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SELECTIONS FROM STEVE AND GUS Print E-mail

Racing writer and broadcaster Steve Byk joined At the Races and Beyond as a handicapper/commentator in November 2005 and assumed duties as host with the introduction of At the Races with Steve Byk in June 2007. An avid racegoer and player for more than 20 years, Byk has attended more than 50 Triple Crown races, 15 Breeders' Cups and visited more than 30 different racetracks across North America. He launched DerbyTrail.com in 2003, where his feature writing, prep previews and editorial columns attracted a large following. Byk and trainers Chuck Simon & Gary Sciacca introduced Dee Tee Stables in December 2006, and have brought more than 130 fans into the game as owners. 


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WEDNESDAY JULY 30

 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N2L, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Harrods Creek 7-2
Next Best: #2 Virsito 2-1
Best Value: #4 Bodie Island 10-1
Exotics Use: #1e Naylor Ownership entry 5-2


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Weak group.. You can easily anticipate a staggerfest late..

Best Value: #6 Bella Fachi 6-1
Next Best: #3 On a Snowy Evening 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 Kelly's Prize 5-2
Super Add: #5 Brandini 3-1


3rd: NY-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

More than enough pace to allow Willet to scoop them up late. Atlantic's Smile working brilliantly for 2nd start under Baker's watch and though improvement needed yet from 4yo debut, half sis of Johannesburg Smile has the upside to warrant confidence. Galiana nipped Winning Image at DEL, but has reacted after big efforts previously and regression more likely than the improvement needed to rebuff Willet..

Most Likely: #6 Willet 7-5
Best Value: #3 Atlantic's Smile 8-1
Next Best: #4 Galiana 2-1


4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rock Me Mama 5-2
Next Best: #5 Dash to the Flash 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Alaskan Bird 8-1
Super Add: #4 Da Wildcat Girl 4-1


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD)

Tony Dutrow rolling and will be intriguing to see if he SCR's Oohlala to get Zo Zo in or runs both if Zo Zo should draw in on her own. Note that rebuilding Neal Terracciano sends hot-drilling Nonna Jo (Majestic Warrior) here after her half sister Bella Fachi (FuPeg) looks for her diploma in the 2nd!

Next Best: #8 First Charmer 7-2
Best Value: #2 Nonna Jo 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Oohlala 3-1
Super Add: #3 Yourcreditisgood 10-1


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mama Zee 2-1
Best Value: #5 My Donna Jean 8-1
Next Best: #3 My Tee Time 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Kelwynne 4-1


P5/P4 Grid/Plays:


1: 3-6 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-4 (C)
2: 6 (A), -- (B), -- (C)
3: 3-4 (A), 5-7 (B), -- (C)
4: 8 (A), 2-3-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
5: 1 (A), 3-5-8 (B), -- (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,5 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 2,3,6 with 1 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 4,7 with 8 with 3,5,8 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 2,3,6 with 3,5,8 - $18.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,4 with 6 with 3,5 with 8 with 1 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6 with 6 with 3,5 with 1,7 with 1 - $4.00

Total: $70.00


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tough start to late quad with whole field is separated by about 5 lengths..

Best Value: #8 Wine Burglar 4-1
Next Best: #7 Sundae School 3-1
Exotics Use: #4 Ear D' Rhythm 7-2
Super Add: #3 Benny's Bullet 5-1


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Who says Excellent, deep group

Most Likely: #6 La Madrina 7-2
Best Value: #7 Dear Mama 8-1
Next Best: #11 Love You Loads 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 Eddy Gourmet 15-1


9th: 3rd Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Plenty of speed lined up here and 'first North America' Stars Above Me may overwhelm these. We won't be getting 5-1 though..

Most Likely: #7 STARS ABOVE ME 5-1
Best Value: #5 Scatcapade 5-1
Exotics Use: #10 Elena Strike 4-1
Super Add: #3 Burn Control 6-1


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT

Fascinating finale that features some appropriate pedigrees for lawn moves and career debuts. #13 Jimmy Soul draws in and complicates things even more..

Most Likely: #11 Candir 7-2
Next Best: #5 Same As 5-1
Best Value: #2 All the Way 20-1
Exotics Use: #13 Jimmy Soul 3-1


<$65 P4 Play/Grid:


7: 7-8 (A), 3-4 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 6 (A), 5-7-11 (B), 3-8-10 (C)
9: 7 (A), 5 (B), 3-10 (C)
10: 5-11 (A), 2-13 (B), 8 (C)


All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $4.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $12.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $4.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 5 with 5,11 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 3,4 with 6 with 7 with 2,13 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 5 with 5,11 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 5,7,11 with 7 with 2,13 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 5 with 2,13 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 2,6 with 6 with 7 with 5,11 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,8,10 with 7 with 5,11 - $6.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 3,10 with 5,11 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 8 - $1.00

Total: $65.00


Good luck!
Steve


 


 



SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pecorino 9-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #3 Forest Boy 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Pulpit's Legacy 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Act of Heroism 5-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+,

This is a fun race off the turf. Wide open..

Best Value: #9 Apex 4th
Next Best: #4 Big Sugar Soda 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Father Johns Pride 8th
Super Add: #15 Takajo WON ($28.40)


8th: 23rd Honorable Miss (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #3 R Free Roll 4-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #1 La Verdad 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Speedinthruthecity 6-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Best Value: #5 Rap d'Oro 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Zoebear 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Mr. Espresso 6-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Bedouin Now 15-1 WON ($58.50)


Simple <$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3
7: ALL (15)
8: 1-3
9: 3-5-6

2x8x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/27 

Thoroughly spectacular day Saturday at the Spa with beautiful weather and terrific action accommodating an ebullient throng of 31k+. The performances were excellent starting with the Pletcher powerhouse Competitive Edge (88 Beyer) whose debut sends him toward a Hopeful matchup with Big Trouble and the rest of the better Sanford exiters. Coup de Grace and C Zee were very good in the Amsterdam but the effort of The Big Beast 25 minutes earlier left an impression on observers. The Larry Jones and Tony Dutrow charges both earned 100 Beyers and a meeting in the King's Bishop.

In the co-feature, Jimmy Jerkens capped off the Jim Dandy-Curlin double as Wicked Strong showed a new dimension parlaying blinkers-on into an authoritative Travers prep victory (98 Beyer) on the front end. Twenty four hours earlier, Jerkens had sent V. E. Day to a rallying score in the Curlin (88 Beyer) which marked Jose Lezcano's 2,000th career win. Belmont Stakes hero Tonalist was an adequate but no excuse 2nd, failing to ever get closer than a length to the Wood Memorial winner. The result adds some rivalry pizazz to the Travers with the Centennial Farms star out-finishing the Robert Evans color-bearer for the first time in 3 meetings. Kid Cruz certainly will go in the meet's Classic as well and with Haskell players potentially joining the fray, the Travers looms as an excellent confrontation at the end of August.

Work at the windows continued to build steam steadily Saturday too, with some key horse triggering tremendous multi-race or exotics returns. Wins from $58 Away Game, $17 Razzle Jazil and the excellent effort of 21-1 nightcap runner up Charity Reins all helped fill the coffers including the 3rd-5th and 4th-6th bonanza P3's ($371; $1,016). Already enjoying a day where some good betting choices augmented solid opinions, it looked mid-stretch like Bravo and the Serpe claimant would parade home $45 winners in the 11th. But to his credit, Chris DeCarlo gave Elroi an absolutely brilliant ride and the Peter Pugh trainee inhaled Charity Reins in the final yards and a $326 ($2) exacta had to be the consolation prize.

Hope everyone did well. Another deep and tricky card on tap today with weather a bit threatening. Monmouth of course has a fantastic Haskell Day slate to consider as well..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-Off the turf (P5, P3, DD)

Sunday Sonnet a half to Pianist; Miss Always Ready a full to BC Juvy Turf winner More Than Real..

Most Likely: #1 Sunday Sonnet WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #2 Amy's Image 2nd


2nd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 9f-Off the turf (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Love the Breeding 3rd
Next Best: #2 Electro Peg WON ($7.70)


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Nevin better with juvies after an outing, but be aware Paulassilverlining (10-1) is half to Dad's Caps and 14x winner Conga Bella. Leiblongs are in town having enjoyed The Big Beast Saturday and High Dollar Woman could make the weekend even more special..

Most Likely: #5 High Dollar Woman 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #6 Hopefaithjoy 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Paulassilverlining 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Skipalute 7-2 5th


4th: MSW, 3+, 9f-Off the turf (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Lunar Rover WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #5 Social Affair 6th
Best Value: #2 Shopping Spree 7th
Exotics Use: #1a Aslan 2nd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #14 Darnley Bay 2nd
Best Value: #8 Allie Sweet 5th
Next Best: #9 Who's Mary's Daddy 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Swakopmund 4th


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Money to be made if you can figure out how to beat Dyker Beach..

Most Likely: #5 Dyker Beach 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 LATE SCR
Next Best: #6 Charitable 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Mack Miller 6-1 WON ($11.20)


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-Off the turf (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Mr Rico is Valid 3rd
Next Best: #9 Eurokay by Me 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Tacones WON ($10.80)
Super Add: #7 Sultry Warrior 5th


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Exploring 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Night Maneuver 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Cozzetti 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Perilous Indian 6-1 3rd


9th: 38th Shuvee H. (G3), 9f (DD)

Antipathy looks like the right forward-going filly, but how confident can you be of anything from the 5/0-0-0 McLaughlin barn right now?

Most Likely: #3 Antipathy 9-5 WON ($6.40)
Next Best: #2 Flashy American 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Unlimited Budget 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Stanwyck 3-1 2nd


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-Off the turf

Most Likely: #4 Milkyyourway 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lucky Nancy 10-1 WON ($19.00)
Next Best: #15 Very Accompished 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #16 Touching My Toes 5-2 DNF-Eased


 


 


 

RESULTS 7/26
 


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

With Friday's extended route as an example, you're hamstrung by knowledge that pace in these affairs never seems to materialize..

Most Likely: #5 Rapid Repair 2-1 7th
Best Value: #1 Magnolia Lane 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Engaginglee 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 La Majestique 10-1 8th


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Three state bred turf ALW routes today (2nd, 9th, 11th) and as I've said before, these frequently produce the most explosive exotics at Saratoga. Don't be shy about using the big numbers, though the top 3 ML choices are all bona fide players. Clement's Blue Pigeon makes 3yo debut and with typical development from juvy to soph, has potential to overwhelm..

Most Likely: #2 Blue Pigeon 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Mr Algebra 10-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Hidden Vow 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Ocala Jim 12-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Pletcher AE the pick if in. Brown's Aldrin a half to Tapit..

Most Likely: #9 Competitive Edge 9-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #8 Aldrin 1-1 7th
Best Value: #3 Today's Agenda 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Bayerd 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Captain Moss 8-1 8th


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Vecino 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #2 Sir Maurice 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Poppy's Watching 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Chang's Secret 15-1 6th


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Rocket Time 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Rankhasprivleges 12-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Forever Thing 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Away Game 20-1 WON ($58.00)


P5/P4 Grid:

New TicketMaker redesign, while good and more user-friendly overall, not making it easy to format a 'print' layout. A-B-C designations below as an alternative to build tickets..

1: 1-5 (A), 6 (B), 3-4 (C)
2: 2 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-3-6-8 (C)
3: 8-9 (A), -- (B), 3-4-5 (C)
4: 1 (A), 2-4 (B), 6-7 (C)
5: 2 (A), 1-8 (B), 6-7 (C)


6th: CLM, 3+, 12f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Razzle Jazil 12-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #4 Knight's Nation 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Arc Above 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 State Flag 5-1 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Twang 4-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Rich 'n' Tuck 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Cost Affective 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Gombey Dancer 20-1 2nd


8th: 22nd Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #2 Rock Fall..

Most Likely: #8 Captain Serious 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Coup de Grace 3-1 WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #5 Tiznowforamerica 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Casiguapo 15-1 5th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lady's Lunar Luck 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Palace Dreams 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #1 Run to Mama SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Miz Owell 3-1 4th


10th: 51st Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Tonalist 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kid Cruz 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Legend 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Wicked Strong 2-1 WON ($6.40)


11th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Charity Reins likely 'ouchy' but he's competitive, will save ground, comes in on the barn change to Serpe and worth stab at huge price inopen affair..

Best Value: #1 Charity Reins 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tapitation 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Poliziotto 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Noosh's Tale 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

8: 8 (A), 4-5 (B), 1-3-6-7 (C)
9: 6 (A), 1-2-3 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-6-7 (C)
11: 1-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 6-7-9-12 (C)

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION 

 

Saratoga


R8 - G2 Amsterdam

#8 Captain Serious (4-1) 3RD
#4 Coup de Grace (3-1) WON $5.70
#3 Casiguapo (15-1)

R9 - NYB OC 40k/C (Turf 8.5F)

#3 Miz Owell (3-1) 4TH
#1 Run to Mama (15-1) LATE SCR
#10 Chow Fun (12-1)
#7 Caribean Beat (10-1) 3RD

R10 - G2 Jim Dandy

#4 Tonalist (8-5) 2ND
#2 Legend (12-1)
#7 Wicked Strong (2-1) WON $6.40
#5 Kid Cruz (8-1) 3RD

R11 - NYB Alw 75k N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#2 Ballybrit (15-1)
#7 Bluegrass Flash (4-1) 3RD
#6 Elroi (7-2) WON $16.00
#11 Tapitation (5-2)

PK4 - 3 4 8 / 1 3 / 2 4 7 / 2 6 7 = $27 for $.50


Del Mar POST SCRATCHES - POLY / FIRM


R5 - OC 40k/N1X (Turf 8.5F)

#1 Zando (5-1) 3RD
#6 Winning Rhythm (8-1) WON $11.40
#2 Baruta (Brz) (5-2) 2ND
#9 Magnificent Shirl (12-1)

R6 - MSW 75k (2yo 6F)

#4 Homer Matt (7-2) 2ND
#1 Texas Red (9-2) 4TH
#8 Harmonic (12-1)
#5 Red Button (6-1) WON $32.80

R7 - OC 40k/N1X

#4 Thundergram (12-1)
#12 Kristo (10-1)
#2 Big Cazanova (Arg) (2-1) WON $7.40
#9 R S Watson (10-1)

R8 - G2 San Diego Handicap

#4 Soi Phet (6-1)
#3 Frac Daddy (7-2) 4TH
#11 Fed Biz (4-1) WON $8.00

R9 - MSW 75k (Turf 8.5F)

#1 No Walking (12-1)
#4 Candy's Shoes (8-1)
#6 Speciman (6-1)
#9 Classified Woman (5-1)

R10 - Clm 16k N2L

#11 Heyyoucan (7-2)
#8 Malibu County (9-2)
#2 Old Pueblo (15-1)
#1 Noble Metal (GB) (12-1)

PK6 - 1 6 / 1 4 8 / 2 4 12 / 3 4 / 1 4 / 11 = $144

PK4 - 2 4 12 / 3 4 11 / 1 4 6 / 8 11 = $27 for $.50

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/25  

 

Highly productive start to the week Wednesday with only 7th race winner Treaty Oak escaping notice. Early chalk made multis easy up to that point and 9-1 Shankopotomus, and the $200+ exacta with 18-1 Street Shark, was just the tonic to make up a lot of ground on the opening weekend deficit. After whiffing on Treaty Oak to start the late quad, the last P3 for $250 further enhanced the bankroll. Hope everyone did well and made up any early lost ground. Start to a great weekend today..

 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$35k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Silver Union 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Vision of Mine 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bird Rockette 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Lovely Elle 6-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Valerie Victoria 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 My Place 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Violet Hour 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Super Add: #10 Ah Gaga 10-1 4th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Clearbrook 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Shetan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Royal Blessing 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Grand Rapport 6-1 2nd


4th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Dan's Gold 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Noble Cornerstone 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Jeter 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 The Big Deluxe 4-1 2nd


5th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Animal Style 2-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Upward 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Stormy Rocit 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Tiz Yankee 15-1 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 5-7
2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1-2
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 8-9

2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64


Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-5,7/2,8/1/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-2/2,8/1/7/9 - 1.00
3-5,7/6,10/1/7/9 - 2.00
4-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
5-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
6-5,7/2,8/1/7/8 - 2.00

A's with Two B:

7-2/6,10/1/7/9 - 1.00
8-2/2,8/2,5/7/9 - 2.00
9-2/2,8/1/2,3/9 - 2.00
10-2/2,8/1/7/8 - 1.00
11-5,7/6,10/2,5/7/9 - 4.00
12-5,7/6,10/1/2,3/9 - 4.00
13-5,7/6,10/1/7/8 - 2.00
14-5,7/2,8/2,5/2,3/9 - 8.00
15-5,7/2,8/2,5/7/8 - 4.00
16-5,7/2,8/1/2,3/8 - 4.00

A's with One C:

17-1,3,6/2,8/1/7/9 - 3.00
18-5,7/2,8/6/7/9 - 2.00
19-5,7/2,8/1/1,5,6/9 - 6.00

Total (All .50): $58.00


<$40 P4 Play:

2: 2-6-8-10
3: 1
4: 1-2-3-7
5: 3-8-9-10

4x1x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32



Multi-ticket approach:

All A's:

1-2,8/1,2/7/9 - 2.00

A's with One B:

2-6,10/1,2/7/9 - 2.00
3-2,8/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
4-2,8/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
5-2,8/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00

A's with Two B:

6-6,10/5,6/7/9 - 2.00
7-6,10/1,2/2,3/9 - 4.00
8-6,10/1,2/7/8,10 - 4.00
9-2,8/5,6/2,3/9 - 4.00
10-2,8/5,6/7/8,10 - 4.00
11-2,8/1,2/2,3/8,10 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-2,8/1,2/1,4,5,6/9 - 8.00
13-2,8/1,2/7/2,3 - 4.00

Total (All .50): $52.00


6th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Qualify 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Guilt Trip 3-1 4th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Samba Sunset 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #3 Hope Cross 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Shift Colors 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Place Card 10-1 5th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 M J Plus 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Noble Doss 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Writingonthewall 5-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Bug Juice 3-1 5th


9th: 6th Curlin, 3yo, 9f (DD)

SCR #1 Commanding Curve who will run Saturday in the Jim Dandy..

On an otherwise mundane card, this is a terrific group with some advancing types. Seems like there's a good amount of pace on, which makes you wonder why Commanding Curve opts for Saturday's alternative..

Best Value: #2 Viva Majorca 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Protonico 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Life in Shambles 6-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Cousin Stephen 5-1 9th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Incredible array of pedigrees on display with featured dams including Shadow Cast (Upstaged), Raging Fever (Colorful), Catinca (Illapa), Velvet Snow (Jolene), Vacare (Knotty Pine), Madcap Escapade daughter and SW herself Mi Sueno (Por Que Te Sueno)..

Most Likely: #4 Knotty Pine 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1a Upstaged 8-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Jolene 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Illapa 20-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4-8
8: 4-6
9: 2-3-10
10: 1-3-4-5

4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 Multi-ticket P4 Play:

All A's:

1-3,4/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00

A's with One B:

2-2/4,6/2,3/4 - 2.00
3-3,4/2,9/2,3/4 - 4.00
4-3,4/4,6/6,10/4 - 4.00
5-3,4/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 8.00

A's with Two B:

6-2/2,9/2,3/4 - 2.00
7-2/4,6/6,10/4 - 2.00
8-2/4,6/2,3/1,5 - 4.00
9-3,4/2,9/6,10/4 - 4.00
10-3,4/2,9/2,3/1,5 - 8.00
11-3,4/4,6/6,10/1,5 - 8.00

A's with One C:

12-8,10/4,6/2,3/4 - 4.00
13-3,4/3,10/2,3/4 - 4.00
14-3,4/4,6/5/4 - 2.00
15-3,4/4,6/2,3/3,7,9 - 12.00

Total (All .50): $72.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S FRIDAY ACTION  

 

Saratoga


R7 - MSW 83k (Turf 8F)

#3 Hope Cross (Ire) (3-1)
#1 Shift Colors (5-1)
#4 Sumba Sunset (7-2)
#5 Rapid Repair (5-1)

R8 - Starter Alw 20k

#3 Readthebyline (5-1)
#4 Noble Doss (8-1)
#9 Bug Juice (3-1)
#7 Finding Candy (8-1)

R9 - Curlin 100k

#3 Protonico (4-1)
#2 Viva Majorca (12-1)
#5 Charge Now (10-1)
#1 Commanding Curve (5-2)

R10 - MSW 83k (Turf 8F)

#7 Forensic (3-1)
#2 Colorful (6-1)
#4 Knotty Pine (GB) (4-1)
#5 Jolene (7-2)

PK4 - 1 3 4 5 9 / 3 4 9 / 3 / 2 4 5 7 = $30 for $.50

Good Racing Luck 


 

 

 


 


 

Off to a very clumsy start at Saratoga, failing over the first 4 days to gain much of a foothold or continuity. At the same time, got a little something out of the Sanford and only needed The Lewis Dinner (14-1) to get past Graeme Cracker Friday or Fade to Black (16-1) to win the steward's decision Saturday to be in nice stead, so I'm not fretting. $27k C/O to start the week..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Steeplechase season starts here with solid group of modestly credentialed hoppers. Jack Fisher comes in with a strong pair that luckily are not an entry..

Best Value: #2 Syros 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Wantan 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Rudyard K 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #7 Selection Sunday 4-1 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P5, P3, DD)

Have to deal with pair of Pletcher fillies here including $340k Repole purchase Overspending, a full to Wicked Deed and half to Western Prize, both SW's. Dallas Stewart filly a half to last year's Spa-precocious Designer Legs but draws rail. Schettino good with early runners and Kisses for Romeo working well. Asmussen-Durant's Empressive Humor dropped from fast dam. Tough group to decipher..

Best Value: #6 Kisses for Romeo 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Empressive Humor 4-1 WON ($9.30)
Exotics Use: #8 Overspending 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Margaret Reay 15-1 6th


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Fun group and if Got Lucky doesn't run at least her A-/B+ race, it gets very open. Rumba has some speed and may be a new filly..

Best Value: #7 Rumba 12-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Got Lucky 1-1 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Equilateral 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Unbridledexplosion 10-1 2nd


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A number of droppers make this another challenging set. If Poliziano doesn't tackle Shot to Win the early leader could wire this. Pace has to be at least somewhat contentious to give this a fair running..

Best Value: #4 Shot to Win 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Ithastobegeorge 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Santa Elf 7-2 WON ($9.30)
Super Add: #2 Betweenhereandcool 5-2 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$27k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Girlaboutown 8-5 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #5 Verismilitude 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Jilly Mac 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Senso 8-1 5th


6th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

Tough to argue against Artemis Agrotera returning to NY company but the Acorn was dismal and with that and modest worktab to go on, you get the feeling that things are amiss. Shaky at 2-5..

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Artemis Agrotera 2-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #8 Hot Splash 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 What the Frost 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Familyofroses 20-1 6th


7th: MCLM/$65k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Even with their speed, the major candidates from Clement and Romans are poorly posted out wide. At 15-1, Galroyale an outstanding play with a big shot off more than solid first turf try..

Best Value: #2 GALROYALE 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Beauty Surprise 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Late Night Artist 3-1 8th
Super Add: #11 One More Song 10-1 7th


8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Kenneally dropping 5-2 Go Appeal in from $50k purchase plenty disconcerting and much of the rest of this group has similar red flags. Bemata drops way down but has been consistent v. better..

Most Likely: #7 Bemata 7-2 7th
Best Value: #5 Shankopotomus 15-1 WON ($21.20)
Next Best: #1 Go Appeal 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Street Shark 20-1 2nd


9th: 20th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Steady parade of high quality sophs have been winning this event including Centre Court, Winter Memories and Perfect Shirl recently. There appears to be pace (Daring Kathy, Speed Seeker) and pressure (A Little Bit Sassy) involved here, but if anyone is allowed to loaf up front, it will compromise the 4 looking to rally..

Most Likely: #7 A Little Bit Sassy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Little Journey 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Daring Dancer 3-1 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Sweet Acclaim 4-1 3rd


10th: NY-OC/N1X, D&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Rousing end to the day with fast-paced lawn dash. Open to any to fill the super slots..

Most Likely: #3 Saucon Valley 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Royal Jest 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hot Squeeze 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #1 All Mine Tonight 8-1 4th


Late to post-SCR multis today...


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 2-5
6: 1
7: 2-10-12
8: 7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

2x1x3x1x3x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-10-12
8: 1-4-5-7
9: 2-6-7
10: 1-2-3-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

SARATOGA RESULTS 7/21


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1 7th


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1 WON ($5.90)


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1 SCR


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1 4th


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2 7th
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1 9th


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1 5th


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1 9th


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

 


 

SARATOGA REULTS 9/20


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Thirst for Glory 8-1: Trounces Kimmel Fri. winner mornings.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thank You 15-1: T2D & blinks 2nd start a potent trick.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tax Package 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandler 7-2 8th
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Tricky read with 4 second time starters and 3 turnbacks..

Best Value: #2 Dusk to Dawn 5-1
Next Best: #3 Shimba 7-2
Exotics Use: #8 Greg's Fourwheeler 6-1
Super Add: #9 Keen's Cupla 5-1


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Sashay 6-1
Best Value: #1a Hooligan 5-1
Next Best: #2 Partisan Politics 5-2
Exotics Use: #8 Rainha Da Bateria
Super Add: #4 Riddle Me This 20-1


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Annie Walker 5-2
Next Best: #6 Corinthian Glory 5-1
Exotics Use: #5 Wraith 2-1
Super Add: #4 Another Incident 3-1


4th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Butkennyrun, from Glens Falls' Kerry Metiver, is competitive already and gets first Lasix. He's 30-1 and there's nothing scary in here..

Most Likely: #10 Nelios 3-1
Best Value: #7 Butkennyrun 30-1
Next Best: #6 Artemus Paperboy 2-1
Exotics Use: #8 Hey Kid 8-1


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Typically tough turf sprint..

Most Likely: #4 Awakino Cat 3-1
Best Value: #5 Non Stop 6-1
Next Best: #8 Isn'tlovejustgrand 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 Thomas Hill 4-1


6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Sweetdreamsaboutme makes 3rd career start, gets first Lasix today and may float well above the 6-1 ML. Abel can't drop completely out of it though..

Best Value: #8 Sweetdreamsaboutme 6-1
Next Best: #4 Dixie Gem 6-1
Exotics Use: #6 Bi Light of Day 7-2
Super Add: #9 Yacantmakethisup 20-1


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Sandy'z Slew 5-2
Best Value: #9 Dreamsgonewild 8-1
Next Best: #11 With Exultation 6-1
Exotics Use: #2 Pretension 15-1


8th: Shine Again-R, F&M-4+, 7f (DD)

Down to 4 but they have a litany of accomplishments between them. Can't imagine Rosario letting J. Ortiz get away on Bridgehampton..

Most Likely: #2 Grace Hall
Best Value: #3 Bridgehampton


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #4 Honor the Kitten 5-2
Best Value: #8 Dominate 15-1
Next Best: #3 Belly of the Whale 2-1
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Mitcho 15-1


$36 P4 Play:

Running late.. Here's straight play..

6: 4-8
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 2-3-4
9: 3-4-8

2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


Good luck!
Steve
2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Groomedforvictory 7-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Tizmas 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Most Happy Fella 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Interested in Premium in 2nd start as 4yo and in U.S., but KMc's runners have been dreadful here early..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Scampering 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Premium 6-1 5th


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely #4 Glickman 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Denzel 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Carolinian 6-1 3rd


5th: 1st Lucky Coin, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spring to the Sky 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Strong Impact 2-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $12.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,4,5 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $16.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 4 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,4 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4
3: 1-3-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-5-6

3x3x1x5 = $45


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$66k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Dreaming of Danny 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Treasury Devil 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Mia Poppy 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky reads add more difficulty to already tough lawn dash..

Most Likely: #2 Eternal Bull 4-1: Experience edge; Showed speed in last.. 5th
Best Value: #4 Ireland's Eye 15-1: Sharp works for 2nd start per Mike Welsch.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Hidden Candy 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 T Sizzle 10-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fiona's Hero 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Sir Leslie 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Beautyinthepulpit 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Crown Queen 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Silky 5-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Fizzy Pink 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Princess Mara 15-1 10th


10th: 97th Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Unbridled Forever looks to break through after minor awards in the best 3yo filly races of the year..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Forever 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Besilu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Stopchargingmaria 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Taketheodds 8-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

All trip here with perhaps 7 of the 12 within 5 lengths..

Best Value: #6 Island Therapy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hushhushmushmush 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Downgoesfrazier 7-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Tsonga 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7,8,9 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 12 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 5,6 with 6,1 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 10 - $2.00

Total: $136.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 1,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 1,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,3,9 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

Total: $52.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SUNDAY ACTION

 

Saratoga POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM


R8 - NYB OC 40k/N1X

#1 Jacobson Entry (3-1)
#7 Beautyinthepulpit (5-1)
#6 Sir Leslie (4-1)
#5 Fiona's Hero (7-2)

R9 - Alw 85k N1X (Turf 9.5F)

#1 Neat Package (8-1) BEST BET
#12 Fizzy Pink (GB) (3-1)
#11 Crown Queen (7-2)
#5 Silky (Ire) (5-1)

R10 - G1 CCA Oaks

#6 Taketheodds (8-1)
#2 Unbridled Forever (9-5)
#1 Stopchargingmaria (8-5)
#3 Miss Besilu (6-1)

R11 - NYB Md 40k

#10 Tsonga (12-1)
#11 Hushhushmushmush (3-1)
#1 Downgoesfrazier (7-2)
#3 Wake Up and Go (5-1)

PK4 - 1 3 5 6 7 8 / 1 12 / 1 2 6 / 1 10 11 = $54 for $.50


Del Mar


R8 - MSW 75k (2yo 5F)

#3 Conquest Archangel (3-1)
#1 Backstreet Lisa (15-1)
#8 Luminance (5-2)
#10 Megyns Gold (8-1)

R9 - OC 40k/N1X

#5 Satirical (6-1)
#11 Sweet Profit (7-2)
#8 Mum's Truckee (15-1)
#3 Georgia (6-1)

R10 - Clm 40k (Turf 8F)

#3 Noise of the Crowd (7-2)
#7 Boller Bomb (8-1)
#9 Redressthebalance (Ire) (3-1)
#10 Plaza de Indias (Chi) (8-1)

R11 - Md 20k

#7 Lucky Jack (3-1)
#2 Secret Command (5-1)
#5 Mahalo Arturo (6-1)
#1 Burning (6-1)

PK4 - 1 3 8 / 3 5 8 11 / 3 7 9 / 2 7 = $36 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/19

 

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Luck of the Kitten 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Kamarius 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #4 The Truth Or Else 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dubai Sky Gate SCR


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Say Mr. Sandman 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Handy Stan 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Groupthink 8-5 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thnxtomyuncle 15-1 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Contrary Opinion 3-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Bird Now 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cosmic Gold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Taghleeb 5-2 6th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Blame Jim 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Best Value: #6 Bold Conquest 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Smithereen 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Changer 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Piquant 7-2 DNF-Lost Rider
Next Best: #6 Frazil 4-1 DNF-Affected by incident
Best Value: #8 One King's Man 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Be Bullish 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 5 with 2 with 4,6 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 9 with 3 with 2 with 8 - $1.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 5,6,7 with 4,6 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 5 with 2 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 8 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2,4,8,9 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 4,6 with 2 with 4,6 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 6,7 with 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3 - $4.00

Total: $73.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 4 - $1.00
3 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $4.00
4 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $6.00
5 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 5,6 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
7 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $3.00
8 $1.00 pick P4: 9 with 3 with 2 with 6 - $1.00
9 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 5,6,7 with 4 - $12.00
10 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 5,6 with 2 with 6 - $4.00
11 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 5,6,7 with 6 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 4 with 2 with 4 - $2.00
13 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 3,4 with 4 - $4.00
14 $1.00 pick P4: 5,7 with 3 with 2 with 1,3,8 - $6.00

Total: $57.00


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Maniacally challenging group with perhaps 8-9 of the 12 possible with a square pace anticipated. Respect the obvious (4-8-10-12) and ponder the intriguing (3-5-6-9-11). Hard not to root for Al and Joe DiRico and #3 Mr Ciolko after the family was forced to put down their venerable sprint star stallion Disco Rico Thursday..

Best Value: #4 Vischer Ferry 8-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Thurgood 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Boston Strong 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Mr Ciolko 12-1 11th


7th: 100th Sanford (F2), 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Superb wagering affair and an upgrade from Friday's filly version. Quite a bit of speed signed on and think you want one that can sit off..

Best Value: #2 Silverhill 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Nonna's Boy 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Mr. Z 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Big Trouble 10-1 WON ($25.60)


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Thoroughly wide open start to the late quad..

Most Likely: #11 Weave 5-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Can't Explain 20-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Tasmona 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Fade to Black 15-1 2nd


9th: OC/N2X, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hard Enough 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Casino Dan 8-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Battle Force 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 North Star Boy 6-1 WON ($11.60)


10th: 76th Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Spectacular lineup for this always-engaging early season Spa standard. There is no bad combination..

Best Value: #6 Discreet Marq 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Alterite 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Strathnaver 10-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Stephanie's Kitten 6-1 2nd


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Alakazan Alakazan 4-1 4th-DH
Best Value: #7 McIlroy 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 All Included 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Jonrah 10-1 3rd


<$65 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 5,9 with 6,7 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,9 with 4 with 6,8 with 1,2 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,2 - $4.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 2,4,5,6,12 with 4 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $10.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 8,9,10 with 6,8 with 6,7 - $12.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 3,11 with 4 with 1,2,3,10 with 6,7 - $8.00

Total: $62.00

 

 

 

GUS ALONSO'S SATURDAY ACTION  

 

 

 

RESULTS 7/18 

Scene shifts to Saratoga after a rollicking opener at 'old Del Mar' that saw multiple longshots trip a $107k P6 carryover into Day 2. Based on Thursday's wild action and the first weekend of cards at both major summer venues, it should be an outstanding 7 weeks. Coolish temps at San Diego gave rise to some strong front end efforts on the poly, so as usual, you need to monitor the meteorologics when dabbling at DMR. Certainly Barry Abrams' implausible wire-to-wire winner Know More vwas the day's most glaring beneficiary of the tight surface. The new turf course played fairly with Super Ability wiring the 5th and Enterprising rallying from last into a square pace in the Oceanside. ATR listeners benefited from Brad Free's warning on $62.80 Passing Game and Jeff Seigel's excellent tab of 24-1 runner up Eldorado Prado ($20.60 to place) who was beaten in a photo. Hope everyone did well and are ready for a great weekend with the Spa's first day dawning gloriously..


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 King of Broadway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Grandpa Len 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Goodnewsisnonews 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Winter Games 12-1 WON ($31.00)


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

First Maiden affair of the season. Be sure to utilize these sources for in-depth juvenile coverage this season:


Also eligible Overspending SCR the one to beat if she gets in..

Best Value: #2 Know It All Anna 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Wall Street Lady 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 By the Moon 8-1 WON ($14.00)
Super Add: #6 Vinolicious 5-2 5th


3rd: 96th Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fashion Alert 3-5 WON ($2.40)
Next Best: #2 Tulira's Star 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Mast Cove 20-1


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Mumtaazah 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Premura 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Judy Legend 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Magsamelia 5-1 2nd
Super Add: 1e Jerkens entry 12-1 3rd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

There's nothing overwhelming about 4-5 Can'thelpbelieving..

Best Value: #7 Papy 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Can'thelpbelieving 4-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #8 Duke of Perth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Ave Nox 30-1 9th


<$75 P5/P4 Plays:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2,8 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 2,7 with 3,7 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 3,6 with 4 with 3 with 8 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 2,7 with 8 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 4 with 4 with 3 with 3,7 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 2 with 3 with 3,7 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 1,4 with 3,7 - $8.00
16 $0.50 pick P5: 4,5 with 2,8 with 4 with 3 with 1,2,6 - $6.00

Total: $72.00


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Fun state-bred group with trio of 2nd time starters facing off v. 5 debuters..

Most Likely: #2 Saluda 5-1 DNF
Next Best: #6 Full Tap 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 The Lewis Dinner 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 In Spite of Mama 7-2 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Pretty cool to see 5yo and 6yo half brothers Tiz Sardonic Joe (Tiznow) and Joes Blazing Aaron (Graeme Hall) come together here..

Best Value: #5 Nubin Ridge 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Joes Blazing Aaron 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Monument Hill 4-1 3rd-2nd for wagering
Super Add: #3 Tiz Sardonic Joe 7-2 2nd-Purse money only


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Looks like pace up front will get spirited, so despite favoritism, think you have to look to late-arriving Ballerina Belle..

Most Likely: #10 Ballerina Belle 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Kiss Me Lola 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Aventure Love 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Zamquick 6th


9th: 2nd Sir Cat-R, 3yo, 1m-IT (DD)

Tough to stray to far from the faves..

Most Likely: #1 Storming Inti 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tourist 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #6 J to the Croft 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Cabo Cat 4-1 4th


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Deep set of state breds that won't make it easy on multi-race plays..

Best Value: #10 Maura's Pass 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Jet Majesty 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Traipse in Utopia 8-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Winter Wish 7-2 Paddock SCR-Flipped/Got loose


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
8: 10 (A), 1-3-4 (B), 9 (C)
9: 1 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
10: 5-9-10 (A), 8 (B), 3-11 (C) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,8,11,12,13/3/3,5/8,9,13,14,15) Paid $22.25

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/31 

Bit of a maddening beat at Aqueduct Sunday when live to 2 horses for a P6 conso and 4 runners for sizeable P4's thanks to the multi ticket approach. Though AE-draw in Silver Day (7-1) got by 6-1 Money in Motion and 37-1 Classic R&B to quash the P4 opportunity, the fact was driven home that the more elaborate ticket structuring puts you in best position for scores. A win by Classic R&B specifically was worth $3,619. If unaware, DRF Ticketmaker makes it simple to build your multi plays: http://www.drf.com/store/drf-bets-ticketmaker

The sequence was stood on its' ear early when implausible Go West Marie ($25) won the first leg and widespread single A.P. Cino failed in the second. A.P. Cino's loss is another example of how the multi ticket approach keeps you in the hunt longer and more often as Photon was on 20% of the plays and helped get the investment in position for at least a conso. Despite the P4/P6 misses, the day was bouyed along by Modern Child who was nicely piloted by Rajiv Maragh for a $38 tote bump.

Only one horse was live for the P6 in the nightcap and the Chatterpaul winner wasn't it, so a must-pay P6 opportunity results on this New Year's Eve card. There's also a similar forced distribution at Laurel in their P5. Hope everyone has had a good 2013 and enjoyed the excellent year of racing to which we were treated. From a balance sheet perspective, I lost several thousand this year but take solace in the fact that the Del Mar P6 DQ out of $23k+ turns this recap into a gloatfest. As Damon Runyon said, 'all horseplayers die broke', but as long as you're north of the loam, you're live in the next race...

Best of luck to everyone today and warm wishes for a 2014 filled with health, happiness, love and good fortune.

Steve




AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$94k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..

Not 100% convinced that favored Sun and Moon (2-1) is reliable and if it's not her or returning Sustainable (5-2), this race could get messy fast. Aqua Regia gets first Lasix after losing any chance at start of debut. Tizarocket showed more speed in last and subsequently fired 3 straight bullets on 5 day intervals..

Most Likely: #2 Sun and Moon 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sustainable 5-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #7 Aqua Regia 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Tizarocket 6-1 4th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Unless a short rest regression saps Moments Notiz, he appears tough to beat (A). Consistent inner track performer Frazil, Linda Rice's other player Quick Money and Island Sunset SCR'D on the barn switch to Jacobson are contenders (B's). 10-1 Head Heart Hoof (Entered for 1/1/14) and 12-1 Exley merit a glance (C's)..

Most Likely: #11 Moments Notiz 8-5 WON ($3.70)
Next Best: #7 Quick Money 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Frazil 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Head Heart Hoof 10-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Forged (half to MSW sprinter Comedero) and American Creed exit the 12/7 MDN heat that produced Groupthink & Uncle Sigh in a photo. Uncle Sigh then smoked in second start last week. Frost Jordan moves inside after wide-ish trip debut. Mark Twain has a terrific worktab for 5/2-0-1 at meet Leo O'Brien and was sold for nearly 3x the average price for a Noonmark yearling. All Over Me is out of $174k earner Leawood who was better on grass but an OK main track sprinter. Slippery Cannizzo won first out with River Dancer and Sol the Dancer earlier this year..

Most Likely: #1 Frost Jordan 3-1 WON ($3.90)
Next Best: #3 Forged 7-2 10th
Best Value: #8 Mark Twain 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 American Creed 4-1 5th


7th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Sidearm, Geaux Mets SCR'D and Sandcat mixed it up to noses and necks 3 weeks ago and also crossed paths with impressive Samraat, (as did Eye Luv Lulu in his debut). Tricky element in this set is 5.5f distance, a configuration at which Double Gold, Sol the Freud and Sandcat all broke their maidens. Don't be put off by Eye Luv Lulu winning v. MCLM/$50k as that was open company and a good equivalent to NY-MSW's. Sing the Dream (20-1) may not be a win candidate, but could boost your tri or super. Very good race..

Best Value: #6 Eye Luv Lulu 7-2 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #3 Sol the Freud 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sandcat 4-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Sing the Dream 20-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Fortify 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Snake Pit 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cease 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Hackleton 30-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y

Most Likely: #5 Tycoon Cat 5-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #2 Petrocelli 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Star of New York 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Here Comes Tommy 7-2 8th


<$200 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/3,5,6,8,11/1/6/9/5) Paid $124.00 (5OF6)
5 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

6 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 7 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 5 with 5 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 3 with 7 with 2 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 5 with 2 - $8.00

A's with One C

12 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 4 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 7,8 with 6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $16.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 3,9 with 5 - $16.00 $2 Pick 6 (5/11/1/6/9/5) Paid $11,354.00 (6OF6)
17 $2.00 pick P6: 2,5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6 with 7 with 7 - $8.00

Total: $152.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $1.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
3 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $6.00
4 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $12.00 $1.50 Pick 4 (1/6/9/5) Paid $915.00
5 $1.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 7,8 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 7,8 with 3,6 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 5,9 with 5 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 7,8 with 7 with 7 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 5,9 with 7 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 10 with 3,6 with 7 with 5 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 1,4 with 7 with 5 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 3,10 with 5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,3 with 3,6 with 7 with 2 - $2.00

Total: $65.00

 

 

 


RESULTS 12/29

Parade of $17-$25 winners at Aqueduct crushed my P4 interests and tripped a $33k carryover into Sunday. Central to the price players was Dominick Schettino, who last saddled a winner on October 27, but got firster Molly the Freud and previously mired Fee and Sugar across for diplomas.

Had all the mundane victors at Santa Anita but stupidly categorized Unbridled's Song as a 3rd choice "B" in the P4 structures which cost a breakeven return of the $1.50 main play. One nice result at Arcadia was 10-1 ML 'Best Value' idea Cherubim who crushed a good MSW group at nearly 21-1. Cherubim was interesting because of strong workout notes from Andy Harrington in his National Turf report:

SA 12/15: Would have called this a breeze under wraps while going the last 4f in 47.4. May like the dirt a lot more than now departed Cushion surface. -- Grade: B

SA 12/9: Much the best over Son Of Malibu looking to have nice looking power while under wraps, last 3f in 36.1. Sure looks better than debut. -- Grade: B

For $10, you should not play SoCal tracks without Harrington's insights. Hope everyone did well Saturday... This AQU sequence is completely impossible, but I've capped it and here are the thoughts.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Reasonable opening to skein with dropping faves Sals Wonderfulgirl and Believeinfaith standing out. There are lurkers though in the form of Julie Napp SCR'D (Schettino, dropping down & cutting back) and Lady Luciano (Cannizzo Frost Giant miss that improved in first try on the inner track). The fun horse here is Lauded (20-1) from Henning who sports the pentafecta of karma moves by dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt, adding blinkers and tabbing bug!

Most Likely: #8 Sals Wonderfulgirl 3-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Believeinfaith 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Lady Luciano 6-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Lauded 20-1 8th


5th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f (F/S, P3, DD)

If Penn National invader A.P. Cino runs to his paper form, he appears dominant. Don't be put off by Kaylia Albright who is a 15% jock that won her 100th race of the year Saturday. She has banked close to $2,000,000 in 2013, her 2nd year in the irons..

Most Likely: #5 A. P. Cino 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Sacred Ground 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Photon 5-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Metaurus 30-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 M P Ruckus 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a El Oh El 1-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #4 Stealth Steed 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Two More Jacs 15-1 7th


7th: NY-OC/C, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

One of the races that makes this a very difficult P6 to manage. Entire field is within a couple lengths of each other on typical form..

Most Likely: #6 Rebellious Chic 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Rodinia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Concealed 6-1 2nd


8th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Equally impossible group..

Most Likely: #6 Tiz Chris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Modern Child 20-1 WON ($38.20)
Next Best: #2 Mighty Ian 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 5-2 2nd/6th
Super Add: #9 Finn's Quest 7-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y

Expect #1 Hailstone to SCR having run Friday.. Not that his coming out makes this any easier..

Most Likely: #5 Festive Spirit 9-2 9th
Next Best: #3 Mr. Espresso 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Classic R and B 30-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Money in Motion 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $8.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 4 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 3,5 - $16.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $32.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 1,9 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 4,6 - $16.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 2,4 with 3,5 - $16.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 6 with 6 with 4,6 - $8.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 2,4 with 4,6 - $16.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 1,7,9 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 1,4,5 with 6 with 3,5 - $24.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 1,9 with 3,5 - $16.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 8 with 5 with 1,12 with 2 with 6 with 2,7 - $8.00

Total: $288.00


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 1,2 with 3,5 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 1,4 with 4,6 with 6 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 1,2 with 6 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9,10 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $8.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 3,5,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 - $12.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 9 with 3,5 - $4.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,12 with 2,6 with 4,6 with 4 - $4.00

Total: $100.00

 

 

 

RESULTS 12/28

 

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 It's Easy 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Shades of Indigo 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Willow U 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Flying K C 3-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Tenango 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Private Tale 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Hannibel Lechter 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Haverhill 6-1 6th


8th: 35th Alex M. Robb-NY, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Comandante 6-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #1 Awesome Vision 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Zetterholm 15-1 4th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #6 Tiny Predicament 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Luxury Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Silent Thunder 3-1 8th
Exotics User: #2 Real Estate 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $6.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($12.00)

A's with One B

2 $3.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
3 $3.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($6.00)
4 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($6.00)
5 $3.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($12.00)

A's with Two B's

6 $1.00 P4: 2 with 5,6 with 6 with 6 ($2.00)
7 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
8 $1.00 P4: 2 with 1,2 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
9 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 1 with 6 ($2.00)
10 $1.00 P4: 1 with 5,6 with 6 with 1,5 ($4.00)
11 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 ($4.00)

A's with One C

12 $1.00 P4: 7,10 with 1,2 with 6 with 6 ($4.00)
13 $1.00 P4: 1 with 3,8,9 with 6 with 6 ($3.00)
14 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 4 with 6 ($2.00)
15 $1.00 P4: 1 with 1,2 with 6 with 2,12 ($4.00)

Total: $73.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 19th Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

This has the makings of a superb race with a lot of players owning real potential. Certainly is an encouraging cast when thinking about 3yo boys on the lawn in the coming year..

Most Likely: #3 Craftsman 2-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Enterprising 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #6 Noble Metal 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Royal Banker 3-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Quite an assembly here with Baffert sending babies out of Indian Blessing (Indian Smoke) and Xtra Heat (Pimpernel), Peter Miller unveiling a Street Cry half brother to Invasor (Garen) and Proctor sending firster Chelios, a Distorted Humor half brother of Old Time Hockey..

Most Likely: #8 Pimpernel 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Garen 5-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Cherubim 10-1 WON ($43.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Indian Smoke 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Texas Ryano may not be ready here today, but keep an eye on this Curlin colt that is out of highly productive Blending Element. Half to SW's Tiz a Blend, Tiz Elemental, Excessive Blend Holladay Road, et al..

Best Value: #2 Big Medicine Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ontology 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Number Five 4-1 4th
Super Add: #8 On Draft 10-1 6th

NOTE: Will add #4 Miraglo and #6 Kozani to back-up P4 plays..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Seeking the Sherif 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 Tribal Smoke 4-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #1 Mary Helen's Storm 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 On My Honor 6-1 6th


8th: 10th Daytona (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chips All In 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Ain't No Other 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Unbridled's Note 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Gallant Son 7-2 3rd


9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Exotic Behavior 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #7 Red Barris 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Poppy Cloche 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Miraculous Mindy 6-1 12th-
Super/Hi-5: #10 She's Flush 6-1 3rd


<$100 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($24.00)

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00) $0.50 Pick 4 (1,5/8/3,4/11,13) Paid $30.30
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 4 with 7,11 ($4.00)
6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 1,4 with 2,8 with 5 ($4.00)
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 4 with 5 ($2.00)

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,6,8,9 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($16.00)
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 3,10 with 2,8 with 7,11 ($8.00)
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 6 with 7,11 ($4.00)
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,2 with 5,8 with 2,8 with 3,8,10,12 ($16.00)

Total: $94.00

 

  

 


BREEDERS' CUP -- SATURDAY NOVEMBER 2

 

Super highway main track proved irksome commodity for a while Friday as feared, but most seemed to adjust accordingly and at least know what to expect Saturday. Overall afternoon was enjoyable culminating with spectacular effort by Beholder in the Distaff. Earlier, both juvenile grass races saw big performances from Euro winners Chriselliam and Outstrip. Mutuel efforts were solid with a big hit to start the day in the opener and a nice flourish through the late P4 races. Hope everyone did well..


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: 2nd Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

$891k P5 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Toowindytohailrox 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dothraki 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Love In The Desert 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Test Ride 5-1 7th


2nd: Damascus, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

If track is still souped up today, Anillo will be the one to catch. Flashback still likely to win, but under scenario we saw yesterday, this is the kind of spot where awareness of the possibility of a wire job by the speed of the speed means taking a chance by at least covering a horse like Anillo..

Best Value: #5 Anillo 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Flashback 2-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Zeewat 4-1 WIN ($12.00)


3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Like Friday's terrific Twilight, a contentious group. Juddmonte made a very specific decision in bringing Ultrasonic SCR'D to U.S. to run down the hill. Minds Eyes and Unusual Hottie offer value and can be used on top. Both Proctor runners are eligible, but there's plenty of speed here so Procurement (6-1) earns the nod over Purim's Dancer (7-2)..

Best Value: #8 Minds Eyes 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Unusual Hottie 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Pontchatrain 6-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #3 Winding Way 8-1 2nd


4th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Sweet Reason, already a caution after iffy appearances in the morning, appears further compromised by track conditions. Rooting for, but betting against. Hushion's peaking Frizette winner Artemis Agrotera meanwhile gets benefit of track and may be 2nd New York bred to win a Cup race 24 hours after London Bridge broke the ice for Empire State in the Marathon. Midwest fillies from McPeek and Asmussen look ideal as next likelys. Though West Coast gals Secret Compass and She's a Tiger (both 6-1) have gotten the most notice, diminutive Concave has made an impression on me every morning with her plucky spins and will provide tremendous value at 15-1 or more..

Most Likely: #1 Artemis Agrotera 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Rosalind 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Untapable 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Concave 15-1 9th


5th: 15th Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Important to know if Laughing is staying in this or not. High strung miss did not ship well -- which her team knew might be an issue -- and went off her feed. If they run, then she should be 100% fine as Goldberg/Santulli top horsemen that have reputations of always doing the right thing by their horses. There isn't any authentic speed to go with Laughing, so she presents the same wire threat in this that she has all summer..

Most Likely: #1 Dank 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #2 Romantica 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tix Flirtacious 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Marketing Mix 7-2 5th


<$75 P5 Play:

1: 7-8-9
2: 1-5
3: 3-8-10-13
4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2

3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


6th: 7th Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

First of the day's defending Cup winners here and after season-long travails, expect -- not just hope -- Groupie Doll goes out in style. Pace runners like Ismene and Starship offer great value as types that can survive front end while Sweet Lulu (and Summer Applause as well) have that turnback punch you look for at seven-eighths..

Most Likely: #11 Groupie Doll 5-2 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #6 Ismene 20-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Sweet Lulu 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Starship Truffles 15-1 12th


7th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Typically fun downhill event and key numbers are :21.2 and :42.2 as anything south of those splits will elicit a collapse. Renee, Tightend and Spring/Sky look like they will provide solid zip, but there may not be quite enough pressure to guarantee that the closers get up like Desert Code in '08 or Mizdirection last year. Interesting thing about the defending winner is that she has been on the front end this year but appears capable of adjusting to whatever she encounters. Working insanely and may very well retain hill crown..

Most Likely: #9 Capo Bastone 8-1 13th
Next Best: #12 Mizdirection 4-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #2 Rock Me Baby 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Chips All In 5-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Spring to the Sky 30-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-2-7
5: 1-2-3-6
6: 3-4-6-8-11-12
7: 9-12

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: 30th Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Draw placing Strong Mandate and Havana wide opened this race up, but note that Goldencents managed to make the outpost work OK Friday by getting the lead and letting the conveyor assist him late. Will respect the obvious on the outside, but have to lean on some playable prices inside..

Most Likely: #4 New Year's Day 8-1 WON ($23.00)
Next Best: #3 Mexikoma 12-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Smarty's Echo 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #14 Strong Mandate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 Havana 5-2 2nd


9th: 30th Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another race where draw heavily impacts decision-making with Real Solution hurt by extreme gate. The Fugue oozes class with these and the added distance versus last year's F&M Turf choice should help her. Indy Point poised for big effort. Point of Entry win would be remarkable accomplishment for Team Shug. Twilight Eclipse has knocked on doors all year and gets Leparoux which could be a good fit..

Most Likely: #7 The Fugue 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Indy Point 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twilight Eclipse 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Point of Entry 4-1 4th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

I don't want to get maudlin, but have to say the sadness and unfairness of Points Offthebench being absent from these proceedings will make this a hard event to watch. Pace will be of the leatherneck variety and though one or another of the front-enders can be track-aided and stay on, stalkers and closers should be able to get involved..

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #12 Laugh Track 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Justin Phillip 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Gentleman's Bet 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Bahamian Squall 10-1 6th


11th: 30th Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan wins. After that, there's no shortage of pricey inclusions with which to have fun..

Most Likely: #8 Wise Dan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Silentio 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 No Jet Lag 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Za Approval 15-1 2nd


12th: 30th Breeders' Cup Classic, 3+, 10f (Super Hi-5)

As I wrote in Xpressbet BC Wagering Guide, race seems to be calling for an alternate view with so many familiar players looking interchangeable. I'll key off the Coolmore invader who is classiest entrant and while not conformed perfectly for the main track, is certainly bred for it being out of Union Rags sister. Has cruising speed and staying style and as long as dirt in the face doesn't make him recoil early, has big chance at nice number. May not be Giant's Causeway, but he's no doorknob either. Ian Wilkes, who is an easy read, exuding confidence with defending winner Fort Larned. Flat Out looks better physically than he did earlier in the summer and gets services of Rosario back. Palace Malice is the best 3yo hope though Moreno has exceeded expectations the last two starts and may be the speed that's in space in the stretch..

Most Likely: #5 Declaration of War 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Fort Larned 6-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Flat Out 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Palace Malice 10-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 Moreno 15-1 10th


<$200 P6 Play:

7: 9-12
8: 1-3-4-13-14
9: 7-9
10: 9
11: 8
12: 5-7-12

2x5x2x1x1x3 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 3-7-8-9
10: 1-3-6-7-9-12
11: 8
12: 4-5-7-8-9-12

4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

 

 

 

 

BREEDERS' CUP -- FRIDAY NOVEMBER 1

 

 

Every year we arrive at this juncture and I feel compelled to trot out the Breeders' Cup invocation. Remember that whether you are successful or not, your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of 14 races. The Cup offers unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking.

Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an 0-for going into Saturday's finale and get it all back and more in the 2:02.0 it takes to run Saturday's Classic.. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

It's again been a pleasure trying to bring the flavor of the Cup to everyone listening, and I hope there was something offered that you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Santa Anita, ATR's sponsors and everyone who contributed so generously to the shows.. Best of luck this weekend!


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


CAREFULLY MONITOR MAIN TRACK CONDITIONS AGAIN FOR SPEED...


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pure Loyalty 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #11 U S Citizen 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yankee Rebel 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Somethings Unusual 12-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Wild Dude 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cat Burglar 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Got Even 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Drover Crazy 10-1 11th


3rd: Cal-Golden State Juvenile, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Life Is a Joy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Tamarando 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 California Chrome 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sir Barclay 15-1 8th


4th: Cal-Golden State Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

This is a real curiosity with all but Harlington's Rose stretching out around two turns for the first time..

Best Value: #6 Harlington's Rose 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Cal Gal 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Moving Desert 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Stole a Kiss 7-2 5th


5th: 2nd Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this. Charming Kitten kept good company all summer and should sit a good ground-saving trip under Johnny V in this spot. Irish Surf beat elders to break MDN, continued to win and wasn't disgraced in the John Henry despite wide posting. Returns to straight sophomore company..

Most Likely: #2 Charming Kitten 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Irish Surf 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Kid Dreams 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #6 Dry Summer 10-1 3rd


<$50 P5 Play:

1: 8-11
2: 9-13
3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2

2x2x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: 6th Breeders' Cup Marathon (G2), 3+, 14f (P3, DD)

Race remains silly and superfluous to proceedings but that doesn't mean we don't want to bet on it. Gary Stevens gushed about lung capacity of Argentinean import Ever Rider and his morning circuits of SA oval remind you of last year's winner Calidoscopio. One earmark for success in this event has been class and Suns Out Guns Out (Empire Maker) and Worldly (A.P. Indy o/o Urbane) strike as types that will stay successfully..

Most Likely: #4 Ever Rider 7-2 DNF
Next Best: #8 Blueskiesnrainbows 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Suns Out Guns Out 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Worldly 6-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

3: 1-2-7
4: 2-6-8-9
5: 1-2-6-7
6: 4-8

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


7th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Lines appear clearly drawn here with Bobby's Kitten the American standout with Giovanni Boldini and Outstrip the serious Euro challengers. After that trio, you can tinker with some super fillers like Got Shades that get Stevens and was raced last time without Lasix in anticipation of this assignment..

Most Likely: #5 Bobby's Kitten 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Outstrip 4-1 WON ($14.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Giovani Boldini 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Got Shades 30-1 5th


8th: 7th Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wildly entertaining group and with ML faves Verrazanno (3-1) and Goldencents (4-1) drawing poorly, things more open than they might have been. This race has regularly produced unanticipated winners and Holy Lute (20-1) is a prime upset candidate having moved into contention range in first main track start when 3rd in Indiana Derby last time. Needs further improvement to best some grizzled veterans and fellow 3yo's, but gains services of Mike Smith after sneaking into starting grid..

Best Value: #8 Holy Lute 20-1 10th
Next Best: #12 Goldencents 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Brujo de Olieros 8-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Hymm Book 15-1 5th


9th: 7th Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super Hi-5)

Came here convinced that Chad Brown's Testa Rossi and Ready to Act were going to be most formidable and while not completely dissuaded, enthusiasm is tempered by challenging outside draws... Fellow contenders Sky Painter and My Conquistadory got it even worse. Euros have bubbled to the surface in here

Most Likely: #8 Chriselliam 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #2 Al Thakhira 6-1 14th
Exotics Use: #11 Testa Rossi 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Dancing House 20-1 5th
H-5 Play: #6 Vorda 4-1 7th


10th: 30th Breeders' Cup Distaff, F&M-3+, 9f (DIS-CLS Double)

As good as the reigning mare has been, believe the 3yo fillies carry the day..

Most Likely: #5 Beholder 5-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #3 Close Hatches 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Princess of Sylmar 9-5 6th


<$50 Distaff-Classic Double Play:

DIS: 3-5
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

MAIN: 2x5 = 10 x $3 = $30


DIS: 2-4-6
CLS: 4-5-8-9-10

BACK-UP: 3x5 = $15


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5
8: 3-4-8-12
9: 2-6-8-9-11-12
10: 3-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4-12-8-5) Paid $403.90

 




 
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