 12f is short for him..

Most Likely: #1 Telescope 4-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Hardest Core 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Flintshire 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Main Sequence 6-1 WON ($14.40)
Super Add: #11 Chiquita 8-1 5th


10th: 31st BC Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

As if there wasn't enough steam and respect for Rich Tapestry coming into this, performance of Goldencents Friday only further gilds the SA Sprint Championship winner. In other words, no Hong Kong Phooey today. After him, do whatever you want because anybody can fill out the super..

Most Likely: #6 Rich Tapestry 5-1 14th
Best Value: #10 Big Macher 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Secret Circle 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Mico Margarita 15-1 12th
Super Add: #8 Palace 6-1 6th


11th: 31st BC Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Excellent, accomplished group and virtually no combination in your wagers will be hopeless. Will cede imposing status of the Euros and feather in 2 well-priced North Americans with Tom's Tribute and Grand Arch..

Most Likely: #5 Toronado 5-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Tom's Tribute 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Mustajeeb 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Veda 12-1 12th
Super Add: #1 Grand Arch 20-1 11th


12th: 31st BC Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

I always stick to the Top 4 I offer in the Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide and that group looks fine 2 weeks after my initial thoughts were penned. California Chrome turns out to be the surprise 'now' horse of this Classic, clearly on edge physically and posted nicely for outside stalking voyage behind the pace-setting speed Bayern & Moreno. Cigar Street can draft in from inside as well and could offset Mott disappointment in Friday's feature when Close Hatches retired at the half mile pole. Bayern is of course a danger up front and could end an arduous week for Baffert who lost Midnight Lucky and American Pharaoh from the Cup at 11th hours. A truly terrific assembly..

Most Likely: #9 Toast of New York 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Shared Belief 9-5 4th
Best Value: #8 Zivo 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Tonalist 5-1 5th
Super Add: #13 California Chrome 4-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Cigar Street 12-1 7th


<$100 P4 Plays:

9: 1 (A), 7-9 (B), 2-4-11-12 (C)
10: 6 (A), 10 (B), 4-5-7-8-9-12-13-14 (C)
11: 5 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 1-2-7-8-9-10-11-12-13-14 (C)
12: 6-9 (A), 2-8-11-13 (B), 1-3-4-5-7-10-12-14 (C)

Full (A/B/C): $57.50
Simple (A/B): 3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$100 HRTV Distaff-Classic Double:

DIS: 10-11
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = 16 x $5 = $80 10-7 Distaff-Classic DBL Pays $24.70 x 5 = $123.50

DIS: 1-9
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = $16

 

 

 

RESULTS 10/31

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I introduce the Breeders' Cup invocation. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' going into Saturday's finale and get it all back, and more, in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic. But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.


It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Intoxicating Move 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hide My Heart 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Mum's Truckee 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Blingismything 6-1 WON ($22.40)


2nd: Las Vegas Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Cary Street 10-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #3 Irish Surf 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sky Kingdom 5-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Big Cazanova 5-2 5th


3rd: 2nd Golden St. Juvenile Fillies-Cal, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 MY FIONA 2-1 WON ($4.60)
Best Value: #9 Tatum's Gold 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Ashley's Sassy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Stormy Adieu 9-2 3rd


4th: 3rd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$7.00 favorites (Gabriel Charles; Speaking of Which) have been nipped in first two runnings of this event by 8-1 Rookie Sensation and 5-1 Grandeur respectively. Mott's Long On Value fits the profile here with Ring Weekend as the choice you'd like to best. Muddled pace picture adds to the intrigue in deep, challenging G2..

Most Likely: #10 Long On Value 6-1 WON ($25.00)
Next Best: #11 Ring Weekend 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Enterprising 7-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Sawyer's Hill 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Talco 8-1 5th


5th: 5th Damascus, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Magic Mark 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Midnight Hawk 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #11 Bahamian Squall 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Little Bit O'Fun 12-1 8th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 1-3-8-11
2: 3-5-7-9
3: 4
4: 6-10-11
5: 2-6-11

4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 8th BC Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Coolmore has been a force in this event and War Envoy a worthy key. As in the juvy girls race an hour later, worthwhile including some price types with the logical and as Ric Hammerle explained, the extreme post on the turf with rails down is not a fatal blow. People will abandon value Danny Boy here and filly Qualify later, but both figure prominently..

Most Likely: #7 War Envoy 9-2 12th
Best Value: #14 Danny Boy 20-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Commemorative 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Daddy D T 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Offering Plan 20-1 13th


<$50 P4 Grid:

3: 4
4: 1-2-6-10-11
5: 2-6-11
6: 4-7-14

1x5x3x3 = $45


7th: 8th BC Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Everyone seems prepared to accept Goldencents as a slam dunk. There seems to be some pace pressure, but if it's not the '13 winner, who is it? A quandry for your multi-race wagers..

Most Likely: #1 Goldencents 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 Tapiture 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Fed Biz 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Big Bane Theory 15-1 5th


8th: 7th BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Race has seen short-numbered Euros Vorda and Sky Lantern fail as choices last 2 years in favor of 7-1 Chriselliam and 11-1 Flotilla. As discussed on ATR in 'Reverse Tri Key' conversation, 37-1 Colonel Joan and 43-1 Summer of Fun nabbed exotic boosting 3rds in those runnings..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Eli 6-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #14 Qualify 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Rainha Da Bateria 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Osaila 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Quality Rocks 20-1 10th


9th: 31st BC Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (Distaff-Classic Double, Super Hi-5, DD)

As presented on ATR, this race got more unsettled the more I looked at it. Untapable or Close Hatches can win with authority or the pace could go nuclear and even Unbridled Forever could clunk by everyone. I'll keep it pretty simple with the big favorites and Pia Brandt's imposing grey French invader L'Amour de Ma Vie..

Most Likely: #10 Untapable 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #1 L'Amour de Ma Vie 15-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Close Hatches 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #9 Ria Antonia 15-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Don't Tell Sophia 5-1 2nd


$60 P4 Grid:

6: 7 (A), 4-14 (B), 1-2-5-8-10 (C)
7: 1 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 4-14 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-3-4-5-6-7-8 (C)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,5/4,9,15,16/10) Paid $78.85


<$100 HRTV Distaff-Classic Double:

DIS: 10-11
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = 16 x $5 = $80

DIS: 1-9
CLS: 2-6-7-8-9-11-13-14

2x8 = $16


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #2 Day of Fury 6-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Jimmy Bouncer 9-2 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #9 Demonic 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 El Nino Terrible 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Toledo Eddie 8-1 3rd

 

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S BC SATURDAY RESULTS

 

Breeders' Cup - Day 2 POST SCRATCHES - FAST / GOOD


Santa Anita


R1 - Juvenile Turf Sprint 100k (OFF Turf 2yo 6.5F)


R2 - CB Golden State Juvenile (2yo 7F)

#2 Wake Up Nick (5-2) 2ND
#5 Comanche River (12-1) 4TH
#6 Mischief Clem (3-1) 3RD
#1 Acceptance (2-1) WON $3.40

R3 - G3 Senator Ken Maddy (Turf 6.5F)


R4 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (2yo f 8.5F)

#11 Top Decile (10-1) - Seems versatile in first two races to adjust to pace scenario and post postition. 2ND
#2 Angela Renee (3-1) - Prep winner clearly is a serious threat once again.
#1 Feathered (8-1) - Just needs a clean break and be forwardly placed throughout. 4TH
#8 Puca (6-1) - Crushed when trying dirt at two turns and should stalk from an advantageous draw.
#4 Conquest Eclipse (4-1) - Working lights out and could turn the tables this time.

R5 - G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (Turf 10F)

#8 Irish Mission (20-1) - This race has a history of some BOMBS and she looks like that kind to me.
#7 Emollient (12-1) - She seems to like the firm SA lawn and the price will be an overlay.
#6 Fiesolana (Ire) (8-1) - Euro is battle tested and must be respected for all slots.
#2 Just The Judge (Ire) (5-1) - Coming off two solid U.S. performances and she draws perfectly for her style. 3RD
#3 Dank (5-2) - Not as sharp as last year coming in, but keep her off your multis at your own risk. 4TH

PK5 - 2 5 8 11 / 1 2 5 6 / 2 5 / 11 / 2 3 6 7 8 = $80 for $.50

R6 - G1 Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint

#3 Stonetastic (8-1) - Benefited the most from the Midnight Lucky scratch. A clean break and she'll be a handful to reel in. 4TH
#6 Leigh Court (4-1) - As solid as they come and she's not camera shy.
#7 Judy the Beauty (5-2) - Just missed last year and has had another productive year. WON $8.20
#8 Better Lucky (15-1) - Looking for her to pick up the pieces and add some value underneath. 2ND
#5 Artemis Agrotera (3-1) - Versatile filly must prove she can ship outside of New York before I jump in at low odds.

R7 - G1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Turf 6.5F)

#4 Tightend Touchdown (8-1) - Draws well and was able to handle tricky course last year when 2nd. Expecting a big run.
#2 Silentio (8-1) - Always been a fan and these miler types have had success in 1st attempt down the hill.
#11 Undrafted (8-1) - Has handled shipping all over including overseas and this course looks to suit him just fine. 3RD
#1 Reneesgotzip (5-1) - She'll be gunning from the inside draw and look to hold on without Mizdirection breathing down her neck.
#5 Ambitious Brew (12-1) - Loves this course and must be included.

PK4 - 2 11 / 2 3 6 7 8 / 3 6 7 / 2 4 11 = $45 for $.50

R8 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile (2yo 8.5F)

#9 Carpe Diem (4-1) - Super impressive at KEE and looks to be in good position throughout before kicking it into gear late. 2ND
#7 Texas Red (20-1) - Really jumped up two turns on dirt and I expect another nice off the pace run. WON $29.80
#8 Souper Colossal (12-1) - Undefeated colt should be forwardly placed and no reason to think he'll fade away late.
#12 Daredevil (7-2) - Has been brilliant, but there are a few of questions; two turns, never racing on dry dirt, and never shipping.


R9 - G1 Breeders' Cup Turf (Turf 12F)

#1 Telescope (Ire) (4-1) - Euro class usually dominates this race and this guy has been knocking heads with Europe's top runners. 4TH
#7 Flintshire (GB) (7-2) - Seems to like firm ground and comes off monster 2nd place finish in the world's most important Turf race. 2ND
#11 Chicquita (Ire) (8-1) - Connections showing a ton of confidence picking this spot instead of BC F&M Turf. Don't discount chances.
#12 Main Sequence (6-1) - Hard to go against 3 G1's victories in a row, but faces his toughest challenge since arriving state side. WON $14.40
#5 Hangover Kid (30-1) - Hard knocker gives me the indication that he likes a firm course and this might be to his liking at a monster price.

R10 - G1 Breeders' Cu Sprint

#7 Mico Margarita (15-1) - Like the way he's coming into the race and looks to get a favorable trip.
#4 Secret Circle (9-2) - Expecting defending champ to bounce back with a big effort. 2ND
#6 Rich Tapestry (Ire) (5-1) - Ran down a couple of real good ones in most recent, but faces a much bigger field here.
#14 Bourbon Courage (30-1) - After following his career hard to imagine he'd end up here, but has a bunch of talent and could light up the toteboard with a proper trip. 4TH
#2 Indianapolis (12-1) - Lightly raced colt and shown talent since day one and must be included in deep tickets.

R11 - G1 Breeders' Cup Mile (Turf 8F)

#4 Mustajeeb (GB) (6-1) - Has taken money in Europe while facing top company looks to give world class trainer Dermot Weld for 1st BC win.
#6 Tom's Tribute (15-1) - He's in sharp form and draws perfectly for his stalking style.
#5 Toronado (Ire) (5-2) - Logical contender with lots of credentials, but looks more like a use and not a single.
#2 Obviously (8-1) - No secret what the game plan will be. Send and hope for the best.
#8 Trade Storm (GB) (12-1) - Experience runner in coming in on career from off Woodbine Mile victory. Spencer will work out a trip. 3RD

R12 - G1 Breeders' Cup Classic

#2 Cigar Street (12-1) - Lightly raced 5yr old has flashed some talent and these top connections had other options (Fayette last week and Clark later the month), but chose this one. He's caught some buzz this week, but you'll still get a great price on a runner that was always meant for this despite a couple of injury setbacks.
#6 Shared Belief (9-5) - The only concern is how much did the Awesome Again race take out of him. Looking for him to run BIG. 4TH
#12 Candy Boy (20-1) - This is his favorite track and should be his favorite distance. The price will be right if you chose to take a risk.
#11 Tonalist (5-1) - I'm a huge fan, but maybe his best running comes at Belmont. With the right trip, he could take this and become Horse of the Year.
#9 Toast of New York (12-1) - Wildcard in the race and we know he can handle the Classic distance. If he handles the dirt, the rest might be in trouble. 2ND

PK6 - 2 4 11 / 9 / 1 7 / 4 6 7 / 4 / 2 6 = $72

PK4 - 1 7 11 / 2 4 6 7 14 / 2 4 5 6 8 / 2 6 = $75

Special Daily Double - Distaff/Classic - $1 DD - 6 7 9 10 11 / 2 6 9 11 12 = $25

$10 DD - 6 10 / 2 6 12 = $60 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S BC FRIDAY RESULTS

 

Breeders' Cup - Day 1


Santa Anita


R1 - OC 40k/N1X (Turf 6.5F)

#5 Starry Skies (6-1)
#4 Jade With Envy (12-1)
#1 Mum's Truckee (8-1) 4TH
#7 Night Song (GB) (3-1)

R2 - G2 Las Vegas Marathon

#4 Ice Cream Truck (8-1)
#5 Big Cazanova (Arg) (5-2)
#9 Cary Street (10-1) WON $7.80
#7 Sky Kingdom (5-1) 4TH

R3 - CB Golden State Juvenile Fillies (2yo f 7F)

#9 Tatum's Gold (8-1) 4TH
#7 Ashley's Sassy (3-1)
#4 My Fiona (2-1) WON $4.60
#1 Stormy Adieu (9-2) 3RD

R4 - G2 Twilight Derby (Turf 9F)

#8 Flamboyant (Fr) (6-1) - Expecting a bounce back performance. 4TH
#11 Ring Weekend (3-1) - Has found a home on the lawn and has shown the ability to ship.
#1 Sawyer's Hill (12-1) - Looks to be forwardly placed in a race that lacks front runners. 2ND
#2 Talco (Fr) (8-1) - Should be able to save some ground from an inside draw.

R5 - Damascus 100k

#2 Midnight Hawk (7-2) - Training lights out for return and this looks like it will be his best distance. Malibu double looks very realistic.
#11 Bahamian Squall (4-1) - Expecting a nice stalking trip from the outside draw and he's more than capable of firing a big one. 2ND
#12 Unbridled's Note (8-1) - Returns to the dirt for 2nd off the bench. 3RD
#7 Declassify (6-1) - G1 winner at the distance has fired off a layoff.

PK5 - 1 4 5 7 / 4 5 9 / 4 7 9 / 8 11 / 2 11 = $72 for $.50

R6 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (Turf 2yo 8F)

#4 Commemorative (GB) (8-1) BEST BET - Improving colt should take another step forward from a favorable post in wide open event.
#2 Daddy D T (15-1) - Draws well and will be making a late rally at a price. 3RD
#14 Danny Boy (15-1) - Looking for Leparoux to take to the rail early before unleashing a late kick in the final furlong.
#7 War Envoy (9-2) - Solid Euro connections have had success in this race and this one just needs a little pace to run at.
#3 Luck of the Kitten (8-1) - Should take advantage of his early foot and is dangerous if left alone. 2ND

PK4 - 4 7 9 / 1 8 11 / 2 11 / 2 3 4 7 14 = $45 for $.50

R7 - Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

#9 Tapiture (6-1) - Only dull race was the Derby and this fits him right between the eyes. 2ND
#1 Goldencents (6-5) - Defending champ will be tough to reel in. WON $3.40
#8 Fed Biz (7-2) - Has enough speed to stay in touch with top choice, but must bring his A Game.
#6 Golden Ticket (15-1) - Honest closer will need some to back up for his best.
#3 Vicar's in Trouble (12-1) - Has a chance to hold on for a minor award.

R8 - G1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Filles Turf (Turf 2yo f 8F)

#2 Osaila (Ire) (5-1) - Draws beautifully and should not have any issues with the two turn stetchout. 3RD
#4 Lady Eli (6-1) - Was geared down near the wire after an electric turn of foot in G3 Miss Grillo. WON $6.80
#6 Sivoliere (Ire) (12-1) - Regally bred filly is moving in the right direction and is in very good hands.
#5 Isabella Sings (12-1) - Expecting the draw alone to move her considerably.
#9 Lady Zuzu (15-1) - Bred for two turns and she could take it to them early and often at a huge price. LATE SCR

R9 - G1 Breeders' Cup Distaff

#10 Untapable (5-2) - I wanted to try and beat her, but she's been training superbly and looks to get a perfect stalking trip. WON $5.20
#6 Stanwyck (20-1) - Consistent sort will be ignored at the windows and should get a similar trip to #10 Untapable at 20 times the price.
#7 Don't Tell Sophia (5-1) - If they get silly up front, she'll be ready to pick up the pieces. 2ND
#11 Close Hatches (3-1) - I know Keeneland favored closers in most recent meet, but that was a head scratching performance in last.
#9 Ria Antonia (15-1) - Loved the way Paco rode her at Keeneland and I'm expecting similar tactics. 4TH

Special Daily Double - Distaff/Classic - $1 DD - 6 7 9 10 11 / 2 6 9 11 12 = $25

$10 DD - 6 10 / 2 6 12 = $60

PK6 - 8 11 / 2 11 / 2 4 7 14 / 1 9 / 2 / 6 10 = $128

PK4 - 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 11 12 14 / 1 9 / 2 4 5 6 9 / 6 10 = $120 for $.50 PAID $78.85 x 2 = $157.70

R10 - OC 40k/N1X

#7 Jimmy Bouncer (9-2) WON $7.00
#9 Demonic (8-1)
#6 Rprettyboyfloyd (6-1)

PK4 - 1 8 9 / 2 4 5 6 9 / 6 7 9 10 11 / 7 9 = $75 for $.50 PAID $45.25 x 2 = $90.50

 

 

 

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 10/18


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tizquick 6-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #8 Andrew Got Zip 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 David Rocks 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Summer Hawk 10-1 5th


2nd: 18th Sleepy Hollow-NY, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

If Ostrolenka is such a reliable choice here, why did Pletcher/Barber keep MD Million eligible Bullheaded Boy home? This set feels slippery..

Most Likely: #2 Ostrolenka 9-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #7 Good Luck Gus 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Bullheaded Boy 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Market Conduct 5-1 3rd


3rd: 18th Maid of the Mist-NY, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Romans fave 'Patty' was under BC Juvy Filly consideration..

Most Likely: #9 Temper Mint Patty 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Myfourchix 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Quezon 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandra 6-1 4th


4th: 36th Mohawk-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Top 3 interchangeable..

Best Value: #1 Kharafa 5-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #9 Lubash 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 King Kreesa 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #8 Notacatbutallama 6-1 4th


5th: 36th Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 La Verdad 7-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #4 Willet 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Risky Rachel 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Whisper 15-1 8th


<$75 P5 Grid:

1: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
2: 2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
3: 9 (A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3-9 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 6 (B), 5 (C)

A/B: $48
Full A/B/C: $70 $0.50 Pick-5 (1,2/2/6/1/8,9) Paid $161.25


<$60 P4 Grid:

2: 2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), 4 (C)
3: 9 (A), 4 (B), 6 (C)
4: 1-3-9 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
5: 4-8 (A), 6 (B), 5 (C)

A/B: $36
Full A/B/C: $52 $0.50 Pick-4 (2/6/1/8,9) Paid $62.87


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Ode to the Hunt 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #1 Scooby Dude 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Persuasive Devil 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Brother O'Connell 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Threes Are Wild 8-1 8th


7th: 1st Empire Distaff-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Who besides Carameaway is going to want to challenge Princess Violet? Do they go 1-2 all the way? Rosario and Sunny Desert is the intrigue..

Most Likely: #5 Princess Violet 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #3 Sunny Desert 5-1 8th
Next Best: #1a (POE) Carameaway 7-2 3rd/7th
Exotics Use: #6 Lady Gracenote 20-1 4th


8th: 39th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Start of late P4 that has excellent potential and premium playability if you fully support Discreet Marq in the 9th. This is a good group of hard-hitters with authentic pace that should provide all with an honest chance. Defending winner Saratoga Snacks faces a more challenging set here than a year ago and his summer form appears to make him a vulnerable fave. Should be set for best but that may not be enough. Three year olds are a big part of this and emergent Sioux looms imposing with continued forward progress and if the 9th panel is to his liking. Fellow sophs So Lonesome, Effinex and Eye Luv Lulu have equal upside. Just no easy eliminations here..

Most Likely: #8 Sioux 5-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Effinex 15-1 WON ($37.20)
Next Best: #3 Saratoga Snacks 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Eye Luv Lulu 15-1 5th


9th: 34th Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Discreet Marq 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Strike Accord 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Invading Humor 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Effie Trinket 9-2 4th


10th: 37th Hudson-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

As competitive as the Classic..

Most Likely: #7 Moonlight Song 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Best Value: #10 Captain Serious 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Big Business 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 West Hills Giant 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $35.75
$1 Trifecta (7-5-2) Paid $244.75
$1 Superfecta (7-5-2-10) Paid $1,462.00



11th: NY-MSW, 3+,

Best Value: #5 Manoffire 6-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Spider Roll 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Runaway Posse 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #4 Spark to Ignite 5-1 8th


<$100 P4 Grid:

8: 3-5-8 (A), 4-6-7 (B), 1-2 (C)
9: 10 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)
10: 7-10 (A), 2-4-5-6 (B), 6-9 (C)
11: 5-11 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-8 (C)

A/B $72; Full A/B/C: $100 $0.50 Pick-4 (5/4,10,13,14,15/7/3) Paid $431.00

 

 


RESULTS 10/10


You've heard me talk about Andy Harrington/National Turf many times, but I'm going to do another plug here. Friday's Santa Anita nightcap was a rag tag MDN CLM affair with an obvious favorite in Freakin Amazing and little other clear contenders. It was a spot that cried out for a price inclusion and reaching for a hint or two from Harrington's workout notes was vital. Eddie Freeman's Native Heart was making a 2nd start, an area the trainer excels, and his 10/1 drill produced this Harrington comment: May be better than debut going the last 1/4 in 24.3 under some late wraps. Rounding forward. -- Grade: B-.

Freeman's strong 21% 2nd/start and that encouraging Harrington blurb was all you really need when looking for an offbeat option. Native Heart proceeded to run a courageous race at 55-1, only yielding in the last few jumps to the highly likely favorite. The exacta paid $150 and the tri $1,136 with the 2nd choice running third. National Turf costs $10 for Harrington's view of 80% of a card's workouts and you can't play Southern California seriously without it.

Hope everyone did well Friday. Big multi-day carryovers at Belmont and Santa Anita today, but I'm on the road for a wedding and only have Keeneland ideas today..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Stays on turf being called 'soft'.. Bitty Kitty!

Most Likely: ##11 Keening 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Liz Pendens 10-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Modernstone 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Bitty Kitty 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #8 Fine Assay 15-1 12th


7th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sarah Sis 4-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #6 Know It All Anna 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nagzilla 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Rachel's Ready 12-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Divine Beauty 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Devious d'Oro 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Street Girl 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Brown Eyed Mary 7-2 6th


9th: 31st Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ball Dancing 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sistas Stroll 12-1 3rd-DH
Next Best: #2 Minorette 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Crown Queen 4-1 WON ($7.20)


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Holiday Twist 3-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Tiz Sexy Now 8-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Silverpocketsfull 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Get Set Go 12-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 4-11 (A), 6-13 (B), 3-8-12 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6-8 (A), 7 (B), 4 (C)
8: 7 (A), 8 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2 (B), 8 (C)
10: 4 (A), 11-12 (B), 2-7-10 (C)

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION

 

Keeneland


R6 - Alw 62k/N3X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 High Jinks (Brz) (15-1) - Top connections seem fit to step her up after recent claim.
#9 Stoptalkingmaria (12-1) - Willing to excuse her last and bobble head hops aboard. Should take advantage of her early speed.
#6 Bitty Kitty (4-1) - Finally figured it out and must be included.
#13 Modernstone (GB) (5-1) - Freshened up and takes a slight drop.

R7 - Alw 58k/N2L (2yo f 6.5F)

#5 Lovely Maria (6-1) - Barn excellent with youngsters and it's not easy to win from the rail in debut. Check out the sharp local work on 10/6.
#1 Sarah Sis (4-1) - Thrown right into graded company off impressive debut and she finished 2nd in G2 Arlington Lassie versus a nice field.
#2 Bossy (4-1) - Working lights out and the Cat Man is overdue to get rolling.
#7 Rachel's Ready (12-1) - Barn knows when to add the hood and will appreciate the class relief.

R8 - OC 62k/N2X

#5 Street Girl (8-5) - Expecting a big performance off the freshening and cutting back to 7 furlongs. Draws well for her stalking style.
#7 Divine Beauty (2-1) - Nice to see her back and works indicate she's ready off the bench.
#8 Devious d'Oro (15-1) - Dirt is the preferred surface and adds nice value underneath here.
#6 Brown Eyed Mary (7-2) - Consistent sort looks to run another decent race, but I don't see her in the same caliber of the top two choices.

R9 - G1 QE II Cup (Turf 9F)

#1 Sistas Stroll (12-1) - Pucker Up winners have had success in this race and she draws well in a wide open edition of this race.
#6 Ball Dancing (9-2) - Took care of business in U.S. debut and no reason to think she can't take another step forward.
#8 Crown Queen (4-1) - Has really been a different animal this year and fits well here.
#7 Sea Queen (5-1) - Expect her forwardly placed throughout and she'll give a game effort.

R10 - MSW 56k (2yo f 6.5F)

#4 Holiday Twist (3-1) - One of my favorite angles in play here. Showed speed in debut (to winner $8 Nagzills in Race 7 today) for a filly that is bred to go long.
#6 Wasatch (6-1) - Well bred filly could come out running for sharp barn. Check out toteboard for any clues.
#1 Live Forever (5-1) - Another 1st time starter that could be any kind. Again toteboard might give you any indications about chances.
#9 I Zoom (8-1) - Strong finish versus full field and adds Lasix today.

PK5 - 2 5 6 9 11 13 / 1 2 5 7 8 / 5 / 1 2 6 7 8 / 4 = $75 for $.40

PK4 - 1 2 4 6 7 8 / 5 7 / 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 / 4 = $42 for $.50



Hawthorne - Spot Play


R8 - #5 Gold Former (12-1) - Probably didn't care for the soft going in most recent at Arlington Park. The 7yr old gelding had decent efforts on firm going last winter at Gulfstream Park while facing much better competition. Betting at anything over 7-1.


BEL/SA Double

BEL R10 - Md 40k (Turf 6F) - #2 Byron's Pop (8-1), #1 Jimmy Fillpot (2-1), #10 Political Farce (6-1)

SA R5 - MSW 56k - #4 Alfa Bird (5-2)

BEL/SA Double - $10 DD - 1 2 10 / 4


Santa Anita


R7 - Md 40k

#9 Barbs Angel (9-2)
#8 Denotation (4-1)
#4 Spectacular Proof (3-1)
#2 Wild Caroline (7-2)

R8 - OC 40k/N1X

#1 Got Even (6-1)
#5 Toledo Eddie (4-1)
#3 Rusty Road (6-1)
#7 Conscience (9-2)

R9 - CB California Distaff Handicap (Turf 6.5F)

#9 Tribal Spy (7-2)
#11 Velvet Mesquite (9-2)
#7 Ciao Bella Luna (6-1)
#6 Heat Trap (6-1)

R10 - Md 30k

#4 Yes She's a Dancer (7-2)
#5 Honey in Paradise (12-1)
#11 Forest Trees (4-1)
#10 Classy Schiller (9-2)

PK4 - 2 4 8 9 / 1 3 5 7 9 / 9 11 / 4 5 11 = $60 for $.50

Good Racing Luck

 

  


SANTA ANITA RESULTS 10/10



POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Willing to Travel 3-1 (A) 5th
Next Best: #1 Battle of Evermore 5-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Metaboss 8-1 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Stormy Liberal 15-1 (C) WON ($38.80)


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fascinating 6-5 (A) 4th
Best Value: #2 Interject 6-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Live for Now 5-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Art of War 12-1 (C) 6th
Super Add: #8 Kirov 5-2 (C) WON ($14.60)


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fantastic Mizz 5-2 (A) 3rd
Best Value: #5 Cravin' the Heat 12-1 (B) 7th
Next Best: #4 Doctor Glynis 8-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Sunset Skies 9-2 (C) 5th


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tim's Go Girl 7-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #8 Jetbird 15-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #6 Small Moves 4-1 (B) WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Adriatic Style 8-1 (C) 4th
Super Add: #5 Nueva Fortuna 4-1 (C) 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Ethnic Dance 3-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kulik Lodge 5-2 (A) WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Te Rapa 4-1 (B) 5th
Super Add: #3 Mega Heat 4-1 (C) 4th


8th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Freakin Amazing 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #4 Native Heart 20-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Seek Safe Harbor 4-1 (C) 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Scatchmeifyoucan 7-2 (C) 8th
Super Add: #5 Honey Nugget 12-1 (C) 6th


 

 
KEENELAND RESULTS 10/8


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 My Pal Paul 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Is Silver Good 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Party Time 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Soldier Inthe Rain 8-1 WON ($19.40)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Note #13 Watchyourownbobber (4-1) DOES get in.. #2 Courtier a half to Emollient; #5 Sports Book by Md'O out of MGSW Padua mare Bohemian Lady; #8 Czar a half to Cerro; #10 My Curby a McPeek production (as discussed on ATR today) being by Curlin out of MGSW My Baby Baby..

Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #1 Cold Spice 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 My Curby 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Sports Book 10-1 12th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

With Joy Boy out, ascendant Magical Moment (8-1) could wire this..

Best Value: #4 Magical Moment 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Catholic Cowboy 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Donoharm 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Viva Majorca 5-2 3rd


8th: 24th Jessamine (G3), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Quality Rocks 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Late Spring 15-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Rainha Da Bateria 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Fila Primera 4-1 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Une Cherise 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Tap Twenty One 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Enchanting Lisa 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Temper 10-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #9 Playful Love 10-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), 2-3 (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), 2-8-13 (C)
7: 4 (A), 9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 5-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)

Simple (A/B's): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $57


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5-6 (A), 2-8-10 (B), 3-13 (C)
7: 4 (A), 9-10 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 4 (A), 3-5-9 (B), 8 (C)
9: 4 (A), 3 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A/B's): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C's): $44.50

 

 

RESULTS 10/4  

Wet weather only slightly dampened the enthusiastic reception for Keeneland Friday and a much more picturesque day expected for Saturday. Was humming along until the Alcibiades collapsed into a scrum for the late runners and imported Peace and War picked up the pieces at 23-1. Some early scores boosted the Lexington opener as Joan Scott's Best Value idea Ambidextrous Alex ($22.40) ended a $93 P3 and keyed the nice $224 triple over favorites Tapit Wicked and Exodus. Fun start to the newest incantation of Keeneland. Jope everyone did well. I'll stay with the venue today with a nicer afternoon expected there than in New York.


KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

2nd division of juvy routers features slightly less experienced set than in Race 2. Nothing particularly clever to note though Vogner (Point Given), Calumet H/B half to Skyring, looks mildly appealing as price inclusion moving to main track off turf route debut..

Most Likely: #6 Frammento 3-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #2 Westbound 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Starbound 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Vogner 10-1 9th


5th: 18th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Always potential for chaos in quality lawn dash and this has real pace signed on to guarantee an honest running. Not adventurous tabbing co-2nd choice Marchman (7-2) here, but No Distinction (20-1) seems capable of juicing up the mutuels..

Most Likely: #10 Marchman 7-2 6th
Best Value: #3 No Distinction 20-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Spring to the Sky 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Positive Side 12-1 8th


6th: 34th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P5, All Stakes P4, P3)

Found this trickier than it should be and admit to not having a great feel for how it plays out. R Free Roll and Stonetastic obviously have races that win this easily. Southern Honey has a look setting up behind the speed. WO-based runners Leigh Court returns to dirt and Northern Passion sees a dry fast main for the first time..

Most Likely: #5 Stonetastic 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Southern Honey 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 R Free Roll 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 SCR


7th: 17th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Don't you feel as if you know all of these intimately? Don't discount Better Lucky's chance for a repeat here at a square price..

Best Value: #5 Better Lucky 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Dayatthespa 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Filimbi 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Somali Lemonade 9-2 5th


8th: 101st Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Didn't help get us to the winner or show runner, but discussed the potential for chaos in Friday's Alcibiades based on pace and stretchouts and collapse scenario unfolded on cue. This group didn't look as hot-blooded at first glance, but there are enough fast-early types and prompters to ensure this is run fairly. Top 4 ML faves all have established themselves (Carpe Diem, Bold Conquest, Conquest Tsunami, Hashtag Bourbon), but Ike Walker (8-1) looks like a live key from Stidham and the Thrashes showing steady improvement at Chicago and with a right to jump up first time dirt. The Bellamy Road colt sold for twice the average of his sire's yearlings, should appreciate the 2 turns and gets barn's go-to rider in Albarado who should set up shop towards the front of the second flight..

Best Value: #9 IKE WALKER 8-1 12th
Next Best: #6 Bold Conquest 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Carpe Diem 4-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #10 Hashtag Bourbon 4-1 7th


9th: 29th Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Always willing to believe Wise Dan is vulnerable, but confidence of typically austere LoPresti rather telling of expectations for champ on course he relishes. Sayaad, Grand Arch, Seek Again and Kaigun all pose authentic threat..

Most Likely: #6 Wise Dan 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #1 Sayaad 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Seek Again 7-2 -
Exotics Use: #3 Grand Arch 12-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), 3-4/SCR (B), 2-7 (C)
7: 1-5-7 (A), 8 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-7-10 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 9 with 6 - $1.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 6 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 1,8 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 8 with 9 with 6 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 1,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 5,6 with 6 - $2.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 8 with 9 with 1,8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 5,6 with 1,8 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,7 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 6 - $3.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 6,9 with 9 with 6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 1,7,10 with 6 - $9.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 5,6 with 1,5,7 with 9 with 3,4,5 - $9.00

Total: $74.00


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Pletcher and Coolmore unveil $950,000 Malibu Moon filly Enchantress here and it will be surprising if she isn't ready at first asking. Notable as the as the highest priced filly and last hip to sell at Barrett's March Sale this year, she was selected by Pletcher himself who has an affinity for Malibu Moon female progeny (Life At Ten, Devil May Care, Malibu Prayer, et al)..

Most Likely: #7 Enchantress 3-1: See above; Expensive bay well-drilled for bow.. WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Pattitude 6-1: Foley City Zip miss moves to main for 2nd start.. 4th
Best Value: #11 White Clover 8-1: Half to accomplished GSW Ermine.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Zeven 4-1 2nd
Hi-5 Play: #2 Pinata Cat 10-1 7th


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 2-3-4/SCR-5-6-7
7: 1-5-7
8: 5-6-9-10
9: 1-6
10: 7

5x3x4x2x1 = 120 x .50 = $60 $0.50 Pick-5 (2/7/5/6/7) Paid $477.35

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/7/5/6/7) Paid $7.75 (4OF5) x 10 = $77.50



<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-7 (A), 8 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-7-10 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-5 (C)
10: 7 (A), 4-11 (B), 2-9 (C)

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $3.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $1.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 6 with 7 - $3.00 $0.50 Pick-4 (7/5/6/7) Paid $83.35
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 7 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 4,11 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 5,10 with 6 with 7 - $1.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 7 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 8 with 6,9 with 6 with 4,11 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 1,8 with 7 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 5,10 with 6 with 4,11 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 1,8 with 4,11 - $12.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 6,9 with 6,9 with 6 with 7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 1,12 with 6 with 7 - $3.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 2,3,4,5 with 7 - $12.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,5,7 with 6,9 with 6 with 2,9,12 - $9.00

Total: $74.00

 

  

RESULTS 10/3

Fell tortuously short on C/O try at BEL Thursday as Vona photo loss in 7th doomed conso after 2nd/3rd efforts from Honor the Kitten and Charlie's Picnic in the 5th. Caught overlaid Schettino dropdown Bernstein Flambe ($32) to start the afternoon which did guarantee the day's returns. Bakken's return in the 8th went well (94 Beyer) and the Chad Brown charge should be ready for a major stakes try next. Hope everyone did well.

Keeneland back on the betting menu today and some wet weather adds to the intrigue already in the offing via Day 1 of the new 'high tech' dirt main. Two premium juvenile MSW's and ALW's, the G3 Phoenix sprint and G1 Alcibiades make the opener attractive despite the uncertainty of the fresh surface. Expecting surface to play fast based on early notations from trainers and track management..


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Nice looking group features 7 FTS anchored by Brereton Jones' Proud Spell son Etruscan (Bernardini). Jones sold Proud Spell's modest first drop ($175k Indian Spell to Besilu) and the second hasn't made the races, so the jury is out as to what kind of broodmare she's going to be. Colt certainly working well for Larry Jones and sure seems likely that this set of connections will be prepared for today's high profile setting..

Most Likely: #10 Joe Franklin 5-2: Breen 2nd timer the one to catch.. WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #2 Etruscan 4-1: See above; Bullet gate works add to appeal.. 5th
Best Value: #5 Pro Daddy 12-1: Plus price on B. Lynch half to speedy SW Graeme Six.. 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Danzig Moon 5-1: Oxley Malibu Moon blasting away in a.m. cross-state.. 4th


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Nice enough group with classy turnback Bourbon Courage headlining, but a bit of a curiousity with no certain pacesetter. Rugged from the rail? Paco Lopez always hustles.. Is that the plan with Vegas No Show? Quirky start to the P5..

Most Likely: #2 Bourbon Courage 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #5 Politicallycorrect 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Officer Alex 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Vegas No Show 7-2 4th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

2nd division of maidens features 2nd horses from no less than 6 of the outfits that send runners in the 5th (Romans, Lynch, Casse, McPeek, Jones, Stewart)!

Most Likely: #8 Exodus 5-1: $600k Porter buy a half to Cross Traffic.. 3rd
Best Value: #10 Ambidextrous Alex 30-1: Scott sharp 2nd/out & adds Lasix.. WON ($22.40)
Next Best: #6 Cloverdale Nine 9-2: Ward FTS a half to zippy Whywhywhy.. 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Tapit Wicked 4-1: Lost to Wilkes' 30-1 shot. Feels iffy.. 2nd


8th: 162nd Phoenix (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Authentic speed here and those that can attend without needing front seem preferable. Love regional stalwarts Rainbow Heir (NJ) and Work All Week (IL), but have doubts v. bigger stage open players...

Best Value: #1 C. Zee 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Bern Identity 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Work All Week 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #3 Lemon Drop Dream 8-1 4th


9th: 63rd Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Deep, seemingly talented field dotted with stretchouts and surface switchers inviting some chaos..

Most Likely: #5 Taylor S 8-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Top Decile 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Innovative Idea 10-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Fashion Alert 4-1 6th
Super Add: #13 Gap Year 8-1 7th


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 Miracle Run 4-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Kimberly Jean 5-1 -
Best Value: #1 Circus Girl 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Treaty Oak 7-2 -
Super Add: #6 SCR


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 5 (B), 3-4 (C)
7: 8 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 6-11-13 (C)
10: 13 (A), 12 (B), 1-6-7 (C)


P4 Grid:

7: 8 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 1 (A), 2-8 (B), 3-4-5 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-7 (B), 6-11-13 (C)
10: 13 (A), 1-12 (B), 6-7 (C)


 



BELMONT PARK RESULTS 10/2


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$27k C/O starts here..

Tricky start to P6..

Best Value: #6 Bernstein Flambe 10-1 WON ($32.40)
Next Best: #7 Little G 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Zenstone 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Midnight Champagne 20-1 6th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Kitten & Picnic the 'class' but will have to rally to get to Awake & Joking..

Most Likely: #2 Honor the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Charlie's Picnic 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 I'm Wide Awake 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Joking 4-1 5th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

After Kerjillion, have to do some pedigree and trainer guesswork..

Most Likely: #2 Kerjillion 5-2 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #9 Doctor Red 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Fulmer 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #15 Scooby Dude 6-1 5th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Vona 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Three for Me 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Sunlover 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Bajan Summer 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bakken 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1a Dream Saturday 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Captain Serious 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Geaux Mets 12-1 6th


9th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-T

Best Value: #8 Mythical Man 8-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Media Kid 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Mop Head 5-1 6th
Super Add: #13 Best Play 20-1 9th


P6 Grid:

4: 6-7 (A), 2 (B), 1-3-5-12 (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
6: 2 (A), 5-9 (B), 11-15 (C)
7: 4 (A), 6 (B), 1-3-8-9 (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
9: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2 (C)

Simple A&B's: 3x2x3x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144
Full A/B/C's: $196


P4 Grid:

6: 2-9 (A), 5-15 (B), 6-8-11 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 1-8 (B), 3-9 (C)
8: 7 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
9: 8-10 (A), 2 (B), 6-11-13 (C)

Simple A&B's: 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full A/B/C's: $78

 

  

BELMONT PARK RESULTS 9/27


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Deep group of pricey babies. Don't need to embellish merits of favored Albertrani/McLaughlin and Pletcher/Guillot entries, but note 12-1 Midhmaar (Tapit) a $600k Shadwell buy out of Fawkes MGSW middle distance sprint machine Take D' Tour. King Rontos keeps running into monsters. Easy Comparison was game in defeat in second start/first dirt try at SAR. Dannie's Deceiver is by Quality Road who is establishing himself quickly as a top 'first out' sire. Cannizzo lures Rosario and popped with 31-1 FTS in '13 that boosts his ROI..

Most Likely: #2e Godolphin-Darley ownership entry 4-1 2nd/6th
Best Value: #7 Midhmaar 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e Southern Equine ownership entry 3-1 WON ($13.20)/9th
Exotics Use: #5 Dannie's Deceiver 15-1 7th


2nd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Noble Cornerstone 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Next Best: #8 Round 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Inmyfathersimage 30-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Chapman 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Congrats to Ken 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Dispersion 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Gustnado 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Epsilon 4-1 5th
Super Add: #1 St. Louie 15-1 8th


4th: 34th Kelso (G2), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

With the stakes starting here, good spot to take note that with the Thursday rain, there's a chance the main track remains very tight. Friday saw a steady parade of on/near lead winners including 12-1 Roman Approval. It's going to be a sunny, warm day, so there's the opportunity for the track to be ideally groomed, but anything that favors speed can impact this event and and the Vosburgh particularly. Should River Rocks and Bradester fail to engage each other, either can wire..

Most Likely: #7 Itsmyluckyday 4-5 3rd
Next Best:#4 River Rocks 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Scarly Charly 30-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bradester 3-1 7th


5th: 76th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Rosario seems ideally suited for 50 Shades. Sky Beauty win by Toasting lifts an eyebrow for big opportunity here at square price. Understand betting against underlay Stopchargingmaria but she is perfect at the trip, albeit around 2 turn versions of 9f. Stanwyck's typical effort gains share..

Most Likely: #5 Fiftyshadesofhay 9-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Toasting 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Stopchargingmaria 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Stanwyck 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Belle Gallantey 7-2 WON ($11.40)


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Perfect spot to take a shot in a contentious affair that comes ahead of the all stakes P4. Ragtime is out of modest Phipps product Castanet (El Prado), a sister of top turf performer Dancing Forever (Rahy). Shug tried to get the Henny Hughes son on turf earlier this summer and at 20-1, trust that there's method to the Hall of Famer's madness..

Best Value: #6 RAGTIME 20-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Upgrade 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Great Attack 7-2 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #7 Cajun Breeze 20-1 4th


7th: 37th Flower Bowl (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro, this is a mix-and-match group that have been largely in and out through the summer. Chad Brown's troika a good place to start with Stephanie's Kitten, Whatsdachances and maddening Alterite all demanding attention/inclusion. Ballston Spa exacta (Abaco/Strathnaver) figure prominently. Pace appears slightly tepid which puts this completely in the hands of the silkwearers..

Best Value: #6 Whatsdachances 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Abaco 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #7 Alterite 8-1 7th


8th: 75th Vosburgh (G1), 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Layers of speed signed on for this standard and note the three quarters trip with 7 of the 9 dropping back or stretching out. Palace and Salutos Amigos sit behind the speeds and get first run. Happy My Way being cleverly engineered by MTH-based Orseno with eye towards Santa Anita and visiting :58.2 bullet over the surface shouldn't go unnoticed..

Most Likely: #6 Happy My Way 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Salutos Amigos 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Palace 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Private Zone 7-2 WON ($13.80)


9th: 38th Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Very similar to the Flower Bowl with a set of familiar lawn boys and a calm pace scenario. Spin the wheel..

Most Likely: #3 Imagining 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Main Sequence 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #4 Hangover Kid 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Twilight Eclipse 4-1 2nd


10th: 96th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

As fun a JCGC as you'll see these days. The big Eastern 3yo's are here as well as the hard-knocking handicap veterans. Tonalist takes off the hood and relaxes behind the pace battle between Moreno and Big Cazanova..

Most Likely: #8 Tonalist 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Best Value: #1 Micromanage 20-1 10th
Next Best: #3 Wicked Strong 3-1 DNF-Lost rider
Exotics Use: #9 Stephanoatsee 20-1 4th


11th: OC/N1X, 3+, 12f-T

Deliberate John Toscano not only adds Lasix to Smokey Brown, but reaches for Jose Ortiz with whom he's amassed a gaudy J-T record (6/13 at BEL for $5.65; 7/28 overall '13-14 for $2.80)..

Most Likely: #4 Grand Rapport 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #11 Smokey Brown 20-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Capitan Futuro 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Innovation Economy 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Sandy in the Sun 20-1 12th



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Quite a group of pedigrees on view here including Punctuate (Distorted Humor), 1st Peppers Pride foal to hit the track (first born full brother Funny Pepper yet to run) and Fueled by Bourbon (Stroll), half brother of Clearly Now..

Most Likely: #11 Madiba 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smuggler Union 6-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Bronze Star 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kantune 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Fame and Power 3-1 6th


5th: 3rd Zenyatta (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Beholder 1-2 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Tiz Midnight 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Iotapa 2-1 3rd


6th: 3rd FrontRunner (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Before settling on a pecking order, note that Skyway is the ONLY horse in the field that has run on dirt (Bashford Manor). No telling whom exactly leaps forward on the new SA main but Daddy D T (6-1) deserves look off big works post stakes win..

Most Likely: #7 American Pharoah 8-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Daddy D T 6-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Sky Preacher 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Calculator 8-1 2nd


7th: 3rd Rodeo Drive (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Ridiculous group with at least 8 of the 14 looking capable of the 'W'..

Best Value: #8 Parranda 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Irish Mission 6-1 3rd-DH
Exotics Use: #7 Emollient 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Super Add: #11 Stormy Lucy Late-Gate SCR


8th: 3rd Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Baffert looking to probe depth of undefeated Shared Belief with Fed Biz who will seriously test the 3-5 favorite..

Most Likely: #4 Shared Belief 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #1 Fed Biz 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Majestic Harbor 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Imperative 6-1 5th


9th: 3rd Unzip Me, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gender Agenda 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Kool Kat 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 On the Backstreets 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Alexis Tangier 5-2 WON ($14.20)


10th: 3rd Chandelier (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Conquest Eclipse 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Danette 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Angela Renee 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Dad's Princess 8-1 10th
Super Add: #1 Sunday Sonnet 6-1 5th


11th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Papacoolpapacool 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Nakamoto 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Kenji's Thunder 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Dream It Do It 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #11 Increase 12-1 5th

 

 


 

 

 

RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

  


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

 




 
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